Has Europe seen two mortality peaks or three? According to many news outlets, the continent experienced a deadly third wave of COVID-19 during the spring of 2021.
“Europe is enduring a grim spring,” said an FT article dated 4th April. “COVID-19 infections, hospitalisations and deaths are rising in many countries,” it goes on to claim. The article presents data suggesting that March saw elevated COVID-19 death rates in a number of European countries.
This characterisation is borne out by Our World in Data’s chart of the daily number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths for the European Union – which is shown below. (The chart for Europe as a whole is highly similar.)
According to the chart, there was a peak of mortality in the spring of 2020, corresponding to the first wave (which afflicted countries such as Italy, Spain and the U.K). Then there was another peak of mortality in the winter, corresponding to the second wave (when countries such as Poland, Czechia and Hungary were also afflicted).
And the chart indicates there was an additional peak of mortality in the spring of 2021, corresponding to the third wave. This peak is lower than the first two, but still quite considerable. On April 13th, there were more than 2,800 COVID-19 deaths in Europe (compared to just under 3,600 at the peak of the second wave).
Yet as I’ve noted repeatedly, “confirmed COVID-19 deaths” can be misleading, since some of the people who die of COVID-19 (either shortly after a positive test, or with COVID-19 on the death certificate) would have died anyway. Excess mortality provides a far better gauge of the pandemic’s impact.
Estimates of excess mortality for 26 European countries are provided by researchers at EuroMOMO. The chart below plots excess mortality z-scores (numbers of standard deviations above or below the average) from week 1 of 2020 to week 27 of 2021. I’ve omitted the last three weeks of data, as these are subject to revision.
The first and second wave peaks are clearly visible: the former can be seen at week 14 of 2020, and the latter at week 3 of 2021. By comparison, the peak of the third wave (at week 16 of 2021) is barely noticeable.
It does technically rise above the red line, which the researchers oddly classify as a “substantial increase”. However, increases of this magnitude are seen every few months going all the way back to 2017. Hence the third peak cannot be regarded as a major epidemic wave.
Part of the difference between the two charts may be due to the composition of countries. For example, EuroMOMO does not cover Poland, Romania or Czechia. Having said that, the countries it does include make up the vast majority of Europe’s population, so this probably can’t account for much.
The EuroMOMO analysis indicates that Europe has seen two mortality peaks, not three. In terms of excess mortality, the third wave was just a blip.
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Let’s make that 100%. This is our ‘window of opportunity’ as Klaus Schwab might say… bring on the tumbrels. No Mercy. Information, resources and useful links: https://www.LCAHub.org/
I was l thinking it should be 100%
ICYMI: Vaccinated Can’t Donate Blood, COVID Vaccine Wipes Out Antibodies – Red Cross [VIDEO]
https://www.redvoicemedia.com/2021/09/vaccinated-cant-donate-blood-covid-vaccine-wipes-out-antibodies-red-cross-video/
Upcoming events anti lockdown roadside events with the Big Boards to a Grand Stand in the Park
Wednesday 15th September 5.30pm Rebels on Roundabouts
Downshire Way, Bracknell RG12 7AA
near Premier Inn/Bracknell Fire Station
Saturday 2nd October 2pm GRAND STAND IN THE PARK BERKSHIRE
– with a couple of guest speakers and a stroll thought the town centre at the end
Reading River Promenade
Reading RG4 8BX
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Sundays from 10am
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Stand in the Park South Hill Park Bracknell –
Sundays from 10am
Wednesdays from 2pm
Make friends – keep sane
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How many of them work for the government or civil service? It’s evident they don’t think rules apply to them.
Just following the example shown by our “leaders and betters”, like the BBQ the G7 had in Cornwall, Obama’s birthday bash, visiting opticians etc.
Lucy Moreton, of the Immigration Services Union, said the quarantine system “very much relied on the honesty of people to do the right thing, rather than any type of meaningful enforcement”.
