An internal NHS report leaked to the Health Service Journal claims that hospitals and ambulances in London are “likely to become overwhelmed due to rising Covid demand in the next two to three weeks”.
This is despite the fact that, as NHS Providers Chief Chris Hopson points out: “The overall numbers remain relatively low compared to the January 2021 peak – 1,819 Covid patients currently in London versus 7,917 on January 18th 2021.”
Let’s bear in mind also that last winter an internal NHS briefing, again leaked to the Health Service Journal, claimed that under the “best” scenario London would have a shortfall of 1,515 general and acute beds by January 19th. Yet the briefing also stated London has 15,600 general and acute beds, which is almost double what turned out to be the peak Covid winter occupancy of 7,917 beds on January 18th.
Nationally, at the winter peak on January 18th there were 8,696 unoccupied beds, 26,902 beds occupied by Covid patients and 50,204 beds occupied by non-Covid patients.
It’s also worth remembering that the NHS has a beds crisis every winter, as this selection of Guardian headlines illustrates. (See also the image at the top of headlines from the 2017-18 winter crisis.)
Yet the NHS coped, just as it did last year when almost no one was vaccinated. If there are systemic capacity problems in the NHS which mean it can’t get through winter without cancelling elective procedures then those need to be addressed. But it should go without saying that this is no excuse to impose costly, illiberal restrictions on everybody.
Civil liberties should not be so deemed so dispensible that they may be suspended to make up for the failings of a poorly managed health service with insufficient resources committed to frontline services.
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re: the video, what if Rudolph were to be the one giving Santa … a jab?
For one who loves puns, the possibilities are endless.
used to actually like Martin Kemp…..
I think the clip is disgusting – same as Tesco advert which I cannot abide
“Pfizer conceddes large increase in adverse event reactions to its ‘vaccines’ “.
Better if people had been told this before being asked to have “100% safe” (Devi Sridhar) experimental medication.
Lying corrupt pharmaceutical industry.
I have 2 Pfizer jabs from last summer. Never any problem. Still, I feel as you do.
The problem might not be that the industry’s “pharmaceutical”. It might be that financial types are running those companies.
For example, Boeing (which had been an engineer’s company) was fine until its 90s merger with McDonald-Douglas put a finance guy in the CEO seat. That set up the eventual MAX disaster, which hasn’t completely played out yet.
Certainly it’s hard to believe that the 737 MAX business would have happened if the engineering side had been right.
I understand that there’s enormous pressure to turn a profit at some of these financial services companies. So when there are fiscal drags,(as there have been) they turn to ever more desperate ways to find profit.(Incidentally the White Star Line were apparently in quite a desperate position in the lead up to the Titanic disaster). “Credit” should also go to those regulating them of course, the buck stops with them.
My position on the ‘vaccines’ is that if I felt I was vulnerable, I would consider carefully the risks and benefits before making a decision, but that no one can tell me I have to have a medication, especially one I don’t need.
Beware the Great Moronic Iceberg.
When Boeing and Airbus get sold to China, they can knock ’em out cheap as chips.
I’ve had x jabs and I am fine is not an argument, nobody is claiming that the adverse reactions are affecting everybody. If SOME people die or have long term health problems as a result, especially children who cant give informed consent and aren’t at risk from the illness, then that IS a major problem, even if you’re alright Jack. Even the MSM have admitted that some deaths have been directly caused by the jabs.
Now this:
Pfizer vaccine ‘may be up to 40 times less effective’ against omicron variant,I am sure someone did say it was effective.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/health/pfizer-vaccine-omicron-variant-covid-b1971679.html
The Independent that used to write about pharmaceutical industry corruption! I wonder if they still do? (Well maybe if it doesn’t go against the narrative…)
Who will be holding Sridhar to account? No-one.
Probably end up as a Dame, if such honours are still permitted in that godforsaken pro tem part of the disunited UK. If not, then that woman in charges can likely invent something.
As usual, it’s a case of “follow the money” and “cui bono”. The slavish insistence on Pfizer’s poison is inexplicable, unless various parties other than those in Pfizer and its investors stand to gain from the billions they are raking in.
I know as little about vaccine technology as Ferguson apparently does about accurate epidemiological forecasting, but it is still not clear to me why the non-mRNA vaccines, Novavax and especially Valneva seem to be “back-shelved”, other than for pro-Pfizer monetary considerations. As I understand it, these are “conventional” vaccines and have shown promise in early trials.
