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Lancet Paper Over-Estimates Number of Complications Associated with COVID-19 Hospital Patients

by Toby Young
20 July 2021 10:17 AM

Last week, a paper was published in the Lancet that drew some alarming conclusions about the number of complications associated with COVID-19 hospital patients, generating a predictable number of alarming headlines. However, our in-house doctor has cast his eye over it and has spotted a number of flaws. Here is an extract:

My main criticism of this paper lies in the conclusions drawn from the data. The majority of the discussion section concentrates on the incidence of complications from acute Covid in hospitalised younger patients – defined as under 50 years of age. Yet only 12.6% of the sample size were under 50 years of age. Very little discussion is made of the other 87.4% of patients in the older age groups, who actually had the worst outcomes.

Major emphasis is laid on the incidence of renal complications seen in the younger subgroup and what implications that might have for the future health of the patients. Inference is drawn that such acute kidney injury may lead to higher risks of subsequent renal failure and heart disease in later life.

Yet the authors extrapolate those conclusions based on citations of other papers which do not reflect the subgroup of younger patients referred to in their own figures. In my view it is not reasonable to compare a group of patients under 50 experiencing transient acute kidney injury in the context of another acute disease with a cohort of much older patients having AKI after recent heart attacks (as in one of their citations). Equating the long-term outcomes from these two distinct groups is likely to be a flawed assumption.

I note with interest that the incidence of acute kidney injury as a proportion of overall complications in each age group decile up to the over 90s was remarkably consistent at between 32% and 35%. No distinction was made in the analysis between people requiring renal replacement with dialysis or filtration and those experiencing transient biochemical renal dysfunction that was correctable with intravenous fluid replacement and other simple interventions. This observation supports my suspicion that the parameters of ‘renal injury’ have been set too wide to distinguish between mild dysfunction of no long-term consequence and serious renal damage.

Worth reading in full.

Tags: Acute Kidney InjuryThe Lancet

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8 Comments
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nickbowes
nickbowes
3 years ago

Toby thank you for the great work you are doing. It just seems these endless papers that state the obvious don`t get anywhere with the lying criminals in Government/sage who are set on only one agenda.

The autumn/winter already looks set to be bleak and i and others will be faced with forced medical procedures to ensure that food continues to get on the family table.

These vaccines might kill people, at some point, in biblical numbers and most seem fine with that. Where is the opposition to this ?

10
0
steve_z
steve_z
3 years ago
Reply to  nickbowes

“These vaccines might kill people, at some point, in biblical numbers”

They probably won’t – but the issue is nobody knows because we only have short term data.

Lots of vaccines/drugs are withdrawn as it becomes clear what the side-effects are.

The idea of injecting the whole world with novel vaccines with no long term safety data seems insane to me – even if we ‘get away with it’ this time.

18
-1
iane
iane
3 years ago
Reply to  steve_z

Actually, given that the spike protein is now known to be a toxin with many unpleasant effects in the human body, I suspect that you are wrong and that there will be many deaths and other serious medical consequences over the next few years. For the young who foolishly allow PHE to play God with their bodies there will probably be a mass of serious consequences over decades.

8
0
Lockdown Sceptic
Lockdown Sceptic
3 years ago
Reply to  nickbowes

the lancet has long lost all credibility

We Have To Make Mandatory Jab Passports Politically Impossible To Implement & New Petition
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wYICpHm1VNA

Outlaw Jab Passport Petition petition parliament uk petiti…
Contact MP Link 1 : writetothem com

Stand in South Hill Park Bracknell every Sunday from 10am meet fellow anti lockdown freedom lovers, keep yourself sane, make new friends and have a laugh.

Join our Stand in the Park – Bracknell – Telegram Group
http://t.me/astandintheparkbracknell

Home Schooling – Ex-Primary School Teacher on Resistance GB YouTube Channel: 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kZ5oS2ejye0
https://www.hopesussex.co.uk/our-mission

1
0
Rowan
Rowan
3 years ago
Reply to  nickbowes

Forced and coerced medical procedures are meant to kill us. We need to be prepared to die, but we must each make sure that we each take at least one medical enforcer with us.

Last edited 3 years ago by Rowan
1
0
Lockdown Sceptic
Lockdown Sceptic
3 years ago

the lancet has long lost all credibility

We Have To Make Mandatory Jab Passports Politically Impossible To Implement & New Petition
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wYICpHm1VNA

Outlaw Jab Passport Petition petition parliament uk petiti…
Contact MP Link 1 : writetothem com

Stand in South Hill Park Bracknell every Sunday from 10am meet fellow anti lockdown freedom lovers, keep yourself sane, make new friends and have a laugh.

Join our Stand in the Park – Bracknell – Telegram Group
http://t.me/astandintheparkbracknell

Home Schooling – Ex-Primary School Teacher on Resistance GB YouTube Channel: 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kZ5oS2ejye0
https://www.hopesussex.co.uk/our-mission

1
0
imp66
imp66
3 years ago

Surely the “authorities” wouldn’t exaggerate ” facts” to scare the living daylights out of the weak-minded? Surely? Or…

3
0
Lockdown Sceptic
Lockdown Sceptic
3 years ago

Tyrants We’re At War.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y8uDjO-qkp8
Stand in South Hill Park Bracknell every Sunday from 10am meet fellow anti lockdown freedom lovers, keep yourself sane, make new friends and have a laugh.

Join our Stand in the Park – Bracknell – Telegram Group
http://t.me/astandintheparkbracknell

Home Education – Ex-Primary School Teacher on Resistance GB YouTube Channel: 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kZ5oS2ejye0
https://www.hopesussex.co.uk/our-mission

1
0

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