A pre-print study from South Africa, published on Tuesday, has found that the risk of being hospitalised with Omicron is just a fifth of the risk with Delta. The study looked at all probable Omicron infections in the country between October 1st and December 6th, and took into account factors associated with hospitalisation such as vaccination status and age. It found that the adjusted risk of being admitted to hospital with probable Omicron infection (defined as S-gene dropout, SGTF) compared to non-Omicron infection is just 0.2, i.e., a fifth of the risk, or an 80% reduction.
Here are the results as stated in the abstract:
From October 1st through December 6th 2021, 161,328 COVID-19 cases were reported nationally; 38,282 were tested using TaqPath PCR and 29,721 SGTF infections were identified. The proportion of SGTF infections increased from 3% in early October (week 39) to 98% in early December (week 48). On multivariable analysis, after controlling for factors associated with hospitalisation, individuals with SGTF infection had lower odds of being admitted to hospital compared to non-SGTF infections (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 0.2, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.1-0.3). Among hospitalised individuals, after controlling for factors associated with severe disease, the odds of severe disease did not differ between SGTF-infected individuals compared to non-SGTF individuals diagnosed during the same time period (aOR 0.7, 95% CI 0.3-1.4). Compared to earlier Delta infections, after controlling for factors associated with severe disease, SGTF-infected individuals had a lower odds of severe disease (aOR 0.3, 95% CI 0.2-0.6).
The researchers say the reduction in severity is likely in part to be a result of high population immunity, a factor which would also apply to the U.K after several waves of Covid.
The study confirms the findings from Denmark of a 60% reduction in hospitalisation risk.
Meanwhile, reported infections in Gauteng province continue to decline.
Nonetheless, SAGE continues to make the case for restrictions – and Boris continues to listen.
Read the full study here.
Stop Press: Imperial College London has published a pre-print study on early Omicron hospitalisation rates in England estimating that, compared to Delta, infection with the Omicron variant has a reduced risk of serious illness (defined in terms of a certain length of hospital stay) of 40-45%.
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So, the risk from covid has gone down by a large margin.
The benefits from the vaccines have gone down by a large margin.
The risks from the vaccines remain unchanged.
Where’s the updated risk:benefit analysis for the vaccines?
That’s a good question, but I don’t ever remember seeing a real risk/benefit analysis for any of the measures. There was the JVCI one for vaccinating under 18s, but that was ignored.
Sadly I think they are looking at the current “case” rates and it is in under 5s where the biggest surge is occurring. My logic tells me it is a good thing so that they will acquire long-term immunity, but theirs tells them that the kids must be vaccinated.
Strange isn’t it how the ‘surges’ always seem to occur in the age group they are next focusing on to jab? Almost as if there’s a script to follow…
It’s policy-based evidence making. Governments have got pretty good at it in recent years. In the old days they used to do evidence-based policy making. I preferred the old days.
Thats right, decide the policy then look for evidence to support it – or in most cases, create evidence to support it.
What can they do, they’ve already signed contracts that put billions of dollars down the drain for the future, unneeded vaccines. So the choice they have is between 1) admit own miscalculation/corruption/guilt and face the public outrage about it or 2) pretend that the vaccines are still needed (including for large groups that never needed them in the first place). Guess which choice comes with the better cost:benefit analysis.
Why are parents even having children under 5 tested for SARSCoV2? Is this being encouraged at nursery schools, by GPs, at clinics, etc., whenever a young child has a bit of a sniffle, or maybe when their mother or father has one?
Gotta wonder what on earth else people might do just because they’re told. This isn’t even funny – there’s nothing amusing about it.
And what are they doing if the child’s test is positive? Making sure they wear a chemical warfare suit when they put the child to bed?
Took my 2 year old into a&e with breathing problems which he regularly suffers from in the winter. Was told we couldn’t be admitted on the ward without a PCR. I refused even after 3 nurses, a matron and 3 DR’s tried to convince me to have one! After 12 hours sitting on a plastic chair (as punishment i figured) they allowed him onto the ward without a test.
i think we all know that the risks outweigh the benefits. These product have killed and injured more recipients than any other ‘vaccine trial’ in history and they provide neither immunity nor protection of others from being infected by the vaccinated. So what use are they? .
Meanwhile ‘banned’ fully tested Ivermectin saves lives.
An excellent question, especially as far as children are concerned!
It does rather bring the emergency justification for these vaccines into question.
just a bit!
