Governments concerned about Covid misinformation should start with their own lies and distortions, Indiana’s Attorney General has told the U.S. Government. In a submission to the U.S. Surgeon General, who had requested information on the impact of online health misinformation during the pandemic in the United States, Todd Rokita joined with leading scientists Dr. Jay Bhattacharya and Dr. Martin Kulldorff to set out nine examples of disinformation propagated by the CDC and other health organisations that have “shattered the public’s trust in science and public health and will take decades to repair”. Read their full submission below.
May 2nd 2022
Agency: Department of Health and Human Services, Office of the Surgeon General
Action: Request for Information (RFI)
Subject: Impact of Health Misinformation in the Digital Information Environment in the United States Throughout the COVID-19 Pandemic
Response: COVID-19 Misinformation from Official Sources During the Pandemic
Submitting parties: Todd Rokita, Indiana Attorney General; Dr. Jay Bhattacharya, Professor at Stanford University School of Medicine; and Dr. Kulldorff, Senior Research Fellow at the Brownstone Institute and former Professor at Harvard University School of Medicine.
The Office of the Surgeon General requested information on the prevalence of health misinformation during the COVID-19 pandemic and the impact of such misinformation on the U.S. public health system in order to be better prepared to respond to a future public health crisis.
We agree that misinformation has been a major problem during the pandemic. The spread of inaccurate scientific information has made it difficult for the public to make the right decisions to protect themselves, their families, and their communities from COVID-19 and the collateral public health damage arising from the pandemic countermeasures. As such, the disinformation has led to great harm in the lives and livelihoods of Americans. We submit the following examples of disinformation from the CDC and other health organisations that have shattered the public’s trust in science and public health and will take decades to repair.
#1 Overcounting COVID-19: The official CDC numbers for COVID-19 deaths and hospitalisations are inaccurate. The official tallies include many people who have died with rather than from COVID-19. CDC has not distinguished deaths where COVID-19 was the primary cause of death, where COVID-19 was a contributing cause of death, or where the death was entirely unrelated to COVID-19, but they incidentally tested positive.
There are three reasons for this problem. (i) The counting of COVID-19 cases and deaths is unlike the way that public health counts the incidence and mortality caused by other diseases; physicians have been advised to fill out death certificates to privilege COVID-19 as a proximal cause, even when the medical facts suggest otherwise. (ii) The population-wide testing to identify asymptomatic individuals infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus is unprecedented in human history. (iii) Although it would have been easy, CDC has not conducted random national surveys of medical charts to determine what proportion of reported COVID-19 deaths were truly due to COVID-19. Ex-post audits of death certificates and medical records in Santa Clara County and Alameda County, California, for instance, found that in around 25% of death certificates in which COVID-19 was labelled as the primary cause of death, other causes of death were more likely. The peer-reviewed literature confirms that COVID-19 is overcounted in other developed countries. Ex post audits of death certificates should be conducted to establish an accurate death count from COVID-19.
#2 Questioning Natural Immunity: There has been consistent questioning and denying of natural immunity after COVID-19 recovery. Using seriously flawed studies, CDC falsely claimed that natural immunity is worse than vaccine acquired immunity. In October 2020, the CDC director published a “memorandum” in the Lancet, questioning natural immunity. Most critically, by mandating vaccination for people who have recovered from COVID-19, the Government, corporations, and universities de facto deny natural immunity.
For scientists, this has been the most surprising disinformation. We have known about natural immunity since the Athenian Plague in 430 BC; other coronaviruses generate natural immunity; and throughout the pandemic, we knew that the COVID-19 recovered have good natural immunity if and when they get exposed the next time. That is, six months after the start of the pandemic, we had epidemiological evidence that natural immunity lasts at least six months; a year into the pandemic, we knew that natural immunity lasted at least one year, and so on.
