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Infections Are Already Declining in London, Data Suggests

by Will Jones
1 January 2022 9:59 PM

New daily infections are already falling in London, data suggests. The ZOE Covid Symptom Study shows infections falling in the capital since December 27th (see above), a trend that appears to be confirmed by the latest Government reported infection data, where positive tests by specimen date have not been topped since December 21st (see below).

Reported infections in London by specimen date (HMG)

While there will be some testing artefact in the Government data, the corroboration of the apparent peak and decline by the ZOE study (which uses modelled data based on self-reported symptoms) suggests the trend is real.

The infection peak in England last winter occurred around December 26th, according to antibody-based analysis by Imperial College London. If it happens around the same time this winter then it may give support to the notion that it is the festivities of the Christmas season themselves that drive the winter peak to a seasonal herd immunity threshold, triggering a sustained fall throughout the rest of the winter, despite the weather typically becoming colder in January and February.

Tags: LondonZOE Covid Study App

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45 Comments
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Steven Robinson
Steven Robinson
3 years ago

Maybe it is the festivities of the Christmas season themselves that drive the winter peak to a seasonal herd immunity threshold, triggering a sustained fall throughout the rest of the winter.
Time will tell, of course, but this is an interesting suggestion. A complicating factor may be that omicron is a less respiratory disease and may therefore not be so weather-dependent.

14
0
Star
Star
3 years ago
Reply to  Steven Robinson

Omicron is not a disease.

How many of the positive results do you think come from neurotic idiots who have tested themselves multiple times and eventually got a positive result even though they’re not positive?

If a person is negative and the false positive rate is only 10% (it’s probably higher), then a person only has to test themselves SEVEN times to be more likely than not to get what they always wanted feared – at least one positive result. I wouldn’t be surprised if that accounts for three-quarters of the so-called “cases”.

If they go to hospital after a positive result because their nose is a bit runny and their temperature is 99.0 degrees, I bet such types don’t even get ASKED during “triage” how many tests they have taken. THAT’S how “serious” the medics are. They aren’t serious at all. It’s all bollocks. A positive result doesn’t mean shee-yit. Nor does a runny nose, for most people, especially at this time of year. People need to a) grow some brain cells, and b) grow up and stop being such babies.

Besides, the omicron variant of SARSCoV2 when it causes health problems is reported to affect above the neck (nose and throat) and hardly ever below the neck (lungs), which would explain its high relative transmissibility because of transmission in “loaded” coughs and sneezes.

And if it doesn’t affect the lungs, then IT DOESN’T CAUSE COVID.

Last edited 3 years ago by Star
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0
David Beaton
David Beaton
3 years ago
Reply to  Star

How many? Say 90% at a guess?

2
0
cornubian
cornubian
3 years ago
Reply to  Steven Robinson

For Gods sake, everyone stop playing their game. Cases up, cases down, infections up, infections down….. this is what they want! They want us using their bogus parameters and speaking their pseudo medical language to describe the common cold. The guy in this still from his video. He was sent home for testing positive for covid. Look at his rap sheet – Coronavirus 229E. ITS THE COMMON COLD. .

photo_2022-01-01_23-37-30.jpg
26
0
Lockdown Sceptic
Lockdown Sceptic
3 years ago
Reply to  Steven Robinson

Meanwhile all the Progressive left “liberals” love China

Leaked Chinese documents detail ATROCITIES yet we STILL turn a blind eye?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9w8wN-WtLPU
Recently leaked Chinese documents detail mass atrocities against the Uighur people that the world SHOULD pay attention to…yet big businesses, big tech, and world elites continue to turn a blind eye to China and its government. But, Glenn asks, what price are we willing to pay in exchange for business, trade, and money from the communist nation? Because, if we fail to act, we WILL lose our souls. So, how much is YOUR soul worth?cause, if we fail to act, we WILL lose our souls. So, how much is YOUR soul worth? Glenn Beck

Stand in the Park Sundays 10am make friends & keep sane 
Wokingham – Howard Palmer Gardens Cockpit Path car park Sturges Rd RG40 2HD  

Telegram Group 
http://t.me/astandintheparkbracknell
When you are demonised for speaking the truth you are living in tyranny.

9
-2
huxleypiggles
huxleypiggles
3 years ago
Reply to  Steven Robinson

Bloody hell. Get a grip. This is nothing to do with a virus.

1
0
No-one important
No-one important
3 years ago

Using the number of people who may, or may not, have a cold in winter as a basis to decide whether to disrupt further an already buggered economy. Genius. Only a government could be so wilfully stupid.

69
0
huxleypiggles
huxleypiggles
3 years ago
Reply to  No-one important

Unless they had a separate agenda.

1
0
AngusAttitude
AngusAttitude
3 years ago

Just reinforces the message from the immediately preceding article – that being that the NHS/SAGE establishment is doing everything it possibly can to hysterically talk up an historically benign and normal situation into a quasi-crisis. Why? Because that way they have a ‘crisis smokescreen’ that can hide their incompetence at providing a basic level of health care.

