The New Net Zero Resistance is Doomed to Fail
4 October 2024
by Ben Pile
News Round-Up
4 October 2024
In August, modellers predicted a third wave in India peaking around now that has wholly failed to appear. Has any model yet succeeded in predicting the course of the pandemic?
Councils in some variant "hotspots" are telling 16 and 17 year-olds to get a Covid vaccine, without the need of an appointment, despite there not having been an official decision on child vaccination from the Government.
Only those who are fully vaccinated against Covid will be able to enjoy indoor hospitality when it finally reopens in Ireland. People who have received one dose, or who are unvaccinated, will be forced to stay outside.
When the infectiousness (secondary attack rate) of the Delta variant over time is plotted against that of other variants it becomes clear that claims it is hyper-transmissible make no sense.
A member of the Government's NERVTAG advisory group says "there’s a very strong argument" for vaccinating children against Covid, largely due to the prevalence of Covid variants.
The modellers of doom are at it again, with Neil Ferguson predicting a big summer wave based on the Indian variant being 60% more infectious. But if that is so, why is it not taking over everywhere?
An NHS leader says that the number of positive tests alone does not tell the full story: "It is a much younger population that is coming in ." They are less vulnerable and easier to treat.
People living in Greater Manchester and Lancashire are now advised to "minimise travel" due to the Indian variant, though Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham has told locals not to cancel trips because of the new guidelines.
Matt Hancock told MPs that 1% of Indian variant cases (126 of 12,383) were hospitalised. That compares to 2% with the British variant over the winter peak, suggesting the scariant is nothing to fear.
The number of patients needing hospital treatment for Covid continues to fall in the former Indian variant "hotspot" Bolton, as the PM says "there is still nothing in the data" to suggest lockdown should be extended.
© Skeptics Ltd.