#3 COVID-19 Vaccines Prevent Transmission: The CDC director and other health officials falsely claimed that the COVID-19 vaccine prevents the transmission of COVID-19 to others. This was also the rationale for vaccine mandates and passports – to prevent the spread of the virus to others. At the time, we did not know, and it turned out to be wrong. When the COVID-19 vaccines were approved for emergency use, the manufacturers presented randomised controlled trials (RCTs) that showed that the vaccines reduced symptomatic disease. The trials were not designed to determine whether they could also limit transmission or prevent death, even though they could have been designed to do so. As it turned out, vaccinated individuals spread the disease to others. While it was unfortunate that the RCTs were not designed to answer the disease transmission question, it is irresponsible for public health officials to claim that they did when the RCTs did not even attempt to answer that question.
#4 School Closures Were Effective and Costless: In the United States, most schools were closed for in-person teaching for some time, and many schools were closed for over a year. This decision was based on false claims that it would protect children, teachers and the community at large. Already in the early summer of 2020, we knew this was false. Sweden was the only major Western country to keep schools open throughout spring 2020 without masks, social distancing, or testing. Among these 1.8 million children ages one to 15, there were zero COVID-19 deaths, only a few hospitalisations, and teachers did not have a higher COVID-19 risk than the average of other professions.
Moreover, while older people living with a working-age adult had a higher COVID-19 risk, there was no evidence that also living with a child increased that risk further. In a July 2020 New England Journal of Medicine article evaluating school closures, they did not mention the Swedish data and evidence, which is like evaluating a new drug without including data from the placebo comparison group. Despite clear evidence on the safety of keeping schools open, misinformation led to many schools being closed for over one year.
#5 Everyone is equally at risk of hospitalisation and death from COVID-19 infection: Though public health messaging has blunted this fact, there is more than a thousand-fold difference in the risk of hospitalisation and death for the old relative to the young. Though the risk of death is high for the old and some other vulnerable populations with severe chronic illness, the risk posed to children from COVID-19 infection is on par with the risk posed by a bad influenza season. Surveys indicate, however, that both old and young overestimate the risk of death from COVID-19 infection. This misperception about risk is harmful because it leads to demand for policies – such as school closures and lockdowns – that were themselves harmful.
#6 There was no reasonable policy alternative to lockdowns: Even from the beginning of the pandemic, the sharp age-gradient in the risk of severe disease on COVID-19 infection has provided an alternative to the lockdown-focused policies that many U.S. states adopted – focused protection of the aged and otherwise vulnerable. In October 2020, along with Prof. Sunetra Gupta of Oxford University, we wrote the Great Barrington Declaration – a public petition that proposed heightened measures to protect the vulnerable and a return to near-normal life for the less vulnerable (including the opening of schools). Tens of thousands of doctors and scientists signed the Declaration in opposition to lockdowns. In the Declaration itself and in supporting documents, we offered many concrete policy suggestions for better protecting the vulnerable, including reduced staff rotations in nursing homes, free home delivery of groceries and other essentials offered to older people living in the community, paid sabbatical leave or alternative work arrangements for older workers, and many other policy options. We also invited the public health community to join in thinking creatively about other ideas to protect the vulnerable. As subsequent research has confirmed, it was clear even at the time that lockdowns could not protect the vulnerable (nearly 80% of COVID-19 deaths have occurred among the elderly in the U.S.). Meanwhile, countries like Sweden, which did not implement lockdowns, have had near-zero overall excess death over the last two years of the pandemic. Lockdowns are an aberration– a sharp deviation from traditional public health management of respiratory epidemics – and a catastrophic failure of public health policy.
