Labour has overtaken Reform UK in the polls for the first time in 18 months. The Timeshas the story:
A YouGov survey for the Times found that Labour were backed by 24% of voters, two points ahead of Nigel Farage’s party on 22%. It is Reform’s lowest score since March last year.
However, the rise in support for Labour has come primarily at the expense of the Greens, who were down one point on 12%, and the Liberal Democrats who were also down one point on 11% compared with August 2–3. The Conservatives, meanwhile, were up two points on 21%, putting them a point behind Reform.
Labour’s poll increase is driven by a marked rise in its 2024 voters who said they would vote for the party again if a general election were held tomorrow.
In June, when Sir Keir Starmer stood down, 49% of the voters who gave him his landslide victory said they were still supporting the party. This rose to 60% in the latest poll. At the same time the number of Labour voters who said they would back the Greens has fallen from 19% in June to 8% this week.
Reform has lost ground to the Conservatives in recent weeks. At the start of June, 34% of 2024 Tory voters said they would back Farage’s party – a figure that has now dropped to 22%.
https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/09/17/world/russia-brazen-attacks-europe/ A Bloomberg source close to the Kremlin said outright that Russia intends to “make…
The timing of Burnham’s “coronation” couldn’t have been better for him.
RTSC
1 month ago
YouGov routinely finds lower support for Reform than other pollsters.
However, Reform has made some mis-steps in recent months …. and the biggest one was working so hard to rid the country of Two-Tier-Keir. with hindshight, they should have aimed to severely wound, but not dispatch him.
ChrisA
1 month ago
The cons have literally been shafting the idiots over a barrel whilst laughing and inviting all of Africa to come join in, and apparently they simply have to say they won’t do it again and, well, that gets most of the old Con voters back, I despair.
That said another 3 years of Net Zero, anything but zero African rape immigration, and general interference with every aspect of ones life and I dare say things will go the other way again.
Hound of Heaven
1 month ago
Since people are losing their jobs for supporting Reform they might be dodging the question. Anyway, no one has asked me.
mrbu
1 month ago
The other question, of course, is what proportion of the different age groups would actually bother to turn out and vote. That could skew the results at the ballot box significantly.
I note that the opinion poll doesn’t include those aged 16 and 17. Labour has been talking about lowering the minimum voting age in whole-UK elections.
Looking at those attending Reform events I am impressed by the numbers of younger people and the obvious absence of people from LibDrm demographics.
varmint
1 month ago
Individuals can be intelligent, but collectively the public are as thick as two short planks. To have this treacherous Labour Government ahead of Reform in the polls simply reveals the truth in that old line that “The people get the politicians they deserve”—-This is a government that is bleeding us dry, pretending to save the planet and forcing ordinary people into energy poverty, filling their towns and villages up with migrants because they are fully aligned with the global governance agenda and yet the people still think of voting for them—How utterly absurd.
Some people are switching from the Greens back to Liebour because they’ve finally realised Polanski is an obnoxious little shit but haven’t got the sense to realise Burnham isn’t much better.
They’ve got the same lack of intelligence as people switching from Reform back to the Tories believing that under Badenoch they can be trusted to be a proper right wing party.
What concerns me is the level of support for the Greens among 18-24 year-olds. Is this just an age-related effect that will fade out once these people get more experience of living and working in the real world, or is it evidence that the capture of education by woke ideology is going to do lasting damage?
The left has been busily trying, and succeeding, to destroy the education system for decades, since pre-WW2 in all honesty.
They hate clever, educated people because they are much more difficult to control. One result of the educational abyss is that so many people do not have the sense they were born with.
JXB
1 month ago
Given that opinion polls can be misleading, they do at least give an approximation.
I just cannot understand why between 40% and 50% of the electorate still support the two Parties that have destroyed the economy, society, our way of life, our security, culture, debauched our institutions.
What will it take? Sitting in the cold and dark trying to catch rats to eat before the British population comes to its senses?
Burnham’s announcement that former military camps and HMOs of criminal migrants will be coming to middle class areas so they “take their fair share” will wake up some; especially if darling Chloe or Olivia are raped by one of the oh-so-deserving “refugees.”
