It was inevitable that the World Health Organisation (WHO) would up the pandemic ante regarding monkeypox. All the signs were there such as the possibility of more dangerous variants, airborne spread and asymptomatic spread; mandatory isolation for cases, and those old chestnuts: test and trace and mass vaccination. It is reported that any reluctance on behalf of the WHO members to declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern over monkeypox was overruled by Director General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus.
So, what are the facts to date regarding monkeypox? The latest estimate from the WHO is that there are now around 15,000 cases of monkeypox across the globe, a mere 0.0001% of the world population (one in a million) and a grand total of five deaths. If these deaths were evenly spread across the globe, then the case fatality rate would be 0.03% (three in 10,000). Since these are estimates and with such a disparity between cases and deaths this is also a reasonable estimate of the infection fatality rate which is the risk an individual infected person has of dying of the infection. To reiterate, the present figures indicate that you have a one in a million chance of being infected with monkeypox and if you are infected you have a three in 10,000 chance of dying.
However, mortality is not evenly distributed across the globe. The recently recorded deaths are all in Africa, which is where deaths from monkeypox always occur. The disease is endemic in West Africa and the Congo Basin where general levels of health are poor and people have access to a healthcare system described as one of the worst in sub-Saharan Africa. HIV/AIDS is also endemic which, along with malnutrition and dehydration, means that even a mild virus such as monkeypox may kill. It is estimated in Africa that the mortality rate ranges from one in a hundred to one in ten but the risk outside of Africa where people tend to have a much better level of general health and access to much better healthcare is negligible.
Moreover, the risk of catching monkeypox is even less evenly distributed across the population because the present spread of monkeypox is almost completely restricted to a single high-risk group, men who have sex with men, who constitute 95% of cases. CDC guidance is careful to state that monkeypox can be spread by any kind of penetrative sex (anal, vaginal or oral) without any specific warnings about anal sex. But if this is the case then less than 5% of cases are likely to be spread by vaginal sex which, if WHO estimates are correct, means that internationally fewer than 750 people have contracted monkeypox through vaginal sex. Clearly, the carnal act that defines ‘the love that dares not speak its name’ is a prime route of transmission but our public health officials are too woke to be so specific and careful to avoid stigmatising gay men. This seems like very poor public health advice given, as described in one case of monkeypox, the infected person had “excruciating internal and external lesions around his anus”. If people are specifically at risk for something, they ought to be told.
It is hard to understand what motivates the WHO and its Director General who, depending on one’s perspective, is either a humanitarian or a man guilty of genocide. The parallels both with the spread of the recent novel coronavirus and the less recent spread of HIV/AIDS are hard to avoid. On the one hand a flu-like virus affecting a very similar demographic to flu, after some vacillation by the WHO over the nature of the public health measures, was managed through a hysterical overreaction and curbs to essential freedoms of speech, assembly and movement. On the other hand, a disease being spread by and largely among men who have sex with men is being managed by telling us we are all at risk. To date the ensuing reaction has been less hysterical than comical as, for example, in the CDC advice to have sex fully clothed and to masturbate at least six feet away from your partner. Little do the ignoramuses who sit round a table and dream up this garbage realise that people who masturbate are usually doing so because they cannot get within six feet of a sexual partner.
It is hard to avoid the notion that there is something very contrived about the monkeypox story. One source claims that monkeypox specific vaccines have been in preparation for at least two years and since the U.S. Government recently ordered 2.5 million doses of monkeypox vaccine it seems this source may be correct. These are early days, so no figures are available for the efficacy of monkeypox vaccines but any reference to a specific monkeypox vaccine inevitably includes a mention of the smallpox vaccine, which is said to be “at least 85% effective” against monkeypox. Sounds good but, of course, this figure must refer to relative risk reduction (your vaccinated risk compared with an unvaccinated person’s), not absolute risk reduction which is your vaccinated risk taking into account the risk of getting infected in the first place. These are not the same thing and, while they converge where risk of being infected is high, they are widely divergent where the risk is low. Where the risk is negligible, as in the case of monkeypox, any advantage offered by vaccination is likely also to be negligible.
Children are to be targeted for vaccination and this is being spurred by reports of two cases amongst children in the United States. Once again, children are going to be given something that probably does not work for something they are extremely unlikely to catch and that is unlikely to have any serious consequences if they do. On the other hand, the vaccine – like all vaccines – has considerable side-effects such as: “Pain and itching at the injection site and headache, muscle ache, sickness and tiredness. About one in 10 people will have chills and fever, but these should not last more than a few days.”
Against this background of viral doom and gloom it is heartening to observe that nobody seems to give a monkey’s about monkeypox. Even the mask maniacs, lockdown fanatics and health fascists who were so quick to lecture us Covid sceptics on social media and to consign us to the ‘wrong side of history’ are silent on monkeypox. With any luck they know the game is up for the global doom-mongers.
Nevertheless, I see that the WHO is not giving up without a fight. It has appointed arch-doom-monger and fully paid up Communist Susan Michie (not a doctor) who did so much to spread fear during COVID-19 to chair its psychological nudge unit (a.k.a. the Technical Advisory Group for Behavioural Insights and Science for Health). My only advice is ‘prepare to repel boarders’; the fighting may become fierce.
