Recently, Anthony Brookes, a Professor of Genomics and Health Data Science at the University of Leicester, wrote a piece for the Daily Sceptic arguing that central to the virus’s surge-and-decline behaviour is the emergence of new variants, which are “able to infect (or re-infect) some fraction of individuals”.
He writes:
A series of SARS-CoV-2 variants have arisen, many of which possessed a transient selective advantage that led to a wave of infection that peaked some three-to-four months later. Several such variants have spread globally, though different successful variants have arisen simultaneously in a number of countries. The result is a three-to-four month wave pattern per country, which is also apparent globally.
The global wave pattern is shown below. It features an extended autumn and winter wave, a spring wave and a summer wave (seasons here for the northern hemisphere, of course). Note that this graph is raw positive test numbers so does not allow for increased testing.
To illustrate how this global pattern is reflected in different countries and how it relates to the emergence of new variants, I have superimposed the graph of variant proportions over time from the CoVariants website onto the positivity rate curves (the proportion of tests that come back positive, which takes into account changes in the amount of testing) from Our World in Data. I’ve done this for the 12 countries which have done the most sequencing of virus samples (according to CoVariants), plus Israel and South Africa.
Note that the sequencing data is not necessarily representative, though the more sequencing that is done the more likely it is to be representative. Jagged lines in early data indicate small samples that are unlikely to be representative. Grey areas are unidentified variants.
My apologies that it is difficult to read the dates along the bottom of these composite images but hopefully you can see enough to figure out what is what.
The three peaks in the U.K. are associated with the three dominant variants: the ‘Spanish’ variant (20A.EU1) in orange in autumn 2020, Alpha in red in the winter and Delta in green in the summer. The Alpha surge was large, presumably due to it occurring in the winter. Note the lack of a spring 2021 surge, which in other countries was associated with Alpha.
There is evidence in the U.S. of a small spring surge associated with Alpha and a larger summer one associated with Delta. There is no data here on the variant(s) associated with the large winter wave or the smaller summer 2020 surge.
The Spanish variant is significant in the large winter surge in Germany, but is not dominant on this data. The spring surge associated with Alpha and the summer surge associated with Delta are present again.
The large winter wave in Denmark is associated with the Spanish variant, though again it is not entirely dominant on this data. The spring bump associated with Alpha is there but very small, while the summer surge associated with Delta is more pronounced.
Sweden’s large winter wave was mixed variant-wise, though data at this point was sparse (indicated by the jagged lines). Alpha is associated with a slowing of the drop-off from winter and a second peak. Delta so far in the summer is associated with only a small ripple.
France’s large autumn surge was mainly associated with the ‘French’ variant (20A.EU2) in light blue, though again it was not entirely dominant. The subsequent winter peak was very muted, though a spring surge associated with Alpha and a smaller summer ripple associated with Delta are present.
Variant data was sparse before spring 2021 in Japan, but the two most recent surges are associated with Alpha in the spring and Delta in the summer.
The Netherlands’ positivity curve is bumpier than most, but there appears to be a large winter wave associated with (though not dominated by) the Spanish variant, a spring resurgence associated with Alpha and a summer surge associated with Delta.
Spain’s autumn surge is dominated by the Spanish variant, but its winter wave seems to be a mixture of Alpha and the Spanish variant, while there is also a spring bump associated with Alpha. A summer surge associated with Delta is clear. Spain is unusual in having four peaks but three dominant variants, perhaps a result of the winter wave occurring just as Alpha was taking over from the Spanish variant.
Canada had little data till recently. While a summer surge associated with Delta is clear, the spring surge is associated with both Alpha and other variants, including Gamma (in pink).
Switzerland’s autumn and winter wave featured a mix of variants, especially the French and Spanish. Alpha is associated with a spring bump and Delta with a moderate summer surge.
A large and extended autumn and winter wave associated with the Spanish variant is evident in Italy, and is similar to Spain in that Alpha takes over from the Spanish variant during the winter. There is then also a spring bump associated with Alpha and a small summer ripple associated with Delta.
