We’re republishing a post this morning by the German Substacker who calls himself ‘Eugyppius’. Looks like he’s been kicked off Twitter – shock! You can subscribe to his Substack email newsletter here.
Not much has changed in the UKHSA Week 48 Covid vaccine surveillance report. Cases by vaccination status:
We see continued improvement in infection rates in the 80+ vaccinated cohort, extending to the those in their 70s as well. This is very likely down to the booster campaign, and it’s more or less what we’d have expected: the vaccines provide protection that after some months appears to decay to the point of negative efficacy. The boosters then bring you back into positive territory, for a time.
Of course the offending numbers are still greyed out:
While UKHSA objections to the reliability of the relative rates apply to every second column reporting “rates among persons not vaccinated”, you’ll notice they only grey out the statistics that are unfavourable to the vaccines. The other columns, which according to their own arguments are equally unreliable, can be printed in ordinary typeface.
The new 60-day death rate by vaccination status also shows a slight improvement in the vaccinated 80+ bracket. They’re now doing slightly better than unvaccinated 70 year-olds:
Finally, the death numbers:
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Just confirming what we already suspected, really. However, I’m surprised to see Vietnamese and Jamaicans up there. Where are all the Pakistanis? Or is it because the nonce-sympathizing judges keep them out of jail?
”One in 50 Albanians in the UK is in jail, according to analysis revealing the first league table of criminality by nationality.
More than 1,200 Albanians have been sent to prison from a migrant population of nearly 53,000 Albanians living in the UK who do not have UK citizenship, according to a Telegraph analysis of official data.
They top a table of more than 130 nationalities ranked on the number of prisoners per 10,000 of the population in the UK from their countries. Albanians are followed by Kosovans, Vietnamese, Algerians, Jamaicans, Eritreans, Iraqis and Somalis.
The analysis suggests that the overall imprisonment rate of foreign nationals is 27 per cent higher than for British citizens. It shows 18.2 inmates per 10,000 migrants compared with the UK’s 14 per 10,000. German, Italian, Indian, Greek, US, Sri Lankan, French and Chinese nationals are the least likely to be jailed.
Mr Jenrick said: “This analysis confirms what the public will have sensed for a long time: some nationalities are more likely to go on to commit serious crimes than others. It once again points to the need for a far more tightly controlled immigration system, including more rigorous security checks for nationalities linked to criminality in the UK.”
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10/04/one-in-50-albanians-uk-in-prison-telegraph-analysis/
I’m always a bit wary of analysis by nationality. For example, many Romany Gypsies have Czech citienship, but they are by no means what could be described as ethnic Czech.
That said, there is no such thing as ethnic Czech, either. Even Czechslovakia has disappeared, after being drawn on the map just over 100 years ago, in 1918…
It’s a proxy for race, because race cannot be mentioned.
Amazing how they always declare they’re transgender *after* committing the sex crime, isn’t it? No wonder France’s rate of deportation is so dire if they want to keep human detritus like this in their country;
”An Algerian refugee sex offender has been allowed to stay in France after claiming to be “transgender,” despite being sentenced to four years in prison in 2019.
In the midst of the debate on lax immigration policy following the rape and murder of 19-year-old Philippine by a Moroccan illegal immigrant, the recent decision by the Council of State concerning the Algerian refugee sex offender has caused controversy.
On Monday, September 30th, the Council of State (Conseil d’État), one of France’s highest administrative bodies, validated the renewed refugee status of the Algerian national.
The Council of State’s decision was motivated by the fact that the 31-year-old man is currently undergoing ‘transition’ to womanhood; he fears persecution if he returns to his country of origin, his lawyer told Le Figaro. The threat would be serious enough to justify granting him protection through refugee status.
https://europeanconservative.com/articles/news/sex-offender-given-refugee-status-in-france-after-claiming-to-be-transgender/
Morning Mogs, your up early!