#7 Mask mandates are effective in reducing the spread of viral infectious diseases: Contrary to assertions by some public health officials, mask mandates have not been effective in protecting most populations against COVID-19 risk. The SARS-CoV-2 virus spreads by aerosolisation. Unlike larger viral droplets, which are pulled by gravity to the ground shortly after emission, aerosols are tiny particles that can persist in the air for extended periods. Aerosols escape through gaps of poorly fitted masks, greatly reducing their ability to stop disease spread. Cloth masks, in particular, cannot stop aerosols, and even well-fitted N95 masks have diminished capacity to stop viral transmission when they become moist from breathing. It is thus unsurprising that the highest quality evidence available – randomised trials – conducted both before and during the pandemic find that masks are ineffective at stopping the spread of respiratory viruses in most settings when worn by untrained people.
#8 Mass testing of asymptomatic individuals and contact tracing of positive cases is effective in reducing disease spread: Mass testing of asymptomatic individuals with contact tracing and quarantining of people who test positive has failed to substantively slow the progress of the epidemic and has imposed great costs on people who were quarantined even though they posed no risk of infecting others. Three facts are crucial to understanding why this policy has failed. First, even close contacts of someone who tests positive for the SARS-Cov-2 virus are unlikely to pass the disease on. In a large meta-analysis of household contacts of asymptomatic positive cases, only 3% of people living in the same home got sick. Second, the PCR test that has been used to identify asymptomatic infections often returns a positive result for people who have dead viral fragments, are not infectious, and pose no risk of infecting others. And third, the contact tracing system becomes overwhelmed whenever cases start to rise, leading to long delays in contacting new cases. At precisely the moment when contact tracing might be needed, it cannot do its job. At the same time, quarantining people is costly – for workers without adequate sick leave, absenteeism due to contact tracing means pay cuts, lost opportunities and perhaps even an inability to feed families. For children, it means more skipped lessons and missed opportunities for academic and social growth at school, with long-run negative consequences for their future prospects. In the U.K., an official government review determined that its 37 billion pound investment in contact tracing was a waste of resources. The same is undoubtedly true in the United States.
#9 The eradication of COVID-19 is a feasible goal: Throughout the pandemic, from “two weeks to flatten the curve” and onwards, the suppression of the spread of COVID-19 has been an explicit policy goal. Implicitly, public health leaders have made the suppression of COVID-19 spread to near-zero levels the endpoint of the pandemic. However, SARS-CoV-2 has none of the characteristics of a disease that can be eradicated. First, we have no technology to reduce the spread of the disease or meaningfully alter disease dynamics. Lockdowns and social restrictions fail because only people who can afford to work from home without losing their job can comply over long periods. While we have vaccines that can help prevent hospitalisation or death resulting from COVID-19 infection, the vaccines wane in efficacy against COVID-19 infection and cannot stop transmission. Second, there are many animal hosts for SARS-CoV-2 and evidence of transmission between mammals and humans. One USDA study in late 2021 found that nearly 80% of white-tailed deer in the U.S. had evidence of COVID-19 antibodies. Dogs, cats, bats, mink and many other mammals can get COVID-19. So even if the disease were eradicated among humans, zoonotic transmission would guarantee that it would come back. Finally, eradication takes a global commitment from every country – an impossible goal since COVID-19 eradication is far from the most pressing public health problem for many developing countries.
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My gut feel is that a lot of people believe 1-3 because of the saturation propaganda that starts when people are young and has been going on for many years. I suspect a lot of those people realise 4 is unrealistic but would argue it’s the right thing to do anyway, even if it is a futile gesture. I also suspect those people are mainly the middle class who can afford expensive electric cars, increased heating bills, have comfortable jobs and lives.
It seems that in western democracies the servility of the professional and managerial classes is as essential in driving forward Net Zero as is the servility of the officer class in a successful second or third world military coup.
Indeed. I find the self employed seem to be more sceptical, and people who live in more rural areas vs. cities.
As mentioned in another forum (Notalotofpeopleknowthat) the “Net Zero” goal is what you’d expect from El Presidente for life in a 3rd world country.
