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Are Fossil Fuels Running Out?

Have we passed peak oil – are fossil fuels running out? Richard Lyon says yes, and the transition to 'renewables' is making it worse. But peak oil is a myth, says Tilak Doshi, as he reviews Lyon's book The Energy Trap.

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The Energy Trap: Why the Renewable Energy Transition Can’t Work – and What Can by Richard Lyon (Swift Press, 2026)

Richard Lyon’s The Energy Trap is a short book with large ambitions: to strip the energy debate back to first principles and make the key policy issues accessible to the intelligent reader. He describes it as “a friendly guide that gives you the minimum set of facts you need, with references so you can check the claims yourself. … You’re perfectly capable of understanding what’s happening if someone takes the trouble to explain it clearly.” The result, as he says in his prologue, can be read in “three cups of tea and half a packet of biscuits”.

The author combines training in electrical engineering, petroleum engineering and energy economics with more than 25 years in senior upstream oil and gas roles in the UK, Norway, Azerbaijan, Congo and Cameroon. Having spent much of my own career in the industry at the downstream end, in corporate planning where the outlook for demand, supply and prices is the bread and butter of the analyst, I read the book with great interest. What insights could an upstream engineer and energy economist who worked on resource assessment, field development and extraction decisions – working at the ‘coal face’ of the supply side, so to speak – bring to corporate planning?

Physics, depletion and escaping the energy trap

The book argues its case in three broad strands, spread across seven short parts in 110 pages of main text. First

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4 Comments
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stewart
stewart
5 minutes ago

The problem I see is that bureaucratic central planning is constantly edging forward and never seems to retreat. And the disruption and failings it produces are misattributed to “market failures” which inevitably brings about more regulations and central planning. And on and on.

Unless the population can recover faith in the free market system, somehow push back the central planners and force deregulation, I don’t see us getting out of this doom-loop.

You either believe in human ingenuity unleashed through free markets or you don’t. Established power and their bureaucrats don’t because they don’t like that which they cannot control.

Dinger64
Dinger64
8 minutes ago

Isnt the earths production of oil and gas an ongoing process? Each layer is making its way into becoming the next coal oil and gas on a continuous journey over time, it wasnt just created back then and then stopped!
Over the hundred years or so that humans have been using it in serious quantities i rather think the earth as a whole as created far more in that time than we could ever use!

Marcus Aurelius knew
Marcus Aurelius knew
22 minutes ago

I think some discussion of scale would be in order. Most people have not taken the time to understand the size of the planet. This relates to the discussion about oil and its availability, because although it may take the planet a certain number of years to produce a barrel of oil, what I have never had explained is just how many “barrels” the planet is filling every day.

I propose as a starter to the subject of scale a little fact which certainly helps me comprehend how insignificant humans are on this planet…:

Dig a hole just one mile wide, one mile across and one mile deep. You’d be able to fit all the humans in it, with plenty of room to spare.

This planet and its resources are utterly enormous. And the oil industry is quite happy to let people continue believing we are running out of oil. My prediction is that we’ll still be using oil in 200 years, and in greater quantities than today, and we’ll still be talking about it running out.

jenkida
jenkida
23 minutes ago

Lyons does not seem to live in the real world of oil and gas economics or he just did not learn much in his career with whomever he worked with

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