South Africa has not sequenced so many samples as the countries above, but a summer wave associated with Beta (light red) is evident, as is a winter wave (in this case) associated with Delta. South Africa is the only one of these countries where Alpha never became dominant, apparently being squeezed out by Delta.
Sequencing in Israel has also been quite sparse, but there is some evidence of a winter wave associated with Alpha and a summer surge associated with Delta. The lack of spring bump may be, as in the U.K., because the Alpha wave occurred over winter.
These 14 graphs illustrate how variants are associated with surges in different countries. Importantly, almost every time there is a surge and a peak it is associated with one of the highly successful variants (Delta, Alpha, Spanish, French). The main exception is in winter, when there is a peak anyway, though even then it is usually associated with these variants in some way.
Importantly, by way of control, the U.K. and Israel show that when Alpha was the dominant winter variant, the spring peak, typically associated with Alpha, was absent.
This is to my mind compelling evidence that variants play a key role in driving new surges of coronavirus. It suggests that herd immunity is to some extent variant-specific, and that a new variant temporarily disturbs the herd immunity until the latest wave of infections tops it up again.
There is no sign yet of the emergence of a new successful variant that will take over from Delta. This holds out the hope that Delta may be some kind of evolutionary endpoint or optimum for the virus, and thus that the autumn and winter may be mild from a Covid point of view – though other viruses like flu may take the opportunity to make a comeback.
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The Philippines had one of the longest and strictest lockdowns, and one of the longest school closures….and admittedly one of the worst Covid outbreaks in their region, go figure. They were the Peru of their region, basically. It’s almost as if lockdowns, closures, and NPIs don’t really work at all. But what do I know? I’m just the 800 pound gorilla in the room.
So China now denies that the virus originated in their country? That is some real grade A gaslighting writ very, very large!
It’s not a virus – no isolate has been carried out, only computer modelling. It’s a bioweapon. Where it originated is anyone’s guess but the military industrial complex & NWO is behind it.
‘Unknown Cause Of Death’
Easily attributed to:
A novel treatment that almost all of the population have been subjected to with little of no clinical data of safety to back it up.
Criminal complicity from the MSM and Govs.
Possibly the worst crime in human history…
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If you guys want to hear our latest podcast, then check it out and subscribe below:
Ep. 51 BANNED FROM TWITTER (Find out why)
We’ve been banned from Twitter for a week…find out why! Plus we talk Canada and Justin Trudeau, your first ‘Listener Rant’, Climate change madness, University PHD’s gone mad, Scotland’s gone crazy, The return of the Big Breakfast and MUCH MORE!
https://therealnormalpodcast.buzzsprout.com/1268768/11142910-ep-51-banned-from-twitter-find-out-why
The marvellous Dr Claire Craig has had her Twitter account suspended….
As she generally only publishes data and studies, I’m assuming it’s because of the data surrounding excess deaths…..lots of calls for her re-instatement ….
Another good example of Twitter silencing the truth…
…..https://theethicalskeptic.com/2022/08/20/houston-we-have-a-problem-part-1-of-3/
Seven of the major eleven International Classification of Diseases codes tracked by the US National Center for Health Statistics exhibit stark increase trends beginning in the first week of April 2021 – featuring exceptional growth more robust than during even the Covid-19 pandemic time frame. This date of inception is no coincidence, in that it also happens to coincide with a key inflection point regarding a specific body-system intervention in most of the US population. These seven pronounced increases in mortality alarmingly persist even now.
first of three from Ethical skeptic….absolutely worth a read, and some good and illuminating comments..well worth keeping in mind for parts 2/3….
https://off-guardian.org/2022/08/22/12-memes-to-get-you-through-the-day-part-20/
Meme Monday (on a Tuesday..lol!)
although the Greta meme is too true to be funny!?
This is a MUST watch…Tucker Carlson laying into Fauci..(the Stalinist midget!)