Like everything else about this scamdemic, the whole thing is theatre, the government pretending to be doing something, whilst reliant on the gullability of Jo Public.
Don’t know anyone that bothered following the regulations 100% on return.
Not a single person.
I’ve ignored every “regulation” from day one. It’s all a scam, though a very dangerous one. We have a duty to resist this nonsense at all times. It will go on until we stop it.
Yeah agree- This non news is filler I guess – who gives a flying fuck about an absurd token rule based on the whim of a bunch of criminals at large. I had to ‘self isolate’ v recently and just carried on as per normal (albeit I work from home anyway- but I went to shops etc for food). If I had an illness I would have stayed at home as always but I didn’t. The least complicit action is to ignore every single lie and just live like this wasn’t happening – since day 1 for me.
I doubt it made any difference.
I’m sure it didn’t (as ‘sure’ as you can be about anything).
“the honesty of people to do the right thing”
… which would be to totally ignore stupid restrictions that have no purpose.
Absolutely.
And , as far as ” the honesty of people to do the right thing” we should follow the lead of our elected representatives.
OK so it did not take too long to reboot from that principled position..
No meaningful enforcement, eh?
Good.
As far as I can research there are no laws/regulations requiring quarantine, there are rules and guidelines, these can, however, be run through with a coach and horses (loads of excuses).
Be warned that the Government can detain you through The 1984 Public Health Act which allows them to detain infectious people.
I’m returning from Italy soon and I’ve no intention of quarantining as I have had Covid and had a private test for antibodies. I haven’t had the vaccine. I also have to have 2 tests. My husband on the other hand having 2 jabs only has to take 1 test and doesn’t have to quarantine. The fact that the UK government does not recognise natural immunity is not “following the science”. Let them knock on my door, I’ll be taking my son to uni
The BBC have precisely zero credibility and exist only to push regime approved propaganda. This story is nothing more than seeding for the fraudulent manufacture of ever more spurious justification for the regime’s inevitable attempt to impose another unlawful ‘lockdown’.
Nice framing:
i) ‘breaking the rules’ versus ‘not following the rules’
ii) ‘breaking the law’ versus ‘not following the law’
The western regimes are always on about ‘nasty evil Russia not following the rules’. We can now see for ourselves what their ‘rules-based order’ is all about.
Is it me or are the so called arguments the government are using to control the sheeple getting more ridicules and even the dumbest of the sheep are seeing through the lies? Or is it just wishful thinking on my behalf?
I thought polls showed that almost everyone was in favour of travel quarantine measures. And yet a third are broke the rules…. hmm, how interesting.
For yourself, rules are rules until they become inconvenient to yourself. For everybody else, rules are rules, period.
Strange – I used to believe one was innocent until proved guilty. Still, I used to be young (No, not him!) and naive.
The scamps!
This increasingly resembles all totalitarian systems.
Totally stupid rules.
Everyone knows that.
People break them when they feel like it.
There is then just a risk of being caught and suffering a penalty.
But the whole thing is really just a power game and an ego trip by the people in “power”.
Cloaked as moral virtue and using human fear as the weapon.
The lack of logic is part of the point too.
If they know that about one third were breaking their stupid rules then that means a whole lot more were actually breaking the rules. Well done to all of them. Quarantine is yet more “be seen to be doing something” nonsense rather than anything which actually works when covid is already widespread.
So what if they broke the rules…anyone complying with house arrest is a bedwetting virtue signaller.
The virus is a hoax.
This is only being trotted out now to programme us into a more authoritarian approach later. I. E camps.
Well good on all who disobeyed the ‘rules’.
I was supposed to self isolate for ten days. I was staying with my friend and his 3 kids. How does ‘self-isolation’ work in this instance?
Also I had to do the ‘tests’ but guess who took them to the post office? Yup me.
Basically apart from doing the tests I carried on as per normal, I did get contacted by someone on my Thai phone number and when I was aked if she could share the information with foreign office I stated categorically NO. Whoever they were did not bother me again.