Gloomy modelling by Neil Ferguson has forecast up to 5,000 Omicron deaths per day this winter unless restrictions are tightened within a fortnight. As usual, the fact that he’s got more or less every previous forecast wrong does not mean he won’t be taken seriously. MailOnline has more.
Neil Ferguson and his team at Imperial College London found “no evidence” the variant is less severe than Delta but estimate it is five-and-a-half times more likely to re-infect people and make vaccines significantly weaker.
Drawing on data from Omicron’s spread in the UK and South Africa, as well as lab tests on vaccine effectiveness, they concluded: “Omicron poses a major, imminent threat to public health.”
Professor Ferguson – a Government adviser whose modelling has spooked No10 into lockdowns before – said tighter curbs were needed “in a week or two” to have a significant effect on the size of the peak of the new wave.
The latest projections will raise fears that Britons could be stung by last-minute festive restrictions once again, with Boris Johnson repeatedly refusing to rule a full lockdown out if hospitalisations start to surge.
Wales has already announced the return of social distancing and closure of nightclubs from Boxing Day, while Scots are urged to limit mixing to three households and people in England are advised to “prioritise” social events.
In a best case scenario, Imperial said without further curbs there could be in the region of 3,000 daily Omicron deaths at the peak in January – significantly higher than the previous record of 1,800 during the second wave.
Professor Azra Ghani, an epidemiologist at the university and one of the researchers behind the modelling, said it was an “illustration of the need to act”.
Yesterday, Chris Whitty told MPs yesterday that he was “extremely cautious” about SAGE’s modelling of Omicron because there are still some “really critical things we don’t know” about the variant.
SAGE’s models have been criticised several times in the past for overegging the UK’s epidemic, most recently projecting 6,000 daily Delta hospital admissions in October.
Worth reading in full.
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Why is that serially incompetent pathological liar continually given a platform by the media?
In fairness, here the story says (last quoted paragraph): “SAGE’s models have been criticised several times in the past for overegging the UK’s epidemic, most recently projecting 6,000 daily Delta hospital admissions in October.”
His views are reported as news because, whether we like it or not, the government still listens to him, thus his views are still important.
I thought he resigned?
He resigned from SAGE and was promptly given a place on NERVTAG which feeds into SAGE.
Those revolving doors again.
Only Gates is allowed to fire him.
Fair enough since Gates paid him $148.8 million.
His views are still only important to the MSM & government because it continues to fuel their fear narrative, otherwise, most people just now laugh at his “modelling.”
Thank you, That’s the comment I was trying to compose.
“the government still listens to him” Maybe, if you believe the government are interested in finding out the truth or are seriously still treating covid as a public health “emergency” that they can “fight”. All the evidence points in the other direction, and Ferguson is useful to the government, as they are useful to him.
In fairness, that doesn’t answer my question, whether you like it or not.
Are you aware of this legal letter to Chair of MHRA Gross Negligence?
https://t.me/s/robinmg/12890
In fairness? More in absurdity.
But at least we have confirmation that Moronic is very mild – the one use that Ferguson has – the inverse law of Imperial fiction.
Rowlocks! Because the government listens to the stream of BS from this source doesn’t mean his views are important. They are usually nonsense, have been for years, and the hoodwinker has a bunch of fools hypnotised.
His “views” are as relevant as his modelling skills; this guy, now in tandem with Whitty is the High Priest of Project Fear. This is a propaganda war against the citizens of the UK – I am not complying. It is very clear “they ” might not want the massive backlash if this Christmas is “cancelled” so put your money on no New Year. The meal mouthed comments from “sources” will be dribbled out over this weeken – cue another press briefing possibly by mid week latest – ” we are not locking down”…..liar..
When you consider that the mandatory vaxxing of all NHS front line staff has been slated …..for April 2022. How crass is that – just so they can say they have “been proactive” or some such bollox even though one scenario is that if this far more transmissable, more infectious but with significantly less symptoms ( i.e. a cold – as the SA doctors have stated already) numbers drop like a stone and hey ho, no mad panic. If this pans out, the duplicity of SAGE/Whitty/Javed & co will be very obvious – to some at least.
That’s argumentum ad ouroboros, chap.
This is the problem with many people. Considering that because he advises the government, his views are still important. He is only one of many bribed, financially involved in vaxes and tests, incompetents. He may well be a Professor, but it in no way suggests he knows anything about that which he offers his alleged expert advice. The evidence of his inaccuracies are there for all to see.
Failure to amend his methodologies – after arriving at the same vastly inflated and never experienced in reality – shows he is not a scientist but a charlatan peddling tripe.
Simples, he’s a ‘Gates Mate’ bought and paid for, like most of the MSM
…
Nail
head.
The man who told everyone to Stay At Home.
Yet the fraud made a comeback. They almost invariably make a bloody comeback, don’t they?
It seems Elvis unwittingly set a precedent. It’s just a pity Ferguson doesn’t have the shades, flared trews and spangled jacket to really pull it off with panache.
I didn’t know the lady was called Panache.
Shes got one & He is one !!…
Haha! However, it is strange that protesters don’t want to go round to Ferguson’s house to have a good old moan at him. It’s back to the old placard waving in Parliament Square and coffee and cake in John Lewis before catching the train home.
Can’t believe some people are still sending e-mails to their MPs. Isn’t there a saying about repeating the same thing over and over and again and expecting to get different results is madness?