…absolutely best thing I’ve seen in a while….
https://video.foxnews.com/v/6311272948112#sp=show-clips
Yup, thanks for that, well worth watching. I knew Carlson was fairly covid sceptic but hadn’t realised quite to what extent – he calls out the uselessness and harms of masks, lockdowns, “vaccines”, calls Fauci a liar, repeatedly, and spends some time expounding the lab leak theory. Senator Rand Paul grilling Fauci is featured – Paul is just great, doesn’t hold back.
Carlson has 5.2million followers on Twitter, and Fox where he works is I think the most watched US TV news network. The political right is much better represented in the US media than in the UK, where they are far too polite.
..yes, I think he was channeling some of the anger we all feel..I bet it felt good!!
So, having read Fauci’s resignation letter, he’s not really going then – he’s says he not retiring but about to embark upon the next chapter (is he a book?) of his career. Apparently, he’s going to hang around ‘mentoring and inspiring’ the new batch of scientists like a sort of Tony Blair ghost figure haunting the corridors of power, unable to let go, hopelessly addicted to power. Will no one rid us of this turbulent priest? He’s become a much hated figure in many people’s imaginations and his regular obtuse deflections and denials towards Rand Paul’s questioning in the Senate hearings show him as unscrupulous as his Chinese overlords, I mean, colleagues, and because of that and the absence of any evidence of normal human qualities, he’s encouraged all this vitriol and abuse. How that must weigh him down. I certainly won’t be sorry to see him go but he will be replaced by another minion (they’ve got loads of them) who will be equally on message and maybe blander, less decipherable, more robotic, a manifestation of the system that he/she represents…unseeing, arrogant, indifferent…working slowly and surely towards their goal of getting poisons into you, your children and your children’s children, ignoring any science that goes against their own dodgy snake oil sales pitch, day in day out. They are committed, I’ll give them that, and we are a dispersed tribe of maverick souls and good solid scientists and doctors etc who do not have an agenda as cleverly planned as theirs but who have seen through the obvious lies and the corruption and who will, I am sure, ultimately win.
He’s resigning to avoid being hauled in front of a Congressional committee for a tough interrogation.
In the grand scheme of things, he’s expendable.
And in the coming months more and more people will be paying closer attention to the rising excess death trend as well as the simultaneous trend in declining birth rates. If we get to the year’s end and these two trends haven’t normalized then the globalist drug pushers’ slogan of “safe and effective” will not only be falling on deaf ears but they will be blatantly guilty ( though they are already of course ) of spreading misinformation as those two words are the polar opposite of the reality we’re seeing.
An interesting video from TrialSite News about an Australian physician-investigator, who also happens to be an obs/gyn specialist who got the sack due to not getting jabbed and is taking his case to the supreme court. He’s calling out the danger to pregnant women due to seeing a huge increase in miscarriages in vaxxed women as opposed to in the unvaxxed ( 70% vs 13% ). I also wasn’t aware that Australia has seen more deaths in the first 12wks of this year than in the whole of 2020 and 2021 combined. Seems many countries are being plagued by this “cause unknown”. There’s a lot of it going around.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z3TBu0l4WCE
“Lockdown Architect Anthony Fauci Quits to Write a Book”
Call for Possible Titles
Meine Kampfe V2
Ode to Joseph Mengele
Diary of A Medical Hitman
The Rise and Fall of Humanity
And a title already used by someone else: The Year the World Went Mad, by Mark Woolhouse, published this year. I bought a copy of it – well worth reading.
The trans prisoner who tried to remove HIS testicle having already impregnated women in the jail in which HE is serving a sentence is clearly mentally ill. I think this actually goes for many of the more fanatical trans people. I don’t doubt there are those who really do believe they have been born into the wrong body but I feel deep down it is a mental illness to do with identity, possibly stemming from abuse, chemical and hormonal imbalances caused by our toxic world and other factors. The fact that it is becoming an increasing movement goes against the grain of evolution, whereby we procreate and proliferate, unless evolution has decided to slowly phase out the human race due to the fact that we’re simply not in balance with nature itself. If that is the case, it may explain why a lot of things are happening. Wacky though it sounds, I do feel that there is more to this world than simply human design and that we are but part of something much bigger, much more intricately bound to the mystery of life on Earth – beyond religious explanations – but ultimately something out of reach. Once we become out of balance with the rhythms of the Earth and therefore not contributing towards its natural evolution, it can shake us off like a dog with fleas. Of course, I could be completely wrong. Anyway…trans – a manifestation of all that is unbalanced. Apologies to any trans reading this, I’m not transphobe, just transpractical!
