Fears about silent spreaders of Covid — who suffer no symptoms but can pass the virus to others — were almost certainly overblown, according to a huge new study. MailOnline has more.
A study of nearly 30,000 people has found asymptomatic carriers are about 68% less likely to pass the virus on than those who get sick.
No 10 used concerns about asymptomatic spread to justify forcing Britons to obey lockdowns and wear masks.
They were thought to account for up to a third of all infections and many scientists claimed asymptomatic patients were just as infectious as the sick.
But a new global study spanning 42 countries, including the U.K. and U.S., found they were only responsible for as little as 14% of cases.
They also estimate that their overall risk of passing the virus to someone else “about two-thirds lower”.
Scientists claimed Covid’s ability to spread asymptomatically was one of the reasons for harsh social curbs.
During one of the national lockdowns in January 2021, the Government said about a third of people with Covid had no symptoms and urged people to “act like you’ve got it”.
Experts analysed data from 130 studies from 42 countries.
They involved 28,426 people who caught Covid between April 2020 and July 2021.
Of these patients, nearly 12,000 had an asymptomatic infection, having tested positive on a PCR but having suffered no symptoms.
All of the studies included the results of community screening programmes, contact tracing, and investigations into specific outbreaks like on cruise ships.
They found the ‘secondary attack rate’, how likely people infected with Covid are to pass the virus to others, was 68% lower for asymptomatic cases, compared to those with symptoms.
Worth reading in full.
Stop Press: You can read the paper In PLOS Medicine – “Occurrence and transmission potential of asymptomatic and presymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections: Update of a living systematic review and meta-analysis” – here.
Stop Press 2: The investigation of the impact of lockdowns on Covid mortality published in Studies in Applied Economics that I posted about earlier today concludes that the lockdowns in March of last year saved fewer than 10,000 lives in Europe and the U.S. combined. MailOnline has more.
To join in with the discussion please make a donation to The Daily Sceptic.
Profanity and abuse will be removed and may lead to a permanent ban.
Hundreds of thousands of people arriving here have to live somewhere and presumably that will be in a HOUSE. If we don’t build hundreds of thousands of houses then it is clear to even the dimmest of people that there will NOT be enough HOUSES. But to Liberal Progressives truth is to be locked in a dark room and the key thrown away.
It is an invasion and a replacement. Musulmans, Africans, Ukes, Asians, a few Whitey’s to salt the dish.
As simple as that. The great replacement.
Erase your culture, your history, the anglo-saxons which did not exist apparently, your nationalism.
Open borders with a purpose with you and the ‘natives’ to be erased.
Make the migrants build their own houses…
It’s easier to use financial incentives or change the law and force homeowners/tenants to take-in immigrants if the government deems them to have space.
Didn’t the BBC do a drama about a migrant wave into Europe/UK 20-25 years ago?
Very concerning, especially when one considers who it is we are getting all over Europe. And it’s not like these men are arriving with any papers whatsoever. A re-share as it’s pertinent to this article;
”Unlike the mass migration occurring at the U.S. southern border, where the majority of Latin Americans crossing are Roman Catholic Christians, Europe’s mass migration comprises people with an Eastern and Islamic background who have a worldview at odds with the Judeo-Christian foundation of Europe. Assimilating into the host culture is problematic for most migrants, many of whom are illiterate even in their own language and find learning a European language too difficult. Islamist and fundamentalist Salafist groups prey on frustrated and angry Muslim youths who are incapable or unwilling to integrate. There has been an increase in sexual crimes and homicides and a precipitous rise in antisemitism and attacks on churches. Instead of reporting on jihadist attacks, the mainstream media provide cover for attackers by remaining silent, fearing accusations of “Islamophobia” or attributing the cause to “psychological problems,” but never to Islamism or jihad.
Although the erosion of European culture has been ongoing for decades, the continent is being permanently changed with the unabated flood of Muslim migrants, propelled along by the lack of political will to stop it. Any program that would interrupt the migration momentum would require “mass economic support to sub-Saharan Africa,” which “is not going to happen.” Absent a Marshall Plan for Africa and Afghanistan, “this is really unstoppable.” Over the next fifteen years or so, if Germany sustains its current migration level, it will be almost twenty percent Muslim. This demographic shift will irrevocably strengthen the presence of Sharia law, which runs “parallel” to Europe’s democratic order. “It’s a very sad prognosis for the future of Europe and for the future of Judeo-Christian culture on this continent.”
https://www.meforum.org/64536/soeren-kern-on-europe-alarming-new-migrant-crisis
Indeed, though very large parts of sub-Saharan Africa are Christian and I would not want to live there either.