Why don’t you pop round, Emerald?
Why? Because Ferguson and Imperial College are the well paid messenger boys of Gates and Co (290 million dollars at the last count). Thats why he is listened to. By using the facade of academic rigour, Ferguson and Imperial College convert the globalists demands into psuedo-scientific documents that can be deployed by policymakers to convince the public that what they are doing is legitimate.
Yes, agree. Have seen this myself, knowing people who work for universities travelling round the world on all-expenses-paid jollies under the umbrella of ‘work’.
Exactly, more to the point who is this imbicile employable?
Because the MSM know that bad news sells and that government advertising money is keeping them afloat.
Because he’s chief press officer Wormtongue for the Gates-Fauci joint aim to force unlicensed pharmaceutical products on every living being.
He needs to cut down on the super skunk
He needs to cut out the THC and stick to the CBD.
Or he just needs shooting.
The latter, anyone?
Annie, get your gun!
‘Moderate, get rid of this for me.’
‘Okay, Annie. Job done.’
‘Fancy a drink?’
‘Yeah.’
Nice dialogue, hey Annie? Almost had a Pulp Fiction feel to it.
If Ferguson was a bookies we’d all be millionaires.
He’d have no punters. They’d all be barred from placing bets because they keep taking him to the cleaners.
Please see my post above/below.
Isn’t this just admitting the vaccines don’t work? Lockdowns to make sure the super shots work?
The “vaccines” will be working just fine at 5000 deaths a day.
I have to confess I chuckled at that, before quickly reprimanding myself for chuckling at mass murder.
Same here TBP!
Mass suicide?
Mass suicide, more like.
Kool-aid, anyone?
Vaccines were always supposed to enable the gatekeepers of Corona to continue with their pointless nonsense without that causing loads of COVID deaths.
“Neil Ferguson and his team at Imperial College London found “no evidence” the variant is less severe than Delta”.
Did they not ask South Africa who have already confirmed it has mild symptoms.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turning_a_blind_eye
Nope, no evidence here
Strange that. They would plug a new born for the chance of a case but readily available “evidence.?”
Ooh, no thanks.
Fuckers.
well I think he is right not to believe that the fully vaxpassed-up nightclubbing old and vulnerable peeps are protected by their boosters. Or does he think the jabbed may succumb to viruses now their natural immunity has been switched off by the gene therapy
now that i’ve sorted a ski trip in Europe in the only place that doesn’t require vaccination for my pureblood gang something is bound to come along and fcuk it up
These 5,000 deaths a day – are these people in favour of lockdowns? If they are then I’m not bothered if they die. If they aren’t then at least we agree we are against lockdowns.
Might I suggest that incompetent chancers like Ferguson need to understand that stuff has consequences.
He has been asked in the past about the consequences of Lockdowns, on the economy, kid’s education, mental health etc etc. His response has always been along the lines ‘Well, that’s not my problem’.
Or, in other words ‘I don’t give a shit.’.
Well i think it’s time he had some skin in the game.
I suggest this sensible approach might be put to him along the lines:- “Now then Ferg. Your X-box says 5,000 a day, which you now share with us all. OK, now we want a prediction which you are quite confident will be within plus or minus 5%. But there will be serious consequences if you are mistaken. Give us your reconsidered number. This time:- Cock on the block!”
If the figures below are true, then it’s evidence if further evidence was needed that the vaccines are useless’
Source UK Column News – 17th December 2021
but luckily they pass the main test – they are still highly profitable
I don’t know why that graphic has been cropped but can’t edit the one above.
They are not useless! – they’re being used to make Pfizer a hell of a lot of money.
The lies are becoming more breathtaking. It’s Downfall stuff.
looks like its started to level off
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases?areaType=overview%26areaName=United%20Kingdom#card-cases_by_date_reported
Yeah right. The thing causing headaches and sniffles in SA is going to be 4 times worse than anything we’ve ever seen here now we have all had it and are also vaccinated.
I used to take science seriously.
This guy is no scientist. He’s a failed theoretical physicist turned shoddy amateur programmer making a living out of the gullible foolishness of the people who employ him.
I read somewhere disreputable, maybe Breitbart or gab, that his modelling programme came on a programme disc free with Practical Computing or some such publication, back in the 80s. Highly unlikely but it made me laugh.
Isn’t it the same modelling program he used for the foot and mouth problem a few years ago that saw many thousands of healthy cattle put down and burnt in pits?
Pantsdown has nothing to do with science.
Get rid of that tw@t asap!
I wasn’t witnessing a somewhat boozy office party in Texas yesterday evening because – exactly as Ferguson predicted – Texas became an almost completely depopulated open air mortuary after pointlessly messing with other people’s lifes in the name of the mighty god Sars-CoV2 was abolished there.
It’s time Johnson gets kicked out of Downing St with a blanket so that he can have some fresh air to protect him from Omicron over the Christmas period regardless if he’s going to listen to this reverse-Cassandra always prediciting doom which never happens. That this serial forecasting failure is still allowed to molest people based on a title is enough for that.
I suggested tomorrow’s protesters should go round to Ferguson’s house instead of just shouting “Freedom!” in Parliament Square. But I was told that Neil is just an innocent shill for ‘Big Pharma’ and should be left to carry on with whatever it is he does.
Given his track record nobody should take any notice of what he has to say.
Exactly.