Naturally, I stand to be enlightened.
I’d originally thought the insistence in deploying new jab technology was a sign that big pharma had developed them using the genetic coding uploaded by the PRC rather than getting it from a real virus especially as there are questions over whether it really exists, and if it does exist whether it would reveal something untoward about its origins. But that does tend to lead to questions about how a traditional whole virus jab could be developed…
Thanks for that. From what I’ve read, the “traditional” vaccines are in development and trials, and the latest suggestion is that Valneva might be better against Moronic.
On a more depressing note, the Head Profiteer at Pfizer is saying that “boosters” may (will?) be needed for years hence; the subtext being that it should be his jollop.
“Durham student union demand resignation over Rod Liddle talk”.
Poor snowflakes…
Rod Liddle’s riposte on GBNews was a good watch. He declined to give details about what in has talk is alleged to have upset these snowflakes because he is seriously considering action against the college or students union (not clear to me if either or both) for defamation.
The Satan Jabvert.
No. Just no.
In other news, I was at my posh private dentist today, they had an information poster on the wall “Why we are all wearing PPE” . It looked like it was designed for infant school children
Well, it turns out we live in a country inhabited predominantly by infant school children, so the poster is appropriate for its target audience.
neoteny (carrying of child behaviour into adult hood) is a sign of domestication as in pets and cattle.
Do private dentists still make you wait out in the rain until they call you inside for your appointment then follow you around spraying sanitiser onto any surface that you might have breathed on?
Don’t know, I haven’t been to a dentist for years. Seems a lot of these things aren’t strictly necessary if one is careful of one’s self (and probably including experimental medication).
Last time I went to a dentist was 5 years ago. I remember exactly as I had to cancel the appointment they made me for a filling, for my Dads funeral. Never did go back, never had the filling, teeth are fine
Son bought a DIY filling kit and did his. Far too much unnecessary work is carried out in the name of prevention.
Mine doesn’t.
My private dental surgery has been 100% sceptic from the first lockdown. All the staff love a good chat about the lies.
This is indoctrination into Chinese-style ‘communism’.
My dental hygienist told me she regretted the jabs as they made her muscle pain much worse she’s lost lots of income .
Covid-19-Fraud-and-War-on-Humanity-Part-2:7
I have just watched both of the Dr Sam Bailey videos and I would URGE everyone to do the same.
Riveting, approachable, mind blowing.
scroll to the end of the report and look at the slides – espec fig 12 – which the authors state appears to be a graphene chip
what kind of place does graphene have in any therapeutic inoculation???
Note also at the end that crimes against humanity proceedings have been filed in NZ courts but have been stayed indefinitely – ie put on hold and in limbo
This is a wake up call to Michael O Bernicia and Reiner Fuellmich and everyone who might be hoping that their private prosecutions and class actions will rescue us from what is coming. They won’t. Not while the courts are nobbled they way they have been. The rule of law appears to be dead worldwide.
It’s not a loop-hole in the law that says people can decide if they are exempt from masks. It’s simply the law and it is not unintentional.
Is it breaking the law if they ignore that law? I believe, (happy to stand corrected), that it is a criminal offence to prevent someone going about their lawful business.
Discuss.
See my remark above about throwing a blind person off a bus because they have a guide dog.
Exactly the same applies to claims of exemption.
Once in a very blue moon a Moslem taxi driver gets into trouble for saying that having a guide dog in his cab is ‘against his religion’.
He always loses both in Court and his taxi badge while his former Moslem employer expresses shock and disappointment at the mans behaviour in the local press.
it says a lot that people are too stupid to realise that everyone is exempt even when you point it out to them.
Agreed.
I had many conversations outside shops last summer with people who were clearly having difficulties with their masks.
I would carefully explain how, for their particular condition, they were exempt and even had some spare lanyards to give away to the deserving misinformed.
I might have had some success but not as much as I would have hoped for.
I am certain that they only wore the mask for the sake of conformaty rather than fear of Covid. The one time some school mums mustered and tutted about me not wearing one was simply a form of jealousy. ‘We got to wear ’em, why don’t he?’.
That piece of nonsense about mask exempt status from TCW caught my eye.
As you say it is not ‘little loophole’ but is right there on page one of the government’s ‘latest advice’ which is exactly the same as when mask wearing in shops began at the beginning of lockdown lite early summer 2020
The reason it is so easy to claim ‘exempt’ is to prevent people from suing the government for damages by claiming that wearing a mask had caused them physical or mental harm.
