Further scientific evidence that global warming starting to run out of steam over two decades ago has been presented by an international group of leading scientists. In a major re-evaluation of data from meteorology balloons rising through the troposphere, the scientists confirmed that temperatures have mostly paused since around 1998. The discovery can only add to pressure to re-open the so-called ‘settled science’ debate around global warming and the central part it plays in the 30-year rush towards Net Zero.
Readings throughout the troposphere, Earth’s lower atmosphere that extends in parts up to 15 km altitude, have been available for many years. The researchers were able to use measuring metadata to improve the consistency of records obtained from almost 700 global locations, recording twice a day since 1978, at 16 pressure levels. The slowdown since 1998 observed in the balloon data is confirmed by accurate satellite data, which also shows a current pause of about 91 months. An earlier pause from 1998 to 2012 has been largely wiped from all the major surface temperature datasets.
The two graphs show the results from the study for the northern hemisphere and the tropics at a height of about 11 km. Most of the warming over the last 40 years occurred up to the late 1990s. The tropics have warmed less than the north, and in fact at 11 km it is difficult to discern any significant warming in the tropics at all.
The temperature variations recorded in the lower troposphere are generally reflected at higher altitudes, notes Emeritus Professor Ole Humlum in his recent “State of the Climate” report. At higher altitudes, near the tropopause, the temperature patterns seen lower down can still be recognised, “but for the duration of the record (since 1979) there has been no clear trend towards higher or lower temperatures”, said Humlum.
There is little scientific dispute that warming and cooling in the troposphere reflects that found at the surface. Most atmospheric gas is contained in this area, including the so-called greenhouse gases such as water vapour, carbon dioxide and methane. Just before COP26 last year, the World Economic Forum published scientific research that claimed around 80% of the increase in the temperature of the troposphere since 2000 was due to warming caused by humans. This was said to show that the effects of fossil fuels and human activity “are infiltrating all our surroundings, even those high above our heads”.
So why is there so little current warming being recorded by satellites and meteorological balloons in the troposphere, yet for the major surface datasets it is onwards and upwards, business as usual? None more so than at the U.K. Met Office, where the inconvenient 1998-2012 pause was finally removed in 2020 by a 14% temperature uplift. Here is the change from HadCRUT4 to HadCRUT5.
In July 2013, the Met Office published a paper about the pause, although its main argument that the heat had disappeared into the ocean does not seem to have stood the test of time. In 2013, the move from HadCRUT3 to HadCRUT4 introduced the first temperature boost. Along with the 2020 uplift, the extra heating is thought to amount to as much as 30%. In addition, some earlier records were moved downwards, and this had the effect of accentuating the recent rise. Similar adjustments have been made to other major datasets, including those run by NASA and the U.S. weather service, NOAA. Professor Humlum looked at the adjustments to the NASA GISS dataset and found that “half of the apparent global temperature increase from January 1910 to January 2000 is due to administrative adjustments to the original data since May 2008”.
The adjustments matter, of course, because they provide covering fire for every journalist, activist and politician looking to promote global warming, without necessarily having full mastery of the scientific brief. Using the figures from its twice-adjusted HadCRUT database, the Met Office felt able recently to make an absurd 50-50 prediction that temperatures would leap by almost half a degree centigrade to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels in one year before 2025. As expected, the message was faithfully reported by journalists across mainstream media, seemingly keen to support the political agenda behind Net Zero.
Tablets-of-stone messaging handed down by operations like the Met Office mean that the BBC’s Climate Editor and green activist-in-residence Justin Rowlatt can faithfully report the Scottish First Minister’s recent comments to the U.S. Brookings Institute, without reference to the journalist’s classic five Ws. “As things stand, the world is on course to exceed both 1.5°C of global warming and the 2°C threshold – and scientific consensus is overwhelming that this will be catastrophic,” claimed Nicola Sturgeon.
Who says the world is on course for 1.5°C and 2°C of global warming? What scientific consensus? When will the world exceed 1.5°C and 2°C? Where is the scientific basis for these thresholds? Why will a few tenths of a degree centigrade warming be catastrophic?
It was always held by old-school journalists that it was never libellous to ask a question. Even if the maxim wasn’t entirely true, it would be a shame if the question, as a tool in the journalist’s armoury, disappeared altogether.
Chris Morrison is the Daily Sceptic’s Environment Editor
Postscript: The central claim of this article – that global warming has slowed significantly over the past 20 years – has been criticised in a fact check by USA Today and a website called Climate Feedback, drawing on data provided by NASA.
Chris Morrison has responded to these criticisms here and here.
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#13 Team James or Team Tobes?
Are these problems all caused by a concatenation of poor decisions made by overpromoted and easily led oafs or is it a long planned project to ultimately enslave and destroy humanity by a shadowy Luciferian predator class?
Obviously not a conspiracy theory. The first statement is ridiculously true, but they don’t see how stupid they look! Talk about Kings new clothes…
Very well said! Great stuff! Thank you.
The response to covid, across large swathes of the world, has a name:
Socialist Fascism
‘And what of the English Bentham who considered that all industry asked of government was to be left alone, and of the German Humbolt who expressed the opinion that the best government was a lazy one?’