I think answers to question 4 are also biased systematically by human optimism. We always think tasks will take less time and be easier than they actually are – witness the massive overruns on projects such as Cross-rail. People who want to ‘Stop Oil’ may or may not realise that they also need to ‘Stop Cement’, ‘Stop Fertiliser’ and find a cost-effective way to store electricity, but they almost certainly cannot imagine the size (known and unknown) of the challenge.
Indeed, good point. Everything is very interconnected and complex. Joe Public may not really understand this, but I bet plenty of those pushing “net zero” are quite aware of this but simply don’t care. It suits them, for various reasons.
I’m not entirely convinced that all of those pushing Net Zero actually think it’s logical or care about the planet or anything else except their own power and profit, or opportunity to virtue signal. Just another bandwagon to jump on.
If those pushing Net Zero believed it was necessary for survival, they wouldn’t be flying around the world to meetings and off on exotic holidays.
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Guido, April 2019
Posh Eco-Loon: No Holidays… Except For Me
https://order-order.com/2019/04/17/posh-eco-loon-no-holidays-except/
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All the while Kwis Packham was pushing the climate change story, he was running Travel With Chris Packham, a company flying people worried about the loss of the environment to exotic places around the world, not least his luxury Polar Cruises, with vessels boasting of heated pools and saunas.
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https://www.steppestravel.com/people/chris-packham/#
https://www.steppestravel.com/cruise-types/polar-cruises/
All this despite:-
Transport and Environment, June 2016
Luxury cruise giant emits 10 times more air pollution (SOx) than all of Europe’s cars – study
https://www.transportenvironment.org/press/luxury-cruise-giant-emits-10-times-more-air-pollution-sox-all-europe%E2%80%99s-cars-%E2%80%93-study
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Obama banged on about rising oceans, then bought another multi-million dollar home, this time, right down on the beach.
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WhatsUpWithThat?, 24 August 2019
Sea Level Rise? President Obama Just Bought a Beachside Property
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/08/24/sea-level-rise-president-obama-just-bought-a-beachside-property/
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Marvellous stuff. Thanks
I can provide one example after another of these Eco Hypocrites. Here’s just one more, someone who was banging on about curbing our lifestyle just a few days ago.
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The Argus, November 2019
Caroline Lucas admits to using planes when asked about lifestyle
ENVIRONMENTALIST and politician Caroline Lucas has admitted she still takes long-haul flights
The Green party parliamentary candidate said she “occasionally” flies to visit family living abroad.
https://www.theargus.co.uk/news/18027403.caroline-lucas-admits-using-planes-asked-lifestyle/
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Lucas is a horrible woman.
Who stated that anyone who took their family to Spain for a holiday was no better than someone stabbing a stranger in the street.
The problem with “experts” is that they are human beings like the rest of us with mortgages and families to feed. It is unlikely to get an “expert” to disagree with something when his livelihood depends entirely on agreeing with it. So, he then becomes a “designated expert”, and those who don’t agree are never heard from again. The “designated expert” will then proceed to speak for all of science and will talk of the “risk of using fossil fuels”, but never about the risk of “not using them”, and since 90% of the world’s energy comes from fossil fuels this risk is very high. Currently 2 billion people have only enough electricity to power your average fridge, and another 1 billion have no electricity at all. They are discouraged from using fossil fuels even though it would bring them out of their miserable life of back breaking labour and dying young of preventable disease. But if the “designated experts” are not correct that there will be a climate catastrophe unless we eliminate fossil fuels then the biggest catastrophe would be leaving poor people in abject misery when it could so easily be otherwise. So, if no one is allowed to question or present the case for there not being a climate apocalypse about to occur, how can we be sure there is going to be one? ———–We can’t.— Yet certainty, where none exists, is the order of the day from “designated experts” speaking on behalf of political agendas around the world’s wealth and resources and then claiming it is all based on “science”. But science is a genuine search for truth, not a group think exercise where “designated experts” decide what is true. ———–That is “official science”, not “science”. ————So based on this “official science”, the UK, responsible for less than 1% of the worlds carbon emissions, has decided to implement a NET ZERO carbon policy at astronomical cost and with no idea how it can ever be achieved, and even whether it is remotely possible, that will impoverish its citizens with no effect on climate whatsoever. —————If something will have no effect , then why do it? —-The answer to that is simple. It is and never was about the climate in the first place.
