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What Pandemic? New Figures Reveal Age-Adjusted Mortality in the First Six Months of 2021 is Below the 10-year Average

by Will Jones
13 July 2021 4:57 PM

New figures from the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries (IFA) Mortality Monitor released today show that cumulative mortality in the first six months of 2021 in England and Wales is running 0.4% below the 10-year average, once adjusted for the size and age of the population (see above). This means, despite the surge in winter Covid deaths in January and February that spooked the country into accepting ongoing restrictions, 2021 is officially now a low mortality year. The low mortality since March has entirely cancelled out the initial spike.

The IFA used to report the cumulative age-adjusted mortality figures compared to the 10-year average each week, but controversially changed their baseline in their weekly reports in May from the 10-year average to 2019 (the lowest mortality year on record) just as 2021 was about to go below average. This means we have had to wait for the quarterly report today for the next update in order to be able to announce this milestone.

England and Wales (BMJ)

The past 10 years are the least deadly years in history (see above), so for 2021 to be below the 10-year average (so far) means it too is one of the least deadly years in history. Even the pandemic year of 2020 was one of the least deadly years, having lower age-adjusted mortality than every year before 2009. Not all of the additional deaths are from COVID-19, of course – many are due to lockdowns and other aspects of the Government’s response and the attendant panic.

The new figures raise the obvious question: how can the Government justify continuing with any kind of restrictions or emergency measures for a moment longer when overall mortality is so low? Where is the ’emergency’ that justifies extraordinary measures?

Some will say it is only the restrictions that have prevented things being much worse. But where is the evidence of that? The U.K. has had more Covid deaths per head of population than countries such as Sweden which had fewer restrictions, while U.S. states which had few or no restrictions over the winter fared no worse (and often better) than those which had the strictest measures. Numerous studies have shown no relationship between restrictions and COVID-19 death tolls.

The latest figures, placing 2021 squarely among the least deadly years in history, should leave no one in any doubt that the emergency is well and truly over.

Tags: Age-adjusted mortalityInstitute and Faculty of ActuariesMortality

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81 Comments
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steve_w
steve_w
4 years ago

at some point when anyone who dies has been vaccinated and all cause mortality is at record lows, they will finally have to admit that deaths are ‘with’ not ‘of’ covid

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Julian
Julian
4 years ago
Reply to  steve_w

Long covid, cases, variants, vaccine boosters, restrictions, figures only low because of vaccines, boosters, restrictions. All they need are some cases really and the rest can be concocted, and the cases can be concocted. I think they can keep this going for a few years at least. The international travel restrictions probably forever, and persecution of the unvaxxed.

71
-1
Mike Yeadon
Mike Yeadon
4 years ago
Reply to  Julian

I agree plus I think they’ll use booster vaccines to cull large numbers of people.

Don’t forget the Great Reset is coming. There’ll be a financial crisis.

Potentially if they need it, they can combine the above.

50
0
Sandra Barwick
Sandra Barwick
4 years ago
Reply to  Mike Yeadon

The vaccines for the very elderly and frail can already be used as a far more efficient Liverpool Care Pathway. We know the NHS loved that. They know, better than us, that rna injections of spike kill the weakest in the first 14 days.
“We’re so sorry about grandma, we tried to protect her from Covid, but it was too late.”
None of that messy stuff where relatives protested about grandma dying of dehydration, pleading for water.
Instead: “Thank you for all you angels did for Gran.”

8
0
Lockdown Sceptic
Lockdown Sceptic
4 years ago
Reply to  Sandra Barwick

France mandates vaccine passports for “non-essential” services
https://reclaimthenet.org/france-vaccine-passports-bookings/

Stand in South Hill Park Bracknell every Sunday from 10am meet fellow lockdown sceptics, keep yourself sane, make new friends and have a laugh.
Join our Stand in the Park – Bracknell – Telegram Group
http://t.me/astandintheparkbracknell

1
0
Maxine
Maxine
4 years ago
Reply to  Mike Yeadon

Given that I would assume that they would want healthy and malleable people to survive not the dissenters, is it not possible that they deliberately developed the leaky vaccine so that the only ones who survive are those who do submit to regular vaccination because the stronger mutations will kill the rest?

