The NHS has announced that around two thirds of people aged 18-29 in England have now had one vaccine dose. The Telegraph reports.
A third of young adults in England have still not had a first dose of a COVID-19 vaccine, new figures show.
Around 66.4% of people aged between 18 to 29 had received a first dose as of July 18th, according to estimates from NHS England.
This means 33.6% are likely to be unvaccinated – the equivalent of around 2.9 million adults under 30.
The data shows that vaccine uptake continues to be lower among men than women, with only 65% of men aged 25 to 29 having had a first dose, compared with 71.9% of women in the same age group.
Yet the update from Public Health England, out today, with data up to July 18th, reports the same figure as 59%. It also shows the trend flattening, suggesting it’s unlikely to hit 66% very soon.
What’s going on? This is a difference of around 600,000 people. Don’t they know how many they have vaccinated? How can they disagree by over half a million people?
Stop Press: A reader has got in touch with an explanation.
The PHE figure would appear to be sound – see here.
Scroll to the bottom. You’ll see that the 18-24 age group is 59.07% and for 25-29 age group it’s 59%.
The problem is that when the NHS report 66.4% vaccinated this is a deception. For the general population statistic, they arrive at this number by taking total vaccinations and dividing by the population in mid 2019. Of course, many who have had vaccinations have (either due to, or for other reasons) sadly died. (I notice that they’ve just updated this to the mid 2020 population, but it’s still not accurate.)
Meanwhile, the PHE statistic is based on vaccinations given to those in an age group with an NHS number. It’s a reasonable guess that those without an NHS number are less likely to go for an NHS vaccine.
Last time I wrote, I predicted that the error was at least 1.5% and growing.
The statistic you quote suggests the error to be more than 6%.
Applied to the country as a whole, this would mean that only 81.7% of the population has been vaccinated.
The statistic the NHS use is simply not a percentage. It is a deceptive misuse of statistics which is mathematically wrong.
The statistic is so badly wrong, that it is possible that in the future it will be possible to have more than 100% of the population vaccinated.
I believe for this reason that once they start vaccinating children they may switch the statistic.
At the moment, if you are to use the total vaccinations given then you must divide this by the total population in 2021.
Total vaccinations = 46,433,845
Total UK population = 68,265,710So the total with one dose vaccinated is: 46,433,845/68,265,710 = 68%
This is not as impressive a figure, but it sits in the 60%-80% target we were all told about for herd immunity, and given the additional natural immunity, it’s fair to say that the whole lockdown/rules and nonsense can now come to an end.
We all know, though, that they won’t.
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Poor lambs :-((
Who cares? It should be 0%. Any spare vaccine should be sent to old people in 3rd world.
I winder if the kids and their parents have seen this…?
And the authorities think it’s just a coincidence! Sure!
Didn’t the government recently say they knew how many people had been vaccinated, but didn’t know how many had not, thereby admitting they have no idea how many people there are in the country?
This would be a particular issue with the under 30s, I imagine, given our open southern border at present.
One bogus statistic versus another.
Grab ’em & Jab ’em!
https://brandnewtube.com/watch/it-039-s-time-to-deal-with-unvaxxed-people_vTAm78BG7m8boSQ.html
I don’t have an account there to correct that thread but maybe I can clarify here, I think his account is (it is self described as certainly) a parody one on tiktok.
Given the NHS doesn’t know its collective arse from a hole in the ground, this is not surprising. Nobody ever talks to each other, IT systems don’t interface. Which makes plausible deniability that much easier.
‘We don’t know, you’ll need to phone xxx’.
‘I’m sorry, X doesn’t work every other Tuesday’.
‘Please ask X to phone me back then.
‘This department doesn’t make outgoing calls ‘.
‘Why doesn’t it? This is the 21st Century. Every other customer facing organisation does’.
‘It’s not our policy.
‘Please send me a copy of the policy as this is nonsense’.
‘We can’t do that because of data protection’.
‘Which specific area of the Data Protection Act would be contravened? I was previously a nominated Data Controller for a major UK Corporate’.
‘You are being aggressive’.
‘On the contrary, I think I am being entirely reasonable’
Etc, etc…ad infinitum.
The NHS doesn’t have customers it has ill-inconveniences, it’s why it’s so shite.
It’s interesting that stupidity seems to increase with age. So much for wise old owls LOL.
I know what percentage of this age group are vaccinated, none of them.
If you look at the soaring number of ‘cases’, then you can deduce the following. Either testing is faulty, or the vaccines dont work, or both.
I think we can be pretty sure it is both.
I remember seeing early on that the NHS was reporting that over 100% of certain age groups/regions had been experimentally vaccinated in their spreadsheet data. They reduced the figure in the final column of their spreadsheet to 100% but you could work out what the unrestricted percentage was from the other figures and it was 105% plus in some cases
They were also providing a figure of % of NHS employees who had been vaccinated. They did this by calculating
Number of NHS workers vaccinated
divided by
Number of NHS front-line workers
So an inconsistent denominator and numerator (as the numerator includes non front-line workers vaccinated but the denominator doesn’t include non front-line workers). I think something like 20% of the workforce is not frontline so you can see the sort of error involved
A GP on here (who had access to a more accurate database) replied in the comments to say that the percentages did seem to have been overstated.
And the ONS data which was based on surveys of ‘random’ people and gave lower figures seemed to confirm what the GP was saying.
With the dominant Delta Variant having a CFR of 0.2% ( a lot less than Alpha), the fact that catching COVID is 40 times better at preventing re-infection, and that the jabs are killing at the same rate (over 1,400 killed by Pfizer and AZ) it’s a lot less risky to catch Delta than get caught up in the NHS jabbing schemes.
Agree – nobody under the age of 80 should have received this experimental drug – unless directly vulnerable- it’s a mass crime and akin to murder and maiming, apart from illegal coercion- the UK public have too easily been abused – maybe they are masochists or maybe too polite but a few of us will March in unison and purpose.