The Government’s top scientific advisers have released papers today claiming social distancing and masks must remain in place for another year to avoid another wave of hospitalisations and deaths this summer at levels seen in January, despite the high vaccine take-up. The Mail has the details.
Social distancing will remain in place until next year even if Boris Johnson‘s roadmap out of lockdown goes to plan, the Government’s top scientific advisers warned today.
Senior SAGE sources said that while the vaccines prevent the vast majority of people from falling ill and dying from coronavirus, they “are not good enough” to see all curbs lifted “without a big epidemic”.
All legal limits on social contact were to be abolished by June 21st as part of the final stage of the Prime Minister’s four-step route out of the crisis. It was hoped that festivals, sports events and nightclubs would reopen and that families and friends could reunite in large numbers after that date for the first time since winter 2020.
However, No 10’s experts claimed today that “baseline measures”, including some form of social distancing and masks, would need to remain in place until this time next year. They said they are “reasonably confident” that Covid will be manageable by then.
The AstraZeneca and Pfizer vaccines reduce Covid deaths by about 90%, but there are fears high infection rates could see the virus spill into the small number of vulnerable people who haven’t been jabbed or for whom the vaccines don’t work.
Despite the pessimistic comments, Mr Johnson is set to announce the country is on track for the second stage of his lockdown easing plans on April 12th, which will see shops, gyms, hairdressers and beer gardens reopen again.
Cases and deaths are at their lowest levels in six months and more than half of the adult population has been vaccinated with at least one dose of the jabs.
Papers released by SAGE today show the expert group is confident next week’s lockdown-easing measures will not pile pressure on the NHS, even if there is a slight uptick in infections, because of the success of the jab rollout.
But the advisory panel is less optimistic about future stages of the roadmap, adding that it is “highly likely that there will be a further resurgence in hospitalisations and deaths”.
They said the reopening of pubs, cinemas and indoor hospitality – due to happen on May 17th – could be delayed if vaccine uptake in the under-50s dips below 85%.
Modelling by Warwick University, Imperial College London and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical medicine (LSHTM) warned of a late summer surge after “freedom day” in June which could rival levels seen this January when hospitals were nearly overwhelmed.
It comes despite the models being relied on having been consistently wrong in hugely over-predicting deaths due to faulty assumptions about the deadliness of the virus, the susceptibility of the population, the effectiveness of interventions and the seasonality of the virus.

It also flies in the face of evidence from America, where states with fewer restrictions have fared better on average than those with more restrictions, and states which have lifted all measures this spring have yet to see a new surge.

The Government is still in urgent need of a red team to counter the doom and gloom being pumped out by SAGE.
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As RW pointed out, they are basically invaders. Sooner or later they will have to be treated as such, or we are finished.
Now that’s a contradiction in terms!
The fox doesn’t want to stop chickens entering his pen!
I’m sure terrorists have realised by now they don’t need to commit terrorists attacks to kill the infidel, they can just enter freely en masse until they feel strong enough to take over without a single bullet being fired!
And they know the west is too systematically nice to stop them
Read “Beyond Terror” by Anne Marie Waters.
Will do
wink——–You will find it quite revealing and utterly unbelievable. But most of it we all kind of suspected already.
I did read that in full, but minus Shriver’s usually pleasant style and witticisms, I’m not sure it was worth a read. For instance, it’s known that the current German (far left) government wants to import as many foreigners into Germany as possible because they want to get rid of both Germany and German people. We’ve already been official redefined as non-existant, despite we’re still mentioned in the constitution. In the words of the German chancellor Olaf Scholz we’re just people who have been living in Germany for a while already (German die schon länger hier lebenden). That’s a self-harming aggressive agenda (Scholz is German as well) which is certainly not pathological niceness. Clinton’s basket of deplorables didn’t sound particularly nice, either.
Can a country really have too many Mohammeds? Frontex ‘I’m an impotent traitor’ man argues not. I’m guessing he didn’t vote for Geert. No Tenerife for us this year then;
”Europe’s illegal immigration crisis shows no signs of slowing, with the first two months of 2024 showing 31,200 irregular border crossings, which is the same level as last year’s near-record numbers, according to data from Frontex, the EU’s external border agency.
One of the standout data points was the explosive growth along the Western African route into Europe, which jumped 541 percent in the last two months.
“The Western African route remained the busiest migratory route in the EU, with arrivals in January and February reaching nearly 12,100. This was the highest total for these two months since Frontex began collecting data in 2011,” wrote the agency.