1
0
FrankFisher
FrankFisher
4 years ago
Reply to  steve_w

No they won’t. The media is totally on side and the censorship is total. They can rewrite history as they choose.

11
0
Sandra Barwick
Sandra Barwick
4 years ago
Reply to  steve_w

It’s like you never read 1984.

3
0
steve
steve
4 years ago
Reply to  steve_w

No they wont

1
0
LMS2
LMS2
4 years ago

The PTB aren’t interested in any of that. You can’t beat them with logic, when what they’re doing is not logical when considering all the facts that we know about the pandemic.
Which means there’s another motive that they’re not telling us about.

62
-1
godders
godders
4 years ago
Reply to  LMS2

Of course there’s another motive. Why else should all those political parrots be squawking the same ‘Build Back Better’ refrain originally tweeted by Klaus Schwab, architect of the WEF/UN/World Bank-backed ‘Great Reset’.

A little research is all it takes to identify the shamdemic as a meticulously planned and orchestrated psyop, designed to soften up the masses for the sucker punch of technocratic tyranny, aka the Fourth Industrial Revolution.

And boy, has it worked!

Do we really want to be “built back better” as a race of servile, state-dependent trans-human cyborgs, with our every thought and action monitored and remotely controlled (for our own safety and security of course)?

If not, better start pushing back hard against compulsory COVID jabs, vaccine ID certificates and the other tools of tyranny being turned against us by a clearly craven and traitorous political class.

Last edited 4 years ago by godders
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FrankFisher
FrankFisher
4 years ago
Reply to  godders

How?

1
0
Sandra Barwick
Sandra Barwick
4 years ago
Reply to  FrankFisher

Refuse, and take the consequences.

6
0
Julian
Julian
4 years ago

“the emergency is well and truly over.” Did it ever start?

90
0
RickH
RickH
4 years ago
Reply to  Julian

Answer : ‘No’.

.. and that was obvious from May 2020 for anybody who looked at the data – including that which showed that this massive ‘pandemic’ had never reached official epidemic proportions in the UK.

60
0
Julian
Julian
4 years ago
Reply to  RickH

Will Jones writes well and his piece has some strong words in it but I think it and many other LS ATL pieces still concede too much to the received stupidity that covid was exceptional.

If you concede there was an emergency then I think you’re lost because it’s now simply too easy to manufacture the appearance (to the brainwashed) of another one.

43
0
RickH
RickH
4 years ago
Reply to  Julian

Totally agree – again. 🙂

The bar chart absolutely nails it – particularly the lie that the government used to justify the vaccine peddling : that this was an ‘unprecedented’ event. Some lack of precedent – in your dreams, Johnson.

29
0
Mike Yeadon
Mike Yeadon
4 years ago
Reply to  Julian

Agree completely. And why lie, lie & lie?
This INCREASED deaths.
Why smear & censor people like me?
Because we expose their lies.

88
-1
Carrie Symonds
Carrie Symonds
4 years ago
Reply to  Mike Yeadon

Thank you for your truthfulness. It takes courage to speak out when in the public eye. Sceptics have been victimised. It is the King’s new suit of clothes syndrome by the media and general public.

42
0
Epi
Epi
4 years ago
Reply to  Mike Yeadon

Mr Yeadon you Sir are a top top man. I bow down to your courage, fortitude and your knowledge all of which are second to none. Thank you so so much for keeping me and I’m sure many many others sane and helping us through this continuing nightmare. Three cheers for Mike hip hip ……!

51
0
ChrisDinBristol
ChrisDinBristol
4 years ago
Reply to  Epi

Hurrah! Agree wholeheartedly, thenks very much for all you’re doing Mike, you are a beacon of truth in a fog of lies.

15
-1
Sandra Barwick
Sandra Barwick
4 years ago
Reply to  ChrisDinBristol

I see Francois Balloux attacking Yeadon. A shame, Balloux has a clear tug in the direction of truth, but he can’t quite find the courage to lose his job because of it.

4
0
steve_w
steve_w
4 years ago

“The latest figures, placing 2021 squarely among the least deadly years in history, should leave no one in any doubt that the emergency is well and truly over.”

