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Government Planning an October ‘Firebreak’ if Hospital Admissions Remain at Current Level

by Toby Young
6 September 2021 9:55 PM

The Government has drawn up plans for an October ‘firebreak’ if hospitalisations continue at their current level and threaten to overload the NHS, a senior Government scientist has said. The odd thing about this statement is that at present hospitalisations are a fraction of what they were at the beginning of the year (see above). The i has more.

The member of the Government’s Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) said the UK is about to enter “an extended peak” of infections and hospitalisations, which are in danger of pushing the NHS beyond breaking point and could force the Government to re-introduce restrictions over the school half term period at the end of next month.

A full lockdown is unlikely and would be a last resort, but there are a range of measures the government could introduce.

“This is essentially the precautionary break that SAGE suggested last year,” said the SAGE source. “It would be sensible to have contingency plans, and if a lockdown is required, to time it so that it has minimal economic and societal impact.”

The Government scientist added that while Covid deaths are significantly higher than at the same point 12 months ago, they would have to rise fivefold to match those experienced in late October last year.

“We are going to be at a peak, albeit an extended peak, quite soon, so it’s not really the same situation as last year, when failure to reduce prevalence would have resulted in collapse of NHS and people dying in car parks,” he added.

“Hospitals might be overflowing before deaths reach the same level. Acting early will prevent this level.”

It is understood that the Government’s contingency plan for a ‘firebreak’ lockdown could lead to an extension of the half-term, from one week for most schools to two weeks from late October into early November.

Worth reading in full.

The fact that the Government is already drawing up plans for a lockdown in October, albeit a mini one, gives the lie to the argument that the reason we should bring in vaccine passports and immunise children is to avoid another lockdown.

Stop Press: Depressingly, the public have already resigned themselves to another bout of school closures. According to the latest Ipsos MORI poll, 45% think it’s likely the Government will close schools again versus 26% who think it’s unlikely.

Tags: FirebreakHospitalisationsOctober Lockdown

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106 Comments
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transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
1 year ago

Just in case anyone is interested, a small freedom-oriented political party will be engaging this evening at 7 on “X”:

Dear Member
Just a quick message to let you know that I will be on Resistance UK’s X Space, on Monday 18th March at 7pm to talk about the Freedom Alliance and the local and general elections. It would be great if you could join in the conversation. Find us at https://twitter.com/i/spaces/1djGXNZoypzxZ
Please share the link with anyone else you know on X (formerly known as Twitter) or anyone you know who is currently politically homeless. Let’s get some great discussions going!
My account and that of the Freedom Alliance is listed below if you are not already following us. We will follow you back. It would be really helpful if you could retweet our posts so more people can find out about us, too.
Looking forward to talking to you tomorrow.
For freedom!
Catherine
Leader of Freedom Alliance

25
0
DHJ
DHJ
1 year ago

“Criminal gangs make £8.2 million a day keeping asylum seekers in hotels”

Reframed.

42
-1
stewart
stewart
1 year ago

Putin is going to be in power for nearly 30 years and Stalin was in power for nearly 30 years, so Putin has become Stalin.

Thanks Telegraph for that insightful and profound piece of analysis. We’d be lost without you.

69
-6
Jon Garvey
Jon Garvey
1 year ago
Reply to  stewart

The late Queen Elizabeth must have been double-plus Stalin.

49
-1
Heretic
Heretic
1 year ago
Reply to  stewart

It seems they were just pointing out the Tiny Tatar’s desperate attempt to imitate his hero Stalin.

Last edited 1 year ago by Heretic
2
-9
Free Lemming
Free Lemming
1 year ago

“Why it’s Tony Blair’s fault if you can’t buy a house”

It’s a symptom of unchecked capitalism, which promotes personal wealth through property purchase over compassion. i.e. a system that breeds greed. I don’t know what the actual number is, but, amongst the people I know, about one in four have at least one property that is being used to generate income. The private rental market has created a price-fixing monopoly that has artificially inflated house prices and rent, and suffocated the aspirations of an entire generation. We don’t talk about this though – or if we do, we angrily refute the point – because, well, many people have bought a second property for exactly that reason. And who wants to think of themselves as selfish? Each property ‘pension’, ‘nest egg’, whatever you want to call it, is one less home for someone else. But who cares about that right? As long as I’m alright Jack.

27
-15
prod_squadron
prod_squadron
1 year ago
Reply to  Free Lemming

Central banks messed around with interest rates, lowering them to near zero. People couldn’t earn interest anymore. Interest would have been their income. The dot com bubble and the 2008 financial crisis frightened people out of the stock market. Dividends would have been their income. Property looked like the safest option.

33
0
DHJ
DHJ
1 year ago
Reply to  prod_squadron

In the late 1990’s and early 2000’s, interest rates were far from zero but banks were offering exceptionally large mortgages. This allowed people to overbid for properties that they were desperate to buy which forced the housing prices up. Properties were not worth the prices being paid for them.

As with furlough, this “credit” was marketed almost like it was free money and not the debt that it is.

11
-2
DHJ
DHJ
1 year ago
Reply to  DHJ

Anyone buying or selling property at the time knew properties were not worth what they were selling for as did anyone who watched Property Ladder, Location, Location, Location or Grand Designs.

8
-1
Free Lemming
Free Lemming
1 year ago
Reply to  prod_squadron

Maybe the safest option for those that have already acquired a certain amount of wealth, yes. Safe and moral are two different things however. Using personal wealth to increase personal wealth, by directly further impoverishing the less wealthy, isn’t something I’ll be considering.

6
-5
prod_squadron
prod_squadron
1 year ago
Reply to  Free Lemming

Yes but then they’d be the ones who would be impoverished if they self-abnegated in order to prevent others from being impoverished. If you give away your wealth to someone, do they immediately have to give it away to someone else in a game of hot potato, in case they are accused of being safe but immoral?

