We’re publishing a new piece by Dr Noah Carl today, this time one looking at ‘Focused Protection’, the strategy recommended in the Great Barrington Declaration. Noah thinks it would have resulted in fewer deaths than locking everybody down. Here’s an extract:
At any point during the pandemic, deciding which measures to implement represents a trade-off between their effects on the epidemic’s trajectory and their effects on society at large. Measures that substantially reduce cases or deaths, while having only a small impact on society, are worth putting in place. By contrast, those that barely reduce cases or deaths, while having a large impact on society, are best avoided. Mounting evidence indicates that measures like stay-at-home orders and closures of non-essential businesses are of the latter kind; they have large costs and relatively small benefits. In just the past week, two new studies casting doubt on the efficacy of lockdowns have been published. Vincent Chin and colleagues analysed data from 14 European countries, and found that “lockdown had no consistent impact”. Likewise, Christopher Berry and colleagues examined shelter-in-place orders in the United States, but did “not find detectable effects of these policies on disease spread or deaths”.
However, this is not to say there aren’t any restrictions worth implementing. One measure whose efficacy is supported by a number of studies, and which makes sense intuitively, is restricting large gatherings. For example, Vincent Chin and colleagues found in one of their analyses that “the simple banning of public events was beneficial”. Nicolas Banholzer and colleagues have reported a similar finding. In an unpublished study, they compared the impact of different non-pharmaceutical interventions, and found that “event bans were most effective… whereas stay-at-home orders and work bans were least effective”. Another measure that makes a great deal of sense is telling symptomatic individuals to self-isolate at home.
Worth reading in full.
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still can’t see europe’s third wave
https://euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/
It’s the wave saying goodbye to freedom
Yes – and it has to be borne in mind that the Euromomo graphing dies tend to exaggerate in certain cases.
It would help if all the graphs used the same vertical scaling
it would also be better if the countries used total deaths rather than their ludicrous Z-score
As an ungrateful child in late 60’s refusing to eat all of my dinner mum would say
‘There are plenty of starving children in Pakistan who would be thankful to have that to eat’*
“So fine put it in a bag and send it to them !”
‘You wait till your father gets home’.
(* Film of famine and starvation from the Sub Continent was a staple of TV news in the 60’s.)
If the Dutch authorities are so certain that the AstraZeneca vaccine is safe they could, with a clear concience, donate those 11 million doses to India in her hour of need.
If it was the late 60s wouldn’t the rhetorical starving children more likely have been Biafran?
‘There are plenty of starving children in Pakistan who would be thankful to have that to eat’*
Same for me and my brother, though Biafran He used to say, “name one”. ;-))
Puts all the fuss the EU made about getting supplies of AZ instead of UK rather into perspective.
The EU is STILL making a fuss, and has today formally taken legal steps to sue AZ.
https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/european-commission-sues-astrazeneca-over-vaccine-supplies-shortfall-973007?ITO=newsnow
The author: …. incidents of clotting “believed to have stunted the confidence” in vaccines. Stunt… as if confidence growing after such incidents would be a natural and good thing.
“incidence of clotting believed to have stunted the confidence . . .”
Trans =
“ramped up the hostility toward vaccines”.
‘
Interesting reports of tinnitus in a minority after jabs. Not clear if it goes away yet. Tinnitus is also reported in a minority with Covid, It seems as though those spike proteins are capable of creating damage all on their own – those with mild or intermittent tinnitus should probably add this to the list of risk as they weigh up the pros and cons.
The big question is, are the new experimental vaccine treatments causing life-altering effects in the young that Covid does not in that age group?
The only country I trust to look dispassionately and carefully at this is Norway.
Clownworld:
The Dutch would be doing the world a favour if they dumped the poison in a hazardous waste pit.
If the AstraZeneca vaccines are not going to be used, shouldn’t they be donated to the Covax programme?
How utterly fraudulent and deceptive this official Dutch explanation. The reality is that the over-sixties declined the vaccine at an unimaginable rate (the Dutch press actually reported this lamely and the percentage of rejections is claimed to be 40% which means it probably was near 60-70%) and hence there is this surplus. It has nothing to do with other vaccines becoming available….these will be declined too. The over-sixties were the last generation in this country who were actually taught how to think for themselves and are hence highly skeptical about attempts at enforced mass inoculation with an experimental gene-therapy the long term effects of which are unknown. This skepticism is not confined to particular brands.