I’ve slowly come to that realization over the past years concerning the renewable energy industry. The burning question should be no longer “What is the logic, if any, behind net zero”, but rather “How do we stop it happening?”
Brilliant.
As confirmation of those influences:-
Confessions of a Computer Modeler
“Any model, including those predicting climate doom, can be tweaked to yield a desired result. I should know.”
After three iterations [of remodeling] I finally blurted out, “What number are you looking for?” He didn’t miss a beat: He told me that he needed to show $2 billion of benefits to get the program renewed.
I finally turned enough knobs to get the answer he wanted, and everyone was happy.
Was the EPA [Environmental Protection Agency] official asking me to lie?
I have to give him the benefit of the doubt and assume he believed
in the value of continuing the program. (Congress ended the grants in 1990.)
Robert J. Caprara, “Confessions of a Computer Modeler,”
The Wall Street Journal, 9 July 2014
https://www.wsj.com/articles/confessions-of-a-computer-modeler-1404861351
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And as further evidence of the financial influences:-
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Forbes, 2013
Blood And Gore: Making A Killing On Anti-Carbon Investment Hype
Al Gore partnered with David Blood for an investment trust in biomass, Generation Investment Management (GIM), before his environment film “An Inconvenient Truth” was made.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/larrybell/2013/11/03/blood-and-gore-making-a-killing-on-anti-carbon-investment-hype/
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Incidentally, the film had some of its own inconvenient truths highlighted by The Telegraph.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/earth/earthnews/3310137/Al-Gores-nine-Inconvenient-Untruths.html
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Simple question: Even if hypothetically we were to achieve “net zero” today, would it stop the climate from changing?
Answer: no.
Case closed.
I’m pinching that. Great question – however the warmist responds, they are immediately on the back foot.
It doesn’t matter that the net zero policies are illogical. Net zero is a global initiative spearheaded by the UN (as in Agenda 2030), to which all nations are signed up, and by the WEF. It’s purpose is to facilitate the introduction of a one world government, which by its very nature has to be totalitarian. It also depends on the removal from people, as far as possible, of the ability to survive and prosper through our own efforts. Look at the destruction being wrought on Dutch agriculture by the Rutte government for evidence of what is happening, not to mention the energy catastrophe that affects everyone in the developed West.
And look what has happened to Sri Lanka.
That about sums it up.
It’s more to do with political fashion, certain peoples emotions, and the financial prospects involved in it Those that want to try it out will no doubt argue that it is reasonable to “do something”, rather than doing nothing tangible. It seems to me that any proper analysis of the statements quoted is out of line with the normal political timeframe, or even human life expectancy for an individual, in such a way as to prove the effect of any policy to do with global climate changes.
That’s not the same thing as considering environmental matters, such as air quality in urban areas, or efficient agriculture etc. It is a common trick to mix one with the other. E.g. local changes to do with urban development rather than the overall global variations.
I think that is absolutely true.
And few people recognise that even issues that have a bit of truth and logic (air pollution, plastic waste), are when carefully considered, hugely exaggerated.
It is a commonplace to say that 40,000 people die every year from air pollution.
This turns out to be a computerised prognosis that 40,000 people ‘may’ die early. In theory. And not one can be named.
Not even to point out that if the computer model in question was even a bit accurate, humanity would be seeing sharply reduced life expectancy in places like Delhi, Mandalay, Peking. Whereas the reverse is true. Steps have, quite rightly, been taken to improve air quality. But Khan’s restrictions in London have little effect on air quality.