I didn’t agree with lockdown #1 but I could understand the panic even if I didn’t share it – and understand the wish to have 3 weeks to flatten the curve. I didn’t agree with it because I don’t believe in suspending civil liberties. People will make their own decisions – for better or worse

But the emergency – by any measure – was over in April 2020. Most deaths in peak 1 were the government sending people into care homes – and we literally don’t know how many have died of lockdown ‘with’ covid or from vaccines on the vulnerable etc

I still think March 2020 was panic and everything since was arse-covering and group-think and inability to admit a mistake (even to themselves). But it has flushed out some bad actors. Nasty people like Michie – who I’m quite sure isn’t part of any conspiracy – she just wants people to suffer because she hates them

84
-1
CynicalRealist
CynicalRealist
4 years ago
Reply to  steve_w

This whole mess has been an opportunity for a lot of people with agendas to push them under the guise of ‘Beating the Virus’ – be those political agendas or financial agendas.

45
-1
steve_w
steve_w
4 years ago
Reply to  CynicalRealist

The British people should have told them to fuck off – but 90% were browbeaten by the most effective propaganda campaign ever waged.

70
0
ellie-em
ellie-em
4 years ago
Reply to  steve_w

I remember saying to my daughter when Johnson started talking last year – was it May, June, July – about the necessity of a life saving vaccine, that ‘the British public won’t fall for that nonsense…’
I’ve never been so wrong about something in my life!

31
0
Hugh
Hugh
4 years ago
Reply to  ellie-em

He talked about drugs and vaccines being the way out of this – I have the date somewhere – and was presumably later told by his party’s sponsors to stop so that they could flog their “vaccines” under “emergency” measures.

Thinking about it, more people really should be suspicious about this obsession with just one, highly profitable “solution”. “Why don’t they teach logic in these schools?”.

25
0
Epi
Epi
4 years ago
Reply to  Hugh

Common sense more like, trouble is it’s not very common.

7
0
annicx
annicx
4 years ago
Reply to  Hugh

Because we don’t want kids to think for themselves- they must be told what to believe, what is an ‘acceptable’ viewpoint, who to hate, etc. If they thought for themselves it would come crashing down in about 5 minutes.

8
0
Meltonian1
Meltonian1
4 years ago
Reply to  ellie-em

Most of us dissidents have seriously overestimated the qualities of people in Britain.

12
0
Epi
Epi
4 years ago
Reply to  steve_w

True again

2
0
Hugh
Hugh
4 years ago
Reply to  CynicalRealist

How about orthomolecular medicine for good health and to boost immunity? tellingly not one word from the government or msm.

Admittedly there is a story from the Mail (21/4/20) about vitamins D and C before they were (presumably) told to stop.

15
0
Epi
Epi
4 years ago
Reply to  CynicalRealist

True

3
0
MikeAustin
MikeAustin
4 years ago
Reply to  steve_w

Also, 28,000 deaths in peak 1 were carried over from 2019, which was a ‘good’ year.
I thought it was a mistake at first, then arse-covering for a few weeks, then the only reasonable conclusion was that there was a plan behind it. That view was triggered when masks were mandated in July, after the excess deaths had disappeared for a month or so.

48
0
steve_w
steve_w
4 years ago
Reply to  MikeAustin

I don’t hold the grand plan theory – but I freely admit that it is a position that has got harder to hold the longer this has gone on.

But what is the difference between a grand plan and lots of bad actors whose aims are aligned? Nobody needs to plan anything with Michie – she and others are loving this – they don’t need paying

27
0
peyrole
peyrole
4 years ago
Reply to  steve_w

I think we can have some confidence in Martin’s audit and be fairy sure ‘some bad actors’ saw the opportunity to get very rich on the back of creating a false pandemic, control of the discovery vehicle ( RT-PCR) and having enough influence within the media to create the start of a pysop.
Opportunistic moves have then been made by other players. The coordination of global media messaging has been placed in the hands of one US company by most of the western world’s governments. They have ramped up and up the psyop.
Silicon Valley players have seen the opportunity to force their AI increasingly on society; the green blob has played its hand to use the disruption to force through dreamed of plans; Big Finance has backed most of these players and waits to introduce its own cyber ‘world currency’ through the central banks.
The amount of Trillions of dollars to be made from this makes the bribes necessary to make politicians jump look miniscule.
And of course you are correct all the closet fascists, closet control freaks etc have taken the chance to grab their 5 minutes of fame.

