The latest data from the ONS infection survey confirms that coronavirus prevalence has been falling in London since the end of last month. This is occurring at the same time as last year, despite no lockdown being imposed this time and the emergence of the Omicron variant.
The data also shows that in the last week of 2021, an estimated 6% of the population of England or one in 15 people would test positive for COVID-19. This compares to a peak prevalence last winter of around 2%, so around three times higher.
The breakdown by age shows high prevalence in all age groups and particularly those under 50. Most age groups appeared to be peaking at the end of December, though in the over-50s infections were rising albeit from a lower level.
The ONS estimates back up the data from the ZOE Covid Symptom Study, which tracks self-reported symptomatic Covid via an app and shows reported infections falling sharply in London since the end of December.
ZOE also shows reported symptomatic infections falling across England and particularly in the East and South East of the country.
As noted above, this apparent peaking and falling is happening around the same week as last year, which is also around the same time flu infections usually peak and fall, which suggests the drivers are independent of the particular virus and strain or any interventions.
The blue dotted line below shows flu test positivity in 2019-20, showing the same turn-of-year peak and decline.
The blue dashed line below shows the same pattern for GP consultation for flu-like illness in 2010-11.
The black dotted line below shows the same pattern in the baseline (calculated from incidence in recent years) on this chart of GP consultations for flu-like illness.
Since the pattern is independent of the specific pathogen or any interventions it should be at the centre of understanding seasonal flu-like illness, including COVID-19. An acceleration to a variant-specific and seasonal herd immunity driven by the activity of the festive season is one potential explanation of this recurring pattern.
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‘Virus gonna virus’, as Berenson says.
they’re not infections. They’re positive tests…….
It woz da boostas wot did it, John.
Many people would have caught it when going for their booster.
Indeed, or the booster gives them covid. The only people I know with covid over Xmas are the recently “boosted”.
Or they already had the virus in their body, dormant, but the immune system depression caused by the booster allowed the virus the opportunity to do its thing.
In much the same way as the coldsore virus tends to activate when people are “run down”.
I think this is the case
I used to be a regular runner but tore a muscle pre lockdown and had not been out running much even though lockdown presented lots of opportunities for government-approved exercise. But last Easter I felt great and my leg was healed so I went out for my first run for a long while. Probably overdid it a bit and was really knackered the next day and a couple of days later went down with a “bug” which I discovered was COVID when I belatedly did a test about a week later.
Which tended to confirm my suspicions about SARS-COV-2 lying dormant in the body until it gets the opportunity to pounce.
Apparently around 8% of the human genome is made up of ancient viruses.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-percent-virus-are-you/
With the way things are going at the moment, I wouldn’t be surprised if they discovered 1% of the population have lizard DNA
It’s just a moderate seasonal virus.
Yep, that was my experience.
Very much as Chris Whitty (the original March 2020 version of him) forecast that it would be.
Covid or flu, take your pick. The test kit can’t distinguish between the two, which supports my assertion that covid is stuff of the fairies. Entirely a fraud.
The PCR test is highly specific and accurate at detecting SARS-CoV-2 (when done properly) and SARS-CoV-2 only.
Flu has a different gene sequence.
Are we going to have your copy-paste rant for umpteenth time? Go on, tell me again about paying money to Toby Young and allege that I’m making claims that viruses don’t exist, etc. It’s becoming quite entertaining.
Yes.
Every time you make a false claim I will point out your error.
This website needs to be accurate to attract more people to our cause.
Posting rubbish about PCR tests is not going to attract scientists or medics to this website who we need to persuade the general public that they are being lied to.
The PCR test is a lab tool. It is not a diagnostic tool. However, it is being passed off as being able to diagose covid. That is why every positive result is labelled a ‘medical case’ and then twisted into being called an ‘infection’. Its the central instument of the hoax.
Scientists have always known it is not a diagnostic tool.
It can detect a virus but can’t tell whether it is infectious or not.
Only cell culture can determine that.
How much are they paying you? You are 77th Brigade without doubt. The test is the enabler of this fraud and here you always are to defend it with your copy-paste pontification.
Stop being a paranoid child.
Scientists use the PCR test every day of the week to detect a variety of viruses and pathogens.
Politicians have abused the PCR test results.
Go on, tell us again you pay Toby. Do you have a text file with all your pre-written pro-fraud bollocks?
I am anti-Covid fraud.
