Winter deaths are usually running high at this point in January, but this year is different. According to the latest figures from the ONS, released today, in the week ending January 14th there were 6.1% fewer deaths than the five-year average in England and Wales (872 fewer deaths). Note that the five-year average the ONS uses doesn’t include 2020, but 2016-19 (which has historically low mortality) and 2021.
In the previous week there were 7.8% fewer deaths than the five-year average (1,036 fewer deaths).
A reflection of the mildness of Omicron and the level of immunity in the population, this makes 2021-22 a mild flu season, and further underlines how unjustified any measures to combat coronavirus now are. The state of emergency and all laws and guidance – including the vaccine mandates – must be removed without delay so that healthy normality can be restored.
This article has been corrected for a mistake in the information about which years are included in the ONS five-year average.
Discussion
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I don’t understand why 2020 and 2021 have been excluded from the 5 year moving average.The whole point of a moving average is that it smooths out fluctuations and variance including high death years and low death years. If you exclude ‘high death years’ then the average is going to be skewed.
But it’s not about public health is it? These tricksters will find ways to keep on spinning the yarn ( why suspend NHS mass sackings until September, if no plans to scaremong once again, as Winter approaches then?). The NHS 100K must just be the start of properly organised resistance to the tyrants.
“It’s over” until the next variant. As this will be new, it will not be known for some weeks how virulent it is, so restrictions will be imposed during that period. I hear “We must learn to live with the virus” but those who say this never explain how.
I think it is a big mistake to make the number, of lack of, deaths a reason for it (the restrictions, mandates etc) to be over.
They should be over for 2 reasons:
they were never ethical
there was never any proof or reasonable grounds for believing they would make any significant shortterm benefit and lots of grounds for believing they would make the Covid death toll worse in the long term. And that excludes all the collateral damage.
It’s not over. We must hold the line. Covid has never been isolated but the vaccines are indeed doing their job of ruining immune systems of those who have been jabbed. The lull before the storm is now upon us. The Globalists want us to concentrate on yet another phoney and illegal war. This time in Ukraine. They want to bring down Russia whilst quietly giving CCP the go ahead to stop supply chains by closing their ports and allowing the Beijing Olympics to go ahead. This is disgusting.
in the meantime the vaccinated will begin to fall sick and die. Slowly, surely and over time the young will see they have been sterilised.
when the athletes arrive back from Beijing they may well be carrying another bio weapon disguised as a virus to hit the Western World in the Autumn. Then, believe me, credit control and 100% surveillance will arrive, chipping, by poverty, confiscated property and the start of depopulation. you may laugh and call me a conspiracy theorist but we have yet to be proven wrong.
we will win against the Globalists and Central Banking System. But we have to stop using their language and… Read more »
Careful what you say. They will put it down to the success of vthe jab and restrictions impoosed. Had it not been for all these things we would all be dead by now.
It’s not really over until the Coronavirus Act is repealed, the state of emergency ended, government by diktat is over and Parliamentary Democracy is restored.
Fit, well, happy and healthy …
And then the gene serums …
Nobody with skin in this game is EVER going to accept it’s ”over”. There are ”social credit passes” to be brought out next and nothing must be allowed to stop that plan. Ursula Wunder Lederhosen has just told us so.
Ivermectin help reduce the severity of vaccine adverse reactions. If someone is suffering from a post vaccine syndrome, FLCCC clinicians and a growing network of colleagues have reported significant clinical responses to ivermectin. Because Ivermectin has 5 different mechanisms of action against coronaviruses, the medication is also effective with the different variants of the virus. Get your Ivermectin while you still can! https://ivmpharmacy.com
“…this makes 2021-22 a mild flu season…”
What is the basis for this claim? Please provide figures for comparison so that this claim is crystal clear.
The best way to understand any of this is to imagine a heist and then a cover story and distraction so that they can get away with all the spoils. This isn’t difficult to understand when you look at where the stock market was at in January 2020, Every single step can be traced to an economic motive. All I can say is don’t let the bastards win and don’t be subsverivent to their agenda or timeline. Theirs is a system of death and we can do better than that.
“The party’s over,
It’s time to call it a day,
They’ve burst your pretty balloon,
And taken the moon away.
It’s time to end the masquerade,
Just make your mind up, the piper must be paid”
A song by Peggy Lee. Suitable for many occasions and events since this sh*show started in 2020.
ONS data for UK death rates, all causes over 5 years. Taking into account age-related deaths and age-related illnesses these figures are not out of kilter (stabilised). Ask yourself why did the World go bloody crazy and destroy so much?
