The accuracy of any data purporting to show vaccine effectiveness or safety against a disease is critically dependent on the accurate measurement of: people classified as having the disease; vaccination status; death reporting; and the population of vaccinated and unvaccinated (the so called ‘denominators’). If there are errors in any of these, claims of effectiveness or safety are unreliable.
The risk/benefit of Covid vaccines is best – and most simply – measured by all-cause mortality of vaccinated against unvaccinated, since it avoids the thorny issue of what constitutes a Covid ‘case/infection’. In principle, the data in the ONS vaccine mortality surveillance reports should provide us with the necessary information to monitor this crucial comparison over time. However, until the ONS released its November report, no age categorised data were provided, meaning that any comparisons were confounded by age (older people are both disproportionately more vaccinated than younger people and disproportionately more likely to die).
The week 44 ONS report and data release from November finally provided some relevant age categorised data. Specifically, it includes separate data for age groups 60-69, 70-79 and 80+, but there is only a single group of data for the age group 10-59. After the November data release the ONS released further data on December 20th 2021, albeit at a significant lower level of granularity that inhibits cross comparison with earlier data (different age categories; monthly rather than weekly data; age-adjusted mortality rather than raw death and population data; death counts updated; and fractional membership of vaccination category based on time spent in category) and with different categories for vaccine status than those used in November (five categories rather than four with double dose vaccinated split into less than and greater than 21 days).
At first glance the data suggest that, in each of the older age groups, all-cause mortality is lower in the vaccinated than the unvaccinated. In the 10-59 age group all-cause mortality is higher among the vaccinated, but this group is likely confounded by age since it is far too wide for the data provided to be sufficient to draw any firm conclusions.
However, despite this apparent evidence to support vaccine effectiveness for the older age groups, on closer inspection this conclusion is cast into doubt. That is because we have shown a range of fundamental inconsistencies and flaws in the data. Specifically:
- In each group the non-Covid mortality rates in the three different categories of vaccinated people fluctuate in a wild, but consistent way, far removed from the expected historical mortality rates.
- Whereas the non-Covid mortality rate for the unvaccinated should be consistent with historical mortality rates (and if anything, slightly lower than the vaccinated non-Covid mortality rate), it is not only higher than the vaccinated mortality rate, but it is far higher than the historical mortality rate.
- In previous years, each of the 60-69, 70-79 and 80+ groups have mortality peaks at the same time during the year (including 2020 when all suffered the April Covid peak at the same time). Yet in 2021 each age group has non-Covid mortality peaks for the unvaccinated at a different time, namely the time that vaccination rollout programmes for those cohorts reach a peak (see below).
- The peaks in the Covid mortality data for the unvaccinated are inconsistent with the actual Covid wave.
- There are sufficiently serious anomalies in the population and very poor health category data to suggest the data are unreliable.
Whatever the explanations for the anomalies, it is clear that the data is unreliable and conclusions regarding vaccine efficacy specious. Likewise, given the ONS’s suggestion in its December report that the anomalies are the result of vaccinations being denied to moribund or terminally ill patients, or that there is a healthy vaccinee effect, we tested this hypothesis and found it was not plausible. The onus is now on those who propose this explanation to demonstrate empirically how it works. We considered the socio-demographic and behavioural differences between vaccinated and unvaccinated that have been proposed as possible explanations for the anomalies but found no evidence supporting any of these explanations. By Occam’s razor we believe the most likely explanations are:
- Systematic miscategorisation of deaths between the different groups of unvaccinated and vaccinated.
- Delayed or non-reporting of vaccinations.
- Systematic underestimation of the proportion of unvaccinated.
- Incorrect population selection for Covid deaths.
With these considerations in mind, we applied adjustments to the ONS data and showed that they lead to the conclusion that the vaccines do not reduce all-cause mortality, but rather produce genuine spikes in all-cause mortality shortly after vaccination.
There are, of course, some caveats to our analysis. While we have completely ignored the 10-59 age group because it is far too broad so age confounding would likely overwhelm any conclusions, the age groups 60-69, 70-79, 80+ are themselves quite coarse, and there may be some age confounding within these age groups. For example, the average age of the vaccinated 60-69 age group may be higher than that of the unvaccinated 60-69 group and hence the number of deaths would naturally be slightly higher.
We have deliberately chosen not to subject the data to a degree of sophisticated statistical or probabilistic modelling but can readily imagine what might be done. We have carried out some basic computations of confidence intervals to address the fact that at various points the population sizes differ dramatically, and from this the patterns reported remain visible, significant and our analysis credible.
Ultimately, our analysis is hypothetical insofar as it presents two processes, one based on the risk presented by the period before/after vaccination and infection and one based on categorisation, both of which might better explain the patterns in the data. However, we believe it is up to those who offer competing explanations to explain how and why the data is the way it is. We have explained that various social and ethnic factors are very unlikely to explain these odd differences in the ONS data set. Same with the moribund or healthy vaccinee effects. Absent any other better explanation, Occam’s razor would support our conclusions. In any event, the ONS data provide no reliable evidence that the vaccine reduces all-cause mortality.
This article is taken from the paper “Official mortality data for England suggest systematic miscategorisation of vaccine status and uncertain effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccination“, of which it forms the summary and conclusion. Read the full paper here.
