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November’s Age-Standardised Mortality Rate Was 8% Higher Than the Five-Year Average

by Noah Carl
29 December 2021 8:42 AM

The ONS announced last week that there were 48,180 deaths registered in England in November, which is almost 5,000 more than in October, and 15.6% more than the five-year average.

November therefore saw a non-trivial rise in deaths. Interestingly, much of the increase seems to be accounted for by non-Covid causes. A comparison between last month’s breakdown by leading cause of death, and this month’s breakdown, is shown in the figure below.

The comparison is confusing because, for some reason, the ONS decided to reverse the colour scheme between the two reports. On the left-hand chart dark blue corresponds to the month itself (October), whereas on the right-hand chart it corresponds to the five-year average.

In any case, if you look carefully, you will see that the age-standardised mortality rates for all the leading causes of death (including Covid) rose from October to November. For example, the age-standardised mortality rate from Dementia and Alzheimer’s disease increased by more than 20% from 102 to 122 per 100,000.

Note: the charts should be interpreted with caution, as determining cause of death is not always straightforward.

November’s overall age-standardised mortality rate was 7.7% higher than the five-year average. This is a greater disparity than last month, when the two figures were approximately equal. Though it is less than that seen in September, when the age-standardised mortality rate was 11.2% higher than the five-year average.

Here’s my updated chart of excess mortality in England since January of 2020. Notice that November’s bump was smaller than September’s.

In terms of cumulative mortality to date, 2021 is now looking slightly worse than 2018. However, it is not yet as bad as 2015. In other words, the first eleven months of 2015 – a year with no pandemic – were more deadly than the first eleven months of 2021. And of course, 2021 is still looking better than last year.

November’s non-Covid excess mortality may reflect the delayed impact of lockdown. However, the overall figure of 7.7% indicates that mortality isn’t that much higher than you’d expect this time of year.

Tags: Age-adjusted mortalityExcess deathsONS

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71 Comments
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Mogwai
Mogwai
2 years ago

I do think this author nails it and it obviously applies to a great many people still, despite everything they’ve endured;

”Those who accepted lockdowns, virtuously donned their masks, and eagerly lined up for the jabs and the boosters – people who think that I’m crazy to suggest that the covid measures adopted by New Zealand were as reprehensible as they were inefficacious – the people who have swallowed hook, line and sinker the lies of State over lo these many years – share one important characteristic, perhaps the one that defines their unwillingness to think for themselves.
They cannot bring themselves to believe that their governmental authorities are capable of evil.

You see, it’s that simple.
Despite a list of State atrocities over the lifespan of our human species that is nearly infinite, we here in the post-World War II West, refuse to countenance the idea of a murderous power elite masquerading as government for the good of all.
But how did such a conviction in the truthfulness of the State occur? How can so many be so certain of the unfailing goodness of the West?”

https://newzealanddoc.substack.com/p/the-naive-belief-in-governmental

79
-2
Mogwai
Mogwai
2 years ago

A very good article focusing on the medical – industrial complex, but I did like this part as it reminded me of the disgraceful, evidence-denying NHS. Next time you’re confronted with a masktard acolyte perhaps ask them if they’re jabbed and if so how many times? lol

”A few months ago, I went to a new physical therapist and asked at the end of the first session why she and all the other therapists were masked up. She said because the flu, Covid and RSV were going around. I told her there have been 45 years of mask studies, one even completed by Stanford in 2020, that state they are worthless and actually harmful. She said, “Oh no, Knoxville had a drop in C-19 when we were forced to wear masks, and I’ve had five C-19 shots.”
I got up from the table and told her, “Then I won’t be back because your stupidity could actually hurt me.” I forgot to cancel the next appointment and before I did, the secretary called me and told me that my PT was out sick. I said, “That’s not surprising,” and cancelled all appointments.
This is the state of our Medical Industrial Complex today. Total compliance!

Let’s face it! Our entire government was in on the COVID scam including the eugenics, depopulation, propaganda and mainstream media promotion of these toxic injections.
Were we lied to about the number of deaths from COVID? Yes! Were the tests run at cycles too high to purposely show false positives? Yes! Could someone pass the virus if asymptomatic? No! Was social distancing valid? No! Were masks beneficial? No! Was the lockdown effective in stopping the viral spread?  No!”

https://lionessofjudah.substack.com/p/the-web-of-dystopian-tyranny-part-311?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email

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huxleypiggles
huxleypiggles
2 years ago
Reply to  Mogwai

Powerful stuff and thanks for posting Mogs.

As for the last paragraph I think I am correct in stating that I have been saying the same things for probably 18 months now.

9
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Dinger64
Dinger64
2 years ago

“Covid guru Sir Patrick Vallance doesn’t rule out virus lab leak theory”

Sorry DS but this one really isn’t news anymore! Thousands of wet markets in China but only one next to a western financed Chinese run experimental virological laboratory! Now that’s a stonker of a coincidence!

