Covid Deaths Lower Than Typical Fatalities from Influenza and Pneumonia for Past Month

Covid deaths continue to fall in England and Wales – to such an extent that the number of daily deaths from Covid for the past month has been lower than the five-year average of deaths from influenza and pneumonia. The Telegraph has the story.

For the past month daily Covid deaths in England and Wales have been lower than the typical number of people dying from the flu, data shows. 

Since late March there have been fewer Covid deaths each day than the five-year average of deaths from influenza and pneumonia, which normally stood at 86 during the months of March and April, according to preliminary figures published by the ONS. 

As of the week ending April 16th, there have been on average 29 daily deaths where Covid was mentioned on the victim’s death certificate, as opposed to an average of 80 involving influenza and pneumonia at the same point in the years between 2015 and 2019.

While Covid deaths are now lower, the data also shows how they massively surpassed typical flu deaths during the worst days of the second wave, and continued to remain significantly higher over a month into England’s third national lockdown. 

On January 19th there were 1,372 deaths mentioning Covid on the death certificate, a tenfold increase on the average number of flu deaths at that time of year of 133.

Even a month later by February 19th Covid daily deaths stood at 407, four times higher than the five-year average of influenza and pneumonia deaths of 107 at the same time of year.

The ONS data also reveals the extent to which the spread of Covid has now been brought to heel, with the country’s top epidemiologists claiming the coronavirus has moved to manageable “endemic” levels. 

Not only that – even SAGE modellers have admitted that a “third Covid wave” probably won’t happen, as Toby reported here.

The Telegraph’s report is worth reading in full.

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