The Conservative Party has sunk to its lowest ever poll rating, after a YouGov poll carried out on Sunday and Monday found the Tories are now in fourth place on just 16%. Reform is flying on 29% ahead of Labour on 22%. The Telegraph has more.
It comes after the Conservatives lost every single council they were defending at this month’s local elections and as Reform UK continues to surge.
The Tories are in fourth position for the first time since June 2019, which was at the height of the Brexit deadlock and shortly before Baroness May was forced out of Downing Street.
The YouGov poll of 2,222 adults put Reform in the lead on 29%, up one point on the previous week. It has extended its lead over Labour, which was in second on 22%.
The Conservatives, meanwhile, were down two points on the previous week and have been overtaken by the Liberal Democrats, who were up by one point and polling at 17%.
The Conservatives have not come fourth in a YouGov poll since June 5th and 6th 2019, when The Brexit Party, Mr Farage’s former outfit, took the lead for the first time.
The 2019 survey came in the wake of the Tories’ wipeout at the European elections, when the party got less than 9% of the vote in a defeat that forced Baroness May’s resignation as Prime Minister.
The Tories reached a pandemic high of 53% with YouGov on April 17th 2020.
But the party had sunk to 28% by Jan 12, 2022, after the Partygate scandal emerged, and hit a low of 19% in the same year under Liz Truss on October 21st in the wake of the mini-Budget.
An initial bounce under Rishi Sunak saw the party recover to 28% by April 19th 2023, but this had dipped to 20% by January 17th 2024 amid backbench efforts to oust the then Prime Minister.
The Tories were at just 18% with YouGov on May 1st 2024, shortly before Mr Sunak called an early General Election. On July 3rd 2024, the day before Britain went to the polls, the Tories were back up to 22%.
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