I stand with Bentham and Humbolt
‘The Fascist State organizes the nation, but it leaves the individual adequate elbow room. It has curtailed useless or harmful liberties while preserving those which are essential. In such matters the individual cannot be the judge, but the State only.’
https://sjsu.edu/faculty/wooda/2B-HUM/Readings/The-Doctrine-of-Fascism.pdf
Our government, governments, and their minions stand with Mussolini
‘“Those people nowadays who say they would have stood up against the Nazis – I believe they are sincere in meaning that, but believe me, most of them wouldn’t have.”
“the whole country was as if under a kind of a spell,”
Brunhilde Pomsel
Where do the great British public stand?
Fascism wants man to be active and to engage in action with all his energies; it wants him to be manfully aware of the difficulties besetting him and ready to face them. It conceives of life as a struggle in which it behooves a man to win for himself a really worthy place, first of all by fitting himself (physically, morally, intellectually) to become the implement required for winning it. As for the individual, so for the nation, and so for mankind. Hence the high value of culture in all its forms (artistic, religious, scientific) and the outstanding importance of education.
If that was one of the core values of the mad pandemistas, I must somehow have completely misunderstood it. It seemed more as if they didn’t value education at all, considered art and religion expendable (and very much expendable) luxuries in face of The Existential Global Danger Of Respiratory Infections and wanted man to be passive, docile and accepting of whatever fate international public health authorities threw at him.
There is a difference between high minded, insincere, platitudes and reality.
‘Mussolini’s ideological penetration of education was especially visible in primary schools. There, politically reliable instructors were ensuring that children were raised in fascist values. This included teaching the spirit of sacrifice and heroism, strict obedience to authority as well as the protection of the Italian nation.
In Fascist Italy, organizations assisted this process of ideological instruction also at university. Here youth had to participate in activities focused on pre-military training for boys and different forms of civic service for girls.’
‘The Blackshirts favored way to make people obey was to tie someone to a tree, force 1-2 pints of castor oil down his throat, and then force him to eat a live frog/toad. Usually, this punishment was enough to ensure that people kept their thoughts to themselves…..The motto of the Blackshirts was “Me ne frego” (‘I don’t give a flying fuck’)
Life in Italy under the dictatorship
‘The last thing any Education Secretary wants to do is announce that schools will close and this is not a decision that the government ever wanted to take.
I would like to reassure everyone that our schools have not suddenly become unsafe, but limiting the number of people who attend them is essential when the COVID rates are climbing as they are now.
We must curb the escalating cases of COVID throughout the country and prevent the NHS from being overwhelmed.
That is why today I am setting out the contingency plans I had prepared but had hoped to never have to implement.
I would like to thank all our teachers, all our education staff and social workers for all they have been doing to keep children and young people safe and learning.’
Gavin Williamson
‘You hear them shouting “Heil, Spode!” and you imagine it is the Voice of the People. That is where you make your bloomer. What the Voice of the People is saying is: “Look at that frightful ass Spode swanking about in footer bags! Did you ever in your puff see such a perfect perisher?”
Bertie Wooster
There is a difference between high minded, insincere, platitudes and reality.
There’s a much more important difference between I consider this opinion really deplorable! and It’s fascism!, no matter how convenient one believes this toughtersatz-label to be. That’s particularly true for pandemic policies which were all essentially based on the notion that people are cattle whose individual properties don’t matter and who have to be herded by their expert minders in the proper way to maximize their useful output and minimise the harm they accidentally do to themselves.
Another aspect would be that fascism is ultimatively military, ie, geared towards war and based on the presumption that the highest purpose people can serve is that of a soldier. In contrast to this, Corona-ism was/ is built and an almost pathological fear of people coming together for any reason and is thus inherently pacifist. It’s not possible to field an army without strangers coming together and living under very much improvised circumstance for prologned periods of time and there’s no way to erect hand sanitizer stations on all entries to a battlefield and make people use them every time before and after they touched something somebody else also touched.
Lastly, saucy eyewitness (always) stories people put into place after handing half of Europe over to a murderous communist dictator who killed people by the million but of whose feats we never really hear anything aren’t terribly credible. Especially not, if they obviously mirror American interrogation practices of not that long ago, cf Trump’s Torture works statement. The fascists also claimed they were the good guys and that whomever they were targetting was handled in the most appropriate way to achieve a generally desirable outcome.
The reality is that ‘The Doctrine of Fascism’ written by Mussolini was implemented violently.
‘The keystone of the Fascist doctrine is its conception of the State, of its essence, its functions, and its aims. For Fascism the State is absolute, individuals and groups relative. Individuals and groups are admissible in so far as they come within the State.’
‘We will fight both technical and spiritual rear-guardism…’
The Doctrine of Fascism – Benito Mussolini
‘During the Fascist takeover, many Italians lived in a state of terror. Black-shirted squadrists beat, shot, ritually humiliated, and destroyed the property of peasants, workers, politicians, journalists, and labor organizers. Although Socialists and the working classes were the primary victims, the Fascists also targeted Catholics, liberals, Masons, state authorities, and even dissident Fascists. This unprecedented campaign of political violence, most intense during the years between 1920 and 1922, culminated with the March on Rome and the appointment of Benito Mussolini as prime minister.’
