Back in March, I wrote a post noting that excess mortality data from Europe and Israel were hard to reconcile with claims of 90% vaccine effectiveness against death. However, I also noted that some countries data were consistent with very high vaccine effectiveness against death.
The two examples I gave were Australia and Iceland – both countries with very high vaccination rates. By the end of 2021, each country had double-vaccinated 77% of its population, compared to only 70% in the U.K. and only 63% in the U.S. (see below).
At the time I wrote the post, Iceland had only seen a minor uptick in excess mortality, while Australia had not seen any at all – despite both countries experiencing major outbreaks in the winter/spring of 2022. If countries like Germany, the Netherlands and Israel had seen deadly post-vaccination waves, why hadn’t Iceland and Australia? That was the puzzle.
It appears that ‘puzzle’ is now solved – we just needed to wait for more data. The latest figures from Iceland and Australia show sizeable upticks in excess mortality. First, let’s look at Iceland:
After bouncing around the zero mark for the first two years of the pandemic, excess mortality jumped to 74% in the first week of March. And it has now been above zero for eleven of the last thirteen weeks. Next, let’s consider Australia:
Over the first two years of the pandemic, excess morality averaged roughly zero – dipping lower in the summer and rising higher in the winter. Yet since the start of October, it has been consistently positive, jumping to 26% in the third week of January.
It should be noted: these upticks in excess mortality are not as large as those seen in European countries during 2020 and 2021.
However, they indicate that even very high vaccination rates are not sufficient to prevent mortality from rising when there’s a major outbreak. And they cast further doubt on claims that the vaccines are 90% effective against death. If they were 90% effective against death, excess mortality should hardly have risen at all in Iceland and Australia.
Given that 77% of the entire population was double vaccinated before the latest outbreaks began (and that’s the entire population, not just over 16s), you’d have to believe that excess mortality would have been many, many times higher in the absence of vaccination to rescue the claim of 90% effectiveness against death.
What’s probably true instead is that the vaccines do reduce mortality from Covid – but not by 90%.
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In 2006, after watching that tiresome piece of specious piffle, “An Inconvenient Truth” by the conman Al Gore, I wondered about that graph which showed a clear connection between atmospheric CO² concentration and global average surface temperatures.
He claimed that the former caused the latter.
I asked my peers, “How do we know it isn’t the other way around?”
Stunned silence.
A bit like when I asked my geography teacher if we knew when TheHoleInTheOzoneLayer™ first appeared. Actually, I think he laughed at me, and most of the class followed suit.
Awkward questions, eh.
Sorry about the superscript 2. My phone doesn’t do subscript
I was working for HSBC at the time in a distant place, far from UK – back around 2005. Guess what, all the staff in our unit were made to watch the Al Gore film by the powers that be at Head Office. No wonder so many believe all the global warming garbage when they have this enforced on them by the bosses.
The CEO of the last company I worked for, Marsh McLennan, berated us via internal company emails and everyone else via primetime US television about the “importance of getting vaccinated”.
C*nt.
I work in the same place and I got the same email. I’d placed him in the ‘New York lefty’ box prior to Covid so I wasn’t surprised.
Spent a chunk of last year worrying about a vaccine mandate being implemented, but thankfully it wasn’t and presumably the moment has passed now.
UK leadership are a bit more circumspect than head office in US, although equally woke. Thankfully the leader of my division is a bit of a lockdown sceptic (not vaccine sceptic though).
I’d have told him to mind his own business.
The system is just too complicated and impossible replicate for us to be able to understand it. Too many variables.
So I don’t think the climate fanatics know that CO2 causes temperature rises.
But I also think their critics don’t know for sure that it’s temperature that causes CO2 rise.
It could be both – they reinforce each other. It could be neither – a completely different set of factors. It could be both or either in theory but in practice other bigger factors prevail.
Who knows.
All I want is for self appointed guardians of our society to stop telling us all how to live our lives on the pretence that they know things that they really don’t know. They are playing with people’s lives on the basis of mere speculation.
Exactly. They can stick their “models” where the sun don’t shine.
This is not “new”. Been known and written about for many years by real Geologists and some Climate Scientists, and even some amateurs have known. And there is much “science” to back up the idea. Maybe the real shock is that these so-called “climate scientists” are new to these facts and are willing to go against their peers or something.
Why are you showing in your top photo cooling towers which release *steam* not Carbon DiOxide from those cooling towers? Why perpetuate the misinformation?
It’s true, so many people I know still think it’s smoke. LOL. I mean, the clue’s in the name – – – COOLING tower!
Explaining how power stations work doesn’t seem to help them.
Too much concentration and focus needed by their porn and Netflix-addled brains.
The only way to save us from climate change is to mandate CO2 limits for everyone.
The only way to save us from Covid is to mandate vaccines for everyone.
Those with the power to mandate connect with those who implement or reinforce the mandate, and a slice of the resulting massive profits get fed back to the mandators. A nice little scheme for the in-crowd.
Good post Mr Morrison. Please don’t forget Professor Pascal Richet, who last year wrote about co2 lagging temperature over the last four glaciations in a supposedly reputable journal Copernicus. His peer approved story was pulled.
https://www.history-of-geo-and-space-sciences.net/2021-05-26_hgss-2021-1_latest-version-of-the-manuscript.pdf
cart before the horse!
Thank you Chris. I have watched some of William Happer’s presentations and they are compelling. If I may correct you he does not merely “suggest” that the absorption by CO2 is near saturation. He and his team have calculated the effect of a doubling of CO2 and demonstrated it in graphically form as minimal.
This has been known for years.
The problem is that facts always lose in the face of ideology, such are the times we live
in…
Why can’t we post images any more?