Dr. Martin Neil is Professor in Computer Science and Statistics at Queen Mary, University of London. Dr. Clare Craig is a Diagnostic Pathologist. Dr. Norman Fenton is Professor of Risk Information Management at Queen Mary University of London. The paper is also authored by Jonathan Engler, Joshua Guetzkow, Scott Mclachlan, Jessica Rose, Dan Russell and Joel Smalley.
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Well it’s happened as I knew it would. I’m self employed, been working at a company for 2 months. Boss didn’t pay me (still hasn’t in full) and is asking for my vaccination certificate. She’s adamant that everyone be vaccinated. So. Give it a week or two and my services will no longer be required because I’m never ever ever getting vaccine.
Welcome to the new normal. Employers can pry into your medical details and terminate your employment if you give the wrong answer.
Keep full records of the conversations. They might come in handy later.
Tell them to shove the job up their vacinated arse
Tempting. But I have no savings to fall back on. What if it happens at the next job?
I guess it depends on the industry but it will take a while to all go that way and some non brainwashed employers will resist as long as they can.
And that might be a hell of a long time.
You should state to the doctor that you do not agree to having this vaccination. At the moment doctors cannot vaccinate someone who does not agree to treatment. Then go to your boss and say that you attended the surgery but the doctor refused to vaccinate you,
I cannot see how a boss ordering someone to have medical treatment against their wishes, with proof of this from a doctor, could avoid being done for unfair dismissal…
This might help you: I’m posting it in 2 lots as its quite lengthy
Part 1
IF YOUR BOSS THREATENS YOU WITH FIRING IF NOT VACCINATED DON’T REFUSE:
The secret is NOT to refuse the jab and do not sign anything!
From a lawyer:
If you are being forced to Vax in order to keep your job, here’s a great way to handle it. (Conditional acceptance)
The secret is NOT to refuse it.
“I write with regard to the matter of potential covid vaccine and my desire to be fully informed and appraised of ALL facts before going ahead. I’d be most grateful if you could please provide the following information, in accordance with statutory legal requirements.”:
Can you please advise the approved legal status of any vaccine and if it is experimental?
Can you please provide details and assurances that the vaccine has been fully, independently and rigorously tested against control groups and the subsequent outcomes of those tests?
Can you please advise the entire list of contents of the vaccine I am to receive and if any are toxic to the body?
Part 2
Can you please fully advise of all the adverse reactions associated with this vaccine since it’s introduction?
Can you please confirm that the vaccine you are advocating is NOT experimental mRNA gene altering therapy?
Can you please confirm that I will not be under any duress from yourselves as my employers, in compliance with the Nuremberg Code?
Can you please advise me of the likely risk of fatality, should I be unfortunate to contract Covid 19 and the likelihood of recovery?
Can you please advise me if I were to experience any adverse reactions is the manufacturer of the vaccine liable? If the manufacturer isn’t liable will the company I’m currently employed with with be responsible & liable as it is their request that I have the vaccine in order to carry on my employment?
Once I have received the above information in full and I am satisfied that there is NO threat to my health, I will be happy to accept your offer to receive the treatment, but with certain conditions – namely that:
You confirm in writing that I will suffer no harm.
Following acceptance of this, the offer must be signed by a fully qualified doctor who will take full legal and financial responsibility for any injuries occurring to myself, and/or from any interactions by authorized personnel regarding these procedures.
In the event that I should have to decline the offer of vaccination, please confirm that it will not compromise my position and that I will not suffer prejudice and discrimination as a result?
I would also advise that my inalienable rights are reserved.
The point is that if they CANNOT provide that information you’ve NOT refused.”
These questions have already been asked of the government, who have replied with anodyne but official responses. If I were a boss infected with vaccinemania, I would simply quote official responses at you, secure in the knowledge that any industrial tribunal would agree with the Government, not you.
And in any case NO ONE can swear there is NO threat to health – all vaccines carry some risk, and you would be unreasonable to demand that there is no threat. What you should request is that the benefit/Risk ration should be positive – and the government will provide figures showing that it is.
They will be lies, of course – but the Industrial Tribunal will accept them,….
Perhaps shove it up there with a pitch fork.
Virtue signalling doesn’t pay the butcher.
I am self employed but only work for myself and so havent looked at the legal position personally, but im sure there is info out there. It would be interesting to see her position if it was clearly breaking employment law (whether you are covered being self employed). I would try to get her to put something in writing. As snoozle says records will be handy. Plenty of jobsworths will try it on, but id be surprised if they are entitled to do it.
If it happens, share the hell out of it and shame them. Where I live (bedwetter central) a cafe advertised a job as vaxxed only and were absolutely hammered on social media – ended up muting their account for a while, might not help you directly but it’s a message sent.
I’m hoping that if this kind of thing gains traction, that people will form local networks to offer practical help and support to each other as one way of fighting it.
Didn’t this Sceptic site give the name of solicitors who could advise? And I think The White Rose may have information too.
If you’re self-employed, you don’t have an employer. They have no legal right to demand anything, unfortunately if there’s no contract of employment you don’t have any rights either. It’s called freedom.
Take legal advice from a friendly lawyer, like the one who helped Dr Sam White … or the one who set up Law or Fiction.
