The U.K. relied too much on “very scary” SAGE models to decide on lockdowns, according to the man behind some of those very projections who repeatedly called for longer lockdowns. MailOnline has more.
Just months after SAGE predicted 6,000 deaths per day and called for a Christmas lockdown in response to Omicron, Professor John Edmunds said the models were only supposed to be “one component” of decision-making but were leaned on too much by ministers.
He accepted the models failed to account for the economic harm and the knock-on health effects that lockdowns caused.
Professor Edmunds admitted that these harms “in principle” could have been factored into models “but in practice they were not”.
His remarks come as Britons face the harsh reality of two years’ of shutting down the economy and health service, with the NHS grappling a backlog crisis that has seen one in nine people in England stuck on an NHS waiting list for treatment and inflation at its highest point in 30 years.
The epidemiologist, who was among the most outspoken members of SAGE, said some of the death projections in the model were “truly eye-watering”.
Speaking at a medical conference on Tuesday, he said: “The epidemiological model is only one component [of decision-making] and I wondered and I worried that we’d had too much weight.”
He added: “There is of course an enormous economic impact from many of the interventions and other indirect impacts on psychological health and so on. Now these in principle could be included but in practice they were not.”
Professor Edmunds called for the first lockdown to be extended in summer 2021, warning Britain was “taking a risk” by unlocking while still logging 8,000 cases per day and that the decision was “clearly” political.
And he warned against easing the third national lockdown in early 2021, warning it would be a ‘”disaster” and put “enormous pressure” on the health service.
Joy shall be in heaven over one sinner that repenteth and all that – but you can’t help feel the recantation is very convenient as we move on from the pandemic and people start to look back with more objectivity at all the crazy, costly things that were done in the name of ‘science’ and at the behest of modellers.
Worth reading in full.
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Claiming ulez has any public benefits is on a par with claiming the Holocaust had some plusses for the Jewish community.
Or Nazi’s built some nice roads.
They did. You can still drive on them. I wasn’t keen on pretty much everything else they did.
I was in a discussion about Clean Air Zones the other day, and decided to do a bit of digging. Deaths from Asthma is what is usually quoted as justification, but these total 1,400 a year in the UK, not in the top 10 causes of death, and less than the excess deaths since lockdown by some margin.
Then I thought I’d compare India, you know with thick smog in the cities and wood and dung fires in the villages. Asthma sufferers in the UK 8% of population, India 3% of population. Curious, don’t you think. I mean, ULEZ and CAZ are all about revenue generation, but I’d like to understand why with filthy air, (and I’m old enough to remember filthy air here), India can have just a third of UK cases. Anyone explain it to me..?
Higher jabbed populations in UK?
Adjuvants are suspected to increase incidents of autoimmune disorders.
This data is from 2016, well before jabs. I suppose I’m curious about our modern lifestyle and intolerance of cold atmospheres and bacteria in general (…kills 99.,9% etc). Is anyone doing grown up research about it, I wonder, perhaps with an unpopular answer.?
I think AYM is right. Adjuvants have been used in vaccines since the 1920’s.
And over the last few years many kids have allergies to peanuts for God’s sake
WHY –
https://vaccinationinformationnetwork.com/peanut-allergy-yet-another-vaccine-related-epidemic-2/
Kids had virtually no immune disorders until after the 1980’s – which coincided with – guess what.
Now nearly 50% of kids suffer from –
Asthma.
Eczema.
Autism.
Obesity
And no doubt cancers in later life – if they get there.
WHY. Wild animals do not suffer from these problems, neither do 3rd world countries (although they are catching up).
I would refer people tp “Vaccinepapers.org” – but that page is no longer available.
I wonder why – nothing to do with bigpharma is it.
May they rot in hell.
Which, by all non partisan accounts, have exploded since WWII; now, what could possibly have caused that?
I suspect the differences between UK and India are linked to diagnosis. I have worked with lots of people who claimed to be asthmatic when the reality was they were just unfit. Doctors are happy to write prescriptions and the ‘patients’ are chuffed to bits to be ‘victims.’
‘Where’s mi puffer?’
How many neo asthmatics had their immune system function tested prior to that prescription? I suspect none.
I know I did not; severe allergies that peaked in my mid 30’s (or so I thought) were attributed to some form of asthma by GP and I was prescribed steroids… had all childhood jabs. Circa 2016 developed extremely severe Anaphylaxis….now every day I have to be on red alert.