In recent months, criminal groups based in Mauritania that focus on human trafficking have been sending sub-Saharan migrants transiting through the country to the Canary Islands, which belong to Spain but lay off the coast of Africa. People smugglers cram these people in ever greater numbers into “cayuco” boats, representing a serious threat to their lives but higher profit margins for the gangs.”
https://www.rmx.news/article/illegal-immigration-soars-541-higher-on-west-african-route-into-eu-announces-frontex-border-agency/
I was out with a friend for a game of snooker and a curry. There had been about three big gales (storms) that had all been given a name on the News in the last 10 days or so. So we were walking down the road to the curry house and my friend said “That storm Kate was horrible, a tile blew off my roof”. ——–I replied “Why don’t we ever get a Storm Mohammed” ? ——-He looked rather uncomfortable, so I said but surely in the interests of diversity and inclusion it is racist to just have white storms”
If we were still fully in the EU the PM and Home Sec and Guardian would be explaining away , parsing and generally excusing this guy.
“he was misquoted”. “ don’t believe all those continentals say, it just their usual hyperbole, it will not happen”. It might have happened but it won’t affect us.
Oooops.
Now we are “out” of the EU, our attempts to stop illegal immigration have been half-hearted at best, and all the major political parties including Reform think it’s fine to continue with tons of legal migration too.
As someone pointed out in a recent discussion on Steve Sailer’s blog over on Unz – we think that white people have been the most successful overall in the history of our species but we are failing at the most basic of functions which is to preserve ourselves.
The problem being, of course, that the white people with any power and influence over these things are too few and far between. As we’ve seen, the vast majority are out and out traitors and are screwing us over royally, and so the slo-mo national suicide continues…
I don’t really get it either because it’s obviously going to effect them too eventually. It’s not like they live in a parallel universe or can jet off to some luxury, self-sufficient island someplace else when their multicultural project is finally declared complete. How on earth does this play out and end? Or do the pro-immigration psychos not care because they won’t be around to worry about it, selfishly not giving a flying fig about how they’re leaving the world for their kids and their kids?
Being rich and powerful mitigates a lot otherwise tyrants in 3rd world countries would put more effort into improving their countries and less into lining their pockets
That said, I don’t think I’d be happy ruling over a crappy country
I also think the intelligentsia despise and fear the working class, so dividing/diluting the indigenous working class by importing lots of working class people of different cultures may seem to them like a good way of keeping the working class down – and it provides cheap labour. They should be more careful what they wish for.
Redesigning the world according to pipe-dreams of perma-intoxicated lunatics and cowards perhaps wasn’t the smartest idea. We’ll either have to change that or embrace the outcome. It certainly has something going for it. We may all end up being ruled by some caliph. But this will mean the end of gay adult entertainment performers in dresses prowling among school children and every local pimp breaking the law with impunity because he knows he’s paying the right people.
Have we reached maximum enrichment and peak diversity yet? Especially in our capitals and larger cities? I guess they’ll have to spread out into the market towns and rural areas once everywhere looks like Bradford.
“I will transform London into a beacon of Islam”, was the electoral motto of the Labor Party’s Ken Livingstone.
Well done: objective achieved successfully.
The result is Orwell’s 1984 applied to Londonistan.
In “The Flying Inn”, written a hundred years ago but which imagines the England of today, Chesterton denounced the cowardice of the West, which not only tries to adapt to the religion of Muhammad but allies itself with it. The character of Lord Ivywood, an English aristocrat and politician, embodies this collaboration of the elites who favor Islamic penetration in the name of progress.
While the Iranian protester against Hamas was arrested, on the roofs of the London Underground stations masked men in black proclaimed the Caliphate.
Integration? England is becoming the United Kingdom of Allah.
Reading the Daily Mail one would say that Tower Hamlets should be renamed “Tower Hamas”.
David Goodhart in the Times publishes a long essay to explain that the English are losing their country due to too much ethnic and cultural “diversity”.
Political correctness is the death of civilization.
But “all is well” in the United Kingdom of diversity, with the Mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, turning on the Ramadan lights last night. Change is underway, Islamization continues successfully.
A frightening dystopia, where the fools and Islamists are the party that is always right. A debased civilization, headed towards an advancing nothingness. Safe path for a defeat that will make history.”
https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/386793
Great —–I give you 9.8 out of 10 for that one. ——-Simply because giving you a 10 might indicate I am a right wing extremist. —–cheers.
Look at the funny thumbs downs. ——-They are not funny because they happen to disagree with you and I, but because the person does not have the guts to say why they disagree. ——Coward.
He is correct, but only if you have no political will. ———Any migrant thinking of arriving in a country unannounced will soon decide it isn’t a good idea if he knows he will never ever be allowed a passport, benefits and a room in a four star hotel. ——-Migrants arrive in their millions because they know nothing is going to stop them and infact our squirming handwringing politicians bend over backwards to get those people here as they are all fully paid up members of the UN open border one world government technocracy that now runs the show.
It’s not just about the political will. As a country we need to be more hard headed about it.
Even if you put the illegal migrants on a blacklist for work and benefits (no benefits and fines for anybody employing them), they’d just end up in some charity shelter.
“Best case” scenario is that they end up homeless and pick the government up on a free lift back to their country of origin – and that’s assuming they would be let back in.