Or Francis Hoar, the barrister, who’s done many winning cases. Or there’s another barrister called Adam Wagner, whose name I often see mentioned.
If the boss is ill-informed – few people read the DS – she may not know that the product kills more people than it saves. Try asking a few gentle questions first.
I have no idea why you’ve attached that to my comment.
If you want freedom for yourself, you must afford others their freedoms too, regardless of how ill-informed they maybe or whether you agree with them.
Lawyers represent the opposite of freedoms, one man’s rights are another man’s shackles.
Haven’t you got a lot of fake “self employed” jobs now (like Uber)? I assume it is a result of trying to get round the extra rights given to agency staff – a classic example of the cast iron political law of unintended consequences, a bit like the minimum wage becoming a maximum wage for many.
True. But then, the ’employer’ doesn’t have to give you a contract.
Sounds like a crappy company if they can’t pay you on time and a crappy boss.
I say, can I have that in writing please, including all the names of the people who authorised this policy right up to director level, my lawyer will need it. My medical information is private and protected by law.
So is mine, but although I have completed the necessary work to stop my data being uploaded for the NHS to sell, I was still contacted for “research” yesterday about why I haven’t had a booster. So your legal rights are not worth a turd nowadays.
Funny, that.
I was phoned up by my doctor’s receptionist when the very first vaccinations were going out and asked to make an appointment. I refused. She asked why. I said because I had been studying the mortality statistics for this illness and the limited data on safety tests that were then available, and as a result had lost all trust in the medical establishment.
I have never heard a word back from them since.
Data Protection breach is worth pursuing and suing over.!
She’s the boss. Relatively small company. I know what will happen – the work will dry up so it’s not worth staying.
Suggests that getting illegally fired and a resulting settlement might be more lucrative than continuing work…?
Parliament will be debating a petition to prohibit employers from mandating vaccinations on 24 Jan – just a few days from now…
Yeah…just look at ‘Parliament’ and all tje useless self-importnat and ignorant ‘jobsworths’ now sitting there!
Yes. They now think that their jobs depend on dropping all the restrictions rapidly – so we might see some movement?
Withholding payment for work you’ve already done, as a way to try to pressure you into getting “vaccinated”, is breach of contract.
I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s a crime too.
I am assuming here that your contract with the company does not require you to be “vaccinated” or require you to submit to “vaccination” if the company tells you to.
https://www.cipd.co.uk/knowledge/fundamentals/emp-law/health-safety/preparing-for-covid-19-vaccination#gref
I don’t quite understand why the CIPD calls such pressure “indirect”. It sounds pretty direct to me. OK you are not an employee but a contractor, so they can’t “discipline” you, but similar considerations apply. In both cases there is a contract.
I am also assuming you don’t work in a care home etc.
PS Might the boss be trying to “encourage” you to walk out without receiving the full amount of money the company owes you?
Could be a strong case here!
Tell her you’re going to the small claims court to claim your missing pay and that you’ll use the occasion to publicise her Nazi attitude to vaccination. But don’t use the word “Nazi” obviously.
Is “fascist” ok?
Just to add thanks for all the replies! I’m touched by your kind and knowledgeable responses!
PS Gizza job someone (no Vax or mask requirements please)
Tell her the truth, and move on if she tries to discriminate. Why stay somewhere like that?
If you say the status is private you just end up getting bullied forever.
If they cant cope with you unvaxxed, you dont need them at all
f you think she’s not going to honour the contract and try and force you risk your health go STRIAGHT to lawyers and F**K her first.
I saw a video, I think it was on Bitchute but I can’t find it now. There was a UK employment lawyer (filmed it appeard at a protest) saying you are legally entitled to ask for a consultation with a Dr. You are essentially their patient and they have to go through all your medical history. Not sure it will help but it will delay the process and open your employer up to legal action if they refuse. Do check the relevant legislation. I’m sure with a bit of web searching you could find some answers. Pob lwc!
She has no legal right to do what she has done – you can demand a Risk Assessment and sue for “Constructive Dismissal”. Record and diary all conversations. Make sure you get her voice “on record”. “Victims” need to clog the Tribunals with cases.
Try no-vaxx.org where you can find a ‘legal pack’ (template letters) for you to send to your employer. It could at least buy you some time. There are examples from around the world where the approach of asking for more information via specific questions has worked against various employers, schools and school boards of governors simply because it is impossible for those who are pushing the mandate to provide the information because it does not exist or is being kept secret. Therefore, you, as the employee, cannot, by definition, have the informed consent that the law dictates you must have for the ‘vaccine’ to be legal, and so their mandate is most likely illegal or unenforceable.
Remember, this is only coercion. There is no real basis for this under existing laws.
Did you sign a contract? Did it mention the requirement to accept medical treatment? I don’t see how anyone can be ordered to take an unlicensed drug.
Though if you’re self-employed I don’t suppose that applies, does it?
Has anyone seen these death figures from the ONS? Unbelievable! If true, it HAS to be headline news!!!
https://www.ons.gov.uk/aboutus/transparencyandgovernance/freedomofinformationfoi/covid19deathsandautopsiesfeb2020todec2021
The total is 6183. Males, 3362, Females, 2821.
WTF.
They’ve got the get-out that they made it far harder to authorise autopsies for “Covid” deaths – and made it very easy for deaths to be certified as “Covid” when that was actually doubtful.
