The NHS has announced that around two thirds of people aged 18-29 in England have now had one vaccine dose. The Telegraph reports.
A third of young adults in England have still not had a first dose of a COVID-19 vaccine, new figures show.
Around 66.4% of people aged between 18 to 29 had received a first dose as of July 18th, according to estimates from NHS England.
This means 33.6% are likely to be unvaccinated – the equivalent of around 2.9 million adults under 30.
The data shows that vaccine uptake continues to be lower among men than women, with only 65% of men aged 25 to 29 having had a first dose, compared with 71.9% of women in the same age group.
Yet the update from Public Health England, out today, with data up to July 18th, reports the same figure as 59%. It also shows the trend flattening, suggesting it’s unlikely to hit 66% very soon.
What’s going on? This is a difference of around 600,000 people. Don’t they know how many they have vaccinated? How can they disagree by over half a million people?
Stop Press: A reader has got in touch with an explanation.
The PHE figure would appear to be sound – see here.
Scroll to the bottom. You’ll see that the 18-24 age group is 59.07% and for 25-29 age group it’s 59%.
The problem is that when the NHS report 66.4% vaccinated this is a deception. For the general population statistic, they arrive at this number by taking total vaccinations and dividing by the population in mid 2019. Of course, many who have had vaccinations have (either due to, or for other reasons) sadly died. (I notice that they’ve just updated this to the mid 2020 population, but it’s still not accurate.)
Meanwhile, the PHE statistic is based on vaccinations given to those in an age group with an NHS number. It’s a reasonable guess that those without an NHS number are less likely to go for an NHS vaccine.
Last time I wrote, I predicted that the error was at least 1.5% and growing.
The statistic you quote suggests the error to be more than 6%.
Applied to the country as a whole, this would mean that only 81.7% of the population has been vaccinated.
The statistic the NHS use is simply not a percentage. It is a deceptive misuse of statistics which is mathematically wrong.
The statistic is so badly wrong, that it is possible that in the future it will be possible to have more than 100% of the population vaccinated.
I believe for this reason that once they start vaccinating children they may switch the statistic.
At the moment, if you are to use the total vaccinations given then you must divide this by the total population in 2021.
Total vaccinations = 46,433,845
Total UK population = 68,265,710So the total with one dose vaccinated is: 46,433,845/68,265,710 = 68%
This is not as impressive a figure, but it sits in the 60%-80% target we were all told about for herd immunity, and given the additional natural immunity, it’s fair to say that the whole lockdown/rules and nonsense can now come to an end.
We all know, though, that they won’t.
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The only hope for early relief is for POTUS to be briefed. He might then withdraw funding from the UN and apply penalties to any national that allows these UN activists to operate in there.
TTK won’t stop it – he approves as does his parliamentary party and likely most MPs.
I hate to break it to you, but Trump and co don’t actually care about free speech as most of us would understand it, and less so in the UK.
Vance’s free speech admonishment of European leaders was basically about protecting US tech companies (and probably X in particular) that are under threat of gargantuan fines from the mad, dystopian digital “protection” legislation they’ve recently brought in in the UK and the EU.
Anything they do that helps protect our free speech here is at best a happy by-product of their actions to protect their tech companies.
Thanks for this.
“The OfS, according to Sussex’s Vice-Chancellor, Sasha Roseneil, is in the grip of a “sort of libertarian, free speech absolutism” that has led it to “persecute” an innocent university and “perpetuat[e] the culture wars“”
Lol. Translation 1 – we will attack you, but you must not defend yourself because that would be starting a war, and war is bad. Translation 2 – shut up! We’re in in charge now, so do as we say!
These prat academics and “intellectuals” and “educated people” sure do come up with more and more obviously pathetic concocted “reasons” why they should dictate what everyone else says and thinks.
I would certainly be tempted to vote for a political party that proposed to withdraw all state involvement in “university education” (and withdraw their tax breaks, too).
I have a close friend who is intelligent and like myself wants to be left alone as much as possible to get on with life, but generally defends the idea of mild, sensible policing of speech and for all intents and purposes could be qualified as a “normie” (thinks they did what they could during covid, Trump is stupid and dangerous, thinks climate change is probably a real thing and we should take some reasonable measures to mitigate it, all that crap)
So I’ve tried to understand why he thinks in this way, which to me is borderline insane.
I’ve come to the following conclusion, which I think applies to quite a few people out there.
I think the worldview of many if not most of people that are pretty intelligent and well educated is that much of the population is stupid, uneducated and quite dangerous. They fear the plebs, think they need to be kept under control and think that if allowed to get their dumb, uneducated way things will go to pot. So these educated normies see the state and its institutions as their friends and allies representing their interests and keeping the barbarian elements of the population in check. In short they fear the majority of the population much more than they fear the overreach of the state and institutions.
Once I got my head around that, everything makes much more sense.
It explains why they overlook so easily the state’s overreach, the abuse, the arbitrariness.They either chose not to see it or see it as a small price to pay for protection from what they really fear – the dumb, less educated, “populists” and their patently dangerous ideas like Brexit and Trump, their bigotry, etc.
It’s a profoundly arrogant worldview which they will never admit as bluntly as that but constantly reveal with much of what they say and do.
Like with most fears, persuading them away from it is hard.
Thanks for this. I think you’re on to something here. I’m sure there is a strong element of arrogance, but perhaps also just rather natural tribalism – but they would be unlikely to admit this, even to themselves, as it would be “beastly” and the idea of being beastly would horrify them.
Spot on. Most of my acquaintance is exactly the same. I believe the other, very compelling reason for this strange compliance is a simple dread of being ostracised by their social circle for having any ‘non compliant’ thoughts about the usual topics – climate, covid, Trump etc. Shows huge weakness in my opinion.
Well, what is being said there is upsetting me, and quite a bit. So applying her standard, she better stop.
Seriously, who in hell doesn’t see this madness for the pursuit of totalitarianism that it is? Does anyone really think this insanity is nothing but one group of people trying to lord it over everyone else, dictating what they can and cannot say?
I assume it is us the taxpayer who pays this fine? Not the top dudes at Sussex?
Some punidhment eh?
It’s really high time that the UN is taken behind a barn and shot to end its misery. Or rather, end our misery caused by the fact that an organisation which was supposed to serve as arbitration forum for foreign policy dispute between sovereign states has been peverted to the point that it instead seeks to control domestic policy issues in UN member states.
These people have absolutely no business or legitimation to do what they’re trying to do.
Free speech absolutism is a meaningless phrase. People are either free to speak their mind in public or they aren’t. There is no more such a thing as a temperate amount of freedom of speech as there’s a temperate amount of pregnancy. The statement in the German foundational law that people are free to express any opinion politicians don’t really disagree with is an overcomplicated lie. This just means people are not free to express their opinions.
Sussex and Worcester Uni VC’s, the Guardian, U.N. HIgh Commissioner, Sir Two-Tier – dinner party from purgatory…
…Thank you Dr McG, got it – Right to Participate for self-appointed civic moral guardians forever stuck in the glib pieties of the student debating society.
Time to close the universities. Since they are unable to produce young people with “the skills we need” and so we have to import engineers, scientists, doctors, etc from the planet’s shitholes, they serve no purpose and are an unnecessary expense.