Yes, I think those are good points. It seems some of these people are very unhappy and I cannot imagine that bodily mutilation is going to fix that. Would be interesting to see some follow up studies – % of people in this category who are depressed and whether that changes after mutilation, and compare that to those who choose not to get hacked about.
Just up at our local hospital taking my wife for an outpatient appt. Everyone in corridors & wandering around wearing masks. Receptionist behind screen, put on mask as soon as she saw me maskless. Asked if I wanted one. Declined politely but am now waiting outside on a bench away from all the insanity. If this is typical we’re not even at stage one of getting back to normality.
https://youtu.be/zJukKldyzC4
I posted this after finding it on YouTube last night. Mahyar Tousi has managed to build a reasonable following as an alternative media source. This, however I found bloody insulting.
A man stands up at a Tory party hustings and asks that the candidates consider drilling for fossil fuels urgently on these islands – a sensible and laudable request. Tousi, while supporting the gentleman’s comments takes great delight in casting him as a Klaus Schwab ringer, he thinks it’s hilarious.
Personally I believe it to be grotesque. These are undoubtedly febrile times but if there is one person in the world I would take an exception to being likened to it would be the murderous, cadaverous, plug ugly Schwab.
I wonder how Tousi would feel being likened to say one of Saddam Hussein’s sons or Muhammed Gadaafi?
Downright uncalled for, nasty and unpleasant. He should be ashamed of himself.
I’ve asked for an apology. We’ll see.
As I am a hopeless technophobe I wonder if anyone could help?
How do I send a message to a fellow member? I find the main site difficult to navigate so no longer go there.
Thank you.
Go the DS home page, forum, messages, then you can start a new conversation using the menu icon on the left, and choose recipients – your name came up when I started typing. I have sent you a message via that route – not sure what notifications people get of whether they would have to expressly look.
Thanks Tof. I do all my posting via my mobile because I find this little bit manageable. I will have a look now and try to send a reply.
Much appreciated.
Hopefully you will have received my messaged reply. Thank you once again for your help.
Yes I did, but I had to go and look for it – I didn’t get any email alert. I can’t see anywhere that you can configure that. You can mute email notifications for a conversation, which implies that they are turned on by default. I will email DS and ask them.
Thanks for that update. As I rarely go to the main site I would and have easily fallen victim to this lapse.
One kind member messaged me months ago but I didn’t see it until four weeks later.
Toby kindly answered my email – there’s no way to get notifications so I am afraid you’d need to check. I like the articles here but the features of Reddit are much better in terms of usability. Different animal I guess.
Thank you very much for your efforts and the update.
It seems strange that if we click the bell icon here, on our posts, it ensures we get an email to tell us when there has been a response.
Oh well.
Long but excellent essay on what is really going on which may just red pill some more in society.
https://alilybit.substack.com/p/what-the-fuck-is-going-on
Wow!
The conclusion takes us where I know we are headed but the in-depth explanation of the route we will travel is spectacular although heart-breakingly depressing. A superb piece of work.
I don’t know where you find all these nuggets BB but many thanks.
PS. This is NOT ‘worth reading in full’ this is ‘MUST be read in full.’
The future is very, very bleak indeed.
I’m a very lucky lass to have contacts with some of the brilliant, wonderful folk who are spearheading the fight for our Freeborn Sovereign Rights from around the globe. Only seems fair to pass on the links I get.
It’s only bleak if we don’t resist. It’s going to be an incredibly rocky & turbulent ride, some if not many of us won’t survive it all, but it’s a price worth paying IMHO.
Wellcome to the new world! Is this one of those, told you so moments..?
