Reform UK has regained its lead over Labour in a YouGov poll that suggests the ‘Burnham bounce’ has already subsided. The Telegraph has the story.
Andy Burnham’s popularity was credited with ending Reform’s long period of poll dominance last week as a first voting intention survey in 16 months saw Nigel Farage’s party fall to second place.
However, the latest YouGov voting intention survey puts Reform on 23%, up one percentage point and ahead of Labour on an unchanged 22%.
Dr Patrick English, the pollster’s head of elections and political data, told the Telegraph: “I would say that there certainly has been a positive response from the British public to Labour’s removal of Keir Starmer and replacement with Andy Burnham, who is currently the most positively rated party leader that we are measuring.
“There has been a response there, and I think that’s to be expected, but even though Burnham leads our favourability ratings he is not hugely popular. So I don’t think we should expect a massive surge in Labour support, and I would caution expectations in that regard because the British public still don’t think that the Government is doing a brilliant job.
“They still don’t think they’re addressing their concerns around the cost of living and around immigration, and they’re going to want to see actual improvement and actual changes in their day-to-day lives before they start giving Labour more reward in the polls and more reward at the ballot box.”
Last week, a poll by More in Common put Labour ahead of Reform for the first time in more than a year, with Burnham’s party on 28% to Reform’s 24%.
A YouGov poll carried out in Burnham’s first week as Prime Minister found that Labour had gained four percentage points, while Reform had lost two.
The new Prime Minister used his first week to unveil a number of policies aimed at helping address cost of living pressures, including a cut to VAT on energy bills.
In last week’s YouGov survey, Labour and Reform were tied at 22% and this week, Reform nudged ahead. The Tories were at 19%, down two points week-on-week.
Interestingly, the Burnham bounce barely registered with YouGov at all.
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21 Comments
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Smudger
1 month ago
7 PMs in 10 years. It doesn’t matter who the Uniparty make their leader, they are all doomed to fail in short time. How can a PM serve two masters – unelected global technocratic NGOs (UN, WEF, Council on Foreign Relations, …..) and the people who elected them?
Starmer made his position clear on Davos. Perhaps his most truthful utterance ever.
David
1 month ago
If this pattern continues we will end up with something almost as bad as PR – an unstable coalition or a series of them.
RTSC
1 month ago
Since it’s YouGov, I reckon you an add at least another 2% to Reform’s score.
It’s noticeable that according to YouGov, the CONs have decreased from 21% to 19% over the last two weeks. So the Kemi bounce” which has been loudly proclaimed by the Mail, DT for weeks is fictitious as many below the line continually told them.
Covid-1984
1 month ago
🗳 Vote Reform UK as if your life depends on it because it does.
ChrisA
1 month ago
Lotus eaters have lost the plot and after getting absolutely nowhere in the last by elections, they are back to raving over Lowe and claiming they are going to win all future elections. I looked up current polls earlier today and as reported here reform 23pc, restore 4pc. Utterly utterly deluded.
transmissionofflame
1 month ago
So depressing
77% voting against Reform
Valerie_London
1 month ago
Do you think news of Reform’s bounce may be a bit premature at this stage?
Heretic
2 months ago
Erm … Have a closer look at these two pollsters giving the results in the Telegraph article, which requires a large pinch of salt.
1) “More in Common” and the Marxist “Common Purpose”, which was exposed years ago by former Royal Navy Lt Cmdr Brian Gerrish of the UK Column:
“In short, “More in Common” is a research arm whose work on values, identity, and social cohesion is thematically and strategically aligned with the “Common Purpose” vision of uniting people around shared goals rather than division.”
2) “YouGov” was founded by none other than Iraqi Muslim Nadhim Zahawi, now a member of Reform UK.
Me, too! I can’t stand even looking at photos of Third World Ethnics in the West, like Africans, Middle Eastern types & Indian Subcontinentals, because to me they are as repulsive and predatory inside as out. Only in their own ancestral homelands do they seem better looking, well suited to their natural culture and surroundings. That is my own personal view. “Beauty is in the eye of the beholder”.
Hm, Muslim Nadhim Zahawi. That explains why I have never been asked by yougov, or I know of anyone who has been asked, or of anyone who knows someone who has been asked…Perhaps, we all live in the wrong postcode as it seems that Mr Zahawi focuses on B10 0SH – to B11 area (Small Heath: Muslim residents 85.9%).
Exile on Spencer St
2 months ago
Slightly off topic but Argentine presidential election due in 2027.
Would “our” Andy, and our navy (sic), be ready for another Falklands moment by then?
Perish the thought of all the politically correct rainbow coloured sea-faring vessels chugging away to engage with the Argentinians.
NeilParkin
2 months ago
If I understand YouGovs methods properly, its probably closer to RFM 26%, LBR 20%. If anyone really thought that Burnham was going to come in with a clear plan, they will be sadly disappointed.