Major South West City – 260,000 population
2017 2,582
2018 2,402
2019 2,545
2020 2,598
2021 2,646
United Kingdom (Total includes above) – 68 Million (2020 figure)
2017 533,253
2018 541,589
2019 530,841
2020 608,016
2021 581,844
Useful discussion by some US doctors of what’s in the vacs.
https://sovren.media/video/what-is-in-the-mrna-vaccines-675.html
Includes hints on what to say to ‘believers’ if you want to be, er, believed.
You have to accept that many people like it, regardless of utility. Some of the characters I see wearing masks outside are positively revelling in it. In order to proffer a commentary on our state of affairs you need to understand the psychology of this country. And for a lot of people for various reasons this is a touchy subject. Trust me when shit gets serious we will not be very concerned about each other’s thoughts.
Deaths in New Zealand on Youtube.
https://youtu.be/VVxmAIKjYM4
I hope this stays.
I don’t know why you even bother with this shite. If we accept as a premise that this was largely a manufactured situation then of course the edifice will naturally become more and more shaky as time moves on. Even if we had mass enlightenment tomoorow the evil that they are trying to get away with is for me enough to be the prime purpose of my life. Bullshit here or bullshit there – they have already fucked people up big time. Especially the younger folk and the damage continues. You don’t get away with that sorry fuck heads.
There’s no need for language like yours. I hope you get banned.
“…this makes 2021-22 a mild flu season…”
On what basis is this claim made?
Yes, I think the author is wrong about that. If you look at the figures just published by Cloud6, there has clearly been an uptick of total deaths. Of course, the uptick might be due to extra deaths from untreated illnesses and cancelled operations….
But I thought they said global warming would increase deaths.
That’s for later in the year.😀
“Note that the five-year average the ONS uses doesn’t include 2020 or 2021, only the historically low-mortality years 2015-19, so this is an extremely low figure indeed.”
Much dodgy inference has been drawn from the five-year average. I didn’t know the years 2015-19 were historically with low mortality, but it figures. Better to use a 10-year or 20-year average, and never to cite it without also citing a statistic for spread. Using 10 or 20 years would also enable more confidence to be had about spread itself and about how unusual any shift is, with unusualness measurable as a z-score.
It is always better to use as much historical data as is available to get the best context possible.
Hey flu come back! you left your symptoms behind!
Dear Mr. Jones.
Do you know what a trend is?
It isn’t 2 samples that diverge from the previous 100.
Here’s a story, with some facts.
I am a golfer, with very limited ability.
Yesterday I hit 100 balls at the driving range.
Most shots were poor to moderate, but my last 2 were truly excellent. No-one could have done better!
Using your methodology, I could be declared world class.
You are a world class idiot, that’s for sure.
Respond rationally to this narcissistic troll?
I wouldn’t say a complete idiot. More a lower-midwit with exceptional levels of delusion.
Being innumerate is the qualification for branch covidianism.
Better spend more of your time on the golf course then, and less time with your fact-free trolling here.
You are not comparing like with like…
“Deaths Trending 6% Below Average in Mid-January – Time to Accept It’s Over.”
If it’s true that Midazolam was copiously dished out in nursing and care homes in 2020 to artificially raise the death rates in order to blame the increase on SARS‑CoV‑2, it would explain this 6 percent below average death rate in January 2022.
The explanation being that many people that nature had ear-marked to end their earthly existence in January 2022 had all been euthanised with Midazolam in 2020.
Around the start of the plandemic, extraordinarily large amounts of Midazolam was bought by the UK authorities. Midazolam is such a powerful sedative that it is used to assist in judicial executions in the United States.
There’s also evidence that in a clinical trial in the UK to test hydroxychloroquine’s ability to treat SARS‑CoV‑2, that test subjects were given something like three-times the fatal dose of this drug.
It’s claimed that some of the test subjects died as a result of being overdosed with this drug, but were falsely recorded as having died from COVID-19. And which resulted in the clinical trial finding that hydroxychloroquine was a failure in the treatment of COVID-19.
… Read more »
One word for you….
Flu
The lack of flu could and probably does explain low death statistics for early January.
Get your leader to look at confounding factors.
The lack of flu is because covid has been the dominant respiratory illness over the last couple of years. Now it’s becoming endemic flu will make its fabulous comeback.
For all you people that feels a need to respond rationally to this narcissistic troll.
“Your leader”. I presume you are referring to TY or TDS or whoever wrote the article. They are not my leader. I do not have a leader, and I doubt anyone else that posts here has a “leader” other than God or the equivalent for the religious among us.
Don’t respond rationally to this narcissistic troll.