Agree with both your posts, if only the government saw the same facts
I have to hit the road early to beat the traffic. Laters…
“It’s too late to save Britain from overheating, says UN climate chief”
There is a comment on this on the Watts Up web site;
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/10/06/its-too-late-to-save-britain-from-overheating-says-un-climate-chief-prof-jim-skea/
As I understand it the alleged affect of CO2 on climate is a logarithmic effect not an arithmetic effect, consequently one has to ask, even if you accept that CO2 is affecting the climate, where are we on the logarithmic graph of this effect? How can they be so sure that cutting emissions now will have such a huge impact on the future climate?
To my mind the very term climate change is something of an oxymoron, climate is a word to describe the changing pattern of our weather and so to say that the climate is changing you need to have some sort of a baseline pattern which you can then show is deviating significantly. As a science it seems as clear and firm as trying to nail a Blancmange to the barn door. And yet on this dodgy world of modelling, predictions and soothsaying we are being subject to de-industrialisation, poverty and immiseration.
I do not have any sort of scientific measuring devices or computer models, I just look out of the window, walk across the hills and the coasts and it seems to me that in my 70plus years of doing that, nothing has changed all that much, nothing to get exited about, the weather goes up and down like it always has the tides go up and down much like they always have done. And yet they think they know better than me and must put us all in the poor house to save the planet!
The term ‘climate change’ (or Climate Change) is indeed an oxymoron, built on a lie, that is an assumption that the punters believe that the climate is normally stable. It isn’t, and never has been in the long term. The rate of change, the embedded detail, what we can do to adapt to it, and whether we can do anything about it, perhaps at a reasonable cost, are valid topics. But they are drowned out by the zealots that are promoting their belief.
To even consider the notion that humanity can regulate the climate of the planet, or its “average temperature” for crying out loud, is monumental hubris and anyone claiming such has definitely earned themselves a Darwin award.
“Green agenda slams brakes on U.K. growth: car industry warns”
In this article it says;
”On Friday, the motor industry urged the Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, to cut VAT on new electric vehicles and public charging points to arrest the downturn in the electric vehicle market.”
Many ‘experts’ are saying that the World can only ever manage to run 30% as many electric cars (EVs) compared to the current number of petrol/diesel (ICE) cars. In my view that is over optimistic and in the UK it is nearer 15 to 20%, if I am correct then 80-85% of current ICE car motorists will not have an EV. This would mean that the VAT and other subsidies being called for would only ever benefit the top 15-20% of corporate and higher income motorists. Even then, if the number of EVs on the road is going to be that small the motor industry will take a big hit as will the UK economy. And so us Hoi-polloi with no EV will be subsidising EVs from a shrinking UK economy. This whole green agenda is going to put us all in the poor house, how did we let this happen?
Charging VAT on new stuff (including cars) is a major source of government income. Cutting VAT for one sector so it can sell more stuff without paying the tax is robbing Peter to pay Paul. No VAT on EVs as a policy and no VAT because people are not allowed to buy ICE cars does not fit well with committing to piss away £22bn on carbon capture and storage or more on re-jigging the (mostly) working electricity grid.
Russia considering law to fine people who choose not to have children
‘President Vladimir Putin’s spokesman, Dmitry Peskov, said he supported the move, stating Russia’s “catastrophic” birthrate is a pressing issue.
“Increasing the birthrate is one of the top priorities for the entire government and the entire country,”
That’s why Putin invaded Ukraine
‘“The preservation of the Russian people is our highest national priority. The fate of Russia… depends on how many of us there will be. It is a question of national importance.”
Putin 17 Sept 2024
And that’s why Putin had to invade Ukraine again.
‘The second significant change came following Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014. The reaction to that aggression in Ukraine, Moldova, and other former Soviet republics narrowed the number of countries providing labor to Russia.’
And, with the stupidity that characterises all totalitarian fascist regimes, that is now why he cannot stop.
