A King’s College London epidemiologist has said that Britain’s “exemplar vaccine programme” – which has seen almost 40 million first and second doses administered – is behind the drop in Covid cases since January. Professor Tim Spector’s view contrasts with that of the Prime Minister who believes lockdown – not the vaccine – has delivered “this improvement in the pandemic“. The Mail has the story.
Vaccines are behind Britain’s sharp drop in coronavirus cases since January, top experts claimed today – despite Boris Johnson insisting lockdown was the reason for the fall.
Professor Tim Spector, a King’s College London epidemiologist who runs the UK’s largest Covid symptom tracking study, said the epidemic had “mainly” been squashed by the “exemplar vaccine programme”.
With more than 60% of the population jabbed with at least one dose and up to 10% protected due to prior infection, Professor Spector added Britain was “starting to see herd immunity take effect”.
His comments come after data from his symptom-tracking app showed a 17% drop in daily cases last week, with an estimated 1,600 new symptomatic infections a day across the country – down from 60,000 at the peak in January.
Separate Test and Trace figures showed new cases in England had dipped by 34% last week, with 19,196 positive tests recorded in the seven days to April 7th – compared to 29,178 at the end of March.
Professor Spector said: “As the UK slowly exits lockdown, I’m encouraged to see Covid cases continue to fall with our rates among the lowest in Europe.
“In fact, the UK closely mirrors cases in Israel with its exemplar vaccine programme. Based on our data and countries like Israel, I believe the fall in cases since January is mainly thanks to the vaccination programme and less about the strict lockdown the UK has been under since late December.
“With up to 60% of the population vaccinated and around five to 10% with natural immunity due to infection, we’re starting to see herd immunity take effect. This should prevent future large-scale outbreaks.”
Professor Spector warned it was inevitable cases would pick up again as restrictions are eased over the coming months. But he said any outbreaks would be “smaller” and “manageable” and among groups yet to be vaccinated.
The Prime Minister has been underplaying the impact of the vaccine for some weeks. As well as pinning the fall in Covid cases on lockdown rather than on the vaccine rollout, he recently said that vaccinated people must not meet indoors because jabs “are not giving 100% protection” – this despite the fact that the risk of catching a symptomatic Covid infection for two people who have been vaccinated is about one in 400,000. His confidence in lockdowns has, however, stood firm, despite an increasing number of studies showing they’re ineffective.
The report by the Mail is worth reading in full.
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Chris Boardman wtf ! Two F- – – ing Billion pounds !!… To do what ? That’s enough money for him to go to every car owner & confiscate their car keys ! Must be another loan off uncle Klaus !!
I mentioned yesterday that it was a shame that following the introduction of “pay to comment” here we had lost some of our most prolific and valuable commenters.
While £5 is a very low barrier to commenting, especially given the huge value this website brings, and I don’t blame the DS for introducing a charge – the authors atl have to make a living and hosting websites professionally costs money – I also don’t blame those whose comments might make them “a bloody menace” in the eyes of the authorities and have therefore chosen not to pay up.
Requiring payment removes anonymity – we need to provide real life banking details which allow someone to be traced fairly easily if the authorites are determined enough.
People might call me a conspiracy theorist to think that – but if so, just look at what has happened to the level of authoritarianism in this country over the last two years, and look at the trend towards removing anonymity more widely on the internet, and the desire the authorities have to label pretty much anything said on the internet which upsets someone to become a criminal offence.
..you could be right, but I’m sticking with Edward Dowd…’either we win or it’s the Gulag’…..I’m not trying to sound glib, but I think I decided a while ago that I’d stick my colours to the mast and be damned!
Even Mr Gum, the ‘quiet half’ told a neighbour who was complaining about catching Convid…again, that she could expect to catch it a lot more if she carried on getting stabbed!!
We are ‘out’ and I don’t think we have any intention of going back ‘in’….
Yes I feel the same way now and am now posting under my own name on Twitter. It’s time to put heads above parapets!