Still, to my knowledge, immune system never tested….Ig3/Ig4 capacity? GP now very arsey about ANY testing regimes, and will not consider this course of action until some ill health event occurs – their words , not mine.
Having visited Delhi and seen the summary of the causes of air pollution, the primary one was road dust, by a large margin, followed by diesel particulates because of the mass of very old and unmaintained lorries and buses. Just resurfacing Delhi’s (main) roads and replacing these old lorry/bus engines with modern units would provide a massive cut in air pollution. I would also imagine the situation in Delhi is replicated in most major cities.
I know they built nice roads, that is why I made that remark. —–But I am so glad you were not keen on other things they did. ——-ULEZ is more than just a revenue generator though. It is all part of the GREEN war on cars and on the western world in general.
Very tempted to link that sort of comment with “some thing and someone else” but on balance I will stop there…
ULEZ does not save lives –
leaflet to print at home and deliver to neighbours or forward to politicians, media, friends online.
Muslim Khan lying? Wow. Shocker. Particulate pollution is down 98% since the 70s. There isn’t a pollution issue from cars. They emit trace amounts.
Now maybe address the marketing and terror campaign for Rona and the safe and effective mantras which were splashed everywhere (and still are). Oh wait. People who oppose Pharma end up dying. Maybe pass on that one.
I would vote for a chair, a turnip, or a pile of dogshit before I voted for this parasite.
The dirty little secret is that much ulez funding derives from investors in green energy/battery powered vehicles.
Where does Khan invest his own money?
He loves a one way bet…….
As a chemist in a former life, I had to chuckle at the reference to “reducing levels of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) particles”. I assume it’s just another example of the Telegraph employing technically illiterate interns to comment on scientific matters.
Boris & Khan were both elected on mandates to lower public transport prices or stop them rising. This has caused big problems with the finances, hence the increase in the LEZ to bring in more money.
It has nothing to do with pollution as the cars are not stopped entering but charged to enter.
The other increase in pollution is the slow movement of buses through the City caused by the increase in cycle only lanes, even though buses are the greener solution, as they can transport greater numbers per metre of road space than cycles.
The electoral procedure is also changing in 2024 favouring Khan unless another notable Independent stood on the Left.
Exactly. It was always about money, they just needed a reason for the charges. The fact that if you pay you can enter, even in a smoky fume spouting old banger, completely torpedoes their argument The real problem of pollution is the London Underground.
I despair that Khan could get another term if the electoral procedure changes favour him. He’s ruining the city I was born in and spent a large part of my life in. I haven’t been to London for ages but I remember it with great affection. Getting rid of the Routemaster buses was a major blow.
Why shouldn’t my ex-wife enter London.
Hahahaha! Good one, Roubles 😀
I agree it is very sad and I am fortunate to have wonderful memories of my time in London.
Our world seems to be changing with the young folk no longer having the same need or interest to explore as we had. I do not know why and expect to be shouted down and down ticked for these thoughts.
Good shooting ATR; he did not perform well when he was summoned to a session of ? Westminster Council ? to “discuss” this. The video of the person with the air quality monitor going from road to Underground immediately in the vicinity tells you everything.
How will he be sanctioned; appears to me that the punishment is in inverse proportion; bigger the lie by a person in a position of trust in the tax payer funded public sector the diminution of any sanction shrinks further. Banning from any future public office should be the de minimus punishment to be enhanced the bigger the lie.
Sorry, do you know I thought I was living in the UK for a moment.
Khan lied. Quelle surprise (not).
ULEZ is about control, surveillance, money and forcing poor and marginalised people out of their cars.
Seconded 👍
Passed without a “lobby clearing division”, imho.
Not the first time this man has ‘misled’ in order to impose his own way.
“The Vice-Chancellor of Imperial College, who was at the reins during the Covid modelling scandal and the Ulez data scandal, has been given the biggest pay rise of any V-C in the UK. Her salary ‘bump‘ of £186,000 brings her total remuneration, including salary and benefit, to £714,000.”
Presumably funded by W Gates.
“The Advertising Standards Authority (ASA) is set to criticise Transport for London (TfL)”. Criticise!! The ASA should fine Kahn in the form of all ULEZ charges to date being returned to the vehicle owners, and all future ones declared null & void by the same token, effectively scrapping the scheme.