The author makes no attempt to explain that a lanyard in not required, neither is an ‘exempt card’; Drs. will not issue you with a certificate if you asked them to.
Further she did not mention that anyone (including TfL) demanding to see such “proof” have already committed offences under Disability Discrimination Legislation. As for throwing people off a bus, in law that is exactly the same as discrimination against a blind person for having a guide dog.
She also failed to mention that the governments own advice is that ‘if you feel more comfortable wearing a sign indicating you exempt status
“a homemade sign is sufficient”.
So what action would you suggest if someone threatens not to let you on a bus if you don’t show an exemption card? Or does this sort of thing not happen anymore?
I dont get buses but I do get taxis and the drivers are very well informed having be briefed by their licensing authorities. Some claim Exempt status themselves. I used to wear a lanyard but dont bother these days.
I have on file the one page summary of the law as provided by lawnotfiction 18 months ago which I showed to the owner of my local convenience store on the first day of mssking last year and then sent a pdf file to his phone.
As for bus drivers, ostentatiously noting down their badge number would be a good place to start, then threaten to call the police and then call them.
The law IS on our side.
If the police are like them in Salford the other day, I wouldn’t put it past them to attempt inquiries into one’s exemption. Still, I suppose that is the best one can do, if one can be bothered holding the line for hours for the non-emeergency police number.
It can be a mental problem, like the effects of a childhood trauma. . Let them try to disprove that.
Here is an excellent piece by LaworFiction produced last year, but which still stands, complete with a “tool kit” to take it further if anyone gets right in your face about exemption cards etc. Had to use it once last year at a store. It shut the little door general and his manager up a treat! https://www.laworfiction.com/2020/07/face-covering-for-6-to-12-months-from-24th-july/
Repost that closer to the top of a DS article so more people can download it.
Correction. The author does mention that showing an ‘exempt card’ is not a legal requirement.
Me bad.
IIRR* it doesn’t even mandate mask wearing, it just says face covering. Mask is a special term.
From this it’s easy to work out the covering is there to pressure people into fear, not for health reasons.
*Someone correct me if Im wrong pls.
As others have pointed out exemption is NOT a loophole, it’s been in the legislation unchanged since day 1. Police officers, various enforcement goons, and shop staff need to be aware of it. Judging by the film that came from Manchester the other day, some police officers don’t know the law, or just ignore it if whoever they are dealing with has ‘an attitude’ (stands up for their rights).
This is also really worth listening to in full.
Former NSW Police Sergeant Stephen Kelly
Whistleblowerconspiracy theoristMust just be a giant cock-up.
‘What do you think?’ Martin’s ate to many pies and he’s turned to be fat cunt?
“(V)accines are the best form of protection to keep ourselves and our loved ones safe.”
Which other “forms of protection” has the pie-guzzler weighed “vaccination” up against?
Obviously not the most important one, namely not being obese.
Lockdown house arrest has caused people to not get exercise, put on weight and not get vitamin D.
Exactly what you’d do if you wanted maximum illness.
Chinese “cannot plausibly suppress a variant that spreads with lightning speed through asymptomatic cases that escape surveillance”.
So, a variant that is so bad that most people don’t notice they have it.
It’s nice that people still actually think the Chinese are trying to suppress the virus rather than just troll the gweilo.
Going around in circles again, that was the case with Clasic Covid which was going around East Asia for a while two years ago before anyone really noticed.
I found ignoring the dribblings of AEP to be the best way to stay informed.
You mean you are not waiting breathlessly for his next climate pronouncement?
Martin Kemp is either well padded up for his role as the Santa from Hell, or he is around fifty pounds overweight. Luckily for him that fake shot won’t kill him, but next time it maybe different. Anyway I’m keeping my fingers crossed for him.
That’s Martin Kemp’s credibility down the toilet. His career too, one can only hope.
Agreed. The things people do for money. Tosser!
Jamie Walden has a sound premise for his (her?) article, but sadly he doesn’t build on it. I wonder whether he has a picture of what it will mean when the authorities announce that hospitals, and in particular intensive care units and accident and emergency facilities, are “overwhelmed”. It’s a euphemism or excuse for mass “involuntary euthanasia” – not just for things getting and staying a little bit shittier.
