Some of the U.S. states which have been experiencing a Delta surge appear to have peaked. The chart above shows that Missouri has not seen sustained growth in daily reported infections since August 4th, Arkansas since August 7th, and Louisiana and Florida since August 13th. Since none of these states imposed new restrictions to try to combat the Delta variant, this demonstrates that a surge driven by the Delta variant, like those of previous variants, is self-limiting and, contrary to the predictions of the models, does not continue growing exponentially and infecting everyone not previously infected. Not everyone is equally susceptible. Will the modellers now adjust their assumptions to the realities observed on the ground?
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Do they continue to push vaccine passports even though the jabbed get infected?
Do they insist on masks even though there is no evidence they have an effect?
Do they insist on vaccinating children even though we have known for 18 months that they don’t suffer from covid?
Do they insist on isolating people who test positive even though the evidence of asymptomatic transmission is virtually non existent?
So no. The modellers will not adjust their models and governments will not change their approach based on evidence. They haven’t thus far. Why would they start now?
Very few scientists ever actually ajust their views, but in history science has worked by replacing those who won’t update their theories to match the evidence with younger minds who can comprehend better theories. The problem now is that the modellers, proven wrong, are not being replaced by those in the scientific community who are working with theories that do fit the data. SAGE, Ferguson, Fauci, Whitty and their mates should all have been sacked in spring 2020, or summer if you wanted to give more time to be sure they were wrong, Sunetra Gupta, Carl Heneghan and Karol Sikora et.al. shouldhave been brought in to replace them. This is the sickness you get when science and politics are allowed to intertwine too closely.
Indeed don’t forget Drs Scott Atlas and Jay Bhattacharya amongst others as well.
Th competent and knowledgeable probably outnumber the propagandists but are blocked from the MSM so only the likes of us get to hear about them, The Agenda is all most people hear.
The SAGE lot are generally behaving as political operators, not scientists, and you’ve got to assume that they are saying things the government wants then to say, even when they seem to be briefing against the government. It all looks like theatre to me.
SAGE are saying what their paymasters want them to say, which is not the government. Go against the oarty line and their funding, much of which comes via a certain US Foundation gets cut off.
Many of them are social scientists. Humans studying other humans is not the same as humans studying the contents of test tubes and petri dishes. They bring their own culturally specific experience of being human to the process. Also there is a sort of feedback effect, whereby the humans being studied become aware of and are influenced by what’s being said about them, altering their view of themselves and their fellow humans. The social scientists are aware of this phenomenon, and exploit it in a highly manipulative way.
vaccine passports – evil
masks – evil
vaccinating children- evil
Pro-Vax Doctor Fears mRNA Jabs Are Humanity’s Worst Threat
https://articles.mercola.com/sites/articles/archive/2021/08/22/microbiologist-explains-covid-jab-effects.aspx?ui=1fb065e0c4152b58bd4ed94cf29c7cbfad40307fb723460ddabacd55f3c58b0c&sd=20210518&cid_source=dnl&cid_medium=email&cid_content=art1HL&cid=20210822&mid=DM965495&rid=1241802876
Stand in South Hill Park Bracknell every Sunday from 10am meet fellow anti lockdown freedom lovers, keep yourself sane, make new friends and have a laugh.
(also Wednesdays from 2pm)
Join our Stand in the Park – Bracknell – Telegram Group
http://t.me/astandintheparkbracknell
The question is, will it continue to fall, or will it, like in the UK plateau and then start to rise again?
The reason why this has occurred isn’t known, but the fear is that the vaccinated are providing a covid reservoir. This would be bad and would suggest bad news for this winter.
For scientists, absolutely, that is a facinating question and needs careful work to truly understand the mechanisms at play, there is a lot of fascinating detail hidden in just how odd some aspects of this disease’s spread have been. For society at large we all need to ignore what covid may or may not be doing anywhere and get on with life, normally. I’ve given up trying to guess whether the virus will spike or fall, it is a mild enough virus there never was much reason to care and with the vulnerable vaccinated there is no cause for alarm even if it does have another big peak. All I can be certain of is we must resist authoritarian diktats whatever they may try, if there ever was a battle between mankind and the virus it is long over (the virus won by the way, its only strategic goal was to spread and it did that), the battle now is between those loyal to liberty and those seeking control.
“covid reservoir”
You mean newly jabbed or that already jabbed continue to spread indefinitely?
The same is seen in South Africa at the moment (3rd wave/Delta). I think the plateau is caused by first dose jabbees falling ill in 1st two weeks. Vaccination (Pfizer) has just opened for18-35 year olds. Next 2 weeks are going to be interesting.
Winter is going to be very interesting. Either we get through it relatively unscathed, with a normal level of respiratory deaths, or it will be a total ADE shit show. Real testing time for the “vaccines”. It may be time to stock up on tinned food…
Without knowing the cycle rate for each test we won’t even know what a peak and a plateau mean.
Yes cos its made up…
Are you that ignorant? Or are you that cunning? It’s one or another…
Variants are never an issue because they are never dangerous…
This blog has several health professional collaborators, why aren’t they correcting this erroneous issue?
Mind blogging!!!
https://uk.redcon1.com
UK site of the company that dropped Arnie.
One to support, let’s all buy our vitamins from them henceforth.
“Schwarzenegger’s pro-mask position didn’t square with REDCON1 founder Aaron Singerman.
“Making the public declaration, ‘screw your freedoms,’ is dangerous and anti-American,” read the release that was first reported by Daily Wire.
“REDCON1 is a patriotic pro-freedom brand and community. We support everyone’s individual freedoms.”
https://www.fox13news.com/news/monoclonal-antibody-treatment-site-coming-to-tropicana-field
Let’s also not forget that instead of doing nothing, or resorting to witchcraft in the forms of masks, boosters&co, or eliminating individual liberties, or crushing businesses and employment, or discriminating against half the people, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is opening 20 monoclonal antibody clinics across Florida to TREAT people who catch Covid, whether vaxxed or not (the left wing MSM is not happy about that, of course).
This is what true good leadership and public health are and should be about.
What do you do in those regards, Messrs Johnson, Macron, Merkel&co?!?
Well Ronapreve is now licensed here but at £1000 to £2000 a pop don’t expect the NHS to dish out this treatment to all those immunosuppressed people in a hurry, let alone vaccine refuseniks
No “Mathematical” model predicts exponential growth https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p1lyggPhWOM though that doesn’t seem to stop people who should know better claiming otherwise.