Without fail, they mis-manage to accomodate the entirely predictable and quantifiable winter demand. Without fail, they blame everyone but themselves. Without fail, any and all Govts cave to this admission of inadequacy for short term votes. To see NHS staff dancing like circus bears in the middle of what has been (fradulently) portrayed by them as pretty much the deadliest plague evah, and equally otherwise normal people clapping like North Korean Seals every week for this shower makes me want to puke.

IMO the sooner the whole funding paradigm of the NHS is pushed off its self aggrandised pedestal the better for the nation.

66
-1
Backlash
Backlash
3 years ago
Reply to  AngusAttitude

Time to call their bluff. Doctors back to work properly actually seeing people and doing their job, or P45’s handed out

40
0
Nessimmersion
Nessimmersion
3 years ago
Reply to  AngusAttitude

This picture sums them up

DEADLY-1640810909.802.png
35
0
Hugh
Hugh
3 years ago
Reply to  AngusAttitude

(And the BBC).

22
0
shrenkssedge
shrenkssedge
3 years ago
Reply to  AngusAttitude

In 1947 the vast majority of doctors were strongly against the creation of the NHS.

3
0
huxleypiggles
huxleypiggles
3 years ago
Reply to  AngusAttitude

My downtick.

Agenda 2030. Please do some research.

1
0
Paul B
Paul B
3 years ago

‘Getting pissed at Christmas cures covid.’

I’m sold, long may it continue!

16
0
Nessimmersion
Nessimmersion
3 years ago

We wish

1 (142).jpg
47
0
Brett_McS
Brett_McS
3 years ago

Australian government offering compensation for severe adverse reactions to the vaccine. There have been 20 million Australians vaccinated, and 79,000 severe adverse reactions. That is 1 in 250. Doesn’t sound like a safe vaccine to me.

https://twitter.com/NewGranada1979/status/1476926692505505795

39
0
Hugh
Hugh
3 years ago
Reply to  Brett_McS

And that’s before people have had it 3 or 4 times a year “for a decade or more”.

19
0
huxleypiggles
huxleypiggles
3 years ago
Reply to  Hugh

I genuinely do not believe that anyone who has had two or more injections will last beyond 10 years.

1
0
A Heretic
A Heretic
3 years ago
Reply to  Brett_McS

Offering some victims over $600,000 in cash

Wow, a whole £300k for a lifetime of living with whatever horrid side-effects you’ve sustained from the “vaccine” they effectively forced on you. Bargain, where do I sign up?

17
0
Brett_McS
Brett_McS
3 years ago
Reply to  A Heretic

Yes, but it’s probably a shortened lifetime …

13
0
shrenkssedge
shrenkssedge
3 years ago
Reply to  Brett_McS

I think in Britain the maximum compensation is £120k for 60% disability. What is 60% disability?

2
0
J4mes
J4mes
3 years ago

Meanwhile an exponential number of young people continue to mysteriously die of cardiac arrest without further query from the media.

At 46, former Mickey Mouse Club actress, Tiffany Hale is the latest tragic death:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-10357035/Mickey-Mouse-Club-Member-Tiffini-Hale-dead-46-suffering-cardiac-arrest.html

At what point will we stop talking about “covid” stats and demand answers for these heart-related deaths?

Last edited 3 years ago by J4mes
43
0
Nessimmersion
Nessimmersion
3 years ago
Reply to  J4mes

You forgot the obligatory MSM – “Medics Baffled”

22
0
J4mes
J4mes
3 years ago
Reply to  Nessimmersion

I pointed out another fan has had a “medical emergency” during the Watford vs Tottenham match earlier.

Check out this DM article which manages to fret about all these heart attacks, including the one I mention, without a single hint of investigation into why it’s happening:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/sportsnews/article-10360931/Watfords-clash-against-Tottenham-halted-medical-emergency-crowd.html

Football matches now require the vaxport which means either a negative test or fully jabbed up to enter. I think we can be sure that the jab is almost entirely responsible for these heart attacks, but not even LS is investigating.

13
0
Tee Ell
Tee Ell
3 years ago

Yes. It’s almost like it’s a seasonal endemic virus.

15
0
gavinfdavies
gavinfdavies
3 years ago

Alternative interpretation: annual consumption of brussel sprouts triggers decline in cases?

14
0
Fortyman
Fortyman
3 years ago
Reply to  gavinfdavies

Many a true word. Much to my surprise, brussel sprouts are packed with vitamin d.

8
0
Star
Star
3 years ago

The number of positive tests when so many people are taking multiple tests which have less than perfect sensivity, and perhaps a false positive rate as high as 20%, is not a measure of the number of infections. It’s more a measure of propaganda success.

But…here you go, from the Telegraph:

Operations face axe if Covid hospital admissions surge.

At some point you have got to call antisocial action by individuals what it is, even when it’s lawful. Anyone who is contacting an NHS hospital or other NHS service right now because they’ve got a runny nose and a little plastic stick showed them a blue line in the wrong place is an antisocial arsehole. Some people are genuinely ill – either chronically ill in need of surgery, or having suffered falls or injuries or burns or whatever – and these types are pushing in front of them out of stupidity of a depth that is embarrassing to behold. They are adults and they are responsible for their actions, and we shouldn’t see them all as little darlings who never bothered to get into the habit of thinking about stuff, who believe whatever big business and big state propagandists tell them to, and who for that reason are wholly innocent parties.