Then they made it easier to authorise cremation (no chance then of going back and checking).
This was clearly all planned. Those who are clued up can see what’s happening, but they’ve succeeded in polluting the data to such an extent that it’s very difficult to prove anything. The difference between the autopsies showing Covid and the “Covid deaths” figure will be explained away by all those claimed to have died from/with Covid but where an autiopsy wasn’t “required”. Of course they must know how dodgy all this looks, but at the same time how can the scale of the deception be conclusively proven given the meaningless data?
Deaths from “Covid only” in UK – through December 2021 (from above link):
3 deaths under age 20
23 deaths under age 30
Age: Deaths from only Covid:
0 to 1: 1
1 to 4: 0
5 to 9: 0
10 to 14: 1
15 to 19: 1
20 to 24: 5
25 to 29: 15
30 to 34: 31
35 to 39: 57
40 to 44: 76
45 to 49: 130
50 to 54: 190
55 to 59: 226
60 to 64: 356
65 to 69: 398
70 to 74: 561
75 to 79: 647
80 to 84: 894
85 to 89: 1003
90+: 1491
Worth reading
https://eugyppius.substack.com/p/unboostered-brits-infected-and-dying
The fact that they are delaying and obfuscating data tells you all you need to know.
Um…
https://www.planet-today.com/2021/12/covid-jabs-appear-to-expose-people-to.html
William of Occam’s shaving device remains untarnished, but this is all olds (as opposed to news)
And applying it to help understand what’s happened, is happening, and why … tells us that ‘Living with Covid’ could make ‘Living with Piers Morgan’ a rather attractive alternative.
tick tock
Thank you for sending that link. It may answer an issue that cropped up this week. In conversation with a friend one lunchtime, one of the ‘great and thankful fully jabbed’, he claimed that nurses he knows at QMC Nottingham had told him that most of the covid patients there were unjabbed. I held back from saying that I suspected that someone, somewhere was telling porkies. This very definition of ‘unvaccinated’ itself may be the key to this, for we already know that covid cases spiked after the vaccination programme started. They’re clearly trying their best to continually confuse us.
Plenty more where that came from. Check out The Highwire.
https://thehighwire.com/watch/
We’ve known the ‘How?’ for a long time.
´Who?´ is pretty obvious – pretty much everyone where there’s power to be levered. This took a great deal of planning and a few rehearsals.
But the ´Why?´ is something I wish more people had asked themselves. Including those who think they are acting responsibly but are truly complicit.
Scientism is so bloody dangerous
Put very simply: if you die within a certain number of days after having the jab you are classed as Unvaccinated. This has been happening in America all along and it obvious from the data that it is happening here as well. This is completely and utterly wrong: these things are killing people in their droves and it is being deliberately covered up.
One of the most important things people need to be made aware of about these “vaccines” is that very early in their roll-out they overshot the benchmark that legally obliges pharmaceutical companies to withdraw vaccines because they are doing recipients more harm than good.
The other most important thing about these “vaccines” is that they intend to make it a legal obligation for citizens to take them. If you want to start a civil war in any country, this is a sure-fire way to do so.
A quote from DailyHistory.org:
Replace Spanish for Austrian in this quote and see how scumbag bullies and totalitarians cause history to repeat itself.
What directly led to the Spanish Civil War was the 1936 general election in Spain, which saw a victory for a left-wing alliance of Communists, Anarchists and Socialists. This bloody concoction of arrogant imbeciles is exactly what will be found today in the EU parliament and in many capitals across Europe.
A quote from the NewYorker.com:
How about volunteers to go to Austria to fight off the cabal of Marxists that call themselves democratic?
I’m only half joking here. These Marxist/Nazi basta*ds in Austria and across Europe need it made very clear to them that this continent is not yet again going to go down the road of either Nazi or Marxist totalitarianism.
As regards the BS between the EU, UK, US and Russia in regards the Ukraine, this is all theatrics designed to keep the hoi polloi preoccupied whilst they work towards their totalitarian Vaccine Passports.
Putin is totally onboard with the Cabal’s much longed for biological social credit identity system. Henry Kissinger, one of the Cabal’s foremost lieutenants, paved the way to the Kremlin for Putin. In 2020 Putin’s tightly controlled mouthpiece, RT, offered a British undertaker £83,000 to withdraw allegations he had made about the “vaccines” being poisonous.
Amazing, is it not, that the Kremlin would be worried about the gene serum uptake in the UK, whilst at the same time the UK is threatening to go to war with it over the Ukraine.
Be loud and vicious to your local MP, tell him or her that you know what the fu*k is going on – even if they don’t. And that you are not going to bloody well stand for it. They’ve already made the gene serums mandatory for over 50’s in Italy. Now Austria. See the way this is rolling across Europe?
Those that think this could never happen in the UK are wrong. Very very wrong.
Carrie wants to make them mandatory (especially for the pregnant) it’s all her hubby ever talks about,the garrulous old fokker.
Surely the only justification for a mandatory vaccination would be if we had a disease killing large numbers of people, spreading rapidly, and a vaccination was the only thing which stopped it spreading?
in this case we have a disease with minor lethality, it’s already spread rapidly, and vaccination doesn’t stop this.