14
0
RickH
RickH
4 years ago
Reply to  peyrole

I’m sure that significance seeking has been a major motivation on the ‘bad science’ front that is evidenced in SAGE etc., with their pathological determination to sustain a myth.

9
0
Epi
Epi
4 years ago
Reply to  peyrole

Oh what a tangled web we weave…..

3
0
MikeAustin
MikeAustin
4 years ago
Reply to  steve_w

My first thoughts about a plan was simply profiteering from vaccines. That is quite easy for people to accept. Pharmaceutical companies are know for being unscrupulous. However, if this were the plan, would it really be necessary to go for 100% of the population?
Because of the psyops, people are co-opted into helping this scam continue through virtue signalling. They are unwittingly following the narrative, honestly believing it is of their own reasoned choice. This, coupled with laziness, provides useful drones to prolong the nonsense.

18
0
Sandra Barwick
Sandra Barwick
4 years ago
Reply to  MikeAustin

Yes. At first it was just very clear that the “vaccines” were being pimped. Lies about natural immunity, denial of treatments – it was all about the stabs.
But then it became clear, because of the very risky massive push to include the pregnant and children, that there was another more important even than the “vaccines” – the signing up of everyone on the planet to a digital medical ID.

20
0
Mike Yeadon
Mike Yeadon
4 years ago
Reply to  Sandra Barwick

Quite, this is key. Multiple decisions have made which had the quite predictable effect of increasing avoidable deaths, eg lockdown & denial of healthcare.
Then the aggressive ‘vaccination’ with hopelessly inadequately tested agents.

Do recall they all chose to make spike protein the immunogen.

This wax an obviously reckless or stupid act.

Lying about variants, immune escape & actually manufacturing one billions doses of superfluous ‘variant vaccines’ about to be injected.

It’s a deception to herd us into VaxPass. And after that?

40
0
Mike Yeadon
Mike Yeadon
4 years ago
Reply to  steve_w

The pan global synchronisation of media messages is very obvious with the large number of TV stations in the US.
Also all medicines regulators ignored the same high quality evidence of drug efficacy wasn’t cooked up in a couple of quick Zoom calls.
Ditto the medical journals.
Finally the destruction of G29 economies is a pretty tough act tomorrow.

28
0
Sandra Barwick
Sandra Barwick
4 years ago
Reply to  Mike Yeadon

The only question is, is it CCP or Reset? Looking at Canada, and NZ, CCP.

2
0
Mike Yeadon
Mike Yeadon
4 years ago
Reply to  MikeAustin

Yes, that’s one of the ‘8 covid lies’.
I should add that as far as I can tell, there are no ‘covid19 truths’.

22
0
Sandra Barwick
Sandra Barwick
4 years ago
Reply to  steve_w

Sadly, it’s much worse than that.

5
0
Hugh
Hugh
4 years ago
Reply to  steve_w

Communist scum nasty? surely not!

2
0
annicx
annicx
4 years ago
Reply to  Hugh

But they are. All of them. Traitorous scum the lot of them. There can be no hiding place for those that want to make our children poor and enslave them.

5
0
Mike Yeadon
Mike Yeadon
4 years ago
Reply to  steve_w

No, sorry: out of the question.
You’re indulging in comforting falsehoods.

How can I be so sure? Because scores of countries dumped their perfectly good pandemic preparedness plans & adopted the “8 covid lies”, to which they’re adhering their this day.

It’s quite deliberate.
https://www.bitchute.com/video/8KLmLNzkVD2k/

25
0
Mark
Mark
4 years ago

That 2020 death toll, though..!

Took me right back to the disaster years of the early noughties, I can tell you. I was having flashbacks to my early childhood when death rates were even higher (I know you young’uns don’t believe me on this, but trust me, I was there). Death everywhere, bodies piling up in the streets and people cowering at home in fear of the Grim Reaper.