I always remember a comment by either Mogwai or RW to the effect that if there are 400 molecules of CO2 per million in the atmosphere and manmade CO2 is 4%, then that is 16 man made made molecules per million and if the UK produces 1% of all man made CO2 that is less than 1 molecule per million…that’s the difference net zero will make while millions suffer…apologies to Mogwai or RW if I misquoted you
For 25 years we’ve had by far the highest immigration in our history, with the vast majority of immigrants coming from countries where per capita CO2 emissions are lower, often very much lower, than here.
That tells me that our politicians don’t believe that there is a climate crisis but instead the lie is being used to achieve other objectives.
Yes indeed as I posted the other day, why hasn’t Greta Thunberg moved to Africa from Sweden. Her mere existence in Sweden consumes huge amounts of energy to keep her warm, make her warm clothes, keep the roads clear, keep utilities running.
Per capita CO2 emissions are a nonsense quantity politically designed to make countries with huge, CO2-efficient economies and relatively small populations look bad when compared to countries with much smaller and very CO2-dirty economies but huge populations (like India). Humans only emit CO2 because they breathe it out. Most of the human-generated CO2 comes from burning stuff (gross oversimplification) and most stuff is burnt during industrial production of other stuff. Because of this, something like CO2 emissions per trillion dollar of the GDP is a much more sensible measure. OTOH, that would make Germany (and the UK even more as the UK economy relies less on manufacturing) look good and India look bad. And that’s not what the climate apostles want because India isn’t going to give them loads and loads of money.
The trouble is the global agenda drivers have manoeuvred the subject into the absolutist religious territory of having to pledge fealty to nonsense concepts. And we end up with “Are you a climate denier?”. Which is like asking someone if they’re a spoon denier. What’s the answer to that? “No, no, I don’t deny the climate.”.
“Do you deny climate change?”
“Erm..no, of course not, I definitely believe the climate is changing.”
“How about carbon? Do you deny that we need to reduce carbon?”
“What? The element?”
“Answer the question.”
“Erm..Yes yes carbon, of course we need to stop carbon from floating past schools and causing erm the climate to emergency.”
One of the best ways I’ve found of canning this nonsense for anyone who hasn’t bothered to get their head around it is to highlight that human beings live in places as diverse as Tromsø and Kuala Lumpur which experience an average temperature differential of around 23C, sometimes over 60C. And nobody is ‘dying of climate change’.
If you’re talking to an avowed ‘green’ though, this conversation normally leads to frantic abnormal hand waving and something like: “But.. but.. there’s too many people on the planet! We need to get rid of capitalism!”
And lo, we see the Emperor’s junk in all it’s glory..
Climate change is a thing that generally affluent urban types that have all but detached themselves from the natural world believe in viscerally.
They look around thenselves and conclude there are just too many of us.
The rest is just rationalisation.
The climate changes cyclicly and always has. Climate Change is just the name of their cult.
2016 was a year when the World’s Establishment realised that the World’s peasants were getting restless.
We had to be put back in our box, at all costs.
Nail. Head.
Well, having a very limited understanding of sums and fings, that has gone right over my head.
Unfortunately, it seems that you and I are not alone. Too many climate modellers appear to be in the same situation.
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Why is it that climate activists always demonstrate against cars, power stations and aircraft for their carbon footprint, but seem entirely ignorant of the impact of their own favourite activity, the method they use to organise their protests, their smart phones and swish laptops?
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ClimateCare, 22 April 2021
Infographic: The Carbon Footprint of the Internet
“The carbon footprint of our gadgets, the internet and the systems supporting them
accounts for 3.7% of global greenhouse emissions, similar to the airline industry.
These emissions are predicted to double by 2025.”
https://www.climatecare.org/resources/news/infographic-carbon-footprint-internet/
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Royal Society of Chemistry,
Elements in danger
Did you know that your mobile phone contains at least 30 different naturally-occurring elements?
Natural sources of six of these are set to run out within the next 100 years, with several more under rising threat from increased use.