Apparently “involuntary euthanasia” has been happening under Belgium’s killing regime. It seems that we’ve had a form of de facto euthanasia in Britain for some time – so I suppose we should not be surprised if we end up with the involuntary kind too (which I always thought sounded awfully like murder).
Is it Germany where you are only permitted to undertake assisted suicide/voluntary euthanasia once you have been fully vaxxed?
Yes! Goodness, how many countries have it? I feared they would come for the elderly.
Unless you are protected against death, you are not permitted to die.
Just when you think things couldn’t get any dafter ….
I think the Germans love following orders so much they never stop to think how silly they are.
The secret of their success and the reason for their failure in one.
So if they get one, I don’t need to then? Fine, another nail in the mandatory vaccine passport coffin, as long as it’s not my vaccine induced coffin.
“to keep ourselves and our loved ones safe” – reading comprehension fail
Pass.
If my lived ones have got the snake oil, they’re keeping me safe, so I don’t need to take the snake oil.
But if I take the snake oil, I am immediately in danger from the unvaxxed. Nobody seems to be claiming that the unvaxxed are a danger to other unvaxxed, so as long as I have vaxxed loved ones, I’m safer unvaxxed.
What a tosser, & he always was!
And a liar – he said on telly that 90% of those in hospital with Covid are unvaccinated.
There a lot that about, especially in the comments on Local Live online (mirror group news).
I seem to recall from the vague recesses of my memory that SIS scribbler Ambrose Evans-Pritchard actually knows something about biological warfare.
Nonetheless he still comes across as a posh British guy in the upper stratum of the “foreign and colonial office” scene (did I get the name right?) who seriously believes that the fuzzy-wuzzy Chinese rulers care about possible damage to their “face” in their home market – or for that matter in any foreign market – as if that’s one of their main worries.
He writes as if he knows how to run China better than the rulers of China do.
“‘Zero-Covid has been their claim to superiority, and to give that up would be a very bitter pill to swallow, so they’ll double down,” said George Magnus from Oxford University’s China Centre.”
Gotta wonder how long Magnus can go without typing a cliché. But even leaving aside that he can’t write, his statement that seemingly impresses Ambrose is f***ing idiotic.
China makes and exports cheap goods while building military strength, you moron. It’s not banging on the doors of the gentlemen’s clubs in St James’s, saying “oh please, please, poshy Sirs, please let us in”. It’s not taking part in a talent competition judged by a bunch of royalist Englishmen who went to boarding school.
Did Ambrose go to Winchester College like his pater?
There does seem to be a bit of a “herd” thing going on right now on the British China desk… China’s got it coming to them, right? And no doubt Russia too – and the Germans and the French and probably the “Americans”.
Fun in the bunker!
“Did I get the name right?”.
I think you will find that it has been called The Foreign & Commonwealth Office for quite a while now.
Wasn’t it almost abolished under New Labour or something?
A while ago someone was gently mocking by asking how come England has a foreigner in charge of the State Bank?
He was referring to Mark Carney, the Canadian so Commonwealth and not ‘Foreign’.
Carney was a disaster though.
A blair clone running a bank.
I wasn’t defending him, just raising the point that a Commonwealth Citizen (or Subject) is not a foreigner.
Pfizer vaccine provides FORTY times fewer antibodies to fight Omicron than it does other Covid variants, study finds
This obviously not good news for mandatory vaccines.
Except that this is all a panic about FA. Moronic is a common cold. Is it really worthy of all this discussion on here?
Yes because it’s being used as a pretext for human rights abuses. See New York.
Exactly. Unless people start clogging up the hospitals due to being ‘Moronic positive’ then what a huge shame for the governments et al that it’s not a variant of apocalyptic proportions! A mere damp squib. So they now can’t justify disproportionate restrictions and act like epic bedwetters. They’re left with continuing to mis-label every other respiratory virus as “Covid”! LOL
I don’t make up the news dude, the government does that, I just share relevant links, so don’t shot the messenger.
Do we need a collective noun for Covid variants or will The Covids suffice?
Same goes for multiple variants of vaccines and serums that are now appearing.
“Omicron is a horrible dilemma for zero-Covid China”
Is it really?! My prediction is that China will do precisely fuck all about ‘Omicron’ except maybe some nice optics – perhaps they’ll need to spray another street with disinfectant on TV. This pandemic is about destroying the West. Not them.
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard is like Monty Python’s Black Knight.