37
0
Rogerborg
Rogerborg
4 years ago
Reply to  Mark

And we were only just recovering from the Great BSE Burger Plague of the 90s, as predicted by Lord Sir Doctor Professor Neil Ferguson.

38
0
annicx
annicx
4 years ago
Reply to  Rogerborg

I’m still waiting to die from the mile thick sheet of ice that was going to cover Britain in the 70s, then I’m going to catch Aids, then I think it might be asbestos that gets me or is it eggs? Ooh- might be lead in petrol.

18
0
zners
zners
4 years ago

Have a feeling the next push is coming folks – stand your ground, DO not let them win. I believe the puppet masters had a meeting in an exclusive 5 star resort recently. Probably discussing what orders to dish out to Johnson and co.

Last edited 4 years ago by zners
34
0
Rogerborg
Rogerborg
4 years ago
Reply to  zners

It seems abundantly clear what they planned: Social Credit Score apps, for everyone, everywhere, forever, as per Emperor Macron’s tantrum today about them.

You’ll be astonished to hear that the English SCS app (the one that nobody was even contemplating creating until it sprung into existence, fully formed, from Matt Hancock’s sweaty, greasy brow) turns out to be compatible with the EU one that was also a dangerous fantasy until it was a great idea.

I’m guessing they’re both subsets of the CCP template.

32
0
Captain Detterling
Captain Detterling
4 years ago

Doesn’t this mean we’re laying up a solid store of ‘dry tinder,’ which will help generate added hysteria this winter?

Last edited 4 years ago by Captain Detterling
11
0
Rogerborg
Rogerborg
4 years ago

Er, if I’m righting this read, doesn’t including 2020 in the average years give 2021 a bit of an advantage?

Sure, I was stabbing you before, but now I’m only kicking you, stop complaining.

4
-2
Mark
Mark
4 years ago
Reply to  Rogerborg

2020 cancels out the record low year of 2019.

11
0
NonCompliant
NonCompliant
4 years ago

Statistics which go against the narrative do not count and should therefore be ignored.

12
0
iane
iane
4 years ago
Reply to  NonCompliant

Quite so – and, while considering this, ignore any spells of low temperature which are, of course, simply weather.

10
0
RickH
RickH
4 years ago

“ the surge in winter Covid deaths in January and February “

The late surge was more likely vaccine deaths. It’s the only explanation that makes sense.

30
-2
divoc origi 19
divoc origi 19
4 years ago
Reply to  RickH

Yeah but if that was true, then surely you would see the same surges in other countries when they started their own stabbing campaigns…. Wait… oh shit…

41
0
Mike Yeadon
Mike Yeadon
4 years ago
Reply to  divoc origi 19

Yes, and obviously a natural pattern of epidemic induced deaths would show regional fine shifts.
One induced by an intervention that used age as the guide to vaccination in all areas of the country at once would show an extraordinarily strong linkage by age & not by location
Deaths in E&W showed dramatic similarities by age & not by location
Oh dear.

23
0
Marcus Aurelius knew
Marcus Aurelius knew
4 years ago

Will, when facts start to matter, LockdownSceptics will be popular.

Until then, crickets.

Run away.

Start the new New World.

That’s our plan.

The West is f*cked.

9
0
Hugh
Hugh
4 years ago

SCAMDEMIC

just my opinion. I suppose this story will be on newspaper front pages tomorrow, won’t it? won’t it?

8
0
babsiep
babsiep
4 years ago

Johnson is going for ” the best of three”- dragging “with Covid” mortality down to a three year average- and at the same time “proving” his Lockdown works. All for the benefit of the world stage.

4
0
Ruth Learner
Ruth Learner
4 years ago

Either the entire establishment (political, corporate) has been taken over by aliens or this has had very little to do with a pandemic – you be the judge

5
0
Epi
Epi
4 years ago

Oh quelle surprise – it’s a con. 🤔

5
0
JohnK
JohnK
4 years ago

And the obvious (to the sane) corollary is that ‘emergency use authorisation’ for certain products is invalid now, and maybe never was. It has been used to step aside from the normal protocol for assessing new items in pharmacology.