25
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stewart
stewart
2 years ago

Landlords will soon be barred from letting out properties in England and Wales unless they upgrade them to an Energy Performance Certificate rating of C or higher

The not so thin end of the wedge.

Once the principle was established that the government could put limitations on your day to day life to “protect the climate”, such as imposing low emissions zones, or banning certain types of vehicles, the floodgates were opened.

So now, you can’t rent out your property unless you bow to their climate dogma. Who the hell do they think they are to tell me whether I can rent my property out or not?

Next, no doubt, will be limitations on certain types of food and myriad other things. The possibilities are endless. And bureaucrats are insatiable in their desire to control us and dictate our behaviour.

It will be impossible to push back on anything because it’s all to save us from climate armageddon, which is unquestionably happening, right? And only a monster would refuse to act to avoid armageddon.

Not that we will be able to push back, because they’re changing the laws on speech and communication to make it near to impossible for any blasphemous ideas to be heard.

They intend to control everything and won’t stop until they do.

68
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AethelredTheReadier
AethelredTheReadier
2 years ago
Reply to  stewart

In a world which has a climate, everything is climate related! You’re right, Stewart, there is no end to the micromanaging and micromanipulation they can impose. My suggestion: ignore the f**kers. What are they going to do when 1,000s of people go against the insanity? Issue fines? Bin them! Honestly, we have to push back and not accept this.

40
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ebygum
ebygum
2 years ago
Reply to  AethelredTheReadier

…I was thinking a similar thing..where I live, you are lucky if you see a policeman once a year! And the few I know personally are utterly demoralised….they are going to have to employ people to ‘police’ this..and I know my local council can’t afford it….

22
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godknowsimgood
godknowsimgood
2 years ago
Reply to  ebygum

All landlords have to do is phone the police and report that the property has been burgled. That’s sure to keep the police away.

11
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stewart
stewart
2 years ago
Reply to  AethelredTheReadier

Non compliance is the only way.

It will all be down to whether enough of us don’t comply.

22
0
David101
David101
2 years ago
Reply to  stewart

As climate change (as in temperatures increasing), has begun to run out of steam for several decades, it’s looking increasingly like the current natural spike in climate has peaked, and the next few decades will probably see the temperature dipping slightly. There will come a point where it is no longer feasible to massage the data to hide this downward trend, so instead the eco-zealots and their puppet masters of the state (or is it the other way round?) will point at all the EVs and solar and windfarms and feeding worms to kids, and say “Look, it worked!, we’d better keep up the good work by ensuring the downfall of western civilization, selling all our farmland to China, and making it unaffordable to drive anywhere. Then we might just be able to get our nice climate that’s just right!”

5
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Jon Garvey
Jon Garvey
2 years ago

Re: “Possessing offensive material” in Ireland. That must potentially (and therefore arbitrarily) include all the books that universities have labelled as “problematic,” which means most of the works of literature both English and Irish. And down the line, possessing a Bible is sure to meet the criteria.

37
0
Dinger64
Dinger64
2 years ago

“World on cusp of woke totalitarianism as governments act to end freedom of speech”

Let’s at least call it by its true name!

Marxist communism!

30
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ebygum
ebygum
2 years ago

Morning all…..

https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/gates-foundation-food-coating-apeel-edipeel/

Gates-Funded ‘Edible’ Food Coating Gets Green Light From RegulatorsEdipeel, marketed as Apeel, is described as a colorless, odorless, tasteless coating for fruit and vegetables that’s composed entirely of a mixture of food-grade glycerolipids, derived from edible plant oils, that we’re assured is entirely safe to eat.

local…local…local…as much as you can….although this is probably just the USA, for now?!

18
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Nearhorburian
Nearhorburian
2 years ago
Reply to  ebygum

Aren’t ASDA using it?

7
0
ebygum
ebygum
2 years ago
Reply to  Nearhorburian

Thanks..I hadn’t had a look, but have now. In the UK it’s allowed on various fruits..here’s the list!

https://a.storyblok.com/f/157795/x/eb7e64a654/uk-product-information-sheet.pdf

Maybe it’s just the fact that when I see the name Gates associated with food it makes me shudder…I can’t think there’s truly a philanthropic bone in his body..profit, profit, profit..and who cares if people get I’ll or die in the process?

19
0
Dinger64
Dinger64
2 years ago
Reply to  Nearhorburian

Yes they are! This is the topic that got Richard Vobes a strike from YouTube recently, he explained what it was and who was using it but the viewer who bought it to light had send Richard the wrong chemicals fact sheet! He’d sent him one for the contents of a cleaning agent not the one for Apeel.

7
0
AethelredTheReadier
AethelredTheReadier
2 years ago
Reply to  ebygum

Oh dear…another thing to boycott!

We are hoping to acquire council land here – many district councils own farms and many of these are being run down. They don’t actually own them, we do through our taxes. It’s a simple enough equation for them to work out: we need food, we need the land. We want to bring back local organically farmed produce at affordable prices here and sell it in a stall in the market. We don’t ask for permission, we demand the land even though council will throw every trick in the book to convince us they can’t provide it to us. Personally I feel it’s way past time that we politely engage with corrupt councils – and our is blatantly corrupt. We have a god-given right to growing food and to thriving. End of story!

