Labour has barely registered a polling bounce since Sir Keir Starmer quit and Andy Burnham closes in on becoming his successor as Prime Minister. The Mail has the story.
The latest YouGov survey shows Labour’s support up two percentage points to 20% since Sir Keir announced he will stand down.
But this is within the margin of error of last week’s poll and Labour still trails Reform UK by four points.
Nigel Farage’s party is on 24% in the latest poll – down one point from the previous survey.
The Tories are unchanged on 20% in this week’s poll, with the Greens (down two points) and the Liberal Democrats (down one point) both on 13%.
It is the lowest figure recorded for the Greens since last October, and is down eight points from their peak in early March, which came shortly after Zack Polanski’s party won the Gorton and Denton by-election.
The 40% of voters who said they would back either Labour or the Tories is the highest combined vote share for Britain’s traditional two main parties since last July.
Sir Keir announced he will resign as PM in a tearful speech last week, following Burnham’s victory in the Makerfield by-election.
Worth reading in full.
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One party up 2 points, the three others, between them, down 4 points… who did the other 2 points go to or, are the Treasury’s latest DEI recruits responsible for these numbers?
Presumably lost somewhere in the rounding up and down.
That 40% of voters would still back the two main arms of the Uniparty is a concern since should Reform not win a majority and Labour come second they could form a coalition with the Tories. Absurd suggestion? Who ever thought Call Me Dave would pal up with Calamity Clegg in 2010? Look at other countries such as Germany where the CDU teamed up with SPD to keep AfD out of a coalition and the loathing of Farage is little different. The CDU are a good match for the Tories being alleged right wing as well.
A lot of people were not in the least bit surprised that Call Me Dave palled up with Calamity Clegg ….. not least because he wrote an article in The Guardian the year before the General Election calling for just that!
Says it all:
It would have been fascinating if 2TK had really took it personally and called a general election as his final big decision – could have really stuck it to Burnham…
Yes. Changing the electoral system is a disgrace. Does anyone know how the Tories voted.
Hey, don’t sneeze at 2%! That’s an 11% improvement over 18%*.
Why does it even matter, when the Labour machine is doing its best to make sure that, after giving the “right” answer back in 24, we never need vote again?
(*) relative factor, as seen in all well-known public-health statistics.
Presumably it was only ever deluded left wing journalists, and MPs who thought there would be a massive “Burnham bounce” for Liebour.
Starmer’s a lying wanker with all the personality and charisma of a soggy blancmange but sensible people know that Liebour’s rotten to the core and whenever there’s a totally crap government it’s down to far more than a bad PM. This is why Sunak couldn’t save the Tories, people may well of been fed up with Boris the lying buffoon but they were even more fed up of the fact the Tories were no longer conservatives and had become part of the uniparty.
More of a dead kitten bounce, than a dead cat bounce.
But over the weekend, the hype was Labour now neck and neck or ahead of Reform, Reform peaked, declining, disappeared by 2029, Nigel Farage off to Valhalla.
Disturbing that 40% still want more of the last 30 years. There’s nowt s’queer as folk. I think they need their heads examining.
But… I wonder what proportion of the poll sample were, engineers, rocket scientists, cultural enrichers?
I don’t think the 49% do want more of the same. They just cannot bring themselves to face the facts.
If you support the Greens or the LibDems you know what wallies their leaders are but voters cannot bring themselves to accept what they see with their eyes.
ditto Tories whose remaining supporters cannot believe that their party really did all those nasty things for 14 years and many of the same people people same still in the leadership.
As to Labour I think it is a cool calculation by those without long roots here. Either because their families are recent immigrants or because they are “anywhere” people as David Goodhart so eloquently put the issue.
I always wonder about these polls. I have never been asked….
If it’s a YouGov poll, which I see it is, you have to sign up to it to be asked, I think?
Which may have some bearing on the results, I suppose, as they’re asking the sort of people who’d sign up to be asked their opinions… which, frankly, isn’t most of us.
Prob bout 15 years ago, before the EU Referendum, I signed up to YouGov. I “outed” myself as a UKIP supporter when I registered and I NEVER got sent a political survey to complete, only consumer-type ones.
The results are entirely untrustworthy.
It’s a self-selecting YouGov survey, not a proper poll. So the results are extremely unreliable.
I have a persistent mental image of Keir Starmer as the child in the playground who is shunned by all the other children, and who spends his lonely evenings in his bedroom plotting ways of getting his own back on the world.
I suspect that is true of most of his Cabinet
Always the last to be picked for a team.
Was he a late bed wetter, I wonder. Psychologists say that is a bad sign.
But Starmer hasn’t actually quit quit yet. Any emerging scandals for the Leadership contenders could result in yet another Starmer U turn.
I’d like that. Not only would he prove a perpetual electoral liability for Labour, but he’d be less damaging to the UK than any likely successor.
Not quite quit. As the saying goes: the opera ain’t over until the fat lady sings.
And as Harold Wilson remarked: a week is a long time in politics.