So people may get vaccinated if they like – it may be helpful in some cases, but the Covid vaccination is far less useful to the general population than the measles or polio vaccines.
And they are not mandatory…
Odd isn’t it , must one gargantuan cock up.
See Prof. Norman Fenton on this topic. He shows how the ONS data is fiddled and that vaccines have no impact on all cause mortality.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6umArFc-fdc
This is Prof Norman Fenton on the topic. The article is a precis of their paper.
So, am I right in thinking, that the “14 day after vaccination” caveat, that they have applied to cover the depression of the immune system after vaccination, could actually end up highlighting that the vaccines have been killing people? Now that would be darkly amusing.
There’s a far simpler explanation than the unproved ‘depression of the immune system’. They’ve just visited a room where lots of people have wandered through it and breathed the air.
The burden of proof isn’t on me, bud. The ONS need to explain what is happening.
And died of what? Remember these deaths are ‘non-Covid19’. What mysterious disease have they contracted? The more obvious explanation is it was the vax what done them in, while they were still being classed as ‘unvaccinated’.
The simplist explanation I can think of for the higher non-covid unvaxxed deaths is that these people actually had covid but they were not tested or diagnosed.
Or more likely, as others have pointed out elsewhere, they died within 14 days of being vaccinated and are therefore categorised by ONS as unvaxxed. I assume that#s what they mean above by ‘systematic miscategorisation of deaths’
Watch this, it explains it all.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6umArFc-fdc
Quite. Given the eagerness to attribute as many deaths as possible to Covid, the chances of a load of people dying of it and it not being noticed that this was the cause is pretty remote.
Yes. That’s clear when you look at covid labelled vs non covid deaths. In Winter 2020/2021 they mis-allocated many deaths from other causes to covid as you can see from this chart.
It’s a statistical anomaly which you can get in aggregated categorised data.
I feel like I’m living in some sort of alternate reality.
Let’s see, there is a spike in “non-vaccinated” deaths around the time people are getting jabbed. And we know that people aren’t considered jabbed until 2 weeks after being jabbed.
Why do we have to act as if this is incredibly mysterious?
The jabs have caused a spike in deaths.
There, I’ve said it. Wasn’t so hard, was it?
correlation isn’t causation.
More likely they picked up a disease while going for a jab. They are usually undertaken in closed rooms by a bunch of people who fervently believe masks are magic disease warding devices.
They caught a transmissible illness by mixing with other people in a shared airspace.
That might be tenable to some (but limited) extent where people are very elderly and/or with serious conditions which put them at risk from respiratory infections, but the chances of it aplying to any extent to most age groups other than the very elderly is pretty remote. There has to be another reason (and we can have a good guess at what it might be).
What disease?
Ayeeeeeee.
Bed time wee man. That would have been flagged by track and trace easily.
Let’s take this for granted. The implication would be that merely getting vaccinated is already killing people, regardless of any vaccine side-effects. That’s certainly going to increase trust in the health authorities!
Do you really want to live forever? Why not get vaccinated now!
Ah. Like masking, it’s a filthy habit…
Can’t fault your logic.The establishments logic differs in that if it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck then it’s certainly not a duck. Go figure.
I wonder what definition they’re using for “unvaccinated”
Does that mean the single dose “vaccinated” are all classed as “unvaccinated”? I guess we’d need to know the size of that cohort to join any dots, I guess that’s why they don’t tell us, and their data is pants.
This is the 21st century FFS this is the best quality data management/presntation/transparency they could provide? Or are they trying to hide inconvinient data?
This is one thing that could explain the peaks occurring in the few weeks after the start of vaccinations in each age group. In the two lower age groups this is quite pronounced.
The ONS claim in relation to their 1st November and 20th December publications that it’s based on true vaccination status at date of death. But do we believe them? Something is obviously wrong with their data and they can’t explain away the anomalies.
Is there any available data for “unvaccinated” and “vaccinated” broken down not just by age group but by health and by healthiness of lifestyle? I’d be interested in such data for any country in the world.
But even that kind of data is probably biased towards “vaccination”, because
So V/U data normed for the above two variables are what we want!
See figure 3 of that ONS release of 20th December for the age 70-79 age group (and the chart I’ve produced of percentage in poor health from their ‘download this chart’)
The ONS say ‘health status is defined as poor where either the number of recorded hospital episodes since 1 January 2020 is 12 or more or the number of comorbidities is 2 or more. 13% of 70-79 year olds were in the very poor health group‘.
Unless I’m completely misreading it the ONS are indirectly agreeing that there wasn’t an overall selection of the healthy for first vaccination (because the green line never really gets above 13%).
But in their 1st November publication the ONS say (my emphasis added) therefore the mortality rates are based on a very small percentage of the elderly population, which may not be representative of the elderly population in general. For example, this group may include people who did not receive a second vaccination after receiving the first because of being hospitalised for a serious condition. Similar patterns are observed for the “unvaccinated” and “within 21 days of first dose” groups at earlier times of the year. This effect is much reduced as age decreases.
How can the ONS claim there may be a similar pattern for the unvaccinated on 1st November (the implication is that unhealthy get left in the unvaccinated group as vaccination motors on) based on what they now show in figure 3?
And so the non-covid labelled peak in unvaccinated deaths in the 70-79 age group as vaccination proceeds can’t be explained by the ONS. In fact they are arguing against themselves with the 70-79 age group data.
