America’s Delta Surge
Infections are surging in America, driven by the Delta variant, but there is little appetite for new restrictions now the vaccines are here. Is the curve already peaking in the early hotspots?
Tag: Herd immunity
Since the 8th of March, There Have Been 9,484 *Fewer* Deaths Than Normal
The link between cases and deaths has weakened substantially in recent weeks. However, the situation is actually even more positive: measured by excess deaths, the pandemic hasn't taken any lives since early March.
The Outbreak Point: Are Covid Outbreaks Triggered When the Viral Load in the Air Hits a Certain Threshold?
Do Covid outbreaks happen when enough people become infectious at once that the virus becomes ubiquitous and unavoidable? Is that why lockdowns don't stop it?
Professor Tim Spector Calls for Vaccination of Children ‘Because Delta Variant’
Prof Tim Spector dismayed many of his Twitter followers by calling for the vaccination of children to combat the Delta variant. But his arguments ignore key risk-benefit concerns and anyway make no sense.
Does This Explain Why COVID-19 is Normally so Puny But Occasionally Goes Bang?
Most of the time Covid bubbles away in the background not doing all that much, but occasionally there's an explosive outbreak. What causes these to start and stop so abruptly? Here's a possible answer.
“The NHS is Going to be Smashed in Weeks”, Cummings’s Data Geek Told Boris – on the Day Infections Peaked in London
The claim, repeated by Dominic Cummings to MPs yesterday, that without a lockdown in March 2020 "the NHS is going to be smashed in weeks" is demonstrably false. Infections were declining even as the words were spoken.
Why Ministers are Telling the Truth When they Say ‘Herd Immunity’ Was Never Government Policy
In denying that herd immunity was ever Government policy, ministers are drawing a distinction between something being policy and accepted as inevitable. If only this distinction had been applied throughout the year.
Cummings Claims That Government’s Original Plan Was ‘Herd Immunity by September’
On 15 March last year, Matt Hancock said, "We have a plan ... Herd immunity is not part of it." Now Dominic Cummings claims that "herd immunity by Sep" was "literally the official plan in all docs/graphs/meetings".
The Data Suggest We Achieved Herd Immunity Before the Vaccines Were Rolled Out
We're publishing an original piece of data analysis today by a leading British scientists. He believes the data show that the population had surpassed the herd immunity threshold in December, before the vaccine roll-out.
Britain Will Achieve Herd Immunity on Monday
According to a Telegraph exclusive, the number of people with protection either through vaccination or previous infection will hit 73.4% on April 12th – the herd immunity threshold.
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