9
0
soundofreason
soundofreason
1 year ago
Reply to  Free Lemming

Oh those evil rentiers.

I know, let’s make it illegal to privately own and rent out a property. Only the state may own properties for rent. That will, no doubt, make it far cheaper and easier for those who can’t afford buying to rent somewhere to live. The state will enforce the minimal standard of rental property on itself, of course and ensure there’s a supply.

If you inherit a house and don’t intend to live in it, you have to sell it to the state. Properties left empty will be requisitioned by the state.

We already charge capital gains tax on ‘second homes’, perhaps it should be at a flat rate of 90%? That should deter the evil property speculators.

Sheesh.

25
-1
DS99
DS99
1 year ago
Reply to  Free Lemming

My vague memory here is that back in the 1980’s and 1990s we used to talk about 2.5 or 3 x our income for a mortgage. I think some adjustment in mortgage lending rates meant that calculation was thrown out of the window and people could borrow way beyond their means. After that, property went sky high. But at the same time, the population has expanded and far more people live alone. It’s a whole cluster of things here FL – not just greedy capitalists.

I’m not personally a fan of owning a second property, mainly because I don’t like the idea of it or the maintenance.

Last edited 1 year ago by DS99
6
0
huxleypiggles
huxleypiggles
1 year ago
Reply to  DS99

“I think some adjustment in mortgage lending rates meant that calculation was thrown out of the window and people could borrow way beyond their means.”

Sensible lending multiples were abounded and the mortgage industry adopted a new system:

Liar Loans.

Basically the buyer could declare a salary / wage of whatever they needed, the lenders accepted the figure and Bob’s your uncle. This caused much house inflation until the bubble burst and we saw the likes of Northern Rock go boobies up. Northern Rock led the way in offering mortgages at 120 – 130 % of loan to value (LTV), they really let rip. Other lenders followed suit but with not quite the same care free abandon.

I was in the industry throughout this madness. Gordon Brown presiding.

8
0
soundofreason
soundofreason
1 year ago
Reply to  DS99

Every home that someone pays rent on is owned by someone (or something) else. Councils rarely directly own properties but use arms-length housing associations. If property ownership for profit is a Bad Thing then it just leaves the state to provide homes for all these people – and I have grave doubts about the competence of government at any level to manage this efficiently.

7
-1
Dinger64
Dinger64
1 year ago

“We’re complacent about the grave threat Putin presents”

The real threat is a lot closer to home!
Rochdale, Bradford etc

Last edited 1 year ago by Dinger64
32
-1
huxleypiggles
huxleypiggles
1 year ago
Reply to  Dinger64

Too right Dinger.

12
0
Dinger64
Dinger64
1 year ago

“Macron says Western ground operations in Ukraine ‘is possible”

Ahrrr bless, he’s trying to look strong, too late, f@#k off twat!

20
-1
Dinger64
Dinger64
1 year ago

“Stunning claims of whistleblower need to go viral”

White fibrous substances!
Thank all the gods and a critical mind , I didn’t succumb to the bullying bullshyte!

15
-1
huxleypiggles
huxleypiggles
1 year ago
Reply to  Dinger64

Despite the headline I believe John O’Looney was the first funeral director to drop the bombshell about the calamari clots.

19
0
Dinger64
Dinger64
1 year ago

“Scotland’s new walk-in hate crime reporting centres”

Is there a walk in.. burglary, rape, murder, vandalism crime centre?
I seem to remember those from long ago, I think they called them ‘police stations’

I Could be wrong!

43
0
WyrdWoman
WyrdWoman
1 year ago

HART flags the Cape Byron Declaration to read and sign.

https://hartuk.substack.com/p/the-cape-byron-lighthouse-declaration

4
0
Dinger64
Dinger64
1 year ago

“Can old-fashioned tariffs slam on brakes of Chinese electric cars?”

You don’t need tariffs, if anyone even considers buying a ‘Chinese electric car’ they must be brain dead! They used to call it jap crap, now its China crap!
Import them,stock them, selling them is a different matter!

8
-2
WyrdWoman
WyrdWoman
1 year ago

Dr Mercola to make all his content freely available again, after having to restrict it for a few years due to the amount of hacking his site is subject to.

https://articles.mercola.com/sites/articles/archive/2024/03/18/mercola-articles-free-again.aspx

7
0
WyrdWoman
WyrdWoman
1 year ago

“Don’t use word ‘widows’, Lloyds chiefs tell staff at… Scottish Widows” 

Lloyds claims the word is ‘unnecessarily vivid’ and may ‘trigger unwarranted personal memories of trauma and upsetting situations’. 
It suggests using the term ‘separated’ instead.

When are they going to ban the word ‘death’ as being too ‘triggering’?

16
0
Dinger64
Dinger64
1 year ago

“Trudeau Government’s newly proposed online-speech law that could be used to punish hate crimes before they’ve been committed.”

I’ve seen that one, it stared Tom Cruise I believe!

15
0
JohnK
JohnK
1 year ago

I’m not advertising, but…. https://www.gbnews.com/news/gb-news-ofcom-presenters-complaint .

1
0
Heretic
Heretic
1 year ago

“Woke U.S. bosses tell cast to reshoot sex scenes in Jilly Cooper Rivals”

No one needs sex scenes or nudity in books or films— it’s just another type of porn = VOYEURISM. The Satanic corruption of humanity.

5
-3
transmissionofflame
transmissionofflame
1 year ago
Reply to  Heretic

I disagree with you about banning porn, but I agree with your point here, broadly speaking. Those scenes very rarely tell us anything we didn’t already know, advance the plot etc. I tend to look away from the screen when they appear.

5
0

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