10
0
Zoomer@14
Zoomer@14
4 years ago

But the majority will still insist we’re in a pandemic, scuttling around with masks on…The ‘belief’ has been driven so far in the brain, there maybe no return for them.

8
0
Jez Hewitt
Jez Hewitt
4 years ago
Reply to  Zoomer@14

Those Italian hospital photos back in Jan/Feb 2020 were a master stroke. I’ve run out of fingers and toes to count the times I’ve had that thrown back at me.

No return, no surrender.

3
0
annicx
annicx
4 years ago
Reply to  Jez Hewitt

I’ve had that too and I just ask them what it proves, other than that old people sometimes die after catching a nasty virus. No one has given me an answer that proves that lockdowns are necessary or that they do any good. I’ve also been called a monster, (hysteria sandwich anyone?), for asking, as if doing something useless and wasteful was better than doing nothing, because at least this proves that you care. It’s like living in a 3D soap opera.

1
0
RTSC
RTSC
4 years ago

For a majority of the population fear trumps fact. Plus the sheeple don’t know and aren’t interested in the facts.
The Globalists who are orchestrating this Planned-demic are in control and they are never going to declare “emergency over.”
Welcome to their Brave New World.

5
0
Meltonian1
Meltonian1
4 years ago

Most people in England have been poorly educated and neither hear, nor want to hear, the anti-restrictions argument. I was in a pub yesterday and there were complaints about children sent home, schools closed etc. But they were discussing it as if it was the weather. I think that 95% of the population just sucked the virus ‘news’ up last March and then closed their minds. You could show this graph to them (I have tried it) and their eyes glaze over. The turkeys truly vote for Christmas!

12
0
Sandra Barwick
Sandra Barwick
4 years ago
Reply to  Meltonian1

Keep telling them it’s a massive pharma rip off. Like Nigerian princes. They can get that, and it’s also true. Don’t complicate things.

1
0
SAGE LIARS
SAGE LIARS
4 years ago

If Excess Mortality had still been the criteria for calling a Pandemic, instead of the utterly fraudulent Excess ‘cases’ that was introduced by the corrupt to the core WHO, then there was never a pandemic in the first place!!!………Hence the evil clown Tedros was calling for test test test!!!

8
0
Glodzie
Glodzie
4 years ago

We all know this data by now. Thought I would look at by season instead of calendar year
2019-20 AND 2020-21 were completely unexceptional. The exception was 2018-19.

Mortality by Season.jpg
3
0
Greyjaybee
Greyjaybee
4 years ago

But what about vaccine harms going forward. I hate to think what charts such as this will look like in 18 months time.

Last edited 4 years ago by Greyjaybee
4
-1
Burlington
Burlington
4 years ago

This may well have been posted before. I make no apologies for re-posting it!
I hope that a few more will take the time to watch it and think about what he is saying.
https://rumble.com/vd6jjp-david-martin-full-interview-planet-lockdown.html

6
0
Bella Donna
Bella Donna
4 years ago

Truth doesn’t matter to this government they’d prefer to follow Neil Ferguson.

5
0
Edumacated eejit
Edumacated eejit
4 years ago

I am against the LD but Will Jones is being a bit disingenuous by not drawing attention to the fact that the highish levels in 2020 have pushed up the 10-year average. It doesn’t change his conclusion that the first half of 2021 is below the decade average but the distortion to the average caused by 2020 merited a note. We must not give the lockdowners any chink for them to exploit.

6
0
Lockdown Sceptic
Lockdown Sceptic
4 years ago

France mandates vaccine passports for “non-essential” services
https://reclaimthenet.org/france-vaccine-passports-bookings/

Stand in South Hill Park Bracknell every Sunday from 10am meet fellow lockdown sceptics, keep yourself sane, make new friends and have a laugh.
Join our Stand in the Park – Bracknell – Telegram Group
http://t.me/astandintheparkbracknell

1
0
JohnnyDollar
JohnnyDollar
4 years ago

Say it Will….. It’s NOT about a Virus is it? never was was it???

1
0

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