Tag: SAGE

The following is a guest post from our in-house doctor, who examines the latest batch of data relating to the Omicron variant, and touches on the politicised and corrupted nature of SAGE.

As SAGE makes the case for new restrictions and even the cancellation of Christmas, Fraser Nelson probes SAGE modeller Graham Medley on Twitter on why SAGE's models are so often pessimistic and wrong.

Professor Calum Semple, a SAGE adviser, has said that the vaccine is still effective in preventing severe illness and death from the Omicron variant.

One of the UK's most well-connected scientists, who conspired with Anthony Fauci to suppress the lab-leak theory, has quit SAGE after complaining that the Government won't heed their alarmist, failed predictions.

SAGE has urged ministers to prepare for the “rapid deployment” of restrictions, including the reintroduction of work from home rules, if cases reach a certain level.

In his latest article, the Daily Sceptic's in-house doctor draws attention to the repeated mistakes made by the modellers and governmental advisors and at the huge implications that these bear.

The Daily Sceptic's in-house doctor says the widely trailed tsunami of hospitalisations has not only not yet arrived after 'Freedom Day', but that we seem to be on the downslope of the ‘third wave’.

Bristol's Prof Philip Thomas admits he was wrong about the size of the Delta wave, but now predicts no winter surge. I think he's wrong again, and for the same reason – a misunderstanding of herd immunity.

In a recent article, we considered the implications of the U.K.’s spring rise in infections, given that before now the assumption has been that coronaviruses are seasonal at northern temperate latitudes. Do we have to dismiss that hypothesis in light of the ‘Third Wave’? Here we argue that, contrary to Government claims, the British summer is indeed finally impacting viral transmission, with sharp falls in positives reported across the U.K. In England, reported cases have more-or-less halved in a week, from 50,955 to 25,434. This sharp fall runs counter to all three of the most recent SAGE models driving Government policy, which predict rising infections leading to peaks in hospital admissions in high summer – and by implication falsifies the assumptions upon which these models are based. Parsimony predicts the summer troughs and winter peaks evident for SARS-CoV-2 In spring and summer 2020 and winter 2020-1, SARS-CoV-2 infections parsimoniously followed the pattern of seasonal respiratory viruses, falling away in the summer months and rising again in the autumn, with peaks in deaths occurring between mid-November 2020 and mid-April 2021 in different northern temperate countries. Although falling infection levels were sometimes prolonged into early summer or began to rise again in late summer, there were no peaks in fatalities in summer or early autumn 2020.  Most notably, while cases in Sweden ...

The finality of the July 19th "terminus date" is being put to test as SAGE scientists are telling the Government to reintroduce some restrictions, including mandatory face masks, to keep the figures "under control".