I am pro accuracy and if you didn’t keep posting ridiculous statements I wouldn’t have to correct you.
We’re on the same side but your blatant errors of fact is weakening our argument.
The PCR test looks only a part of supposed SARs COV 2 gene sequence. If it finds anything, it has every chance of being dead viral culture. If the person has flu symptoms, he just has flu, but a PCR test will say he has covid and it will be registered as covid. Its a con..
The PCR can test for anything you program into it. The unique partial sequence used to detect SARS-CoV-2 in the RT-PCR test is CCAGGTGGWACRTCATCMGGTGATGC
Yes the majority of positives (85%) are not infectious.
The person is shedding old dead virus material or is about to start being infectious. The CT rate is an indicator but it can only be confirmed by cell culture.
If someone has flu they will have a negative Covid PCR test as it is not possible for a Covid PCR test (if done properly) to be positive for flu.
Flu has a different and unique gene sequence to SARS-CoV-2.
You are not addressing the point I make. A person can test positive for Covid via dead viral matter, not have covid but actually have flu.
If you PCR test positive for SARS-CoV-2 and it is confirmed by cell culture that it is dead virus particles then it means any symptoms you had would have been Covid-19 and not flu and you are no longer infectious.
In very, very, very rare cases you may also have flu as well as Covid-19.
I admit that in some instances some people may have been misdiagnosed with Covid-19 instead of flu or pneumonia if they didn’t have a test particular with deaths of the elderly.
If they had flu like symptoms and flu is no longer around but a more virulent coronavirus then it is highly likely they died of Covid-19 and that’s what would have been put on the death certificate.
If you hear hoof beats think horses not zebras.
However, flu almost disappeared and it is a known scientific fact that similar coronaviruses compete with each other and a dominant one will subsume a less virulent one and that is why flu temporarily disappeared as it was ousted by SARS-CoV-2.
At least two I know either have, or it’s a stunning co-incidence.
its common – I know several. My Auntie didn’t leave the house for 8 months and then caught it from the vaccination centre (more likely the jab annihilated her immune system for a week)
a younger friend caught it the day after his booster
its far too common to be coincidence
Whodaah thought it Dave?… Highly transmissible flu viruses simply doing what they’ve always done for centuries told…
Fortunately… we have one word that slices cleanly through all this Covidian Kult bollox
There is no such thing as a ‘national’ herd immunity. Its made up loads of local herd immunity. As people move around they temporarily change the status quo and it takes a few weeks to reestablish the local herd immunity. Christmas ( is this the ‘festive season’ you refer to? ) is a prime example, so is the start of school/college/university years which often involves some house moves as well. As virus often find colder/damper weather reduces individual immune systems especially in elderly and compromised people, unsurprisingly illnesses peak then.
Page I of immunology for dummies.
Almost as if a virus is gonna do what a virus is gonna do.
I don’t see anything here that’s very far from what we would normally expect. Even last winter, while there were more than usual, it still isn’t that far out from normal excess winter mortality. Surely this should be the stick to measure by?
Excess winter deaths 2017-2018: 49,410
Excess winter deaths 2020-2021: 63,000 ( estimated )
In the 60’s these numbers were in the 70-80,000 range with a lower population.
So the real impact last winter from “Covid” deaths was somewhere around 13-14,000 over what we expect in a normally, fairly high winter.
2017-2019..
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/excesswintermortalityinenglandandwales/2018to2019provisionaland2017to2018final
Last winter for comparison…
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/excesswintermortalityinenglandandwales/2020to2021provisionaland2019to2020final
I remain confused by the UK Government’s behaviour. Why have they passed up a great opportunity to up the tyranny and further their agenda, employing in the process what I think used to be called ‘common sense’?
For those that have been saying this is all about the vax passport for instance, say, the pre-peak would have been a perfect opportunity to increase their use domestically without anyone batting an eyelid. What are they up to?
Puzzled of Yorkshire
Last year, the idea of a global health pass was being treated as a conspiracy theory, very conveniently ( even though it was completely out in the open ). Those that want and need it most, are also the ones who have a very anti populism stance, which the UK, along with the US red states represent. I think some of this push and pull is possibly in play.
A quiet battle rages behind the curtain. The shadowy villains are losing their grip on government. Maybe. Hopefully. Something like that.