Yes…I don’t start anything, but for months now I’ve been making comments if people start with the Covibollocks…masks, lockdown, jabs etc..and thanks to Sceptics both ABL and BTL, I’m pretty full of knowledgable stuff!……and I don’t give a stuff if they think I’m nuts.
funnily enough most of them are coming around to the fact that they’ve been conned…well plenty I know are…
It is not the amount of money, I have donated and presumably have done so enough to still be allowed to comment. It is somehow the concept of pay to comment and the fact that I generally avoid all regular subscription payments unless I cannot avoid them. I will probably donate again at some stage but will not sign up to a monthly account and so on the basis that I might be struck off at any moment I tend to do more of my discussions on the Reddit site.
More dramatic birthrate declines, this time Sweden.
https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/swedens-birth-rate-dropping-precipitiously
The cat already had a closer look at it. No Bueno. https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/swedish-birth-rate-data-what-does
Thanks. The fact that it is consistent with data from several other countries points to it being genuinely worrisome.
Fish with growths and lesions. And how do they know it’s not caused by pollution?
Chris Boardman and 2 billion quid! Is that a misprint? It’s all very well encouraging motorists out of their cars, but if I want to do my weekly shop I have no choice but to drive. It’s a 20 mile round trip to the nearest big supermarket and, in common with large swathes of this country, there is NO public transport at all. Some villages that did have a decent service have found them cut massively (mostly by Stagecoach, it has to be said) or amalgamated routes so they have become useless and time consuming.
The government would do better giving the money to certain supermarkets so they can reinstate their shoppers buses. These were very popular and many people in this village were distraught when Tesco withdrew theirs.
…yes, so much is London centric….they forget what it’s like for the rest of us. I live only three miles from the nearest ‘busy’ town, I can’t get a bus after 5 p.m !!
And I’m surrounded by freaking giant hills….
2 very good reads:
https://markoshinskie8de.substack.com/p/coronamania-and-liking-america-less
https://charleseisenstein.substack.com/p/pandemania-part-1?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
‘We have to drive a lot less’, says Chris Boardman, the PM’s new travel tsar”
Why?
“We” usually actually means “You” in these situations.
On yer bike Boardman.
…exactly! Because if you don’t you’re selfish..you’re killing Polar Bears…you’re selfish if you don’t wear a mask, get jabbed, you’re selfish if you don’t stop eating meat…same if you forget my pronoun, blah! Fu****g blah!
I am sick to the teeth of being battered with this crap, and I suspect the majority feel the same…..they won’t be happy until we live in caves grubbing for worms….
Thank God for the occasional rebels….they give us all hope….
https://petersweden.substack.com/p/farmer-protest
VIDEO: Dutch farmers spray manure on town hall in protest of climate plans
Cheers e by.
https://brownstone.org/articles/are-the-covid-mrna-vaccines-safe/
Kulldorff on the Fraiman study.
For most, the risk/benefit ratio of them is negative.
Pandemic logic
Covid is a multi system disease affecting your heart, lungs, brain and all major organs.
That’s why most people who get an infection show little to no signs of such damage.
A deep dive into the history of the organisation orchestrating the lies, manipulation & cull.
Challenges everything one has been taught & values one has held.
https://crazzfiles.com/the-khazarian-mafia/
Heavy stuff ! It’s dated two years ago so will anything change , will Snowden’s info come out
The Government appear to have released some early papers from SPI-M-O
this one from 3/2/2020….
“This is SPI-M-O’s statement on the possible impact that potential interventions could have in delaying the spread of a UK epidemic of 2019-nCoV, were there to be widespread outbreaks in other countries. SPI-M-O were asked to consider whether any combination of these interventions would be expected to delay the start of a UK pandemic (or its peak) by a month.
SPI-M-O’s view was the impact of any intervention would be highly dependent on the patterns of transmissibility.”
interesting to note a couple of things….
on school closures they conclude…
…. mass school closures could increase the overall attack rate if done at the wrong time.
Mass school closures have a large cost in terms of parental absenteeism as well as foregone education.
and on masks….
The wearing of facemasks by the general population is unlikely to meaningfully reduce transmission.
hmm….