The UK Climate Change Committee (CCC) was all over mainstream media recently with claims that Britain had to spend £11 billion a year to adapt to 4°C higher temperatures by 2100. Did nobody tell them that their fanciful claims are based on RCP8.5 computer model assumptions that have just been declared “implausible” by the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)? Probably not, since it is a Government-captured nest of Net Zero activists led by a young Classics graduate. Step forward the Met Office, the real culprit behind the calamitous charge to Net Zero, whose UK Climate Projections report (UKCP18) is the foundation source for the CCC’s whacky weather witterings.
UKCP18 only used an RCP8.5 super-computer run and highlighted the absurd findings in bold type. The most notorious claim was that British summers could be up to 5.1°C hotter in just 50 years measured against an 1850–1900 baseline. All the other projections in the 2018 report are statistically derived from this one ‘garbage-in, garbage-out’ run. It is no exaggeration to state that its preposterous findings have given backing to most climate change impact regulations and rules since 2018. In the light of the IPCC’s recent damning declaration, surely the head of the Met Office Professor Penny Endersby should consider her position. She has been in post since 2018 and all these unnecessary rules, highlighted here in a recent Daily Sceptic article, can be traced back to the malign influence of UKCP18.
If the Met Office were a private company, swift dismissal would inevitably follow given the scale of the damage, wreckage even, visited on the British economy by this pumped-up pile of climate catastrophe claptrap.
Even in its day job of measuring temperatures, the Met Office under her command has gone from bad to worse. The percentage of junk stations in its 380-strong nationwide network has risen from 77.9% to 80.6%. Junk stations that come with internationally recognised ‘uncertainties’ of up to 5°C are now to be found in nearly a third of the network. The Met Office’s lame excuse that it is difficult to find open spaces to give an accurate ambient air temperature on a crowded island is laughable, given that 93% of UK land is rural. In many cases, the Met Office needs only to move a station a few yards and control surrounding vegetation to obtain a more reliable reading. On such data, the Met Office declared, to widespread mainstream media acclaim, that last year was the hottest on record in the UK by six hundredths of a degree Centigrade. Professor Endersby has also been in charge over the last couple of years when 17 new classified stations were added to the network with an astonishing 64.7% starting life as junk. Does nobody check this stuff?
When the closure of the Straits of Hormuz really bites and food prices rocket, fuel runs short and fripperies like foreign holidays are abandoned, don’t forget to drop a ‘Thanks Pen’ message into the Met Office. Great job in producing all that statistical BS that helped dunderhead Government ministers cut off the exploitation of our own local hydrocarbon supplies.
But all is not lost for the Met Office. On October 8th last year, the rising star of Net Zero and climate scepticism Kathryn Porter appeared on the Mike Graham Talk morning show and, quoting from Daily Sceptic and citizen sleuth Ray Sanders articles, said:
They’ve closed a lot of weather stations and then they say that they interpolate from other weather stations that are nearby. And then various people have gone round to investigate this and discovered that there are no weather stations nearby, and so they had to remove data because people have basically said “You’re making it up” and they have been. And the other thing is that some of these weather stations that do exist produce junk data… And then they will say, “Oh well, you know, it’s so much hotter than it was in the past.” Well you can’t say that if you made up the numbers.
Of course, regular readers will be aware of all these issues which we have covered in detail over the last two years. In addition, Ray Sanders on Tallbloke’s Talkshop has conducted a forensic examination of most of the individual sites and recordings, and to say he has been extremely critical of what he found may be considered an understatement.
The full arguments in this Ofcom case can be read here, along with the judgement that Talk did not take reasonable care to satisfy itself that material facts had not been presented, disregarded or omitted in a way that was unfair to the complainant. Also, the broadcaster was said to have not given the complainant a timely and appropriate opportunity to respond to the allegations made about it in the programme. This finding was made despite Ofcom accepting that the broadcaster had already given the Met Office an opportunity to contribute to Talk, “at a time of its choosing”. This occurred the month before when your correspondent appeared on the Julia Hartley-Brewer Show where similar Met Office matters were discussed. Talk noted that “the offer has not been taken up”.
Regarding the suggestion from Kathryn Porter that the Met Office “makes up data”, Talk noted that the phrase was a criticism of methodology, rather than an allegation of fabrication. In fact, this is exactly what the Daily Sceptic has long argued. If, for instance, you claim to use “well correlated neighbouring station” data to infill supposed temperature recordings, it would be helpful if the actual sites could be named. And if it is discovered that there are no such stations for many miles around, it would again be useful for further realistic guidance on the matter to be provided. Can a Met Office computer, even a highly expensive super-computer, provide an accurate ambient air temperature for a location up to 30 miles away? There are many who would suggest that this is highly unlikely.
Blubbing to the broadcasting beak might have given the Met Office some help in keeping the mainstream media lid on its dreadful temperature measuring network. But the dam burst of RCP8.5 cannot be stemmed. Years of promoting a set of assumptions that were always implausible – an insult to the intelligence, some might add – to ratchet up the Net Zero fantasy requires at the very least a fulsome apology, followed by a withdrawal of all RCP8.5-corrupted data and major changes in the top hierarchy. If the current Labour Government does not insist on these actions – and let’s be realistic, it will not – it is possible that an electorally successful Reform administration will.
Chris Morrison is the Daily Sceptic’s Environment Editor. Follow him on X.