Keep up the excellent work, Will. You are the stand-out contributor here, and without your output, I would have given up on this site long ago.
Interesting that when omicron was announced, they had enough data to say it was a lot more transmissible and a tsunami was coming but not enough data to say it was milder. Lying cunts.
Hi Julian.
Till just lately, I think I recall your languauge as being pretty much devoid of any profanity here.
I started out like that, but recently the colour of my language here gets positively psychadelic. And I see this trend in others here.
I think a lot of us here do not routinely express ourselves this way. Unfortunately, this relentless spiral of human stupidity becomes so acutely frustrating, elevating our already heightened feelings of anger and despair, that we are sometimes left with little else than raw language, to express our raw feelings.
These deranged self-destruct automatons are in full-on carnage mode, and are quite indifferent to our anguish.
Bastards.
With you both. I find it very difficult at times to maintain a civil tongue.
I’m still holding out (sort of).
Blighters…
Just a very predictable effect of radicalization while stuck in a social media echo chamber.
Thanks for the heads-up Ray, I can now leave this echo-chamber, and all my radically-induced anxiety/despair/anger will then settle down to an unobtrusive level – and take whatever is happening in my stride.
Eternally grateful.
Ta ta [departs carfree, whistling and skipping].
To be very grudgingly fair, tests do precede deaths by some weeks.
But it seems to cut no ice with Supply A Grotesque Estimate
Can’t help but wonder why not? Guess that their shit show must go on!
The show must go on is why in the last ten days they’ve ramped testing up to 11. They might as well test people for being left handed. All they need is a headline number to spread fear aka disinformation.
No endemic infection in history spikes so suddenly as +ve tests have in the UK over literally a few days.
This is pure arse-covering propaganda to try and obscure what is slowly becoming an almost criminal level of fraud.
Agree totally with the exception of deleting ‘almost’! I think that’s it gone way beyond that now.
I agree that the spike in cases seems difficult to explain via the usual disease dynamics.
I’m pretty sure that there’s something else getting into the data.
I’d suggest a mixture of delayed testing because people didn’t recognise the symptoms, plus over-enthusiastic cycles in the PCR tests for Omicron.
Rate of positive tests is still only about 5% though – hasn’t gone above that since the end of January. I think it’s all a feature of the increased testing.
!! 5% is an amazing figure! So out of every 20 people tested, 19 show as negative. What a bunch of time-wasters a large proportion of each 20 must be.
It sounds as though a large part of the population have got testitis! Perhaps in some cases it’s the thought of a £500 payment for “self-isolating” over Christmas?
They are now sending out anti virals ( £700 per course) after a positive PCR for people who are clinically vulnerable. After fucking up the PCR, then sending a PCR test kit without the security label. the time they get here my wife will be better. The funniest part of the process was the helpline that was answered by an Indian lady who could barely speak English and kept asking,” what country are you from?” Over and over like a stuck record. The whole point of the antivirals is you start them on your first day or two of symptoms.
You might be glad she didn’t get the antivirals in time, assuming it’s Molnupiravir you’re talking about.
https://www.pharmaceutical-technology.com/features/molnupiravir-safety-questions-approvals-approach/
Fraudulent PCR tests have driven the scamdemic from day one!
Can somebody please share a link to show hospitalisation by vaccination status?
it would be good to use this to counter the “90% of those in hospital with Covid are unvaxxed” nonsense.
This DS article broadly demolishes that 90% narrative for starters:
https://dailysceptic.org/2021/12/22/no-the-nhs-is-not-being-overwhelmed-by-the-unvaccinated/
Thank you.
An Inconvenient truth, oh dear, just when Boris and co wanted death and destruction.
I’ve just listened to Dr Robert Malone surmise that Omnicron is a pretty good ‘vaccine’ itself in that for a short period of mild, cold-like symptoms (sneezing, mild sore throat, tickly cough, mild temp) it will greatly increase people’s natural immunity.
https://t.me/naomirwolf/606
Which is probably why they want to try and contain its spread. Would likely make vaccines redundant and cut off the income stream to big Pharma.
Note to journalists: remember that all references to “herd immunity” in connection with the spread of the omicron variant, or its becoming the dominant variant, is banned.
No time to relax, Johnson will find another way to carry out his orders from Gates .Objectives : mass vaccination and vaccine passports = tyrannical social control.
Yes. This can’t work everywhere though, surely! Cracks are appearing everywhere!