Everyone can make occasional professional mistakes.
But when someone repeats the same mistakes again and again, week after week, month after month, year after year, and even decade after decade, you have to ask;
Why the fuck does anyone listen to this cunt?
…
Based on best rated DM readers comments so far, he’s getting a right kicking. Some of the comments are choice!
BoJo ‘… and sadly we are seeing the hospitals filling up with Omnicron’.
What are the facts Kay?
https://twitter.com/i/status/1471844144242954248
10 in hospital – none on ventilators and 1 death
The health ministers level of total incompetence there is a sight to behold
The SA Dr who identified Omicron was interviewed on GB News last night. She said that she had yet to see a case severe enough to warrant hospitalisation, to the point where the mild nature of the symptoms she was seeing couldn’t even enable her to identify the parameters which WOULD require hospitalisation.
She made the EXCELLENT point that if you fearmonger, the way HMG is doing, scaring people about the numbers of deaths and hospitalisations Omicron might yield then you are PRIMING people to BE hospitalised. Apologies for the emphasis but I think it is required. In essence she was calling out the UK’s approach as govt sponsored mass hysteria.
It is classic mind – body medicine.
Former premier league footballer, Matt Le Tissier, who was also interviewed and spoke brilliantly, especially about the collapsing athletes, made a similar point, along the lines of the massive fear people have been living under for almost 2 years now is guaranteed to erode the strength of their immune systems as stress and anxiety does; therefore the last thing HMG should be doing is ramping up the fear and anxiety
Very hard now to continue to swallow the line that this is about controlling a public health emergency, especially when the travel and hospitality sectors are being destroyed by it.
Given that Moronic seems more infectious, it’s likely that the numbers of people in hospital and dying for any other reason will test positive, which will be a gift that keeps on giving for the satanists.
The latest development is UKHSA attempting to class hospital admission as anybody testing positive within 28 days before admission.
You’ve lost me there.
At some point in the not so distant future the goal posts will have moved so much that they will have disappeared over the horizon.
Given that Moronic seems more infectious
The currently most fawned over Sars-CoV2 iteration is always the most transmissible virus mankind has ever encountered until it becomes known that it isn’t.
This is a bit like TV washing powder commercials I remember from being a child: The new Persil (brandname) is always the best ever and outclasses anything which came before it. But something which can be improved infinitely cannot have been that great to begin. Hence, the practical conclusion from this cascade of most transmissible evers can only be: Sars-CoV2 isn’t really very good at human <-> human transmission. Available data seems to back that.
It just means that SARS-CoV-2 is sticking to the evolutionary script.
Most pathogens evolve towards greater transmissability and lower pathogenicity as really the only way to improve transmission of their genes. Look at herpes simplex type 1. An infection can last the entirety of their hosts life and the majority of people are asymptomatic. There’s probably viruses circulating in the human population that we have no idea even exist because they are so benign we don’t know they’re there. Maybe ‘rona will go the same way. Seems to be.
I didn’t write about properties of anything natural, just about the propaganda attached to it. And there, the current variant is always massively more transmissible (slight hyperbole) than anything else known to man.
Problem with this: If something can be massively increased with each iteration, it must originally have been quite small and hence, a massive increase, say, by 200%, will result in something that’s still quite small.
It follows that a sequence of such message is inherently self-contradicting: The Delta variant was already supposed to be the most aggressively transmitting virus known so far, basically capable of infecting people who passingly glance at other infected people. The same story is now being recycled for Omicron to ‘prove’ that it’s worse. Hence, it can’t already have been true for Delta. As they were lying to us about Delta, they’re probably still lying to as and it isn’t true for Omicron, either.
Where did Delta+ disappear to?
Does Omicron self identify as DeltaQIA+?
What happened to Epsilon etc. The ones between Delta and Omicron? OR were the W.H.O. already aware of the anagram of omicron before they named it thus and are taking us / central government all for the fools we appear to be.
Probably?
No doubt when they roll out the next scariant of concern, it’s sure to be about 307% worse than omicron…but 617% better than the following scariant patiently biding its time to be in the spotlight.
It wouldn’t surprise me in the slightest if we all still had the Spanish Flu antibodies from the last worldwide pandemic in 1918.
The game changer might be a variant from a location with a high % “Vaxxed” which Omicron appears not to be; if a UK leaky variant develops that might be a lot more scarier?
Yes but there is a world of difference – in terms of the truth about how dangerous Moronic is – between people with co-morbid condits in hospital who pick it up when in hospital where it will likely circulate, and the impact it will have on reasonably healthy people in general circulation. HMG is trying to make the second category of people believe that Moronic will cause them a severe form of the illness which will hospitalise them. The SA dr is saying categorically that is NOT the case.
This is a really good point. If you become anxious when you’re sick, surely this could cause all kinds of additional problems like hyperventilation and raising of heart rate. It seems that a large number of Covid actual cases, have been overnight admissions. I wonder how many of these have been caused by people being moderately ill, but exacerbating their symptoms through panic and stress?
Possibly – but I think the point she was making, and also Matt Le Tissier who was interviewed later on, both by Dan Wooton, was that it is almost like a self fulfilling prophecy. Worry people enough that they will be hospitalised if they get Omicron and it will almost be enough to drive them to A+E and demand to be admitted.
This “emergency” has been specifically designed to erode the nation’s health.
It has never been about a virus.
Stay home – save the NHS.