Dr. Roger Watson is Academic Dean of Nursing at Southwest Medical University, China. He has a PhD in biochemistry.
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Perhaps the most likely outcome is that WHO will fall into disfavour, to the extent that they will lose revenue in the future. Perhaps a robust chancellor could deal with it?
We can but hope.
Mockery is the best weapon we have for the useless diktats & pointing out the truthful back history of Tedros, not a medical doctor, former member of the Tigray Liberation Front, Marxist & indicted for war crimes committed whilst a member of said TLF.
Who in their right mind would take health advice from such an impeccably credentialed individual?
The DoH, that’s who…..
Ably assisted by Susan Michie as the newly appointed chief of PsyOps for the WHO. Yes, mockery is the best weapon against this mob.
To me it sounds like the WHO needs Neil Fergusson’s computer modelling software to do some predicting of cases and deaths. That should cause enough wet beds to get the world into self-destruct mode again.
And the call goes out:
“Can somebody get Mr Ferguson on the blower? We need one of his models of doom and bloody quick.”
A superb article which tells it straight.
I don’t believe anybody is treating moneypox as anything other than a joke and a scam. Actually this push to wind people up about this non event will probably help because more and more people will start to question the whole story.
Thanks very much.
Or even monkeypox – although as money talks, it might have created a financial virus as well!
Keeping my eye out for a strange, unexplained and unexpected resurgence of the smallpox virus.
It’s like some sort of magic trick, with diseases being pulled out of hats instead of rabbits. A scare about bubonic plague would be a doozy. Apparently there are around 650 cases a year worldwide on average (that would be almost a pandemic according to WHO), so I have no doubt the next time it is identified in some poor soul it will immediately become major worldwide media fodder and an opportunity taken to nudge, nudge and nudge again that insidious narrative of fear.
Yes, forget all this scaremongering about a novel virus or an unusual one caught by gays and mainly found in Africa ….. they need to release one that will really scare the bejesus out of the world because of a collective folk memory: The Black Death.
They could release a WHO “information” film about it, complete with scary music, rats scurrying around, close-ups of buboes and mass graves.
Here’s something to raise your spirits…someone put up a big post up on our local social media group (14,000 members) giving whereabouts of Covid drop-in vaccination centres. That was 23 hours ago. Zero likes! I think that indicates a change in the wind…
They are now free to crank mRNA vaccines gene therapies for everything including flu and I recently saw Hep B which is required by most universities in the US now.
Meanwhile people keep dropping on the ground or “suddenly dying “ with excess deaths through the roof and no significant investigations.
mRNA was the golden goose for Big Pharma as it’s a simple replica table process from computer generated RNA string of the target viral string to synthesis using crisper. Cheap and fast and now not needing proper trials and with the WHO and Medical industry captured to mandate them to us, it’s a big money spinner….
Indeed, it’s mRNA all the way now. No more flu shots for me from now on. I guess that means I’ve become a true anti-vaxxer. All I need now is the t-shirt
OK I’ll say it again.
How can we be sure it’s not capable of achymptomatic transmission.
My vomit is yellow and smells of bananas. Do I have Monkeypox?
Just drop the “k” and you get MONEYPOX, as that is what this thing is really about.
As per my earlier posts.
Why mainly gay men in the UKHSA data? Why doesn’t Watson query this especially after the last two years of UKHSA lying? The levels of heterosexual ‘partner change’ on weekend nights in any major city should easily facilitate so-called heterosexual ‘monkeypox epidemic’ if the pox exists. The WHO statement by Drs Tedros/Lewis announcing yet another ‘global pandemic’ was laughably unscientific suggesting a ‘virus’ passaging through ‘families’ (without ‘infection’) and made a B-line for gay men. The UKHSA are case finding amongst a captive market of ‘sexual health’ clinic attenders; many of whom are HIV+ and on antiretrovirals (ARVs) so are used to 6 monthly ‘viral load’ (PCR) tests. Another monkeypox PCR is now thrown into the fray for so-called ‘monkeypox’ if ‘skin lesions’ / ‘cold symptoms’ exist. The UKHSA is constructing an epidemic using gay men which Watson sadly takes at face value because he doesn’t read the literature on how this was previously falsified in the so-called AIDS ‘epidemic’ (Cochrane 2003 ‘When AIDS Began’, Routledge). From speaking to those so-called diagnosed with monkeypox, what is apparent is there’s no uniformity to the reported ‘lesions’, or even the case histories. What’s common is the use of sensitive PCRs without any gold standard isolated or purified virus to validate diagnostic specificity as there’s no purified viral isolate. One microbiologist told me last week: “..at least with gonorrhoea we’ve got the real bacteria in purified form to validate our PCRs”. ‘Monkeypox’ PCRs are being use on populations taking ARVs who are toxic with levels of cellular oxidative stress that will facilitate positive PCRs. The UKHSA are under pressure by WHO via Porton Down to create an epidemic because that’s what UKHSA role is now as the NHS has lost its scientific sovereignty by becoming an infrastructure of contagion-fear to funnel antivirals and quackcines into the population. It’s sad that Watson can’t see this for what it is.
Newsflash: Gorilla glue is flying off the shelves.
Nightingale Hospitals to re-open