He’s like a mini Grauniad in the Telegraph.
Reliably wrong about everything all the time.
And the climate scare before it.
China has to have something to make up for their 3/4 deficit when comparing their military strength to the USA.
Kemp also appeared on the Lorraine Kelly show repeating the unspeakable lie that 90% of those hospitalised due to Covid are unvaccinated. This – as readers will know – is as far from the truth as East is from the West.
Q: The video shows Santa cleaning his suit, trimming his beard and getting vaccinated.
What do you think?
A: Fraud!
But Daddy! I’m too old to still believe the jab is a vaccine.
“No. 10 staff joke in leaked recording about Christmas party they later denied” – “Senior Downing Street staff joked about holding a Christmas party in No. 10 just four days after the event is alleged to have taken place last December,” reports ITV News.
For many of the families ordered not to see each other at Christmas, it would have been their last chance to see one another, especially for older relatives, and yet world-famous Churchill impersonator Boris Johnson threw a party for a bunch of drunken, coked-up “Thick of It” luvvies and then ordered them to rehearse lying about it to the nation.
JOHNSON MUST RESIGN.
We made a four day trip to see my father in law last Christmas, fearing it might be his last. He died earlier this year. We expected to see other cars full of luggage and gifts on the trip but in all honesty, in spite of looking hard, we saw only a few. Bob Moran’s cartoon, “Never surrender your right to be with the people you love” really speaks to me.
‘The People You Love’ winter variant — Bob Moran art
Asked to explain why he had broken the draconian and insane rules he had imposed on the people, world-famous Churchill impersonator Alex “Bojo” Johnson, drew on his profound and sparkling knowledge of the classics to provide an instant response to the press:
“I would say to the House, as I said to those who have joined this Government: I have nothing to offer but bullshit, lies, distortions and hypocrisy. We had a drunken party of the most bodacious kind while you were ordered to stay at home and isolate. We had at that party many, many tall cocktails of mojitos and mint juleps. You ask, what is our party policy? I can say: It is to get wasted, by booze, cigarettes and drugs, with all our might and with all the strength that God can give us; to get smashed while we create a monstrous tyranny, never surpassed in the dark, lamentable catalogue of human crime. This is our party policy. You ask, what is our aim?
“I can answer in one phrase: It is digital global ID, digital global ID at all costs, digital global ID in spite of all the ancient safeguards, digital global ID, however long and hard the road may be, for without digital global ID, there is no global tyranny.”
I’ve posted before about bumping into a well to do chap who had returned home here from London having spent a few days there the last Xmas.
I suggested that life must have been miserable there locked down for the Festive Season.
He replied “London never was locked down, well not where I was”.
I took that to mean Kensington, Chelsea and Westminster where those in the Political/Media/Gentlemens Cubs bubble spent their time partying away. I called it their ‘dirty little secret’.
It may not be quite so secret now but I expect that louche atmosphere was far more widespread than we are led to believe.
ITEM: “Unvaccinated Queenslanders face being denied life-saving operations” – “People hoping to receive an organ transplant in Queensland may be denied the potentially life-saving procedure if they refuse to get vaccinated for Covid,” reports 7News.
Yes, I get that organ transplant operations do make a recipient “highly immuno-suppressed post-transplant” and that a patient would not want to contract an immune-stressing disease which a vaccine could protect them against.
The thing is, of course, that the Covid ‘vaccines’ do not protect against contracting the SARS-CoV-2 virus whilst bringing their own suite of health problems to the patient. So, refuse the Covid jab and die from your kidney, lung or heart organ problems because the health bureaucrats say no transplant for the Unjabbed, or get the Covid jab and get a used but functional organ but potentially die or suffer serious harm from a risky Covid vaxx – and we know that you are more likely to get sick or die from an adverse reaction to a Covid vaccine than you are to sicken or die from Covid if you are unvaccinated.
Now, in Australia, if you require life-saving surgery you are required to take a life-threatening drug – welcome to Australia’s crazy Covid Looking Glass world.
And it’s not just Queensland. Unjabbed visitors to hospitals in my home state, South Australia, will now have to wear full PPE (plastic gowns, visors, the lot) and get PCR-tested pre- and post-visit. The Covid theatrics index is shooting northwards.