‘Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine also provoked another large exodus of Russians from Russia. Some families had their bags packed and were ready to leave when Russian troops crossed the border in February 2022. Mobilization in September 2022 caused an additional exodus, primarily by young men.’
Emigration by hundreds of thousands of young men, and an unknown number of young women, is reducing the already small cohort of Russians in prime reproductive years. Hundreds of thousands of men being sent to serve in Ukraine further limits reproductive potential. Russian women have increasingly opted to avoid pregnancy in the face of economic difficulties and growing uncertainty. In the first half of 2023, a record number of Russians applied for passports for travel abroad “just in case” (na vsyaki sluchi).
The full-scale war has further limited the already diminishing prospects of inducing a large share of the 30 million Russians living outside of Russia to return home.’
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/content-series/russia-tomorrow/a-russia-without-russians-putins-disastrous-demographics/
But, in Putin’s mind, all will be well. After all, he has Belarus already and Eastern Ukraine.
Once he gets to Odessa, he can move on Moldova and join the Russian ‘Union State’ with Kaliningrad, cutting off the Baltic States.
That gives him a European super state of 220 million sitting on the EU border, compared to the USSR of 280 million.
The other 60 million for a ‘Full House’?
Poland (40m) and Romania (20m).
Done.
In other news:
‘In July 2022, Poland signed a contract to acquire 1000 K2 Black Panther tanks and 460 K9 Thunder howitzers from South Korea for (the cost for the latter was US$2.4 billion). The first batch of K2 tanks and K9 howitzers was delivered in December 2022. Further deliveries are scheduled for 2023-2026 period.’
Poland’s President releases a statement:
‘You don’t see many wide mouthed frogs around these days, do you?’
France punishes people for not having children.
Many countries do it, in one way or another.
Meanwhile, in the UK, people are punished for both having and not having children.
The stupidity of faceless bureaucratic totalitarian socialism
There you go again, telling us what is in Putin’s mind. What amazing insight.
‘And, if you believe the forecasts and the estimates are based on actual work, the real work of people who understand this, who have devoted their whole lives to this, in 15 years, there may be 22 million fewer Russians. I ask you to think about this figure: a seventh of the country’s population. If the current trend continues, the nation’s survival will be in jeopardy’
Putin, 2000
And UK? And Europe? And USA, Japan? We all have the same problem. Is that why USA/NATO wants to destroy Russian leadership? Are they intending to take over Russia and force the Russians to work for our pensions? To improve our birthrate? What a ridiculous idea.
The UK’s population is growing and is projected to reach 70 million in 2026.
The total population of France has been increasing for years now, exceeding 68 million inhabitants in 2024.
Germany’s population rose by 300,000 people over the course of 2023, the Federal Statistical Office, known as Destatis, reported Thursday. At the end of 2023, Germany’s population came in at 84.7 million people
The current population of U.S. in 2024 is 341,814,420, a 0.53% increase from 2023. The population of U.S. in 2023 was 339,996,563, a 0.5% increase from 2022.
In comparison, the decline in Russia’s population that started in 2021 will continue, and if current demographic conditions persist, Russia’s population will be 120 million in 50 years, a decline of about 17%.
Consequently, the approximately two million Crimeans who received Russian citizenship after the annexation in 2014 and the over 2.8 million Ukrainians who had to move to Russia since the beginning of the invasion, the more than one million people from the Donetsk and Luhansk regions who had to move to Russia over the last eight years of war, as well as those who have stayed in the occupied territories, and are currently lining up to receive Russian citizenship, are all extremely important to Putin.
The Ukrainians forcefully and violently displaced by the Russian invasion represent one of the Kremlin’s main gains in this war.
The amendments to the citizenship law also allow Putin to expand the categories of people eligible for simplified acquisition of citizenship, including “citizens of Belarus, Kazakhstan, Moldova, and Ukraine.”