I saw that he wants to introduce driving tests for the over 70’s. Andy, concentrate on the big ones, not the little ones that don’t mean anything. We have enough for you to do in the ‘big tickets’ without the small change shit. If you’re spending time on trivialities like that, it just suggests that you don’t know what to do with the big stuff.
They haven’t got enough driving examiners to cope with learner drivers who want to sit the driving test. If every over 70 had to sit a test the system will collapse.
Of course, the proposal is an attempt to (a) raise money and (b) force older drivers to give up driving and give up their cars.
Some older drivers are terrible but so are many others- people get sloppy after they pass their test. It’s the usual socialist sledgehammer to crack a nut/collective punishment/solution worse than problem.
EppingBlogger
2 months ago
Dr Patrick English, the pollster’s head of elections and political data at YouGov seemed unduly keen to spin in favour of Labour and Burnham (on Sea?).
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To join in with the discussion please make a donation to the Daily Sceptic.
Profanity and abuse will be removed and may lead to a permanent ban.
7 PMs in 10 years. It doesn’t matter who the Uniparty make their leader, they are all doomed to fail in short time. How can a PM serve two masters – unelected global technocratic NGOs (UN, WEF, Council on Foreign Relations, …..) and the people who elected them?
Starmer made his position clear on Davos. Perhaps his most truthful utterance ever.
If this pattern continues we will end up with something almost as bad as PR – an unstable coalition or a series of them.
Since it’s YouGov, I reckon you an add at least another 2% to Reform’s score.
It’s noticeable that according to YouGov, the CONs have decreased from 21% to 19% over the last two weeks. So the Kemi bounce” which has been loudly proclaimed by the Mail, DT for weeks is fictitious as many below the line continually told them.
🗳 Vote Reform UK as if your life depends on it because it does.
Lotus eaters have lost the plot and after getting absolutely nowhere in the last by elections, they are back to raving over Lowe and claiming they are going to win all future elections. I looked up current polls earlier today and as reported here reform 23pc, restore 4pc. Utterly utterly deluded.
So depressing
77% voting against Reform
Do you think news of Reform’s bounce may be a bit premature at this stage?
Erm … Have a closer look at these two pollsters giving the results in the Telegraph article, which requires a large pinch of salt.
1) “More in Common” and the Marxist “Common Purpose”, which was exposed years ago by former Royal Navy Lt Cmdr Brian Gerrish of the UK Column:
“In short, “More in Common” is a research arm whose work on values, identity, and social cohesion is thematically and strategically aligned with the “Common Purpose” vision of uniting people around shared goals rather than division.”
2) “YouGov” was founded by none other than Iraqi Muslim Nadhim Zahawi, now a member of Reform UK.
Zahawi gives me the creeps. I really dislike him.
Me, too! I can’t stand even looking at photos of Third World Ethnics in the West, like Africans, Middle Eastern types & Indian Subcontinentals, because to me they are as repulsive and predatory inside as out. Only in their own ancestral homelands do they seem better looking, well suited to their natural culture and surroundings. That is my own personal view. “Beauty is in the eye of the beholder”.
Hm, Muslim Nadhim Zahawi. That explains why I have never been asked by yougov, or I know of anyone who has been asked, or of anyone who knows someone who has been asked…Perhaps, we all live in the wrong postcode as it seems that Mr Zahawi focuses on B10 0SH – to B11 area (Small Heath: Muslim residents 85.9%).
Slightly off topic but Argentine presidential election due in 2027.
Would “our” Andy, and our navy (sic), be ready for another Falklands moment by then?
Perish the thought of all the politically correct rainbow coloured sea-faring vessels chugging away to engage with the Argentinians.
If I understand YouGovs methods properly, its probably closer to RFM 26%, LBR 20%. If anyone really thought that Burnham was going to come in with a clear plan, they will be sadly disappointed.
I saw that he wants to introduce driving tests for the over 70’s. Andy, concentrate on the big ones, not the little ones that don’t mean anything. We have enough for you to do in the ‘big tickets’ without the small change shit. If you’re spending time on trivialities like that, it just suggests that you don’t know what to do with the big stuff.
They haven’t got enough driving examiners to cope with learner drivers who want to sit the driving test. If every over 70 had to sit a test the system will collapse.
Of course, the proposal is an attempt to (a) raise money and (b) force older drivers to give up driving and give up their cars.
Some older drivers are terrible but so are many others- people get sloppy after they pass their test. It’s the usual socialist sledgehammer to crack a nut/collective punishment/solution worse than problem.
Dr Patrick English, the pollster’s head of elections and political data at YouGov seemed unduly keen to spin in favour of Labour and Burnham (on Sea?).
Should that be (at sea!)?
…or preferably, in the sea.
Or on Crouch?