In some of those parts Islamists are busily trying to kill off Christianity.
Doubtless, though I wouldn’t want to live anywhere in Africa
I take issue with the phrase “Eastern and Islamic background”. The vast majority of Hindus, Sikhs, Buddhists etc. have no problem integrating and while they don’t share all Judeo-Christian moral values they’re very rarely hostile to the West and want to replace our laws with their own religious laws. It’s only Muslims, or some of them bolstered by zero real condemnation from the rest, that think their values are superior, hate the West and represent a threat.
If you cannot protect your border, you cannot protect your culture and values. Poland Hungary and a few others are showing us how to do this by not accepting EU migrant quotas, despite the usual spitting fury from the mass immigration progressives that are attempting to destroy national identity which they see as the enemy of global governance.
So UK foreign policy and aid does not create safe homelands that people do not want to leave? Perhaps change foreign policy unless this situation is the intended result.
Yes, I was thinking something on similar lines, ie that perhaps it would be a good idea to cancel all the international debt and stop strip mining/exploiting and unsettling/disrupting all these countries …. unless the aim is in fact to trigger so many into coming here.
Reconquer Africa to end the abhorrent conditions in many parts of it would doubtlessly be a worthy goal but not a profitable one. Not to mention that the US left would go bezerk over it as that’s not a problem it’ll ever have to deal with. And there’s also a question of where to find all the people who would have to become soldiers. English OAPs would obviously be of little use here.
Unsayable in the circles Shriver moves in- the “educated” middle class
What’s the educated middle class?
People who are financially comfortably off with university degrees
The same as the uneducated middle class but with O’Levels.
I made the distinction because in my personal experience people on middle class incomes such as small business owners and tradesmen tend to be more socially conservative and happier to speak freely.
I was just making a joke tof. It was too good to miss.
Sorry
Maybe I have a form of “long Covid” that impairs the sense of humour:)
I found the original question somewhat odd….
No need to apologise tof.
This has been clear as the nose on my face for decades but in all the coverage it seems that the cause of the housing shortage is a mystery ..lol
I also think the “official” current population numbers of around 67 million are already way off.I remember reading somewhere that the supermarkets reckon, based on food consumption we are already scraping 80 million or so.
Plus always remember that the published numbers are all based on estimates as lots of illegals do not , by their nature , get included in census numbers ..
I think the water companies have been saying similar – you could argue that food waste means that supermarkets aren’t necessarily accurate about consumption, but the amount of stuff coming out the other end is indisputable.
A link without a paywall;
”Another defeat saw peers back an amendment stating that actions under the Illegal Migration Bill cannot conflict with the UK’s obligations under the UN Refugee Convention, European Convention on Human Rights and other agreements on child protection, trafficking and statelessness.
The new laws are key to the prime minister’s plan to “stop the boats” and aim to allow the government to detain and deport all small boat migrants, without considering their asylum or trafficking claims.
When the bill was introduced to parliament, home secretary Suella Braverman made an unusual statutory declaration that it may not be compatible with the Human Rights Act, but she said elsewhere that it was compatible with international law.”
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/small-boats-illegal-migration-bill-lords-b2365903.html
“European Convention on Human Rights and other….”
Which will be abolished if, sorry when, the government signs the Pandemic Preparedness Treaty / International Health Regulations.
Germany’s AfD party gaining popularity as citizens are sick and tired of non-stop migration and the dangers these migrants pose. They seemingly can’t even go to swimming pools anymore;
”The AfD has been the only serious party promoting a halt to mass immigration. The “center-right” CDU, which introduced open borders under former Chancellor Angela Merkel, has zero credibility on the issue. The other parties are looking to dramatically increase immigration numbers, with many of them promoting figures as high as 500,000 a year while also racing to naturalize foreigners just in time for them to vote in the next round of national elections.