Pakistan today, everywhere tomorrow…
https://www.biometricupdate.com/202208/pakistani-political-hecklers-threatened-with-blocked-biometric-id-bank-accounts
Pakistan’s Interior Minister has warned that supporters of recently-ousted Prime Minister Imran Khan and his Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) party whose behavior can be considered heckling or harassment will have their biometric identity cards blocked and therefore be unable to operate their bank accounts, reports The Narion.
Stripe is one of these interlopers & needs to be called out as such.
https://capx.co/blairs-proposal-to-scrap-gcses-is-wrong-wrong-wrong/
“instead of studying English, Maths, Science, as well as languages, the humanities, sport, music, and other subjects available at GCSE, Bliar favours children being taught the’4Cs’: critical thinking, creativity, communication and collaborative problem-solving”
So Bliar wants to move away from what he used to call “education, education, education,” and which we know translated to “indoctrination, indoctrination, indoctrination” to some new model which can best be described as – “indoctrination, indoctrination, indoctrination” –
Mark Two.
He’s a persistent and persistently evil Next Tuesday Warrior.
That bastard will even poison the soil when we return him to it!
Already being done Hux…. :'(
[Forwarded from Johnny Sausage]
8 3 22 —- HERE ARE THE RESULTS OF THE TEST OF GROUND LEVEL CONDENSED FOG and RAIN/MIST COLLECTED FROM 3a-5a MORNING OF JULY 5, 2022 AFTER 4 DAYS OF VERY DRY WEATHER WITH HEAVY CHEMTRAIL SPRAYING.
CENTRAL OREGON COAST
NOTE: These results are of only 2 hours of collection time, ½ pint of liquid)
3 ‘RUNS’ WERE DONE FOR DETECTION OF EACH METAL, ONLY THE FINAL – MAXIMUM LEVEL (Matrix Spike) IS POSTED HERE.
There should be 0 – zero of these chemicals in any ground level fog/ moisture or in any rain, except for Sulfate and that, only if a volcano is exploding nearby will this amount of sulfur be found.
THE BIG SHOCKER: THE TWO HIGHEST AMOUNTS OF CHEMICALS FOUND WERE: ALUMINUM and LITHIUM
Aluminum 3090.
Lithium 507.
Barium 67.8
Zinc 58.9
Copper 55.1
Cadmium 54.1
Lead 52.9
Silver 28.3
Sulfate 22.0
Silica 8.67
Mercury 1.06
APEX LABORATORIES
TIGARD, OR
FINAL RESULTS REPORTED ON AUGUST 2, 2022
(The Lithium is giving everybody gout, fibromyalgia & migraines…)
https://quillette.com/2022/08/20/the-unexpected-future/
Found this at Quillette. It starts…”We are entering an unanticipated reality – an era of slow population growth…and demographic decline.”
Blimey, these two (authors) have been kipping on the job…erm, sorry Working From Home for a touch too long.
Where have they been these last two years?
…”project a global population of between 8.8 and 9.0 billion by 2050.”
I suspect Billy Boy will be having words if this looks like being the case.
It must be a doddle writing these sorts of stories for a living – talk about away with the fairies.
Not content with the normalising of paedophilia, they now want to legalise sexual abuse of animals!
https://newspunch.com/decriminalize-sex-with-animals-zoophilia-pride-marchers-demand-lgbtqi-movement-add-a-z/
Will,
This substack by Steve Kirsch deserves your full appraisal.
BB
https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/the-uk-government-data-is-very-unreliable
Hmm…. A trial run for a Smart city?? Just to get Joe Gullible to accept it….
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-11106903/Government-announces-UKs-net-zero-smart-prison.html
Bad luck for the poor sods who need them… Some of whom won’t have had their stroke or coronary caused by the clot shot.
https://infodujour.fr/sante/59434-inquietante-penurie-de-medicaments-thrombolytiques
For the Tin Foil Hatters
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8mgtDb1Fb9U
https://youtu.be/wseAVK7l9hc
Within 5 years ordinary people will not have the right to fly.