We know that vaccine effectiveness against infection was wildly overestimated. The evidence is now clear: the vaccines don’t stop transmission. But what about effectiveness against serious disease and death? There’s a certain amount of evidence that that too has been overestimated.
Several datasets have revealed a ‘healthy vaccinee’ effect, whereby vaccinated people are less likely to die of non-Covid causes. Since the vaccines don’t protect against things other than Covid, this suggests that those who opt into vaccination are inherently healthier and/or more risk-averse than those who don’t.
The ‘healthy vaccinee’ effect may partly derive from a quirk of methodology. As HART researchers have noted, it’s common practice to exclude data from the first 14 days after vaccination. If the most frail people tend to die in that 14 day period, their exclusion would reduce the average frailty in the vaccinated population.
I should add that this is pure speculation on my part. Nonetheless, the ‘healthy vaccinee’ effect clearly demands further scrutiny.
Another piece of evidence suggesting that vaccine effectiveness against death has been overestimated is that some countries have seen as much excess mortality in their post-vaccination waves as they saw in their pre-vaccination waves. I previously presented charts showing this for Israel. Here I’ll present similar charts for several other countries.
First, Austria saw a large uptick in excess mortality, beginning in mid October. At this time, 62% of the population was double vaccinated, including a much higher percentage of the elderly.
Second, Germany also saw a large uptick in excess mortality in mid October. At this time, 65% of the population was double vaccinated, including a much higher percentage of the elderly.
Third, the Netherlands also saw a large uptick in excess mortality in mid October. At this time, 68% of the population was double vaccinated, including a much higher percentage of the elderly.
Fourth, Norway saw a moderate uptick in excess mortality in mid October, which was larger than any previous wave. At this time, 68% of the population was double vaccinated, including a much higher percentage of the elderly.
As noted last time, I’m not claiming these plots amount to a comprehensive analysis. But it’s hard to reconcile them with claims of, say, 90% effectiveness against death.
Take Austria. More than 80% of over 50s were double vaccinated by early October. Given that the vast majority of Covid deaths occur in this group, if the vaccines were 90% effective against death, you’d expect to have seen only a handful of deaths in the post-vaccination wave. In fact, unadjusted excess mortality reached 40% by early December.
One thing these four countries, plus Israel, have in common is that they experienced below-average excess deaths in their pre-vaccination waves (relative to other countries in Europe). As a result, there may have been more very frail elderly people alive when their post-vaccination waves hit. In other words, the ‘dry tinder’ effect may be relevant here.
None of this implies the vaccines don’t protect you against severe Covid. But it does suggest their effectiveness has been somewhat overstated.
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I assume everything from ‘government sources’ is lies.
Interesting to see where this sits in the sequence of C-19 war gaming. If before then the war gaming wasn’t it was real live exercise as the virus was already out.
On the other hand if the war gaming took place before the release, then that is quite sinister. It suggests that the release was deliberate once they had a handle on what they would do next.
So, in that case I picked up the virus in London around December 17, 2019. I went down with the symptoms on or around the 20th, as did my Dad. My Mum had them mildly on December 26. My GP surgery’s staff were all ill around New Year (I attended an appointment there on December 19th.) They were ‘inundated with people calling in about a mysterious cough and flu symptom virus over that period, according to the practice’s nurse. We all just treated it as atypical weird Christmas virus.
My wife also had symptoms which met the description of COVID, persistent cough and extreme fatigue, back in January 2020. I have never seen anyone with them since, only a lot of positive PCR tests and re-branded colds and flus.
Persistent cough means pneumonia. It’s perfectly possibe to get that from other viruses as well. Extreme fatigue or rather, a serious reduction of the ability to perform physical tasks, is a side effect of the immune system having to put a serious amount of effort into fighting some pathogen. Also not COVID specific.
It is all bullshit it goes back way earlier. Let those who have wisdom perceive it. In 2018 there was quite a severe flu outbreak. In 2019 there was somthing called ‘mysterious vaping illness’. If you look at a map of the outbreak of vaping illness most if it was centred around Fort Detrick. And then you had the armed forces games in Wuhan. We weren’t all born under a Christmas Tree. The first step is to acknowledge just how sinister this agenda is.
Looking for something to watch last evening I came across “Flu that killed 50 million” on PBS America, channel 174. It was made in 2018 100 years on from Spanish flu outbreak. Definately worth an hours watch, they repeat a lot. Patient Zero was actually an 18 year old conscript from Kentucky who worked on a bird farm. With troop ship movements 40 days later it had hit France and already 20,000 dead from 20 million infected. The reason it became known as Spanish flu was because the news “blackout” did not affect Spain who were neutral and whose king died of the flu. The foreign correspondents in Spain termed it Spanish flu not knowing anything about its origins. Fast forward to 2018 and it was interesting to see the confidence of how we could tackle a modern day pandemic using all the knowledge, medical interventions and the 2014 Pandemic Preparedness Plan!
There is another reason why these three researchers could not have been the first three victims. They were all presumably of working age – in fact one is stated to be the bat lady’s “star pupil”. And they were all hospitalised?!
What percentage of covid sufferers required hospital treatment? Was it as much as 1%? And if elderly people are excluded (since these three were not elderly)?
What is the chance of the first three victims all requiring hospital treatment?
It’s nonsense, isn’t it?