Aren’t they the ones who are supposed to save us?
Keeeyrect! If it was about public health they would have been treating people with HCQ or ivermectin protocols, pushing vitamin D and issuing tests for that. Other treatment protocols have shown some success, but all have been completely ignored or smeared and banned.
What kind of Chief Medical Officer never even mentions vitamin D?
Personally, I’d call it mass murder.
One alleged death ‘with’ Moronic.
One death?:where? and from what? We should be told.
5,000 deaths a day eh?
Tell you what, I’ll take 4 weeks lockdown through January…..
……IF Ferguson resigns and we never hear from him again if he is wrong.
The ONLY way that he can be correct about this is if jab-related ADE kicks in hard.
Is this what all the fuss is about? Omicron is getting the blame for the jabs f***** everything up.
My view is exactly that – ADE is going to produce lots of cases, alot of these will be poorly with compromised immune systems.
Rinse and repeat.
Its a improvement from the 500,000 deaths he predicted this time last year, that also never happened
How else are they going to hide the ‘vaccine’ deaths?
Whether or not this fraud receives justice in this life, we’ll always have this damning meme. You can bet your last pound note that this pisses the fraud right off.
Rejoice.
Mystic meg had a better track record
And she at least shaved.
Mystic Omicron
Mystic Moronic.
He’ll get justice in this life if he ever shows up here. . .
Referring to yourself as “Omicron” is a bit batty, isn’t it Dr. Ferguson?
I guess they’ve got to account for all the ADE deaths somehow.
My immediate reaction is that if it is that transmissible, social controls aren’t worth considering because they will only delay the spread a little, perhaps buying a couple of days, and that whatever you do everyone who is susceptible will get omicron in short order anyway. If the experts say that social controls would have some value, they must show how much time would be bought, and disclose all their evidence for whatever they say, all their assumptions, and all their computations. “We believe that controls would be valuable to some extent or other”, or “There is too much uncertainty to make computations”, should lead us to reject their recommendations.
Social controls have not worked for any variant, as always predicted
I seem to recall that the government and these ‘scientists’ told us that being vaccinated was the way out of the pandemic. This was the way to the sunny uplands.
Something went wrong there then.
You’re about 136 narrative adjustments behind, Prov.
I am calling…
With no repurcussions for being wrong, why not grab headlines – if that’s what floats your boat. Personally, i couldn’t think of anything worse than looking like a fool time and time again. He clearly has a hide like a rhino.
The real question though, is why anybody still listens to him?
In my right hand, a banana. In my left, a revolver. On the table, a glass of whisky. Here’s how the game works. If you want to make a prediction, step right up. Go right ahead. Now, if it turns out you were correct, you get a banana, a nutritious delicious fruit. If you get it wrong, you take the whisky and the revolver, retire into the small room, and do the decent thing.
No one has to play. But if you do play, you only get one wrong prediction, and it’s the whisky and revolver.
So step right up Professor Ferguson, you’d like to have a go would you.
This is the fundamental problem with the modern world. Ferguson pays no cost for being wrong. The people that promote him pay no cost when he is wrong.
The cost is paid by the hotel worker who will be joining the dole queue in January.
My contempt for this liar knows no bounds.
In modern scientism led by the high priest Fauci, it doesn’t matter how much you overstate , so long as you never understate. Ferguson is just performing to the order of his masters.
i agree, the damage that this one individual has done to this country is immense. It’s a pity that one couldn’t mount a class action for damages against his employers, or could one?
You could always look into it. Let us know. Interesting how Ferguson simply gets away with it – all those suicides he’s caused, for example. Oh well, never mind, he’s someone important in Imperial College, and that’s such a long walk from Parliament Square.
Also, not to worry – Ferguson will soon die of ADE…. right?
Well, it does know bounds, because you haven’t gone round to his home to show your contempt for him.
One issue with Ferguson, no matter how catastrophically wrong his numbers where, he did forecast that suppression via lockdowns would make things worse down the road. It’s clear he was a country mile out, but he could have a get out of jail card, if it came down to it.
Personally I think Imperial should wash their hands of the guy, if they want to retain what’s left of any good reputation.
Imperial and ‘good’ reputation?
How bloody oxymoronic can you get?
Oxymoronic – word of the day, or the next variant of concern™?
My suggestion for the Ferguson fiasco is defenestration from 72nd storey of The Shard.
That wonderful scientific word again.
“Could”
On a much more cheerful note, for us the refuseniks, government figures show total numbers with NO jab.
UKHSA vax surveillance report dated 12th Dec. 2021 :-
23.5 million unvaccinated ( ie no jab).
Bit more than 5 million innit?
Lying bastards.
That’s very interesting, safety in numbers!
Yeah. I am definitely buying this one. I can’t believe that anyone would be so cynical to “release” this on a Friday. To prime everyone for what’s coming on Monday. I mean it’s not like it hasn’t happened time and time and time again.
maybe they might move Strictly on Saturday to accommodate a press conference. Lovely stuff
how come it’s taken 5 months to get to 100k cases a day. That’s where we were going to be in July wasn’t it ?
how come we have so much of this upgraded Virus when we imposed so many rules about cross boarder travel. Why does no one care about their vaccines but keep on vaccinating at a record pace ?
am I missing something ?
It takes time to ramp up testing to 1.6 million / day – clearly he didn’t model the level of testing correctly.
