After a brief period when post-Covid after-effects were identified as the main culprit for the large rise in excess non-Covid deaths in 2022, that theory now seems to have fallen out of favour. Is that because it dawned on people that if the virus is to blame, then by the same logic vaccine after-effects become implicated as well?
Neither vaccine nor virus has made it into the latest explanations for the rise in heart and stroke deaths. The British Heart Foundation has released analysis laying the blame squarely on the reduced access to healthcare during the pandemic and the consequent backlogs and delays in the system. This is from BBC News:
Extreme disruption to NHS services has been driving a sharp spike in heart disease deaths since the start of the pandemic, a charity has warned.
The British Heart Foundation (BHF) said ambulance delays, inaccessible care and waits for surgery are linked to 30,000 excess cardiac deaths in England. It has called for a new strategy to reduce “unacceptable” waiting times.
The government has said it is investing another £500m to ease pressure on ambulances and boost hospital capacity.
The BHF said its analysis suggests 395,000 people in England could be on a waiting list for a heart test or procedure by April 2023 based on current trends, up from 224,000 before the start of the Covid pandemic.
Doctors and groups representing patients have become increasingly concerned about the high number of deaths of any cause recorded this year. Data from the Office for National Statistics suggests the overall number was 17% higher in England than would have been expected in the week ending October 21st, based on the average for previous years.
Some of that rise can still be explained by Covid, which was mentioned on 523 death certificates in England over the week of October 14th. Another factor could be the ageing population. The headline excess deaths data does not take into account the fact that there are now more older people. This may be responsible for more than half of the total excess.
New analysis of the mortality data by the BHF suggests heart disease is among the most common causes, responsible for 230 deaths a week above expected rates since February 2020. The charity said “significant and widespread” disruption to heart care services was driving the increase. Its analysis of NHS data showed that 346,129 people were waiting for time-sensitive cardiac care at the end of August 2022, up 49% since February 2020. It said 7,467 patients had been waiting more than a year for a heart procedure – 267 times higher than before the pandemic. At the same time, the average ambulance response time for a suspected heart attack has risen to 48 minutes in England against a target of 18 minutes, according to the latest NHS figures.
The BHF said difficulty accessing face-to-face GP and hospital care may have also contributed to the rise. It cited modelling from NHS England which suggested the drop in people having their blood pressure checked because of Covid could lead to an extra 11,190 heart attacks and 17,702 strokes over three years.
Michael Simmons in the Spectator notes the odd lack of interest from Government in the cause of these tens of thousands of deaths.
Despite increased pressure from academics, clinicians and now charities the Government still displays little interest in what could be considered one of our greatest ever health crises. An investigation was promised by the then Health Secretary earlier this year but we’re onto our third Government since then. An official in the Office for Health Improvement and Disparities wasn’t even aware it was something they monitored (they do) when asked earlier this week.
The communications void on the issue is becoming a problem. Senior clinicians are starting to worry that the lack of attention from the Government and the health service is fuelling conspiracy theories. Dr Charles Levinson, CEO of Doctorcall, told me: “The silence around non-Covid excess deaths is fuelling conspiracy theories – the longer it goes on, the worse it’s getting. If the authorities don’t properly address and discuss the issue, this will only further undermine trust in public health.”
Those concerned about possible long-term effects of the vaccine are not the only ones intrigued by excess deaths. Some followers of the data have contacted me to suggest that perhaps there aren’t any excess deaths at all. There’s a worry among some that the crude averages used by the ONS do not account for an ageing population, and other demographic changes that occur over time. But the most senior figures in statistical academia refute this. Yes the ONS data is crude they say, but it’s not the only finding pointing to increased excess deaths.
The OHID use a complicated methodology for their average deaths baseline which does take population change into account. They find excess deaths in 23 out of 39 weeks this year. The institute and faculty of actuaries (who just compare deaths to their 2019 level) finds an excess of deaths too: 1,388 in the week to 21 October, slightly less than the ONS. So three separate sources, with three different methodologies, find the same thing. Excess deaths are not some ‘data glitch’.
This is a good response to the “ageing population” idea claimed by the BBC above to account for potentially over half the excess deaths. We might also point out that since the population hasn’t suddenly started ageing, if this was the explanation it should have been happening every year and we’d always see these ‘data glitch’ excess deaths. But a quick glance at the last decade shows the excess deaths in 2022 are far above those for any other year.
A Consultant in Emergency Medicine told me that in his view the types of cardiovascular problems that are spiking and killing people are not the kind that you would expect to arise from delayed treatment.
Lack of anti-anginal therapeutic optimisation usually means an increase in stable angina, not so much the acute coronary syndromes that result in ventricular fibrillation and sudden cardiac death in adults.
At this stage it is very difficult to prove, but logic would dictate, based on timing, that the deaths are directly attributable to cardiovascular effects of mRNA therapies, perhaps with lockdown neglect increasing vulnerability to them. Correlation is easily made between cardiac deaths and mRNA therapies, whereas VITT [blood-clotting] was more easily correlated to DNA therapy (AstraZeneca). Remember DNA therapy (AZ) is pretty much off the market and they didn’t recommend boosters. The timing of the cardiovascular events is with the mRNA therapies (Pfizer, Moderna).