The inclusion of these many other countries marks out the horizons of the Kremlin’s imperialist ambitions…….for the time being.
Interesting then how politicians are always trying to raise the age of retirement. In countries with good social systems, birth rates tend to decline and populations become older. In addition, fertility rates appear to be declining which some attribute to all the medical products landing up in our drinking water. Western countries fight the decrease in working-age residents by basically encouraging unlimited immigration. Whether all those immigrants end up as tax payers is one question. Eventually, an immigrant will be classified as a citizen and then no longer appear in the statistics as an immigrant.
Russia appears to be not interested in unlimited immigration, perhaps mainly out of patriotic reasons. Many DS readers are not too happy with how the UK is filling up with large groups of various nationalities and religions who may be less inclined to integrate into British society and accept our way of life. A balance would be a good thing, whereby I personally see no need for an ever-increasing population size; in fact, a reduction in over-crowding would be a good thing.
Whatever. To claim that such a matter is driving Putin to conquer the world is utter nonsense, in my opinion. And it is NATO that is determined to expand. And it is USA that is determined to retain its hegemony, whereby Biden has done an excellent job in scuppering exactly that.
Another view on the energy hoo-haa
Katie Hopkins has put out an interesting short you-tube clip on UK electricity rationing and how the UK is being turned off.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oYrAff3CklQ
Bureaucrats busy at work piling on new rules and regulations to fix non-existent problems.
It’s not a non-existent problem. It’s a question of risk. Are we to be allowed to take any risks?
The fatal accident rate (not just motor accidents) among teenagers, especially males, is always higher than in more mature people. I survived my teens – as do most people – despite taking risks that I would not consider sensible now. This is not something that needs fixing by government bureaucracy.
“Russia considering law to fine people who choose not to have children”
Foolish, or one better than Starmer’s refusal to consider incentives for bigger families in the face of demographic collapse here?
The Roman emperors, too, repeatedly offered incentives for couples to have three or more children, largely unsuccessfully. This was because (a) men eschewed marriage in favour of institutional paederasty and sex-slavery, (b) few families had more than two children because of the expense, (the men mainly) preferring contraception, abortion and infanticide/exposure, especially for girl children. They maintained the workforce by importing cheap foreign labour, until eventually the empire succumbed to the Goths. Sound familiar?
The exceptions were the Jews, who saw children as a blessing rather than a drain (compare the typical Roman situation with Jesus Christ’s four brothers and at least two sisters, or with Jairus’s concern for his dying twelve year old daughter – to a Roman, her death would more likely have been seen as saving an expensive dowry). The early Christians followed their ethos, and so both groups became an increasing proportion of the empire’s population: the ascendancy of Christianity was at least partly from natural demographics.
Moral: if you want your nation back, populate your nation!
One year on and there remains the question as to why exactly was the Israel Edition Supernova Festival location moved from an undisclosed location in Southern Israel only two days prior to the attack for reasons that are still unclear.
The new location was certainly a questionable choice, why would you sandwich your dance party in no man’s land between a military outpost and the Gaza border…
The location was just outside Kibbutz Re’im, a secular Zionist commune that also happens to enclose a miltary outpost and is the location of Isralazer, an industrial manufacturing plant, involved in the manufacture of Israeli arms and components for American military equipment , which is protected by a battery of tanks.
I’d also question the morality of the festival goers… Practicing “peace and love” and celebrating adjacent to what humanitarian organisations unanimously describe as the “world’s largest open air prison”….
Peace and love man…
Good god have you no shame? Today of all days.
I shall not engage with you again, you are the one pedalling fake news. As for woke, you really don’t know me do you?
Yes, you are woke as can be..
Good that you won’t engage, you’re not knowledgeable enough to debate this subject, child like in fact.
I did offer for you to counter with some insightful comment but you chose to call my post fake news… Says it all doesn’t it.