Oh, and Australia has its first case of an elite athlete getting pericarditis following the Covid jab. He is a member of the Adelaide Crows Australian Rules Football club. They are withholding his name for privacy reasons but he was admitted to hospital. That’s probably his season done and dusted, then. So that makes one female footballer (Deni Vernhagen, an Adelaide Crows winger) sacked because she refused the jab, one male footballer (the Welsh-origin, Carlton full-back, Liam Jones, opting for early retirement because he refused the jab) and one unnamed Crows player winding up in hospital because he took it). Well done, jab tyrants.
I have maintained from the very beginning that those people responsible for these policies must face jail time. If not, future horrors will only get worse. It matters not that most countries are doing this to their people. That is irrelevant. Each nation must organise its own punishment for these crimes and they must be severe as a warning to future tyrants.
Let the punishment fit the crime…
And while we’re at it – they’ll none of them be missed, they’re going on my list.
Quite so. Coercing people into having injections, and worse, injecting their children, with an untrialled therapy that is known to kill and maim, however unlikely, is a disgusting thing to do and a crime against humanity.
Make a list of Heroes too.
It does seem the fitter you are the more obvious the side effects of the clot shots.
Which increasingly makes me think that the LFC players, under considerable pressure from their manager, Vax mad Jurgen Klopp, must have got the saline, prime ministerial, version as there is no way they could continue to play the way they do if they had been clot shotted.
Someone who needed a lung transplant I believe, was required to have the shot or die without new lungs. Died from the shot…
This is probably the most urgent threat of real disaster at the moment, notwithstanding the hugely important issues of the covid panic and all its long term consequences, and it’s interesting that Carlson has spotted it, even amongst all the other political issues in the US at the moment.
Tucker: Why is the United States doing this?
Make no mistake, open war with Russia over Ukraine (or with China over Taiwan) would be an unmitigated disaster for the entire world, and probably most especially for the peoples of Ukraine, Taiwan and the US sphere. The only gainers would be the US sphere regime apparatchiks and profiteers, or their local satraps, who would be the ones to make it happen.
Such wars will only occur if the US regime pushes NATO membership (or equivalent direct US interference) on Ukraine, or if the US regime pushes Taiwan to take irrevocable steps towards independence from China. These are direct threats to Russia and China, which they will be forced to respond to, but optional overseas adventures for the US regime.
I’ve been watching the increasing tensions in Ukraine with some concern, since one likely consequence of the looming collapse in authority of the Biden regime would be resort to a war of aggression to allow them to wrap themselves in the US flag, divert from their disastrous misrule and ongoing totalitarian power grab, and even more openly suppress dissent.
These areas are among the most overtly propagandised in the US sphere media (which means the BBC/Sky/ITV and most UK newspapers), so those who absorb those sources uncritically on foreign policy will believe absurdities such as Russia being an aggressor, or it being in our interests to fight them if they go to war in Ukraine. In reality, it would be not in the slightest a problem for us if Russia were to openly reconquer the entire Ukraine (though it’s highly unlikely they would even want to, given the huge costs controlling it would impose on them) – we have no strategic interests there whatsoever, other than corrupt financial ones. But however taken in you might be by the comically absurd war propaganda pretending this is 1939 and Russia is a new Nazi Germany, and no matter how jingoistic you might feel about pretending you would be “standing up for freedom in Ukraine”, you absolutely will bitterly regret it if our rulers start a war over Ukraine.
Patrick Buchanan as usual has a hardheaded grasp of the strategic realities. My concern is that his blithe assumption that there will be no war because it would be stupid of the US to go to war, relies on the dangerous assumption that the US regime won’t start a war that it is not in the US’s national interest to fight.
This flies in the face of US history, and ignores the sharp disconnect between the interests of regime and nation.
Putin to Biden: Finlandize Ukraine, or We Will
Our true British national interests would be best served (notwithstanding the systematic lies we are served up by the establishment media) by stability, which is best ensured by Ukraine being within the Russian sphere or Finlandised, and not in its being, as it has been since 2014, contested between the Russian, US and EU/German spheres. That’s a recipe for disaster and an invitation for adventuring by a regime such as the current US one, that has so much to gain politically and financially from gambling with a military confrontation.
It might also be that the US regime thinks it can push Russia into open action and successfully then “freeze” the conflict to gain long term diplomatic leverage against Russia, as they tried to do, with some success, over the Crimea. That’s a gamble that we should not be enamoured of their taking with our lives and well-being, when there is literally no upside in it for us, only for the corrupt politicos and businessmen making the decisions.