In fact if you read the report the ONS contradict themselves deciding that the healthy get vaccinated first and then that the unhealthy get vaccinated first depending on which point they want to make.
Which suggests to me something is seriously wrong with the ONS data such as miscategorisation of the unvaccinated as vaccinated.
@Martin Neil for completeness and comparison, could we please see that corresponding charts for COVID mortality alongside their non-COVID counterparts?
There is a two week period post-vaccination whereby the individual is not credited with the jab, this is skewing the data badly in favour of the latest jab as any adverse events are attributed to the previous group.
Certainly that’s how UKHA have categorised their case rates and deaths etc in the vaccine surveillance reports.
But the ONS seem to claim otherwise in relation to their 1st November and 20th December publications claiming it’s based on true vaccination status at date of death. But do we believe them? Something is obviously wrong with their data and they can’t explain away the anomalies.
A rapid change of course is what is needed by this government. Unfortunately the converted preaching to the converted in the DS, is not in my opinion, going to make the slightest difference to this government’s trajectory.
Clearly no mainstream media are really interested, the BBC aren’t interested (I’m not sure what their agenda is but the quicker they go paid only, the better, as far as I’m concerned), the majority of the public aren’t interested and want only to believe (without question) what they are told by the state. It’s a tragic situation.
Boris Johnson, (assuming he is still PM) holds all the cards. If he spent less time worrying about Downingspoons and just opened his eyes to see the bigger picture, then perhaps, just perhaps, we might actually start making some real progress. The gestures he makes now will impact on the world stage. The question he’s got to ask himself is, do I feel lucky?
Further reading.
https://eugyppius.substack.com/p/unboostered-brits-infected-and-dying
“Unboostered Brits Infected and Dying at Higher Rates than UnvaccinatedUKHSA Vaccine
3r33
The UK Health Security Agency has been condemned for months to report incredibly inconvenient vaccine efficacy statistics. How they have struggled. They have composed disclaimer after disclaimer. They filled a whole blog post with special pleading. They have greyed out the inconvenient numbers.
In their latest report, published just this evening, they’ve tried something new and bold. They now only calculate case, hospitalisation and death rates for the unvaccinated and the triple vaccinated. The double vaccinated have been banished entirely from Table 12. This will make the evil negative efficacy go away, right?
Ha, no:
The numbers are unadjusted, it is true; much uncertainty surrounds the size of the unvaccinated population and therefore case rates within that group. What is more, these are cases, not true infection statistics. Nevertheless, res ipsa loquitur. It is not a great look.
In fact, the UKHSA have given us a great gift, in that they finally provide separate case and severe outcome statistics for the triple-vaccinated and the double vaccinated, allowing us to compare rates across all three groups. They don’t do that themselves, of course, but no matter. We can use the raw numbers and rates from last week’s report to derive the total number of double and triple vaccinated, and the rates in this week’s report to derive the triple vaccinated population. A little subtraction then gives us a decent estimate of how many double but not triple vaccinated people there are in each age bracket.
Here is the graph the UKHSA don’t want you to see:
This is plainly a pandemic of the vaccinated.
The double vaccinated death rate is also a problem. You can tell this just from looking at the numbers in each category
This isn’t all that surprising, given that Public Health Scotland data has shown across-the-board negative efficacy for the unboostered for some weeks now.
Dr Mike Yeadon and Reiner Füllmich:
Since the mRNA gene serums were rolled-out in 2020 we have been involved in a global experiment. This experiment is geared towards depopulation. The main players in this experiment are Moderna, Johnson& Johnson and Pfizer/Biontech.
One aspect of the trials they are running is to measure what level of toxin needs to be in a particular batch of gene serum, and how many of these batches will be needed, to kill-off their desired percentage of whatever local population they have targeted. One batch of these so-called vaccines contain’s 250,000 single shots of gene serum.
Say they target a city and decide that overall 40% of its population need to be euthanized. There may be some boroughs in this city in which they’ll decide that more people need to be euthanized than in others. For instance, a borough with a high percentage of long-term unemployed or senior citizens might well be targeted for a much higher percentage of euthanasia, than a borough in which obedient academics and local authority members live.
The correct percentages of euthanasia in the targeted boroughs will not be achieved if they randomly dish out toxic batches of gene serum across this city. Another obstacle for Big Pharma is that they could not tell local medical staff in this city that batches of vaccines with the serial number TOX1234K can only be given to denizens in boroughs X,Y and Z, while batches with the serial number UNTOX5678L can only be given to denizens in boroughs A,B and C.
Telling local medical staff this would reveal that all the batches of “vaccines” were not the same. And medical staff would correlate this with a higher number of adverse reactions and deaths in particular boroughs.
So, Big Pharma needs to do experiments and field trials so as to learn how to slip the toxic batches into the correct zones, and have the correct batches dispensed to the designated denizens.
Another aspect of these field trials is that they could not euthanise 80% of a targeted borough all at the same time. Thus, they have to stagger the distribution of the toxic batches and the levels of toxicity in each batch.
A lot of old people could be euthanized straight away; they are aged, have comorbidities, so no great suspicions would be raised. But high numbers of healthy people can’t be seen to be dropping dead in the weeks or months after being injected.