Or anything else.
The border/travel restrictions are to prevent people from travelling. The virus was invented to do the same. When will people ‘wake up’ and realise they want you living in an open prison, your own country? The face masks are just for those who are pulling the strings to have a laugh at just how stupid people are.
Can’t really blame those running the show – people have shown how stupid they are. I very much doubt the Chinese care a jot whether the children of these people get an education or not. Is Stupidity genetic? Discuss.
What’s in it for Him.
Fauci, his US counterpart,is hand in glove with the pharma-industrial complex.
There’s a moti ve here, somewhere
Even India in its worse period only hit 5000 daily deaths for a brief few days.
Perhaps – but not from ‘Covid’.
In Old Testament times, he wouldn’t have been able to make a second prediction as he’d have been put to death after his first prediction was wrong.
Make up the data, screw up the programme, throw the truth away,
That’s how the Pantsdown brings us our five thousand deaths a day.
Colleague at work told me that her brother in law, and a further 5 of his friends, were ill with the latest covid thingy, following a meal they had attended. Two of the group were unaffected. Not sure how many had taken the magic jab, but the brother in law certainly had.
“He said it’s just like a heavy cold” she said.
Thoroughly exasperated, I replied “Because that’s what it is. It’s a cold! Everyone is getting wound up over a cold!”
She changed the subject….
Meanwhile, my other half’s relatives have all got stinking colds to a man and woman. Oh yes – they’ve all been triply jabbed, and can’t understand it. Yet one rang my OH to urge him to get jabbed so he wouldn’t get ill, whereupon he said calmly “But I’m not the one who is laid up ill now, am I?”
Problem is, all these people panicked off for a test, whereas two years ago, they’d have had a lemsip and a couple of days off work. They just don’t get it.
Yes, and that itself is now slowing the economy. Get a typical Christmas cold – just a cold, mild, sniffles – you can’t visit anyone because it plunges them into fear and testing and self imprisonment, can’t have a meal,out, can’t get on a tube due to the terror a sneeze brings, the possible cancellation of Christmas.
Oh, for those happy Christmases gone by when ten per cent of those round the table were drinking Lemsip but bravely battling on.
https://pjhlaw.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/letterMHRA.pdf
Legal public letter from PJH law to Stephen Lightfoot of the MHRA on behalf of Sam White and others, for malfeasance.
These injections are unsafe, still in clinical trial, and should be withdrawn immediately.
Your failure to investigate known concerns amounts to gross negligence in office, and renders you and the executive board liable for serious misconduct in office, mal or misfeasance in public office and, or, rendering all the office holders potentially liable for corporate manslaughter in that you have been wilfully blind to the known harms of the SARS-CoV-2 injections.
You have taken no action. You have a lawful duty to protect the public, and you have wilfully failed in that duty.
The known facts of the SARS-CoV-2 injections are as follows: 1. According to expert evidence relied on by the claimants the US data shows that the SARS-CoV-2 injections are 91 times deadlier than a flu injection. 2. According to expert evidence relied on by the claimants 10 batches of Pfizer SARS-CoV-2 injections are responsible for over 7% of all Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System [VAERS] reported deaths. 3. According to expert evidence relied on by the claimants the true level of adverse events for SARS-CoV-2 injections is likely 11 times higher than that reported by the MHRA. 4. According to expert evidence relied on by the claimants nine months is insufficient time to obtain approval of a regulated injection, such injections usually take twelve years from proof of concept to use. The same expert concludes that the Conditional Marketing Authorisation (CMA) used by MHRA to approve SARS-CoV-2 vaccines in the UK does not sufficiently protect patients from harm, or even death.i Furthermore, multiples of injections, covering a large percentage of the UK population is still ongoing and the risk could involve thousands if not millions of people. 5. According to expert evidence relied on by the claimants there is an abundant evidence base to support the approval of Ivermectin in early treatment protocols as set out in expert witness Doctor Peter McCullough’s, Doctor Pierre Kory and Doctor Tess Lawrie’s witness statement. 6. According to expert evidence relied on the excess deaths in young males are more likely than not to be vaccine induced. 7. According to expert evidence relied on the PCR tests were approved by the WHO in reliance on an academic paper written by Professor Drosten 4 which was peer reviewed and found to be academic fraud. The WHO is itself in receipt of substantial funding by the Gates’ Foundation.
I wish them well but note that if they don’t take the requisite action by 24 Dec then the claimants will seek a high court injunction – and there we have the ultimate stumbling block to the success of this case, like so many others before it, which will require an independent judiciary with the integrity to deal with the case on its merits, as opposed to some back door order they have received from the government.
The judiciary doesn’t get orders from the Government. But they do tend to be middle class TImes/Guardian people who are likely to be disturbed about Covid due to their age group. And they do, most importantly, have to have clear evidence of breaches of the law. This bunch of petty tyrants in Government are morally absolutely wrong, but legally have enormous legitimately obtained powers.
Brilliant. Even if it goes nowhere they have been called out.
And not before time!
Has anyone got a gun? I’m serious, this moron is causing the death of tens of thousands. He needs stopping.
Well, my parents won’t be listening to this hypocritical charlatan any more, nor will they be taking any more jabs. I showed them the evidence for ‘vaccine’ injuries etc., and that was that. But they did ask “why haven’t we been told this before?”. That was another explanation…
Well, how else are they going to hide the vax deaths, cancer deaths, heart deaths ……. ?