Even if you put the illegal migrants on a blacklist for work and benefits (no benefits and fines for anybody employing them), they’d just end up in some charity shelter.
That’s Theresa May’s hostile environment for immigrants in a nutshell. It’s obviously pointless because people immigrating illegally do not plan to work and live in the legal economy. They expect to meet some of their relatives or fellow countrymen here who’ll arrange something for them the state isn’t supposed to know about. The ones who get caught are almost certainly a minority.
I am sorry I disagree. ——If you say to people that they will never get a passport if they enter illegally, the numbers coming will drop. Then if we as a country decide we don’t need an increase of 750,000 in net immigration then that could easily be stopped as well. The problem is that politicians don’t want it to stop. Immigration policy is a FREE FOR ALL
This geezer admits he cannot do the job he will no doubt be being handsomely remunerated for and he is still employed?
Anybody able to explain this for me?
It’s his job to let them in. Globalists want to destroy national identity. In fact they want to destroy all identity. The UN is spending billions of our money intentionally facilitating mass migration, and they are not hiding it. Patrick Wood at Technocracy News has been republishing their own documents to this end. Replacement well underway. MSM is disinterested.
I am sure john that you will be aware that I know all of this but taking the man at his word he has bluntly admitted to being a failure and has not resigned so he should be sacked.
As you sometimes put it, next Tuesdays the lot of them.
It is very simple when you are concerned with power. Your power consists of access to raw materials and technology and the size of your population ie. cannon fodder. In their calculations that is all there is to it. They don’t give two hoots about where the people come from, how the natives are affected, how the variopus groups get on. If you want to beat these people you have to understand the shoddiness of their thoughts and systems.
And they get sold a bill of goods. I was speaking to a migrant to this country recently and he said that he came here because he felt that it was the land of opportunity and now he lives in a bedsit and can’t afford to turn the heating on, just like an increasing number of Brits. The economic situation cannot improve. There is some movement with the killing of certain members of the royal family and ruling class but that is just because another faction would like to take the reins. For us plebs there is nothing redemptive in their machinations.
If you really want to make a stand then it has to be physical. I had some Greek friends who lived in London at the time of the ‘retail riots’. And they were a few Greek people living on those streets and they simply got out their strong lads, armed them with baseball bats, and the Greek lads just smiled at the maruauders and said you aren’t going any further. With the implication that if they did try to trespass they would get their brains kicked out. That is all you have to do, You don’t have to be nasty or unfriendly just reinforce the consequences. If they still transgress then it is party time.
The fecking EUSSR and its fundamental rights bullshine. These neo-communist traitors will destroy Europe. I only hope I get to see them punished by the ungrateful migrant invaders that these evil people have let into our lands.
We could use lethal force to stop it. And that would stop it in its tracks. No one ever tried to forcibly enter the soviet union because it had barbed wire, mine fields and lethal force to prevent escape (and entry).
The time for harsh measures has arrived. Use of force deter and remove these alien invadersbis now authorised by the victim people’s of Europe
People talk about harsh measures and repatriation. It is hard enough sending one person back. It is simply impossible to send people back in batches. For one thing it relies on international agreements. For those who are half asleep many of these countries were releived to offload their criminals into our society, such is the British desire for cheap labour,.I can tell you honestly it is largely about that, the offloading of criminals. That is what your ruling class is doing to you.
“Sometimes it’s pretended that you can just put a lid on top of the bottle, and then the migration stops. But that’s a misconception.”
That’s how you, in your naivety, thought about border control, isn’t it, Mr Leijtens? And now you’ve discovered it isn’t like that, you want a job where it is easy to control people, don’t you, Mr Leijtens?
“In other words,” says Shriver, “the head of Frontex has a vested interest in his absolute incapacity to keep anyone out of Europe because he doesn’t especially want to keep anyone out of Europe.”
————
Of course he doesn’t. The EU is implementing the Coudenhove-Kalergi Plan.
“In the turbulent period following the First World War, the young Count Richard Coudenhove-Kalergi founded the Pan-European Union, offering a vision of peaceful, democratic unity for Europe with no borders, a common currency and a single passport. He is called the Grandfather of the EU. His vision: “The man of the future will be of mixed race. Today’s races and classes will gradually disappear owing to the vanishing of space, time, and prejudice. The Eurasian-Negroid race of the future, similar in its appearance to the Ancient Egyptians, will replace the diversity of peoples with a diversity of individuals.”
So why is he still in the job if he doesn’t actually perform it?
When leftist politicians governed Australia last time they used to argue similarly that the boats couldn’t be stopped. Then Tony Abbott got elected and, like John Howard before him, he implemented policies which stopped the boats. It required political will which Abbott had.
Leftists don’t want to control immigration because they don’t support the nation state and uncontrolled immigration helps them achieve the destruction of the nation state and the establishment of an international technocracy controlled by leftists. Leftists are not nice. They are evil scum out to destroy western civilisation.