We commissioned an Ipsos MORI survey of 2,353 people, which found that 51% of UK households have at least one unused electronic device
– such as mobile phones, computers, smart TVs, MP3 players or e-readers –
and 45% have up to five. Of these 82% have no plans to recycle or sell on their devices after they fall out of use.
And the problem could be set to grow, with young people owning more items of technology than anyone else, with 52% of 16–24 year olds having 10 or more gadgets in their home.
By comparison, 39% of 35–44 year olds have 10 or more devices, as do 30% of 55–75 year olds.
https://www.rsc.org/new-perspectives/sustainability/elements-in-danger/
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Why bother. It’s already too late, apparently. We’ve supposedly gone well beyond the Tipping Point – many times (dunno how many of these I dare post).
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Sky News, 21 February 2021
Attenborough’s stark warning on climate change: ‘It’s already too late’
https://news.sky.com/story/attenboroughs-stark-warning-on-climate-change-its-already-too-late-12226694
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Matt McGrath, BBC, July 2019
Climate change: 12 years to save the planet? Make that 18 months
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-48964736
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Andrew Simms, The Guardian, August, 2008
The final countdown
“We have only 100 months to avoid disaster.
Because in just 100 months’ time, if we are lucky, and based on a quite conservative estimate, we could reach a tipping point for the beginnings of runaway climate change.”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2008/aug/01/climatechange.carbonemissions
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GeoEngineering Watch, May, 2014
“500 Days Till Climate Chaos”
https://www.geoengineeringwatch.org/500-days-till-climate-chaos/
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Guardian, Jan 2009
President ‘has four years to save Earth’
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2009/jan/18/jim-hansen-obama
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Guardian, Nov 2009
We only have months, not years, to save civilisation from climate change
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/cif-green/2009/nov/03/lester-brown-copenhagen
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Telegraph, May 2008
Prince Charles: Eighteen months to stop climate change disaster
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/theroyalfamily/1961719/Prince-Charles-Eighteen-months-to-stop-climate-change-disaster.html
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“Civilization will end within 15 or 30 years unless immediate action is taken against problems facing mankind.”
George Wald, Harvard biologist, 1970
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“Demographers agree almost unanimously on the following grim timetable:
by 1975 widespread famines will begin in India; these will spread by 1990 to include all of India, Pakistan, China and the Near East, Africa.
By the year 2000, or conceivably sooner, South and Central America will exist under famine conditions.
By the year 2000, thirty years from now, the entire world, with the exception of Western Europe, North America, and Australia, will be in famine.”
Peter Gunter, North Texas State University, 1970.
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Ecology: A Cause Becomes A mass Movement
Scientists have solid experimental and theoretical evidence to support each of the following predictions:
In a decade, urban dwellers will have to wear gas masks to survive air pollution.
In the early 1980s air pollution combined with a temperature inversion will kill Thousands in some U.S. city.
by 1985 air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching earth by one half.
In the 1980s a major ecological system – soil or water – will break down somewhere in the U.S. New diseases that humans cannot resist will reach plague proportions.
Increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere will affect the earth’s temperature, leading to mass flooding or a new ice age.
Life, 30 January, 1970
https://books.google.co.uk/books?id=bFAEAAAAMBAJ&pg=PA3&source=gbs_toc_r&cad=2#v=onepage&q&f=false
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CO2 is a trace gas. It is not a pollutant. It is the food of life.
I had posted with a list of about ten predictions since 2008 of scientists telling us that the science was settled and that the Tipping Point for the climate was imminent.
These scientific predictions put the Tipping Point between one hundred months (made in August 2008) and eighteen months (made in July 2019) after the prediction.
I think because I’d attached all the links to the cited predictions, the moderators felt it too much, and have not published my comment.
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Since we have just entered the Modern Grand Solar Minimum all this will be blown out of the water in the next 5-10 years. The Ice-Man cometh.
Bravo. What an excellent framework for articulating the folly of net zero.