Ordinary Violence in Mussolini’s Italy, Michael R. Ebner
‘….Italian atrocities committed in their Balkan and colonial territories, the more than fifty concentration camps throughout Italy that held Jews and foreigners during World War Two, the forced labor of Italian Jews in the cities and countryside…’
Ruth Ben-Ghiat, A Lesser Evil? Italian Fascism in/and the Totalitarian Equation
‘If we delve further back, the roll call gets longer: the living and recently deceased Italian soldiers under Mussolini whose atrocities against Greeks, Serbs, Ethiopians and Jews have been, with U.S. approval, largely ignored for more than 60 years. One of the most notorious, Giovanni Ravalli, died only in 1998, fully exposed but completely unpunished for crimes ranging from having a Greek policeman’s teeth pulled out with pliers to ordering boiling oil poured over 70 other prisoners.’
John MacArthur, Sorry About That War Crime,
A report of the NDH (Croatia) Consulate in Rijeka sent to the NDH’s Foreign Affairs Ministry on 20 December 1941 wrote that 800 people, including 60 women and 40 children, passed through Rijeka from Dalmatia in chains in four transports from 15 November to 20 November 1941.
‘“It is distressing to see our people with folded, cuffed hands, tied together with chains, going into the unknown, labouring while carrying their luggage, their faces distorted with pain caused by their shackles.”
British Police did not put people in chains, it is true, but measures implemented by the British government in response to a common cold coronavirus violated the human rights of millions and killed tens, maybe hundreds, of thousands before their time.
‘Between 2 March and 12 June 2020, 18,562 residents of care homes in England died with COVID-19, including 18,168 people aged 65 and over, representing almost 40% of all deaths involving COVID-19 in England during this period’
‘The UK government, national agencies, and local-level bodies have taken decisions and adopted policies during the COVID-19 pandemic that have directly violated the human rights of older residents of care homes in England—notably their right to life, their right to health, and their right to non-discrimination…….
Via its Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC), the government in mid-March adopted a policy, executed by NHS England and NHS Improvement, that led to 25,000 patients, including those infected or possibly infected with COVID-19 who had not been tested, being discharged from hospital into care homes between 17 March and 15 April—exponentially increasing the risk of transmission to the very population most at risk of severe illness and death from the disease……..
Although care home deaths were not even being counted in daily official figures of COVID-19 deaths until 29 April, some 4,300 care home deaths were reported in a single fortnight during this period.’
As If Expendable 04 Oct 20
There is no mention of the environment. It is a life threatening situation and unless we can control the green zealots our lives will be destroyed.
Mr Tucker – that is an amazingly thoughtful and insightful piece – thank you.
I’m not sure it is an omission as such, but you don’t mention the role of the mainstream legacy media in enabling the disaster of the last three years, or the need for a proper fourth estate media, acting on behalf of the People in exposing the truth and holding power to account.
If the MSM continue to suppress the truth and propagandise and thus enable the implementation of policies that are against the interests of the People, we are doomed.
It’s a dilemma, should we fight the globalists with our own globalist organisation? National level opposition such as the Dutch farmers & the Canadian Truckers achieved some cut-through but is it inevitable that opposition to globalism has to be, well, globalist?
Global, ideally yes, but not globalist. Namely, a global opposition (in the sense that it’s everwhere) to the notion that the world needs global decisionmaking to avoid catastrophe.
The current system has absolutely nothing in common with what Mussolini referred to as corporatism because he wasn’t thinking about multinational enterprises encorporated according to the laws of the state of Delarware. What this world urgently needs is either less clueless Americans talking ouf of their asses or less Americans in general, especially for the next so-called pandemic. Let germ hysteriacs and civil service would-be dictators create chaos, death and mayhem there, as they already managed in 1918 – 1920, while the rest of the world happily ignores them.
Where is the UK version of Jeffrey Tucker?
History will prove that Covid-19 was a flu varient (proven by the instant disappearance of seasonal flu) and the greatest ever hoax perpetrated on humanity. Governments and Health institutions will NEVER be trusted ever again.
While an elite class can steal money from the population at will – through inflation – there is no chance of reforming this system. As is usually the case, money is the key.
One of the best articles I’ve read about this whole shite show. I just love Jeffery A Tucker trouble is aren’t more like him. The British press have been abysmal as have the church, the police, the courts, doctors, the list goes on and on.
The problem missed here is the WHO which is trying to force the world to follow its health diktats and countries are lining up to agree to subverting their sovereignty to this body controlled by China and any billionaire who is mad for power (eg Bill Gates). There is no universal vote for this, but many countries are nodding this through, hoping we won’t notice.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bFLPWWCAHfQ
Just watch some of this, it is long. But this EU sponsored conference, with MEPs present discloses it all. You will soon get the idea…
We have told God to butt out, and, as it has been said, He is gentlemanly enough to do so. But He has a competitor who is no gentleman.