The report details how the entire Columbiadamm swimming pool in the multicultural neighborhood of Neukölln, Berlin, was closed down due to over 40 warring youth. Welt lays the blame squarely at the feet of “macho culture” from immigrant youth. In Pankow, a swimming pool had to be shut down twice in one week due to mass brawls between young people.
However, the brawls in Berlin were far from isolated incidents. June has seen sexual and physical assaults at swimming pools across the country, including a case where seven different girls were sexually assaulted all at the same pool by different groups of men, including Syrians.
In the German city of Celle, 20 “rampaging youth” attacked swimmers, sexually assaulting them, including beating one female who rejected their advances. When lifeguards attempted to stop them, they threatened them as well. As a result, the entire swimming pool was shut down.
Just seven days ago, Germany’s Bild newspaper, the best-selling newspaper in Germany, featured an article with the headline, “Germany, your bad swimming pools” with the subheadline: “Can’t we just go to the outdoor pool in peace?”
https://rmx.news/crime/migrant-crime-in-june-from-clan-battles-to-pool-brawls-shows-why-germanys-afd-party-is-surging-in-popularity/
If you ever saw any footage of such swimming pools in summer (I did) you’d have noticed that they’re absolutely overcrowded, with maybe half a square meter per person (about 1 1/2 square feet). No wonder that violence ensues from that. The proximate cause for that is that green-left-extreme left coalitions like the one ruling Berlin simply refuse to invest in any local infrastructure save creating ad hoc housing establishments for more immigrants and painting random stuff in rainbow colours (oversimplification, but principally correct).
‘Court of Appeal has today blocked the Government’s Rwanda plan’.
Is the country run by elected politicians or unelected judges?
This is the war being fought in America, Israel and the UK.
Sunak and his globalist pals are happy to be overruled because it keeps the floodgates open.
Blair knew exactly what he was doing when he created the SC.
If the Conservatives meant business (we all know they don’t) they’d cancel it.
Bliar has been working for the Davos Deviants since he first got in to Parliament. He is probably the most treasonous person ever to hold a British passport.
Along with the traitor Heath
Thanks for reminding me. Yes, Heath too.
Why not simply do what France does and deny them the right to a house? If they are instantly better off coming here than staying in the EU they may well not come here. Even better would be to make them significantly worse off by coming here.
As to the depressed birth rate, no surprises there. Mike Yeadon warned of this before the jabs were even released. Now, what happened medically between 2020 and 2021 I wonder?
“U.K. housing crisis is that prices are so high because demand is strong, and demand is strong…..”
Think you’re a bit behind the times the bottom has just dropped out of the housing market as interest rates rise and government policies are discouraging ‘buy to let’. Trying to sell our house is hopeless even though we’ve dropped the price three times in as many weeks.
As for not building enough houses wherever I go there seems to be acres and acres of house building going on without the infrastructure to go with it. Thus water shortages and hosepipe bans absolutely f all to do with “climate change”.
There is another unsayable factor in the housing situation. I used to live on the South Coast, where there are very few immigrants. The local council leader, a Conservative, explained in public meetings that the reason new houses were needed was because the council now has to house 4 generations rather than three. We are living longer and because older people want to hang on to their assets rather than downsize, we have a housing imbalance for young people
Richard von Coudenhove-Kalergi would be so pleased with the execution of his plan ….. if he were still around to see it being implemented so ruthlessly.
A partial solution is staring us in the face.
One simple piece of technology which would alleviate the lack of new builds is 3D Printing of houses. A concrete mix is laid according to a computer led 3D plan and all conduits for services are included in the design, saving time, materials and money.
Pioneered by China and taken up successfully in Egypt, Germany and The Netherlands, this would cut the building time to between a half and a quarter of current times and thereby reduce the labour cost andf selling price to a fraction of current prices.
Win, Win, for the country and for young people wanting to get on the housing ladder. Great!.
BUT, this would also reduce the developers’ profit, wouldn’t it. (surprise !, surprise !),
So, it won’t happen, unless the government directs it to be so, or produces incentives (aka EV cars). Too many brown envelopes and foreign holidays on private yachts, I suspect….
Those who agree with mass immigration, and think they are so ‘compassionate’, should
have the migrants live with them, rent free, no taxpayer support.