Healthy people’s deaths would need to be stretched out over a number of years to give the impression that their deaths were random and unconnected events. So, the field trials probably involve experimentation into how long specific levels of toxicity take to cause death in the individuals it is administered to.
The biomedical technology has already been created where a person can be injected with a toxin which will not act on them immediately, but will at some time in the future cause them to get ill and die.
A 55-year-old would need a lower level of toxicity to die in 12 month’s time, than would a fit 25-year-old. The field trials will give Big Pharma the statistics they need to refine this and make their killing machine more efficient.
Dr Mike Yeadon:
Dr Füllmich:
Lawyers involved with Dr Mike Yeadon and Dr Füllmich:
Craig Paardekooper is a researcher and a student of chemistry at Kingston University, London. This person has researched adverse effects and deaths caused by the “vaccines”, and also found judicial-worthy evidence that Big Pharma is running field trials to test and gauge the effects of toxic batches of “vaccines” on populations.
The graph pictured below was created by Craig Paardekooper. It clearly shows that Big Pharma is rolling out toxic batches of “vaccines”. Every blue dot in this graph equals one batch of “vaccine”. And every single batch of “vaccine” equals 250,000 individual jabs of gene serum.
There’s no doubt about it. They are engaged in depopulation.
“Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity”
If it was simple stupidity, it would have been stopped by this.
Remember, it’s just one lifetime ago that mass murder and genocide were perpetrated on White European people by other White European people.
Just 1 lifetime. How much do races of people change in just one lifetime? Zilch. The savages are still among us and they’re at it again.
Agreed, and anyone on this board who thinks we’re winning, think again.
We are up against power, the MSM, and the dim sheep – practically the whole world over.
Those in charge are beyond evil. May they rot in Hell.
We’ve got the fight of our lives on our hands to save the original human.
With no liability for the health risks of the EUA product, and the CDC and FDA bought, do they care about stopping it?
Robert Kennedy documented earlier cases of bad quality control. They juggled the vials and distributed them to different states I think.
I can also just about imagine central bankers having no idea what pharma’s doing and still thinking that it’s a bit like a mumps vaccine. Financial people are mostly clueless on anything except money and balance sheets … and often they’re no good on those either. Read ‘The Big Short’ and almost the only people who made the right bets were ‘non-team players’ who ran their own small operations.
It’s well-known that people in large organisations do things that individuals would never do. Momentum builds up and people say nothing, just to go along with the team.
SNAFU is usually the word needed. I think this is getting to the FUBAR stage.
There’s two possibilities here. Either some of the vaccine batches are especially toxic due to manufacturing problems – contamination, mistakes during production, QA failures.
Or they are especially toxic on purpose for sinister reasons.
For the moment it doesn’t really matter which of these is true. The vaccine rollouts should be halted, everywhere, while the issue is investigated.
I’d love to see some push back in the comments to some of these posts, by people who believe the opposite – anonymous of course, for fear the modern day version of being arrested by the secret police: being unemployable.
Historical data shows the winter peaks of mortality in the relevant age groups is at about the same time. Which makes sense. But in 2021 they correspond with the vaccine rollouts. Nothing to see here.
The age-related data are an elaboration, but any vaccine effect should show up strongly in the overall all-cause mortality.
Without this, there is no rationale for the snake oil.
… and there isn’t.
‘KISS’
Norman, Martin and Claire — thanks for the update.
Have you thought about table 9 on the Dec ONS spreadsheet — this covers deaths by vaccination and age group in 5 year intervals right down to 10. Of course, there is a significant downside in that there’s no time information… The data is given for the person-years at risk, so that’s something at least.
Also note that for those aged under 50 pretty much none will have been vaccinated during troublesome period during Jan/Feb 2021, so the results will be biased towards increased deaths in the unvaccinated cohort for each age group – thus if there’s more deaths in the vaccinated group vs unvaccinated it should be more likely to be a real signal.
I’ve written a bit about it in four posts; here, here, there and over there.
There has been some speculation in regard to the moment of revelation – maybe they will pull these vaccines almost instantaneously everywhere – what would the reaction be? This is obviously unanswerable because we don’t know how the damage is going to accelerate and so in a few months time we might be in a very different situation. I think that there will be a huge repudiation but I can’t conceive of how this would affect western societies already battered and damaged. My hope is that it leads us towards the light. They have saddled us with a sodden toxic overcoat of dread and despair but I felt proud for the first time in a long time when this country lifted most restrictions and I read commentators all over the world praising it. Proud of the intelligent resistance that still persists in this country. This is a strong rock to build on.
They can’t do that – it would be showing their hand and the chance of a big backlash would be too great.
One problem they do have is whether they can keep stringing out the fictional state of emergency, as once that no longer applies they won’t be able to use it to authorise the clotshots.
My view is that there isn’t really a ‘they’ as such. It is more like the Wendigo which hides behind faceless bureaucracy and plausible deniablity. We are faced with an evil but it doesn’t resemble an individual consciousness. For the last couple of years look at the faces of those who issue these edicts – these are not confident faces they look more like the frantic and frightened visages of those being held hostage, as well they should. We are faced with a deep problem of perspective along with everything else. In regard to the pulling of the vaccine I would wager my life that the MRNA pretend prophylactic will be gone in weeks. That might mean that they just come up with a new improved version. I don’t think that this will wash even with the frightened masses. Scientific reductionism is being laid bare on so many levels.