As far as I can see, the 5,000 a day figure was the result of the Mail Online interviewing Ferguson i.e. what the Mail Online says Ferguson said. The only formal report from his team at Imperial that seems relevant is this one and I can’t see any forecasting in it at all. The closest it comes is the final sentence:
Our analysis reinforces the still emerging but increasingly clear picture that Omicron poses an immediate and substantial threat to public health in England and more widely.
There are numerous references to Ferguson and his team’s modelling, including a visual of a graph and numerous instances of specific figures from their modelling. Are you seriously suggesting that the Mail have completely misrepresented him?
And given that he is a scientist working in a precision field, if he has been misrepresented so badly he will surely seek redress and to clarify, given that he has long experience with the media, so can reasonably be expected to be quite media savvy?
Perhaps you could ask him and let us know what he says: neil.ferguson@imperial.ac.uk
“Our analysis reinforces the still emerging but increasingly clear picture that Omicron poses an immediate and substantial threat to public health in England and more widely.”
Another filthy satanist lie.
You are right. It must be based on something else that Ferguson wrote, but I can’t find it on the Imperial web site. It would be nice to know what he actually wrote. I don’t think the Mail Online would completely misrepresent him but they are looking for the most sensational possible headline so there may be a difference of emphasis e.g. are the projections for these hypothetical countries really intended to be predictions or just illustrations of what might happen given certain assumptions.
I don’t give a fuck what he wrote. He’s a lying satanist, who has played a part in mass murder.
“ hypothetical countries really intended to be predictions or just illustrations of what might happen given certain assumptions”
God give me strength. He’s not some poor little innocent out of school, he has been round the block. When he opens his mouth he knows EXACTLY how his words will be used and the effect they will have.
… and what is the known mortality from Moronic in S.A?
More importantly, the IFR of Covid19, according to the BMJ, “The corrected median estimates of IFP for people aged lower than 70 years is currently 0.05%, [2] which, for the population less vulnerable to deaths, is similar to influenza. However overall estimates for covid-19 are higher, due to the higher fatality rate in elderly people.”
https://www.bmj.com/content/371/bmj.m3883/rr
so only 3x the normal daily deaths from all causes even at the peak of this shit-show in April last year. ahuh, that’s totally believable
I thought exactly the same. I think we were around 950 Covid-labelled deaths per day at the peak in 2020 – and we know most of those died of illnesses they already had!
In a sane world, Ferguson wouldn’t be allowed to work the cash register at Kentucky Fried. No one this wrong this often should still have a job. But as long as foundations fund Imperial, he’ll be churning out ridiculous models for the BBC to swoon over.
Please, please tell me that video footage of him at Christmas Party exists. It’s likely the only way to drive the stake through this vampire.
I’m speaking metaphorically about the stake. I’m relatively sure Ferguson is not a vampire.
Oh, most of us were happy with the literal meaning
The precautionary principle demands that we should to the stake-thing to be on the safe side: We don’t know for certain that he isn’t a vampire.
There will be 5,000 deaths per day in the ruling elites of this globe should more lockdowns occur.
What a plonker
HOW is anyone still listening to this guy?????!!!!! This isn’t sarcasm, it’s honest bewilderment!
C’mon – he’s the useful idiot.
This is good news! It means we can expect two orders of magnitude fewer deaths from the Dreaded O than what N.F. predicts. Time to move on.
Genuinely don’t understand why this shameless charlatan who has never been right about anything is still given uncritical air time as an ‘expert’.
In medieval times, he’d have been tarred and feathered. Or pitch capped. Or put in the stocks.
No. He’d have been a priest.
No-one in Britain is brave enough to grab him and put him in the stocks. That’s about it, really.
This one was definitely worth a listen even if you’re not a Rogan fan
https://open.spotify.com/episode/0aZte37vtFTkYT7b0b04Qz?si=mL4914WaRI-4E3eSsIL6hw
Does anyone know of an on-line (or High Street) betting shop that will take bets on this number (5000 per day)? I’m reckoning on the usual 1500 – 1800 deaths per day in the UK in January, restrictions or no restrictions, boosters or no boosters. This is a serious query by the way.
The number of people who will die from Omicron this winter doesn’t depend on how many people come into contact with it: it will depend on how ill or old people are and how cold the winter is.
So unless there has been some fundamental shift in the health and living conditions of people in the UK, the number who die from infectious diseases will remain largely the same (allowing for the usual winter peak).
Is anyone else of a betting mind on this?
The Australian Financial Review is going into competition with the professor.
It’s all about covid on today’s front page.
Dr. Vladimir Zelenko said anyone that willfully vilified and obstructed access to hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin in the prevention and treatment of Covid-19 is guilty of first degree capital murder, genocide, and crimes against humanity. They are trying to jab as many people as possible so that their great reset aka depopulation plan work. I believe in God & Jesus. If I get sick I will take my Ivermectin that I stashed just in case and leave rest to God. If you want to get Ivermectin you can visit https://ivmpharmacy.com
Hasn’t he/she cried wolf before?
Indeed. The difference being, in the original case the rational citizens ceased to believe the boy after his second blag.
If he could just work himself into the right position it would be win win.
There was a period of time in my life when I had exponential sex. The number of partners I had doubled every few days until eventually there wasn’t enough minutes in the day for me to satisfy everyone.
