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Just Three Out of Britain’s 15 Indian Variant Hotspots Are Seeing a Rise in Covid Infection Rates

by Michael Curzon
21 May 2021 10:16 AM

Fears about how quickly the Indian Covid variant spreads seem to have been overplayed as new data shows that 12 out of 15 variant “hotspots” in Britain are not seeing a rise in Covid infection rates. Boris is clearly right about the “gloom” having been overdone, so why the continued calls for tougher restrictions? The Times has more.

Cases in over 60s are not rising in any of the [“hotspot”] areas currently subject to surge testing outside Bolton, in what is being seen as an encouraging sign that the vaccines are protecting the most vulnerable.

Updated figures yesterday showed 3,424 known cases of the B.1.617.2 variant, up 15% on yesterday. But Boris Johnson has become more confident that the end of restrictions can remain on track as emerging data suggests that the strain is unlikely to be 50% more transmissible than the Kent variant…

Officials stress that efforts to assess the spread of the Indian variant are still preliminary, with firmer numbers not expected until next week. One member of SAGE said yesterday he was “very concerned” that the country was at the start of a third wave of Covid…

However, ministers have been cautiously encouraged that while cases have taken off in Bolton, other hotspot areas are not rising as fast. Ten per cent of all U.K. cases reported yesterday were in Bolton, where rates are seven times higher than a month ago at over 300 per 100,000. The increase in Blackburn is half of that, while Bedford is the only other area subject to surge testing where rates are clearly rising. All three areas have rates over 100 per 100,000.

Infections in Hillingdon, Hackney, Kensington, Kirklees, Leicester, Nuneaton, Redbridge and Redditch are flat or possibly falling, while in Burnley, Sefton, Hounslow and North Tyneside there are signs that cases might be starting to rise, but trends are not yet clear, with all having rates below 100 per 100,000.

Worth reading in full.

Tags: Indian variantInfectionVariants

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22 Comments
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RickH
RickH
4 years ago

What the f. is this site doing? Once again we have the puppet-like repetition of the lexicon of ‘infections’ and ‘cases’ : aka ‘casedemic’ language that is at the root of so much misery, unrelated to illness.

“If you concede the language, you concede the argument”

Remember it. Absorb it. And get a bit sceptical and critical in analysis.

59
-1
Rogerborg
Rogerborg
4 years ago
Reply to  RickH

This, a million times this. Orwell knew this, he even spelled it out.

Even gov.uk concedes that their “cases” are actually just people tested positive. We’re grinding and bumping along at the false positive rate now.
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases

15
0
George Mc
George Mc
4 years ago
Reply to  RickH

Quite right. Even if the PCR tests were accurate, the diagnosis of “asymptomatic” infection is a newfangled term for that quaint old “immune”.

8
0
Lockdown Sceptic
Lockdown Sceptic
4 years ago
Reply to  RickH

You should have seen Fraser Nelson in the Telegraph:

“Good old Boris is desperately fighting to end all restrictions but nasty Mr Gove all those nasty people at SAGE keep stopping him”

DR MIKE YEADON | FULL SPEECH | CANTERBURY FREEDOM RALLY | MAY 2021 You MUST WATCH and not listen to Neil Ferguson

https://odysee.com/@FwapUK:1/mike:9

1
0
Spikedee1
Spikedee1
4 years ago
Reply to  RickH

Yes so true. And who gives a fuck about if someone tests positive. That is not the driver. How many people are ill in hospital? How many dead? Nothing else is an issue. The ONLY thing was to save the shit nhs. Until we burn down the msm and bbc this carries on. This is just fear porn to get the bame people to accept the experimental gene therapy. But why the fuck is this site reporting this like its important. WAKE UP FFS!!

6
0
Norman
Norman
4 years ago

It is mainly kids showing as positives as a result of the increased schools testing. The question that needs answering is how many of these are symptomatic

20
0
Annie
Annie
4 years ago
Reply to  Norman

Probably none. Sick people and corpse counts are out just now. The numbers aren’t large enough to be frightening. The meaningless ‘cases’ can be turned up and down like toaster settings, depending how much fear the Fascists want to instil in the zombies.