Ps, I thought everyone knew the nova festival location had been moved 2 days prior
Today of all days. Yes, one year ago, “Terrorists” escaped from Gaza and, according to some commentators, performed a purely military operation on their Israeli enemies. Israel reported about 1200 killed, whereby there seems to be a consensus that half of those were killed by the frenzied and poorly controlled reaction of Israeli Apache helicopter pilots and tank crews.
In reaction, Israel has now killed anything from 100,000 to 300,000 Palestinians – estimates vary but the ongoing destruction of Gaza and starvation of its occupants makes any exact number impossible to calculate – and is now diverting much of its destructive energy on to its neighbour, Lebanon.
Israel cannot be bothered seeking out any actual “terrorists”, it believes in simple mass bombardments. For example, from “Jeremy Scahill”<dropsitenews@substack.com>, 6th October 2024:
Over the past 24 hours, the U.S.-backed Israeli government has bombed the Palestinians of Gaza with a ferocity reminiscent of the opening days of its genocidal war launched one year ago this week. Israel conducted more than 100 strikes against an estimated 50 sites around northern Gaza, including the densely populated Jabaliya refugee camp as well as Nuseirat and Bureij. The harrowing images and videos out of northern Gaza show large numbers of children being maimed and killed in air strikes on tent encampments and residential buildings. At least 21 people were killed in a strike on the Shuhada Al Aqsa mosque in Deir Al-Balah.
The Israeli military has ordered the expulsion of an estimated 300,000 Palestinians from nearly all areas of the north as Israeli ground forces and tanks stormed into the area to begin encircling Jabaliya. During the past year Israeli officials have threatened that Palestinians who do not obey the IDF’s evacuation orders would be deemed enemy combatants or accomplices. “We have to tell the residents of north Gaza that they have one week to evacuate the territory, which then becomes a military zone,” retired Israeli General Giora Eiland told a Knesset committee recently. “Every figure is a target and, most importantly, no supplies enter this territory.”
“Most importantly, no supplies enter this territory”. Nice.
In Lebanon, and I never thought I would be quoting WHO’s Tedros, but from 5th October:
The head of the United Nations World Health Organization said Thursday that Israeli forces killed 28 healthcare workers in Lebanon over the previous 24 hours, and that 73 medical personnel are among the nearly 2,000 Lebanese killed during Israel’s bombing and invasion of its northern neighbor.
“In southern Lebanon, 37 health facilities have been closed, while in Beirut, three hospitals have been forced to fully evacuate staff and patients, and another two were partially evacuated,” WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said during a press conference in Geneva.
Dr. Fathalla Fattouh, the head cardiovascular and thoracic surgeon at Rafik Hariri University Hospital (RHUH) in Jnah, just outside Beirut, described the chaos he witnessed firsthand, including “a surge of nearly identical injuries – amputations, eye trauma, and shattered hip and femur bones – straining the hospital’s capacity to a near-breaking point.”
Sara, a surgeon at the hospital, said that “there are only two hospitals in Lebanon prepared to treat burn patients, and once they were at capacity, we were left with nowhere to send the patients we received.”
Finally, from https://www.antiwar.com/, 3rd October:
Ninety-nine American healthcare workers who volunteered in Gaza over the past year published an open letter to President Biden and Vice President Harris on Thursday that detailed the horrors they witnessed and called for an end to US military support for Israel.
“Specifically, every one of us who worked in an emergency, intensive care, or surgical setting treated pre-teen children who were shot in the head or chest on a regular or even a daily basis,” the letter reads. “It is impossible that such widespread shooting of young children throughout Gaza, sustained over the course of an entire year is accidental or unknown to the highest Israeli civilian and military authorities.”
Dr. Mark Perlmutter, an orthopedic and hand surgeon, was quoted in the letter saying, “Gaza was the first time I held a baby’s brains in my hand. The first of many.”