So, 25 deaths for the Opioid Isotonitazene – TAKE IT OFF THE SHELVES.
Nearly 2000 covid vaccine deaths – MOVE ALONG NOW, NOTHING TO SEE HERE.
WHAT TF IS WRONG WITH THE MEDICAL PROFESSION, Conservatives POLITICIANS, Boris Johnson AND HEALTH SECRETARY Sajid Javid?
The only plausible explanation I can come up with,acknowledging that the experience of the last couple of years have defied all logic and reason, is that the jabs are the main objective of this plandemic.
“With these considerations in mind, we applied adjustments to the ONS data and showed that they lead to the conclusion that the vaccines do not reduce all-cause mortality, but rather produce genuine spikes in all-cause mortality shortly after vaccination.”
Shouldn’t this be explosive, Page 1 news?
I still think funeral homes and life insurance companies have the answers some of us looking for. My theory is the same as many of the contrarians: Deaths among the vaccinated ARE spiking far above historical norms.
Some of this might be explained by “collateral damage” from lockdowns, but some of it is probably explained by vaccine injuries.
The unvaccinated made up about 5% of all all cause English deaths around September 2021 according to the ONS 1st November 2021 dataset.
And yet in working ages we are seeing mortality running at at least 10% above what we might expect across the entire vaccinated and unvaccinated population. It’s slightly lower in older age groups probably because the most vulnerable have died during 2020 and 2021. But it’s an inescapable fact that working age people are experiencing high mortality at least in relation to recent years.
The unvaccinated are way to small in number to have any material affect on total all cause mortality.
So it does follow that the working age vaccinated are affected by increased mortality of say around 10%. That is for every 10 deaths there is an extra death happening for some reason.
As you say this can only be down to two things really, a) the damage from the disastrous response to the virus and the lack of access to healthcare and so on, or b) because of an effect of the vaccines in increasing mortality.
The only things we don’t know in terms of current mortality, is how much of this extra mortality is down to the vaccines and how much is down to the lack of healthcare. Much as I think the experimental vaccines are doing great harm what the split is between these two factors remains a question I find difficult to answer.
Brilliant explanation again.
Well done. We are witnessing a human experiment writ large. A political one as well, not conventional scientific methodology.
This needs more publicity:
According to ONS data made available under a FOI request, only 4.6% (6183 out of roughly 136.000) of the reported Covid deaths in England and Wales where from Covid as per the definition of Covid being listed as the sole cause of death on the death certificate!
The hoax of the century?!
https://sciencefiles.org/2022/01/21/covid-19-ein-jahrhundert-hoax-bei-46-der-covid-19-toten-ist-covid-19-die-alleinige-todesursache/
DARPA admits HCQ and Ivermectin are effective treatments aganist Covid. However doctors in US had their medical license revoked for ‘spreading Covid misinformation’ and treating patients with Ivermectin. Doctors who go aganist the narrative are under investigation for daring to speak out against the Biden Regime and for daring to question Big Pharma. They want to block every way possible to reach people for cheap and alternative treatments. You can get your ivm by visiting https://ivmpharmacy.com
What a really, really stupid question!!!
A proper distraction tactic…
It seems as though people have forgotten that everyone must die some time.
It’s just that there are many of us who would rather NOT die as a result of a medical experiment using an unlicensed drug.
At last ALL of my favourite scientists, researchers, data analysts and doctors included in this article. If I ever meet you in person, I may hug you and never let go. Thank you for your perseverance in this nightmare scenario we have all had to live through this past two years.
..”With these considerations in mind, we applied adjustments to the ONS data and showed that they lead to the conclusion that the vaccines do not reduce all-cause mortality, but rather produce genuine spikes in all-cause mortality shortly after vaccination..”
These “anomalies” can only be explained because the double vaccinated are officially classified as ‘unvaccinated’ until 14 days post-vax (and 21 days post first dose) thereby hiding most vaccine-related deaths and skewing non-covid deaths towards the unvaccinated.
ONS is missing ~2.2million 1st dose vaccinations compared with NHS vaccination stats.
I’ve used tab4 of ONS Mortality by Vaccination Status 2 Jan – 24 Sept 2021 dataset, to compare ONS 1st & 2nd dose populations, with NHS daily vaccination stats. By w/e 19th February 2021. I find ONS is missing ~2.2million 1st dose vaccinations (~15%) compared with NHS vaccination stats to the same date.
Both ONS & NHS use the same NIMS vaccination database for England. I can’t see how such a large difference can occur. Cross checking NHS daily vaccination files, with their more accurate weekly files produced a small ~30k cumulative variation, but nothing in anyway comparable with the 2.2 million difference seen here. It seems reasonable to suggest that this difference may be due to the method by which ONS Vaccination statuses arise.
I went no further than the 19th Feb, as it’s tedious downloading all the daily & weekly files from NHS statistics Vaccination archives.
I think this adds some more weight to Prof Fenton’s hypothesis.
The ONS dataset covers people (over age 10) on the 2011 census and registered with a doctor in 2019. It uses NIMS but only picks up individuals meting these extra criteria.
Whereas the full NIMS database covers all those in England registered with a doctor.
Have you allowed for that in your calculations?