30
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Rogerborg
Rogerborg
4 years ago
Reply to  Norman

Essentially none, we’re grinding along at under 0.2% positive test rate now, they keep having to drop the estimates of the false positive rate for both PCR and the lateral flow coin-flips.

https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/testing
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases

3
0
peyrole
peyrole
4 years ago

Until the RT-PCR test and all its derivatives are legally over-turned for accuracy in identifying real illnesses this sort of thing will keep happening. Its just easy to create a new ‘crisis’, and use it to turn up the volume of the psyop.

22
0
arfurmo
arfurmo
4 years ago

Worth reading in full if you have a Times subscription

3
0
cloud6
cloud6
4 years ago

They have a plan, if this variant does not work they will invent a new one

Baldrick: “I have a plan, sir.”Blackadder: “Really, Baldrick? A cunning and subtle one?”Baldrick: “Yes, sir.”Blackadder: “As cunning as a fox who’s just been appointed Professor of Cunning at Oxford University?”

15
0
Mayo
Mayo
4 years ago

While I understand the dismissal of the variant narrative, I suspect there is genuine concern about how the virus is mutating. Remember the vaccines only recognise the spike protein part of the virus and it’s here that the mutations appear to be concentrated.

I’m far from an expert on this, but I’ve watched a few videos in which several well cited scientists have given reasons why they expect immune escape sooner rather than later.

One of these is obviously Geert Vanden Bossche but, to be honest, I prefer not to think about the scenario he describes.

5
-2
Rogerborg
Rogerborg
4 years ago
Reply to  Mayo

First, vaccines don’t “recognise” anything. Do you believe that they somehow hang around doing guard duty? Language matters.

Second, Nobel virology laureate Professor Luc Montagnier has joined Mike Yeadon in asserting that vaccination in the middle of an epidemic creates variants: https://rairfoundation.com/bombshell-nobel-prize-winner-reveals-covid-vaccine-is-creating-variants.

If we were truly concerned about variants, we should have vaccinated only those who absolutely needed it.

8
0
Catee
Catee
4 years ago

“Fears about how quickly the Indian Covid variant spreads seem to have been overplayed….”
No shit Sherlock.

11
0
MTF
MTF
4 years ago

 there are signs that cases might be starting to rise, but trends are not yet clear, 

In the Times report.

Becomes  not seeing a rise in the LDS article.

2
-15
iane
iane
4 years ago
Reply to  MTF

If case numbers actually were rising, you can be absolutely certain that the Times article would have said so!

5
0
swedenborg
swedenborg
4 years ago
Reply to  MTF

The important thing is testpositive percenatge.As far as I have heard that this has not gone up but being stable perhaps going down in Bolton..Any increase in cases can be attributed to more testing.Test positivity is the most important factor

1
0
MechEng
MechEng
4 years ago

Attached, my latest homemade graphs for Bolton, Blackburn, Bedford and Sefton updated shortly after 4pm today, don’t trust them, I could be completely wrong. My values for the population of each area may be out too, but hopefully the trends are about right. I think testing has increased in most of these areas recently. The black line is my attempt to adjust cases taking into account number of tests and % positive. I’m calculating R (orange line) from my adjusted cases line (ratio of cases +/- 3 days). Because of the way my method works I’ve only been able to calculate R up to about the 10th May and we’re 11 days on from that now and we’re about 8 days on from my adjusted cases lines.

BoltBedBlacksef01.jpg
0
0
Matt Dalby
Matt Dalby
4 years ago

Apparently it should no longer be called the Indian variant, probably because this is racist.
According to a story in the Express “Dear Leader” Sturgeon refered to it as the April-02 variant, although no explanation was given for why she did so.

0
0
Lockdown Sceptic
Lockdown Sceptic
4 years ago

NHS Test & Trace App updated to a Chinese Style Social Credit System
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QCiC1oqbQMA

Anti Lockdown Newspaper: https://thelightpaper.co.uk/
Stand in South Hill Park Bracknell every Sunday 10am meet fellow lockdown sceptics

1
0
Epi
Epi
4 years ago

This all just bluster, baloney and bollocks. Scaremongering rubbish -anyone who takes this sh1t seriously any longer needs carting off to the nearest looney bin. Period.

2
0
vote-for-nobody
vote-for-nobody
4 years ago

Test Test Test – Case Case Case. And what? The only thing that matters (as ever) is whether serious or semi-serious hospital admissions from GENUINE cases are an issue.

0
0

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