Thought for the year/s..
A ‘case’ doth not a coffin make.
As it has been throughout this whole charade
Really cheering Christmas video here:
https://www.bitchute.com/video/sqTd8LtViqI0/
Between this and that song about Boris, it’s been a good Christmas for musical satire.
The Almighty (sarcasm) has spoken
Omicron Covid IS MILDER, says Professor Lockdown
https://mol.im/a/10328541
If he says it’s mild then it’s probably deadly.
If his models say it’s mildly dangerous then it probably adds 15 years to your life.
A very significant point in the Spectator article to which you link is that officials are editing and summarizing SAGE input for ministers. This is classic Yes Minister – show ministers what will help them to reach the decision that we are sure they would reach if they were properly informed. I hope that the message is got through to ministers that they must cut out the middlemen, get the input raw from SAGE, and get input from other sources too. Sending them the Spectator article would be a good start – so long as they do not have officials screening all their emails. Maybe go via Spads or, perhaps better, friendly lockdown-sceptic MPs.
Let’s see what that odious turd, Ferguson, has to say about this study in relation to his latest ridiculous forecast. My guess is it’ll be *crickets*….
According to Tony Blair apparently you’re an idiot for not having the jab.
When anyone resorts to insults rather than sound logical arguments you just know they are losing the battle and getting desperate … I suspect there are far more people than we are being told who have refused the jabs .
As someone remarked – he doesn’t even look as if he believes his own lies anymore …
https://twitter.com/SikhForTruth/status/1473614936593125382
That guy will doing anything, if the price is right.
I read reports many months ago that the three most sceptical groups were
1 low-income individuals, often BAME
2 individuals educated to PhD level
3 medics.
I’m honoured to be in group 2. I’ll debate Mr Bliar any time he likes on TV.
My suspicion in a world full of cockups and misunderstandings is that the thickos, so sorry ‘politicians’ genuinely expected an immunising and safe vaccine. Fauci and pharma over-promised and under-delivered, so we got a ‘placebo’ that raises all-cause mortality. (it’s probably therefore not a placebo … but I digress.)
“Not a placebo”…so a ‘bioweapon’? How much pathogenic synthetic spike protein manufacture can our cells sustain before our immune system crashes?
Big question: what happens then?
“Big question: what happens then?”
Having weakened the spikees’ immune systems, they then spread some other species of virus or bacterium – natural like influenza or rabies or the bubonic plague, or made or enhanced in a laboratory – that will really be a megakiller?
That makes a huge amount a sense as a way to carry out a cull.
If Tony said it, it must be wrong
For the creators, promoters and supporters of vaccines that have completely failed to perform on nearly every level, Omicron is the Christmas gift that keeps on giving. It’s a very well timed and convenient exit from the hole they have all dug for themselves.
“not since Kate Moss’ party days has a modelling scandal involved so many illicit highs”
Worth a read …
Informed By Policy
https://countrysquire.co.uk/2021/12/22/informed-by-policy/
Reading the Sage piece in the Spectator, the battle is lost. No one in the cabinet will have the balls to make a stand. They’ll get cowed by the potential negative press. They’re out of their depth and in thrall to a technocratic bunch of monomaniacs. This is the future and we have only ourselves to blame. It would be nice to say “come the revolution” but that’s fanciful. This is the future. Please Covid, take me now.
Defeatist!
I don’t like that you’re right, but you’re right.
We’re completely post-factual now.
All that matters is power, and the will to wield it.
Will, you’re ruining Christmas for Karens and covid despots everywhere.
Keep up the good work!
A thug in fancy dress is glassed:
https://youtu.be/a78b2-jSltw
There is a change in mood at these protests/marches. Not just this incident but in general.
Those nasty bastards provoke violence. Quite grotesque when they are praised by their masters for being “brave”.
I quite agree, Tom
It doesn’t matter what the risks are. We’ll go into lockdown again this year and every year from now on because they claimed they didn’t lockdown soon enough first time.
I’m on the SSRIs and am closing my company after 20 years. Recessions were always a pain but they were predictable. Nobody can predict this shit.
But I dare say we’ll still have “vaxports” indefinitely.
Stop Press: ICL once again produces the most pessimistic, gloomy numbers, by a wide margin.
Why won’t they ever just take the win?
Judgment Day: Sweden Vindicated
https://swprs.org/judgment-day-sweden-vindicated/