The healthcare workers said their Palestinian colleagues were targeted by Israeli forces and captured during Israeli raids on hospitals. “Many of these colleagues of ours were taken by Israel during the attacks. They all told us a slightly different version of the same story: in captivity, they were barely fed, continuously physically and psychologically abused, and finally dumped naked on the side of a road. Many told us they were subjected to mock executions and other forms of mistreatment and torture,” the letter reads.
“The 99 signatories to this letter spent a combined 254 weeks inside Gaza’s largest hospitals and clinics.
Sorry, I exceeded the permitted length of comment. Just to complete the above:
“The 99 signatories to this letter spent a combined 254 weeks inside Gaza’s largest hospitals and clinics. We wish to be absolutely clear: not once did any of us see any type of Palestinian militant activity in any of Gaza’s hospitals or other healthcare facilities,” the letter reads.
So, my simple question is how many more men, women and children must die to “compensate” (in western eyes) for the Israelis killed on 7th October? More crudely put, how many Palestinian lives are worth one Israeli life? Israel seems to be going full out, heading for the jackpot of mass destruction of the whole area. Is it not time someone applied the brakes?
Go easy on them CGW.. They are firm believers in the fake news msm narrative, after all they wouldn’t lie would they!!
The lack of alternative information and knowledge of most on here is embarrassing, and when you do present them with facts you get accused of peddling “fake” news” purly because they haven’t read it before in the msm..
It’s like talking amonst children.
Glad my subs are about to run out, this forum is so unfit to be called “Sceptics”
Thank you for your posts BTW.
I understand completely when people have little interest in the political affairs of distant countries and many, perhaps most, DS readers are not particularly sympathetic towards people coming from the area around the Middle East. I confess to having paid little attention to the repetitive wars in that area myself until recently, but then I had the time to try to find out what is going on.
And what is going on, and has been going on for several decades, now utterly disgusts me, whereby who can blame the western populations who have always been repeatedly told that Israel is our friend and the (Palestinian) Arabs are, well, Arabs?
I have also just finished reading Ilan Pappé’s book “The Biggest Prison on Earth” and, lo and behold, the current state of affairs, with the continual expansion in the rejection of any rights for Palestinians, inevitably eventually leading to the complete removal of all Palestinians from the area, by whatever means necessary, was always the ultimate goal.
But Israeli donors have immense influence in primarily US but also UK politics, and the propaganda machine is truly impressive. If I am lucky then one or two readers will read my posts and perhaps be inclined to investigate themselves what is fact and what is fiction.
“Great Hurricane of 1780 remains the worst” – The deadliest hurricane in history, with 22,000 dead, happened before the internal combustion engine was invented, notes John Leake on the Courageous Discourse Substack.
I enjoyed this article. It’s a good introduction but so much more could be said.
A key point I would have liked to see emphasised is that even if we were to have another hurricane like the 1780 one, it would not be evidence for ‘climate change’. The 1780 hurricane was remarkable – people remarked on it at the time. If we had another of similar strength nearly 250 years later it would be remarkable – it would be remarked on in the global news.
I found it surprising that the wind strength estimates were based in part on finding straw embedded in tree trunks. Can straw really penetrate tree trunks if driven by 200mph winds? Remarkable!
It’s just a sodding cold, FFS.
So far I have received two texts and two emails offering the poisons. I hope they try a phone call because I won’t hold back.
Is that because it’s taken you 4 years to realise the facts about the jabs…
All that fake news et al…
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13928475/Seven-million-workers-sick-pay-day-generation-overhaul-workers-rights.html
Which will of course lead to many small businesses curtailing recruitment. And I don’t suppose some women would apply for jobs knowing full well they are pregnant would they?
Another brilliant means of wrecking havoc in the jobs market. All coming along nicely eh Kneel?
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2024/10/06/too-late-save-britain-overheating-climate-chief-jim-skea/
I won’t be here in 2100 so actually I C G A F. And, this stooge is talking utter crap.