21
0
huxleypiggles
huxleypiggles
2 years ago
Reply to  ebygum

Anything Gates is involved with is DEFINITELY NOT safe.

9
-1
ebygum
ebygum
2 years ago

@Boris Johnson
WorldPressFreedomDay is a reminder that we must protect the vital role of a free press, at home and abroad. Russia still holds WSJ reporter Evan Gershkovich in jail. He and all journalists wrongfully detained must be released immediately.

One name… Julian Assange..you hypocritical, venal, war-mongering, lying oaf…….

36
0
AethelredTheReadier
AethelredTheReadier
2 years ago
Reply to  ebygum

Well said!

10
0
AethelredTheReadier
AethelredTheReadier
2 years ago

“Pothole deaths” This is somehow pertinent. Here in the Wilts/Dorset borders, potholes are everywhere. Sometimes they get repaired but I can imagine that slowly, bit by bit, they will remain unrepaired. A bad pothole experience can damage one’s car. Bit by bit, the car stock gets worse. Have you noticed that road signage is often neglected these days? As if the council can’t be bothered, as if they are sort of becoming redundant. And I have also noticed the number of road closures around for this or that reason with diversions taking you on a wild goose chase ramble through the countryside along with every other diverted person. At the same time, I hear that navigation apps always give you the cycling and walking options first, by precedence, although I do still tend to use a proper old map – Map Nav as I call it. Does one think that these things are somehow all related or am I just looking for evidence to support my wildest conspiracy-laden imaginings?

25
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Chris P
Chris P
2 years ago
Reply to  AethelredTheReadier

I am hoping someone will invent a robust and durable material made from ground up ULEZ cameras and road blocking planters that can be used to fill in potholes.

21
-1
huxleypiggles
huxleypiggles
2 years ago
Reply to  AethelredTheReadier

You are bang on the money Aethelred.

Think about this – what thoughts cross your mind as you navigate your pot-holed locale:

It’s a shithole, a dump, nobody cares, why am I paying for this, what’s this diversion for now, why are they digging up the roads, why is it taking so long?

All part of the relentless and ongoing battle aimed at undermining the people’s morale.

And Nationwide. You are in the bottom of the country and we are in the top half. Our roads will be at least as vad as yours. It’s all part of the same onslaught.

9
-1
Big X
Big X
2 years ago

“The war on cash poses an existential threat to our financial independence”

This is why I’m buying gold (physically buying it).

Additionally, this is the primary reason why I feel compelled to place faith in Crypto which is not without its flaws.

The government will attempt to exercise monetary control via excessive taxes (see India), a total ban (see China), and through launching their own CBDCs. This will become increasingly threatening as currencies such as Bitcoin’s volatility is reduced, increasing trading volume and user base.

Despite this, there remains a glimpse of hope in the inability of governments to regulate decentralised crypto, and the CCP seem to be struggling based on trading traffic flowing out of China. Therefore the way I see it we don’t have any choice but give it a go!

9
0
rachel.c
rachel.c
2 years ago
Reply to  Big X

See https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Bbi-_nn4zaw for interesting interview by Jordan Petersen of Peter Schiff about coming inflationary crisis, the problem with crypto options and ultimate value of gold.

1
0
NeilofWatford
NeilofWatford
2 years ago

Three more for the boycott list:
Landlady giving up the lease after Heineken, Carlsberg and Innserve have all decided to boycott the pub.
Can TDS compile a list please, linked from your banner? I’m sure it would provide focus, gain traction and hurt the wokists.

23
-1
ebygum
ebygum
2 years ago

Another new pre-print study to add to the ‘mask’s are crap’ debate!! LOL..

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2052297523000537

A cross-sectional study of 52 used masks collected from 52 forensic healthcare practitioners was conducted to culture for fungal isolation and identification…
Twenty five of the 52 used masks tested positive for fungal contamination (48,08%). A total of 44% of the contaminated masks belong to health workers between the ages of 21–30 years. Surgical masks (80%), KN95 (8%), and N95 (4%) were the most contaminated protective devices. Usage duration of 1–2 h was associated with 4% of fungal contamination, while a usage duration of 5–6 h was associated with 36% of fungal contamination….
Conclusion:Because fungi are known to cause allergies and serious adverse health effects following recommendations to properly wear a medical mask is critical to preventing fungal contamination, especially among health care workers who are wearing the same mask for a long period during the pandemic.

16
0
huxleypiggles
huxleypiggles
2 years ago

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/oppressive-regimes-are-waging-war-on-vital-press-freedom-tdfcbspdw

Is that the UK version of The Times? The same Times that has wholeheartedly supported the UK government in its destruction if this country and its people these last three years?

Well I’ll go to the foot of our stairs.

15
0

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