Then there is reality…
I come here just to regain my sanity. Regard myself as average intelligence but even I get overwhelmed by the lies washing over us like a tsunami.
Neil Ferguson has plucked these figures from his arse.
He can shove them back there.
There may be 5,000 deaths per day but it won’t be from omicron. Seeing a slew of elderly, double jabbed, some boosted dying “with covid”.
If as predicted these experimental biologicals cause adverse events and deaths (Cdc VAERS), and reduce our innate immune systems, depress genes/proteins in the body which protect us from cancers. Well then, yes 5,000 people a day dying is probably a low figure. But their deaths will not be from omicron. Quite the opposite, the experimental biologicals without a soupçon of safety will do their magic.
I am “prioritising” social events: I’m going to as many ‘do’s’ as I can, whether the likes of Ferguson or Whitty approve or not. Rollox to SAGE, UKHSA, Johnson, Starmer and all of the ” where’s your mask!?” brigade.
A highly reassuring update. Ferguson has never been right about anything, ever.
The Lancet article, entitled COVID-19 vaccine efficacy and effectiveness—the elephant (not) in the room, says that although attention has focused on vaccine efficacy and comparing the reduction of the number of symptomatic cases, “fully understanding the efficacy and effectiveness of vaccines is less straightforward than it might seem. Depending on how the effect size is expressed, a quite different picture might emerge.”
The article continues: “Vaccine efficacy is generally reported as a relative risk reduction (RRR). It uses the relative risk (RR)—ie, the ratio of attack rates with and without a vaccine—which is expressed as 1–RR. Ranking by reported efficacy gives relative risk reductions of 95% for the Pfizer–BioNTech, 94% for the Moderna–NIH, 91% for the Gamaleya, 67% for the J&J, and 67% for the AstraZeneca–Oxford vaccines.
“However, RRR should be seen against the background risk of being infected and becoming ill with COVID-19, which varies between populations and over time. Although the RRR considers only participants who could benefit from the vaccine, the absolute risk reduction (ARR), which is the difference between attack rates with and without a vaccine, considers the whole population. ARRs tend to be ignored because they give a much less impressive effect size than RRRs: 1·3% for the AstraZeneca–Oxford, 1·2% for the Moderna–NIH, 1·2% for the J&J, 0·93% for the Gamaleya, and 0·84% for the Pfizer–BioNTech vaccines.”
“Pfizer reported that its vaccine showed a 95% efficacy,” explained the documentary, entitled COVID Shot or Not? “That sounds like it protects you 95% of the time. But that’s not actually what that number means.
“That 95% refers to the ‘relative risk reduction’ (RRR), but it doesn’t tell you how much your overall risk is reduced by vaccination. For that, we need ‘absolute risk reduction’ (ARR).
“In the Pfizer trial, 8 out of 18,198 people who were given the vaccine developed COVID-19. In the unvaccinated placebo group, 162 people out of 18,325 got it, which means that even without the vaccine, the risk of contracting COVID-19 was extremely low, at 0.88%, which the vaccine then reduced to 0.04%.
“So the net benefit, the absolute risk reduction, that you are being offered in the Pfizer vaccine in 0.84%
“That 95% number? That refers to the relative difference between the 0.88% and 0.04%. That’s what they call ‘95% relative risk reduction’. And relative risk reduction is well-known to be a misleading number, which is why the FDA recommends using absolute risk reduction instead. Which begs the question: How many people would have chosen to take the COVID-19 vaccines, had they understood that they offered less than 1% benefit?”
The Lancet Study
Doctors for COVID Ethics
On The accompanying chart:
Pfizer/BioNtech RRR 95.03% ARR From Jab 0.84%
Moderna (NIH) RRR 94.08% ARR 1.24% From Jab
Janssen RRR 66.62% ARR 1.19% From Jab
Astrazeneca/ Oxford RRR 66.84% ARR 1.28% From Jab
The Lancet
Part way through “Doctoring Data” which explodes the fraud of RRR. Why has the Statistic watchdog not publicly censored the use of these glaring misrepresentations?
You are 100% spot on – lets now trawl MSM for reports on this……
23.5 Million people in England who have NOT had a single dose of a Covid-19 Vaccine
By The Exposé on December 17, 2021
For months the British public have been deceived with tales that there are just 5 million people in the United Kingdom who have refused to take up the offer of a Covid-19 vaccine. But today we can reveal that this is a lie.
It is a complete fabrication that has no doubt been used to make those who have refused the jab feel as if they are part of a minority, because an official UK Government report proves that in England alone there are approximately 23.5 million people who have not had a single dose of a Covid-19 vaccine.
It was back in September that the British public were told there were 5 million Brits who had so far refused the experimental jabs. Sir Patrick Vallance, the UK’s Chief Scientific Advisor and former president of GlaxoSmithKline, announced in a televised Covid-19 briefing that “There are five million or so people who are eligible for vaccines now who haven’t been vaccinated,”.
Well it turns out the “or so” make up approximately another 10.3 million people in England alone as of December 17th 2021, bringing the grand total of people eligible to have the Covid-19 jab to 15.3 million, and 23.5 million when including all children under the age of 12.
The population of England is approximately 56 million, and according to ‘Statista’ the 2020 figures show that approximately 3.23 million of those are aged 4 and under, and a further 3.54 million are aged between 5 and 9.