Areas across southern England where the LibDems are embedded are likely to take a rightwards shift, just like Crowborough has.
NickR
1 month ago
The left & the right have for some time been 2 separate zero-sum games. The right stuck in the mid 40%s, the left in the mid 50%s.
The right needs to work out how to reach across the centre.
Reform are the only remotely right wing party, and even they are part of the big government socialist consensus. The “centre” is what we’ve had since WW2 – more laws, more taxes, more debt, more immigrants, less freedom.
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It amuses me that “Labour” does better in the absence of parliamentary scrutiny.
The timing of Burnham’s “coronation” couldn’t have been better for him.
YouGov routinely finds lower support for Reform than other pollsters.
However, Reform has made some mis-steps in recent months …. and the biggest one was working so hard to rid the country of Two-Tier-Keir. with hindshight, they should have aimed to severely wound, but not dispatch him.
The cons have literally been shafting the idiots over a barrel whilst laughing and inviting all of Africa to come join in, and apparently they simply have to say they won’t do it again and, well, that gets most of the old Con voters back, I despair.
That said another 3 years of Net Zero, anything but zero African rape immigration, and general interference with every aspect of ones life and I dare say things will go the other way again.
Since people are losing their jobs for supporting Reform they might be dodging the question. Anyway, no one has asked me.
The other question, of course, is what proportion of the different age groups would actually bother to turn out and vote. That could skew the results at the ballot box significantly.
I note that the opinion poll doesn’t include those aged 16 and 17. Labour has been talking about lowering the minimum voting age in whole-UK elections.
Looking at those attending Reform events I am impressed by the numbers of younger people and the obvious absence of people from LibDrm demographics.
Individuals can be intelligent, but collectively the public are as thick as two short planks. To have this treacherous Labour Government ahead of Reform in the polls simply reveals the truth in that old line that “The people get the politicians they deserve”—-This is a government that is bleeding us dry, pretending to save the planet and forcing ordinary people into energy poverty, filling their towns and villages up with migrants because they are fully aligned with the global governance agenda and yet the people still think of voting for them—How utterly absurd.
That dichotomy is caused by propaganda.
Some people are switching from the Greens back to Liebour because they’ve finally realised Polanski is an obnoxious little shit but haven’t got the sense to realise Burnham isn’t much better.
They’ve got the same lack of intelligence as people switching from Reform back to the Tories believing that under Badenoch they can be trusted to be a proper right wing party.
What concerns me is the level of support for the Greens among 18-24 year-olds. Is this just an age-related effect that will fade out once these people get more experience of living and working in the real world, or is it evidence that the capture of education by woke ideology is going to do lasting damage?
The naivete of youth.
The left has been busily trying, and succeeding, to destroy the education system for decades, since pre-WW2 in all honesty.
They hate clever, educated people because they are much more difficult to control. One result of the educational abyss is that so many people do not have the sense they were born with.
Given that opinion polls can be misleading, they do at least give an approximation.
I just cannot understand why between 40% and 50% of the electorate still support the two Parties that have destroyed the economy, society, our way of life, our security, culture, debauched our institutions.
What will it take? Sitting in the cold and dark trying to catch rats to eat before the British population comes to its senses?
Yes
It would be someone else’s fault. Always.
Yougov still carries out surveys under the influence of two and a half party politics.
Burnham’s announcement that former military camps and HMOs of criminal migrants will be coming to middle class areas so they “take their fair share” will wake up some; especially if darling Chloe or Olivia are raped by one of the oh-so-deserving “refugees.”
Areas across southern England where the LibDems are embedded are likely to take a rightwards shift, just like Crowborough has.
The left & the right have for some time been 2 separate zero-sum games. The right stuck in the mid 40%s, the left in the mid 50%s.
The right needs to work out how to reach across the centre.
Reform are the only remotely right wing party, and even they are part of the big government socialist consensus. The “centre” is what we’ve had since WW2 – more laws, more taxes, more debt, more immigrants, less freedom.