Those who think they understand the issues here should contemplate the colossal Russia hoax that has dominated the US sphere media for years, and the fact that UK intelligence was clearly involved in initiating it.
Surely you would have to be insanely stupid to risk war with Russia. Jo may be sleepy, but I assume those around him aren’t, and I can’t believe that even war monger Hillary would have risked direct confrontation with Russia. I suppose it depends what you mean by “war”, but I assume that MAD still holds for all-out war at any rate.
While very well armed much of Russia’s kit is obsolete. Her economy is no larger than those of Italy or South Korea.
That country would have no chance of winning a war against the West but could inflict massive amounts of damage on the way down, probably mostly on Ukraine which many Russians think of as a Traitor State.
Russia has nuclear weapons. Nothing more is needed.
All this talk about Russia and USA and the Ukraine – don’t the people of the UK have more serious threats closer to home, such as the SAGE committee continuing with their psychological abuse?
How about getting your own house in order before asking the Russian’s to tidy their’s up?
UK schoolchild: “I don’t want to get jabbed!”
UK parent: “Shush! I’m discussing what Putin might or might not do!”
MAD applies both ways, and hence only to open war that constitutes an existential threat. It certainly doesn’t preclude brinkmanship, even to the extent of waging peripheral or proxy wars.
Most likely the current US regime, which we know has corrupt links to the Ukraine regime, would prefer a proxy war in Ukraine, or they might think that they can contain any war to Ukraine, but whether they can achieve that safely while provoking the Russians into action remains to be seen.
The point is that it is a mistake to confuse the aims and cost/benefit assessments applicable to the regime with those applicable to the nation, still less to US allies and satellites. The US regime might well see a disastrous confrontation and even a risk of open war as beneficial, politically.
Surely The Ukraine is not likely to be a NATO member any time soon. I don’t think even Peking Bidden would risk a war with Russia for a country outside NATO. The Baltic states might be more problematic, I suspect Putin would try something if he thought he could get away with it, but things might easily go wrong.
“Ukraine is not likely to be a NATO member any time soon“
There are many very highly placed and influential US regime members and political figures who want exactly that, and have been pushing for it for many years.
Indeed, at times it’s been as much resistance from other NATO members as from relatively sane US apparatchiks that has prevented it.
I have considered whether the West is pushing Russia into an invasion so they can “cascade” into another crisis and leave “the covid pandemic” in the past, as a way of avoiding punishment for the crimes against humanity they have committed.
But there will be no war. The West will do nothing when Putin orders Russian ground forces into eastern Ukraine except sanctions, moving some troops around in NATO nations bordering Russia and throw them out of SWIFT. None of these things will impact Russia at all.
“The West will do nothing when Putin orders Russian ground forces into eastern Ukraine except sanctions, moving some troops around in NATO nations bordering Russia and throw them out of SWIFT. None of these things will impact Russia at all.“
It might be that exactly that kind of cold war confrontation is what the US regime is aiming at, by emboldening the Ukrainian regime to provoke Russia.
The foreshadowed SWIFT move, and further damaging sanctions, will certainly hurt Russia (which has taken steps to prepare for it), but mostly will reinforce the ongoing driving of Russia into China’s camp that the aggressive post-Soviet US policy towards Russia has been achieving for many years now.
But if Russia does move into Ukraine militarily, it’s highly unlikely to be a stabilising move. Most likely there will be ongoing warfare ranging from open fighting to insurgency in Ukraine, fuelled by US and EU interference, forever (meaning until the situation collapses, one way or the other).
That’s proxy war, basically, waged by the US/EU against Russia, and a hugely dangerous situation. People will be dying on both sides – Russians directly, US/EU covert interference personnel. There will be huge national security scare implications for US sphere/EU countries domestically.
Imo, we should not underestimate the consequences, nor assume that because the costs and risks to us would be immense, that the policy would not appear attractive to the decision makers in Washington and Berlin.
NATO “Keep America in, Keep Russia out, Keep Germany down”.
Yes Prime Minister I think.
Tucker Carlson is quite right to emphasise the strategic importance of Sevastopol to Russia, it’s what the Crimean War was all about (we won that btw and kept their Black Sea fleet confined to port for a generation and thus away from Constantinople and the Mediterranean).
I visited Ukraine when it was still a Soviet Republic and have many fond memories of the country and the Ukrainian people.