You’re probably right, but he/she ought to be aware that we’re not a Toby Young cult or something. It seems part of a general trend where all sorts of things are assumed about you because you’re on a particular website or because you agree with someone about one thing that you agree with them about everything. It’s simply silly and unhelpful.
Yeah, if covid replaces flu, and the mortality remains the same, then it logically means we should deal with covid just like we did with flu, doesn’t it?
I will argue with whomever I want.
Ah, your snarky response to my civil suggestion got downvoted – and not by me, I might add.
Perhaps the downvotes reflect the fact that engaging with mentally unstable trolls is very much like feeding pigeons, gulls and squirrels in your neighbourhood. Feeding these just attracts more and more of them, and they’ll be excessively noisy and mess up the local area and destroy the paintwork on vehicles.
The food you scatter around also attracts rats and mice. Then all your neighbour’s are pissed-off with you.
Good afternoon Nutcase,
You might have missed to reply on this thread:
“Good morning Nutcase,
At time of writing “rational” has posted 35 of the 189 comments on this article. That’s a whopping 35 percent of the comments so far on this thread that have been made by a chap that weirdly has chosen the misnomer “rational” as his handle.
This percentage alone points to fairly severe mental illness.
And every one of his comments have been ridiculed, laughed-at and shown to be rubbish and self-contradictory. But this doesn’t deter “rational” in any way, shape or form.
There’s an interesting reason behind “rational’s” burst of inane and attention seeking comments this morning. It’s got to do with the moon, the full moon, that is.
In studies done in prisons and psychiatric hospitals it was found that full moons do actually influence people with mental health issues. All nutters, though, were not only affected on the day of the full moon that lasted for a few days thereabouts. Some had massive personality shifts that began just before the full moon and lasted for days afterwards.
For quite a few, though, the effects of the… Read more »
That’s true but, ‘rational’ is like a little dog and I’ve enjoyed throwing him sticks and watching him fetch.
Good point. I feel suitably chastised!
The virus ran out of steam after a couple of years just like every other novel virus in history.
The only difference this time is that mankind squandered huge amounts of time and energy (and, sadly, human lives) trying to “control” an essentially uncontrollable thing and developing an unsafe and ineffective virus, instead of just taking sensible precautions to protect the most vulnerable and asking everyone else to keep calm and carry on as per the Great Barrington Declaration.
No. They didn’t try to control the virus. They jumped in with a long prepared agenda to get rna products into use, and to control us.
Don’t forget, adjusted all cause mortality for 2020/21 was well within normal parameters, despite what this rancid administration told you. So we can safely posit that the vax rollout and Midazolam murders polished many more of the aged with comorbidities off in 2021/22 than a normal year! No flu season last year according to “the science” ….So it must have been within 14 day’s post vax and the midazolam murders what done it guv!
Make sure you thank vaccination for the low death count.
The so called “unvaccinated” have that gold standard natural immunity without the risk of sudden heart attacks or early death !
Well said; have a star.
The 70-80 year olds should make a pilgrimage to the hospital to thank their vaccinators, all right, but only after all restrictions have been permanently removed for everyone, everywhere.
Why? What makes you think the drugs made a difference?
The evidence.
Remember how quickly delta spiked in India and how rapidly it went down – despite most population not being vaccinated there at that point? That’s the relevant evidence.
The evidence? Such as?
.
Not sure what is more comical, your statement above or that you evidently still think the mRNA drugs which the inventor (Dr Robert Malone) couldn’t get to cause less harm than the disease they were supposed to cure are vaccines.
And, in the interests of even-handedness, the probability that most people now wash hands, use gel and think about bodily proximity with strangers more often than previously, thus lowering the odds of flu spreading like it used to.
If anything, one of the few positives likely to come out of this two-year-old shambles.
On the downside, fewer people are likely to trust government messaging and the output of the discredited MSM, so it’s not all sunny uplands.
The govt 2011 pandemic plan recommended that we allow normal life to go on. It said that according to ‘modelling’, closing borders would only slightly slow the rate of spread. (NB I do hope their modellers 10 yrs ago were more competent than Prof. Ferguson of the Phoney Figures.)
If I’ve read correctly, Delta and Omicron are more infectious than flu, and more like measles. So there’s even less case for closing borders. The virus crosses the border anyway.
I don’t think we have any evidence that gels and handwashing make any difference to SARS-2. It was shown that SARS-1 spread via aerosols in 2003; there was a study of deaths in the flats at Amoy Gardens, Hong Kong. To forget or suppress this 2003 study seems incompetent, crooked or possibly both.
Wash hands, use gel and proximity.
WTF are you smoking?
Utter crap.