Source
The Statists site also states that approximately 3.44 million are between the ages of 10 and 14, so if we divide that number equally by five and then times by two we can roughly work out the number of 10 and 11 year old children and work out the total population of England eligible for a Covid-19 injection, which is of course everyone over the age 12.
That equation totals 1.38 million, therefore in England, there are approximately 8.2 million children under the age of 12, and 47.8 million eligible for Covid-19 vaccination.
Which brings us to the UK Health Security Agency Week 50 Vaccine Surveillance Report.
The UK Health Security Agency recently replaced Public Health England and is sponsored by the Department for Health and Social Care and headed by Dr Jenny Harries.
Within their weekly Vaccine Surveillance Report they publish a section on ‘Population impact’ of the Covid-19 vaccines, and it interestingly states that ‘by 12th December 2021, the overall vaccine uptake in England for dose 1 was 67.9% and for dose 2 was 62.2%.’
The report also clearly states that uptake for dose 3 was 31.4%.
Source – Page 3
Here’s how those percentages translate in terms of the actual population of England –
As we can see from the above according to the UK Health Security Agency report, 32.4 million people have had a single dose, 29.7 million people have had a second dose, and 15 million people have had a third dose as of December 12th 2021.
This means there are 23.5 million people who have refused to partake in the largest real-world experiment ever conducted, not just 5 million that has been claimed for mon
The Expose
Me either, but then I don’t live in England either
FOF Fuck off Fearguson.
The Government obsession with these predictions contribute to the positive feedback loop they have created, making the NHS an inherently unstable system. It accelerates in only one direction, amplifying the number of cases which drive a stronger and stronger response which reduces our capacity, even capability, to function until nothing works anymore. A ‘runaway’ condition that will guarantee the NHS will be overwhelmed irrespective of Coronaviruses and SARS-CoV-2 – or any disease for that matter.
I’ve tested positive today. Practically everyone I know is positive atm. The only reason I’ve tested is because of work or I won’t even bother. It’s a cold. I’ve had far worse. The world has gone nuts for a cold.
Their rhetoric now says we must test, we must vaccinate, but the law is clear that we can’t be compelled to do so. Both are advisory only. I am in a similar position at work, where I have declared my mask exemption. I will dodge tests, then claim either exemption on grounds of allergy or conscientious objection. All or nothing for me.
“because there are still some ‘really critical things we don’t know’”, yes, like just about everything!
Can anyone explain to me why there’s such a difference of ‘opinion’ about the danger this variant poses depending on whether one listens to, say, Dr John Campbell, or to Sage? Is the answer as obvious as I’m thinking?
We will never beat these people. This is our life forever now. God help us all.
I can’t believe I’m reading this! How the hell is this psycopath still alive, never mind being quoted. Why is he not locked away in a high security lunatic asylum. The man is fuxxing dangerous to humanity and everyone knows it, apart from those paying him it seems.
He has been caught out many times, smoking gun an’ all.
You may well ask why such an obvious idiot, who has never predicted anything even remotely correctly, is still employed. I wouldn’t employ him but I daresay the $148.8 Million he got from Gates may have something to do with it.
Lest we forget.. the 2001 wholesale slaughter of animals on the say so of Neil Ferguson..
More..
Ferguson is by no means the only lockdown obsessive using scare tactics to close down society again. What they are really scared of is being found out. If we don’t lockdown and nothing happens other than the normal winter surges the game is up for them. Lockdowns are essential to their business model.
Let’s just remind ourselves of this:
And here we go again. Lockdown, a lot fewer deaths if any. Oh aren’t we clever we’ve saved lots of lives, our model say so. Who the F do these think they are taking us for fools and idiots. Come on pull the other one it’s got bells attached!
Oh and Very much NOT worth reading.
That probably won’t go down very well here free speech wise but think I’ve seen enough. I’m no member of Mensa but think I can recognise bollocks when I see it. Once again Government propaganda peddled by MSM.
The photo is appropriate, although Mystic Meg would be more accurate. This Model Making failure is determined to get his half a million death ‘pound of flesh,’ isn’t he? He is not more or ‘less’ wrong in his modelling, he has been consistently wrong for decades. If he worked for a commercial enterprise he would have been sacked years ago. He is not only ‘bonkers,’ he is dangerously inaccurate. Another lockdown and more deaths will occur because of it, not because of covid. I am not advocating murder or such, but feeding to the pigs is not beyond a daydreaming consideration.
Ferguson is to accurate predictions what the Taliban is to female emancipation!!
Strange that Prof from a spike protein, eh? US lawyer Dr Francis Boyle has evidence that Harvard U Chem. Dept. Dr. Ch. Lieber & Oz. Health Dept aided Wuhan Labs in the project to create the bio-weapon spike protein.
The Identity of the Virus: Health/ Science Institutions Worldwide “Have No Record” of SARS-COV-2 Isolation/Purification.
By Christine Massey, December 05, 2021
As a spike protein cannot be idented as a virus, the 1M US$ reward by Dr. Russell Blaylock for its ident is NOT taken up.
Dr. Kary Mullins, inventor of the PCR test stated that his test only idents strands of DNA from Hep. and Flu.
US Dr. Elisabeth Eads studies noted that the PCR test gives 97% false positives.
WHO on Jan. 20, 2021 in their Directive #202005 stated that the PCR test is of NO VALUE.. this superseding their Jan.20.2020 advice to do PCR tests.