However I have every sympathy with Mr Putins anxiety because Russias present borders almost exactly match those that emerged after the Bolsheviks virtually surrendered to the Kaiser’s Germany in 1917, giving away almost one third of the country’s resources. (Treaty of Brest-Litovsk).
They did this because they were more interested in furthering their Revolution than preserving national integrity. Luckily for them the victorious Wester Allies compelled Germany to withdraw from Eastern Europe but the ensuing Russia Civil War cost 10 million lives, compared to 2 million during WW1 itself.
So even with Ukraine ‘neutral’ Russia is far worse off than before the Revolution, the idea that it could become a US satellite would be absolutely intolerable for any Russian leader.
Imo it would have been far better for long term stability if the territory now constituting Ukraine had instead been partitioned, though as always that would have involve huge disruption in the short term. The western parts of what is currently Ukraine have very different history and culture from eastern parts. Certainly the Crimea should always have been part of Russia and is far better where it is now..
On Ukraine. What we are seeing is a dramatic rise in Russia’s confidence when dealing with the West. The West has nothing to do with Ukraine historically and ousting the government and installing a puppet was highly provocative, but even in 2014 Moscow was much less capable militarily and diplomatically, than it is now. Today, Putin has asked for a reassurance that NATO will not absorb Ukraine. He will not get it. Consequently, Russia will likely invade and annex a large part of the country and probably Kiev. The West can and will do nothing for this except sanctions will will simply drive Moscow even closer to Beijing.
Goodness, that would be a nice distraction from social credit scores and apartheid!
I suppose it depends if you count Lithuania, who at one time had sovereignty over the Ukraine (and is also where the \Prussians originated) as Western, but I take your point.
Lithuanians are definitely Slavs and so East Europeans (Chechs wont like that generalisation).
Prussiai were a native Slav tribe on the Baltic coast who were wiped out to be replaced by the Teutonic Knights and German military Aristocracy who became so familiar as Prussians.
“Consequently, Russia will likely invade and annex a large part of the country and probably Kiev. The West can and will do nothing for this except sanctions will will simply drive Moscow even closer to Beijing.”
If that happens (and I’m certainly not ruling it out), it will be the direct culmination and consequence of decades of post-Soviet US sphere aggression against Russia, and imo you seem unduly sanguine about the possibility.
Russia can defeat the Ukrainian military with limited US/EU backing, at least in the east. Whether it can move to the western border probably depends on whether the US/EU side actively supports Ukrainian forces, especially in the west. Russia would probably prefer a partition of Ukraine to a full occupation, which would probably be unsustainable for it. But if it does not advance to the western border it will face a Ukrainian regime backed by US/EU military, political and economic support that will never stop supporting insurgency and resistance in the east.
The options for Russia in Ukraine are not attractive, which is one reason there has been no full invasion previously, and only limited support (the Crimea aside) for pro-Russian factions that resisted the US/EU-backed regime.
You’ve got to hand it to the powers that be … Martin Kemp telling you what’s TRUE.
I know this much!
Apparently the BBC’s resident haruspex, hyperbolist and all-purpose Cassandra Ferguson was being given his customary airtime on “Today” to inform the nation that what we really need is “Plan B Plus”; whatever horrors that may comprise.
Perhaps they can use the Santas at shopping centres to dole out the jabs? Free present (plastic bit of tat Made in China, the same as you find in a McDonald’s Happy Meal) if you let Santa ‘vaccinate’ your child.
The Martin Kemp advert … perhaps he would like to know about my friends family. We put off going to visit her in December as she asked us to take a LF test and thank goodness we didn’t go because we cannot be blamed for the situation her family find themselves in now, Last week she let me know that she, her 9 year old child, her mother and her aunt in their 80s, both on cancer treatments, all have symptomatic covid with positive tests. One of the older women is now in hospital. Except the child all 3 of these people have had all 3 doses of vaccine. I don’t think this family will be a one off!
friend of mine and her husband – at least double jabbed, if not already boosted, both have covid
Did anyone else happen to catch Mattdazolam’s interview on the BBC lunchtime news yesterday (Tues 7th)? I don’t make a habit of consuming propaganda but it was on in the gym. He seemed to quietly mention at the end something about a Health Behaviour Bill… Not sure if this is just a murderous wet dream of his as I can’t find any mention of it anywhere else.
Roundup: NZ/Pfizer.
Excellent article.