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Is it any wonder President Trump won in a andslide? Whatever happens in the USA, follows in the UK 🇬🇧
The weather can be different within a few miles. One sunny bright day in Rye we set off to visit Great Dixter garden, nine miles away, where it was pouring with rain. But Daily Sceptic readers will be unsurprised by that. The BBC doesn’t help with its blather. Last night on the news it made a great thing about the number of weather stations around the country, even suggesting that as the temperature gauges were shielded from the sun it might be even hotter in the open.
Record temperatures are often to be found at Heathrow. While taxiing at idle thrust, a commercial jet engine produces massive amounts of waste heat. Exhaust gas temperatures reach over 500 degC. This creates a zone extending up to 60 meters behind the aircraft; where temperatures can still reach around 90 degC. This will cover a significant area whilst taxying and takeoff/landing, and is multiplied by the number of aircraft (typically 1300 plus per day). That represents a huge volume of abnormally hot air, which on a windless day (eg today) can only slowly rise upwards.
And they want us to believe that the temperature is a meterological phenomenon.
It is a man-made artefact that has no place in being used to do anything other than working out plane thrust data to ensure safe load calculations.
The problem is that most of the population only know about the weather from the BBC or Met Office supplied forecasts (such as, shockingly, GBNews). So we have an unseasonably warm spell at the moment, which everyday is accompanied by warnings to take care or die, and constant references to the hottest May bank holiday, blah blah blah, but whenever we have a few cooler than average days, these are never referenced by the forecaster, unless they are incredibly brave. So the general population accept the lies of the climate change cultists, because they only experience the propaganda.
The population in general are starting to wake up to all the lies and propaganda. I’m sure very few people will see a forecast temperature of 28C and think their health is in danger or it means we’re facing a climate apocalypse. A lot of people will think “great, lets have a BBQ or day at the seaside”, some people will think “this is a bit hotter than I find comfortable” and avoid being out in the sun during the hottest part of the day. The majority of people probably know it’s well above average for late May but we always had, and always will have, periods of much warmer than average weather just as we’ll always have some very wet days/months, some long very dry periods, the occasional extremely windy day etc.
By it’s very nature, the weather will be warmer or cooler than average, why we need to provide the Muppet Office with £150m of our money each year I don’t know.
The hottest May bank holiday where? when? At what time? Measured by which thermometer(s)? Compared to where? when? At what time? Measured by which thermometres?
It’s a scam. An magicians trick.
And everyone talks about it as if it were real.
Like gender.
So far I have seen the bullshit claim from the junk site at Kew Gardens but there will be one today as they say it could be the highest temperature for 79 years – you know in the days before Global Warming was invented.
We have a basic problem that nobody seems to really fully understand.
None of these predictions can be verified one way or another. They cannot be proved nor disproved.
Why? Because the idea that there is a British temperature for a summer, a month, a week, a day or even right now is a complete fantasy. It is a total illusion.
It is a confected idea much like gender which everyone speaks about and has become convinced that it exists but is a complete invention and only exists in the minds of the people that believe it.
They will always be able to take the temperatures they want from the places they want (like next to an airport, on a particularly hot day) and use the measurements the select to come up with their bullshit metric. And if the actual readings don’t do the trick, they make whatever adjustments and extrapolations they deem necessary to get the metric to what they want it to be.
THE WHOLE THING IS A SCAM.
Perpetuated, I’m afraid, by articles like this one, which, well intentioned as they might be, simply reinforce the idea of a temperature in Britain, or a global temperature,… Read more »
And people wonder why there is no growth in the UK as everything is strangled by Net Zero bollocks. In taking a year to get planning permission to carry out drainage works on our council owned sports ground, some bunch of ecologist scum were initially demanding to be onsite every day at £1000 a day. These people are a cancer on our economy. And yet a proposed solar panel subsidy farm complete with deadly battery storage will not be exposed to such things and yet the fumes from a fire could require us to be evacuated and any water runoff goes into the river system that feeds the Medway into the Thames.
Penny Endersby should be prosecuted for Misconduct In Public Office. If it’s good enough for Mandy and the King’s brother, it’s good enough for the idiot Professor.
I could think of a few more names you could add to that list.
Where is the academic input coming from to utilise the plethora of reports from private weather stations in back gardens all around the country and already in computer friendly formats in on-line databases.
I have been uploading mine to Weather Underground for several years. According to their web site there are a quarter of a million private weather stations uploading their data world wide. There is are other private networks too – Ecowitt to name but one.
Instead of interpolation between sparse junk official stations then they could do it between these far more numerous stations, which, I guess, are no less accurate than the low grade met office ones. I am sure there are plenty of statistical methods for rating individuals private staions and computing far more reliable temperature, wind, humidity and rain data from these.
In fact I often use the Mk1 Eyeball to check the veracity of my data comparing it with that from multiple sites within a few miles of mine (you can immediately spot the outliers that have probably been wrongly located, for example, by comparing wind direction+speed and temperature data).
Given the baseline data which the Muppet Office quotes change against were all created by MK1 Eyeball observations it seems unlikely that a 0.06 difference can be verified.
Red means danger!
Yep, not even subtle is it. Other countries are at it as well such as Germany where people have shown their changed weather forecast maps.
Entirely different tone and agenda isn’t it… it’s actually far less clear to read in my opinion, which surely is the key outcome needed?
Interesting. 28 degrees celsius in the whole of Wales at the same time. That’s amazing.
The colour coding is not where the real trickery lies…
Published on the day that the meteorological heat map of Britain will surely combust à la Bonanza.