Last edited 3 years ago by Star
49
0
huxleypiggles
huxleypiggles
3 years ago
Reply to  Star

Bloody well stated. 👍

14
0
misslawbore
misslawbore
3 years ago
Reply to  Star

But surely they are now being sent home with the new antivirals

4
0
eon
eon
3 years ago

What is infected these days? Getting COVID-19, the disease, or just detecting the virus and recovering?

8
0
caipirinha17
caipirinha17
3 years ago

This made me ponder – I understand Jehovah’s Witnesses believe one of the signs of the apocalypse will be the banning of religion. If the govt can invent enough evidence that Christmas is a superspreader event, they may decide to outlaw it… surely other religious festivals won’t be far behind, and if you can’t participate in the communal rituals could it be said that religion has effectively been banned?

9
0
Jaguarpig
Jaguarpig
3 years ago
Reply to  caipirinha17

Won’t happen it would upset the peacefuls

2
0
RedhotScot
RedhotScot
3 years ago

‘Cases’ are manufactured nonsense used to terrify the gullible into compliance.

More testing, more cases.

14
0
FrankiiB
FrankiiB
3 years ago

Government data suggests they are declining in London and the sites of the initial outbreaks around the country, and rising elsewhere. Due to this the media will distort rising casenumbers as a whole. And Boris will panic, as he did last night by agreeing to masks for school kids in class, which will either have no effect or raise cases due to their unhealthy effect. Perhaps it’s a virtue signal to the unions.

Boris the idiot seems determined to wreck his own policy by enforcing masks, tests and longer than needed isolations. I think this has all to do with stubborn adherence to failed policies which despite all the evidence, ministers just won’t let go.

9
0
David Beaton
David Beaton
3 years ago

Will not stop them!

They will simply make up some new “deadlier threat” to be hyped by the craven Daily Mail and Johnson will go around in his mask waving his little syringe for the cameras again !

Last edited 3 years ago by David Beaton
7
0
shrenkssedge
shrenkssedge
3 years ago
Reply to  David Beaton

Or via the Daily Mail owned New Scientist weekly magazine to try and get cred.

2
0
huxleypiggles
huxleypiggles
3 years ago
Reply to  David Beaton

Oh I would like to prick Bozo.

Right Bozo you have a choice of six needles.

You pick a needle and inject yourself. If you are not dead or writhing on the floor after 30 mins you pick another needle – you can shuffle them – we do this seven times because we have to be fair to the people of this country.

If you survive you will receive 12 months in an isolated padded cell and then we will hang you.

That seems eminently fair, no?

0
0
Arfur Mo
Arfur Mo
3 years ago

OT: I was going to put out a request for people to sign the petition opposing the knighthood for Tory Bliar. Looking at the official petition website, it seems pointless

Stop Tony Blair receiving a Knighthood

  1. Rejected

Tony Blair should not get a Knighthood. He took the Country into an illegal war.

  1. Rejected

Do not give Tony Blair a knighthood or any other honour

  1. Rejected

Stop Tony Blair receiving a knighthood

  1. Rejected

U.K. Armed Forces Veterans objection to Tony Blair receiving a Knighthood

  1. Rejected

Stop Tony Blair from becoming a Lord

  1. Rejected

Ensure that Tony Blair (former PM) is denied a knighthood.

  1. Rejected

Block the Knighthood of Tony Blair

  1. Rejected

Petition to stop Tony Blair receiving a knighthood

  1. Rejected

Tony Blair should not receive a knighthood.

  1. Rejected

However, it is probably still worthwhile given the massive vote against it, even though Parliament’s rules allow such petitions to be rejected out of hand.

About 250,000 signatures so far:

https://www.change.org/p/the-prime-minister-tony-blair-to-have-his-knight-companion-of-the-most-noble-order-of-the-garter-rescinded

5
0
Jack Daw
Jack Daw
3 years ago

It’s hardly surprising that more positive test results are being recorded for a nasty dose of the sniffles, after all, around 3 or 4 times more tests are being carried out now than this time last year. The more you test, the more you’ll find. The answer is to stop testing, and stop panicking

5
0
shrenkssedge
shrenkssedge
3 years ago

There is usually a second winter peak in early March for respiratory illnesses dependant on the type of coronavirus. So that will likely happen but how it will be interpreted by the government and its advisors will be interesting.

1
0
Mikel
Mikel
3 years ago

If there are insufficient flow tests then there will be fewer folk presenting for PCR tests. Data in these conditions are virtually meaningless.

2
0
LonePatriot
LonePatriot
3 years ago

While the MSM condemns the use of ivermectin, the most populated state in India just declared they are officially COVID free after promoting widespread use of the safe, proven medicine. In addition to this, Ivermectin attaches to covid spikes and prevents them from binding to ACE2. Get your Ivermectin today while you still can! https://ivmpharmacy.com

1
0
bowlsman
bowlsman
3 years ago

Time to end this. And Khan is a big tosser with a God complex.

0
0

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