When you see a population health change (in this case excess all-cause mortality and an uptick in cardiovascular disease) you have to look at how population behaviour has changed. There are only two horses in that race – lockdowns and their effect on health and healthcare access, and mRNA therapies. A reasonable hypothesis would be that the former has laid open vulnerability that the latter has capitalised on.
I’m sure that lack of access to healthcare during the pandemic and the resulting NHS backlogs and delays in emergency care are playing their part in the excess heart and stroke deaths. But these excess deaths are happening all over Europe and beyond, not just in the U.K. Why are those in charge so sure that the experimental mRNA and DNA vaccines that the large majority of the population have been injected with – drugs with known links to heart and blood-clotting problems and no long-term safety data – are not also playing a part? Why is the possibility not even raised, unless to dismiss it as a ‘conspiracy theory’? Leading cardiologists Dr. Aseem Malhotra and Dr. Peter McCullough as well as Florida Surgeon General Dr. Joe Ladapo have backed the theory, and MPs have raised the possibility in Parliament. At what point will journalists treat it with the seriousness it is due and join the calls for a proper investigation?
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Reality rears it’s lovely head. The puzzle is why it took so long.
Obviously BP have understood that at some point Nut Zero has to fail and no matter the timescale the company will find itself sitting on some very profitable assets. We can only hope that reality bites early.
I guess BP are operating in a global market and figure that there will be plenty of buyers for hydrocarbons long into the future, and whatever subsidies and incentives they get from Nut Zero governments are not for now enough for them to bother with windmills.
Look on the bright side concerning the Horse Hill ‘Supreme’ Court decision: The oil will still be there later and will probably become more valuable.
Who “owns” the coal under the UK? Under our feet there must be 1,000 years of assets, frozen since the decision to close deep mines around 2000. Is there some shrewd investor or some canny lawyer who during the fire-sale a few decades ago “bought” for a £1 asset (e.g. a mine, or the rights to extract coal) and simply passes it down the generation? If energy prices continue to soar, many mines previously unprofitable or closed down because of politics would suddenly be profitable if they could be re-opened by re-issuing licences. Doubtless a similar situation exists in the US where billionaires presumably bought up defunct mines or “useless” mineral rights and simply hang on, or bequeath them, till the coal becomes “transmuted” into gold when the next generation, immiserated, dark and shivering, repeals Global NetZero and introduces fifth generation clean furnaces.
The Coal Authority https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/the-coal-authority
So the Coal Authority have the right to grant (for a suitable fee) or refuse a licence to explore for or extract coal, but do not own or utilise the asset themselves. So it’s a modern-day rent seeking operation?
Yes all very sensible if we were living in the real world. But we are living in the NET ZERO world. A world where we have forced ourselves “In Law” to reduce emissions and as far as energy production is concerned coal has the highest CO2 emissions. So only under very remarkable circumstances would coal be considered, although it did happen in Germany after they had made the silly decision to close down all Nuclear. They had to open 14 new coal mines or face blackouts.
But if reducing CO2 emissions is really what this all about then we would be going all out for Nuclear Energy. The fact that many of those climate fundamentalist groups don’t want Nuclear indicates their motives are less to do with climate and more to do with control of wealth and resources and especially fossil fuels which power 85% of the world. Net Zero is simply just anti capitalism with climate as the plausible excuse that large portions of the public accept because they are indoctrinated nearly everyday about a climate crisis on Mainstream News Programs
Some good news!
So will they return to being called British Petroleum instead of Beyond Petroleum? We are soon going to have an extremely eco fascist Labour Government with the likes of Miliband in there seeking to suck up the arses of the UN and WEF and pretend to save the planet harder and faster then every other country, so you can imagine how Miliband and his crew of eco fundamentalists will react to what BP are supposedly doing now.
But what we should really all be scared off is a huge Labour majority which will make them virtual Emperors able to enact every absurdity in the Sustainable Devlopment book, and impoverish us all in line with this UN idea that western lifestyles are “unsustainable”, in other worlds our standard of living is too high. —-Think about that for a second. Your government agrees that your standard of living is too high. This is preposterous. But be in no doubt with this massive majority that Labour are seemingly going to get on the 4th July people are going to see this squirming bunch of eco fascists set about getting rid of everything that makes our lives comfortable all under false pretences of a climate emergency.
And all the while our idiot political class continues to demonise fossil fuels and making investment in this country impossible, leading to ever-increasing imports and the flight of profitable fossil fuel companies.
Bravo BP! Drill baby, drill.
Get your butts down to the Falklands and start building a new Sovereign Wealth Fund from the liquid gold and gas fields discovered there. Before the Argies nick it.
Norway’s wealth fund is approaching $1.5Trillion.
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The insanity of Net Zero.
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