It would appear that the GOF bio-weapon (virus) is conforming to virology 101….Who would have thunk it! Will the indoctrinated masses awaken in 2022? Don’t hold your collective breath folk’s, it would appear that the British compliant majority are the dumbest f#cker’s in Christendom!
Runnynose_2022 on the way out. Oh the humanity!
Even wondered why the under 18s figures look so high in the unvaccinated…? It’s because up until recently we have only offered a single dose and only to teenage children. So unvaccinated cases are in 0-18, whereas, the single and double dose has only been in very few teenagers and vulnerable children but then divided by all ages, making the cases within double jabbed appear tiny. If you include the single jabbed it outstrips the unvaccinated as a percentage of the population just as it does will all other age groups. As more children now become double jabbed the figures get worse as the vaccine does nothing to stop infection or transmission.
The Rapists Dad says hospitality is open in Wales
A local pub landlord received a visit from the Local Authority Gestapo two days before New Years Eve
They told the landlord that if he allowed a band to play on New Years Eve he would be fined £10,000 (yes he does have a music and dancing licence)
The goons then told the landlord that although the ‘rule of six’ applied to tables, those seated on the same table must be two metres apart. To follow the rules the table must be at least 23feet in length or 66 feet in length if the six were all sat on the same side
These numskulls said they wanted a written undertaking from the landlord that there would be no handshaking, kissing or hugging at midnight (and they would be checking)
Needless to say the landlord threw in the towel and closed
I’m reminded of the Khmer Rouge in Cambodia who executed anyone who wore glasses on the basis that they must be intellectuals. When people ditched their glasses the KR asked them to perform some intricate repair on a bicycle. When the hapless victims couldn’t perform the task because they could not see they shot them
The Rapists Dad has promised £120 to hospitality, needless to say most of that will go to the goons as a reward
Should be £120m
120 million taken from people who couldn’t go out and enjoy themselves.
Cecil, here’s how the ‘Glesca Polis’ treated patrons in a pub on Hogmanay shortly before midnight. The folk in this boozer are mainly of retirement age. There was music, some drinking, some dancing. And then….
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10361259/Moment-police-storm-Glasgow-pub-arrest-two-people-breaching-Scottish-Covid-rules.html
You’d need a large castle for a table that size!
…
A federal judge has ordered the FDA to quicken the speed of releasing documents related to Pfizer’s COVID vaccine after the government initially claimed it would take 75 years to fully divulge the data.
https://summit.news/2022/01/07/district-judge-orders-fda-to-quicken-release-of-pfizer-vaccine-docs/
I’ll consider taking it once the data is published.
Whoopi Goldberg expressed “shock” at catching COVID-19 despite the fact that she had been triple vaccinated.
Whoopi proving that intelligence and wealth do not always go together.
https://summit.news/2022/01/06/whoopi-goldberg-shocked-at-catching-covid-despite-being-triple-vaxxed/
Whoopi is thick as shit
She is weak minded and morally rotten as she would rather blame the unjabbed than accept the obvious fact that she’s been duped.
She could also be thick as a brick. But let’s not confuse stupidity for moral bankruptcy and let these terrible human beings off too lightly, writing off their malice as stupidity.
Guess she hasn’t heard of Malta?
That’s a Babylon Bee headline, surely?
Stop using the terms ‘infections’ and ‘cases’ inaccurately. The RCGP data shows the true picture – that there hasn’t been an epidemic.
According to the hysterical, there’s a new virus going around, it’s called Flurona. This is despite them being told that this is about as likely as an elephant breeding with a jelly fish
Does the data break down into cases, infections (COVID-19), hospitalisations and recoveries from hospital?
And of course by age and gender. Or is that just wishful thinking?
There Are Now 365 Studies that Prove the Efficacy of Ivermectin and HCQ in Treating COVID-19. Any hospital administrator who mandated the shots to employees to comply with the government mandate for Medicare and Medicaid reimbursement and who refused to allow alternative treatments to be tried, doctors who pushed their patients to take the EUA drug without giving fully informed consent, anyone who forcefully administered the shot, the AMA, AAP, Boards of Health, CDC, FDA, NIH, WHO, scientists who participated in the development, Big Pharma (Pfizer, Moderna, J&J, Astra Zeneca, et. al.), anyone who pushed the sick into nursing homes resulting in deaths, all must be arrested, prosecuted, tried and if found guilty sentenced to prolonged imprisonment and fines or death for intentional homicide. Get your ivermectin before it is too late! https://ivmpharmacy.com