Coronavirus cases across the U.K. have fallen by nearly 40% in a week, dipping below 30,000 for the first time in a fortnight. BBC News has more.
The UK recorded 29,173 new cases on Sunday – down from 48,161 logged a week earlier on 18 July.
The number of new infections by date reported has fallen for five days in a row for the first time since February.
It is also the first time since the start of the pandemic that a sustained drop in cases has not coincided with a national lockdown.
“The data at present is looking good for at least the summer,” said Prof Paul Hunter from the University of East Anglia.
“Today’s figures do not of course include any impact of last Monday’s end of restrictions. It will not be until about next Friday before the data includes the impact of this change.”
Worth reading in full.
Is it too early to start naming and shaming the doomsters and gloomsters who predicted ‘Freedom Day’ would lead to a surge in cases? Prof Hunter says today’s figures don’t include the impact of the unlocking, but why? After all, the average incubation period for COVID-19 is five days, which means that if ‘Freedom Day’ was going to cause a spike we would be beginning to see it by now, six days after July 19th.
Nevertheless, prudence dictates it’s a little early to start gloating.
Stop Press: Experts said last night said the U.K. may have passed the peak of the third wave. MailOnline has more.
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It’s not nice to gloat, can’t wait!
I bet Sage/advisers/consultants/collaborators and sheep ARE disappointed!!!
“it’s because masks, vaccines, and sensible government policies have worked”
Yes, very effective indeed
Sweden didn’t seem to bother with this ‘wave’
It’s as if the latest variant met a wall of natural immunity and only the already very ill were susceptable, is that what they call endemic
(I suspect the vaccine had rock all to do with it)
To be slightly fair, Sunday and Monday generally have lower numbers, presumably a weekend effect …. but good nevertheless.
It used to be the case that numbers go down over the weekend but this stopped some weeks ago.
… which is why you compare today with 7 days ago – as in the article – a fall of 19,000 for the same weekend day.
What! It’s directly linked to the number of people being tested, the cycle times and the random element of the subject having any sort of historical viral protein when tested.
The numbers mean nothing.
You are right, but the numbers nean a lot to the government which uses the numbers to spread fear and obedience.
False positive tests fall in number
and yet on a small shopping expedition today the majority of the zombies were still fully masked – including an outdoor garden centre ffs.
I think I’m going to have to get a voodoo headdress or something to mock the afflicted although they’re probably too stupid to understand.
MOH reports today, after a quick shop in the local Aldi, that it’s mostly the men who’ve remained masked, where the women haven’t.
On Thursday, in Asda, about a third of people weren’t wearing masks, and most of the staff were without.
At a local riverside pub on Monday, I was pleased to see just one mask and everyone else without.
It’s the other way round in my local Tesco – quite a few unmasked men but my missus was the only unmasked woman.
I still fear this winter is going to be grim. We will of course continue socialising old normal come what may.
That’s the thing that puzzles me the most- people outside at garden centres walking around with masks. What on earth do they think they are doing? Are they really that gullible? There’s definitely a lot of pressure still on people at a sub-conscious level- when we were in the garden centre my wife reached for her mask, (outside), because everyone else had one and we were getting the odd glance. I implored her to be bold, saying that we have to do this or we will lose what freedom we have left. She left it in her pocket but the fact that it was there says a lot.
“Are they really that gullible?”
I’m afraid so.
Although I, like others, get totally frustrated and come out with ‘Stupidity!’ – it isn’t as simple as that. Recent example :
Good friends. Brilliant and caring with children – take 4 grandchildren on holiday to a cottage in a remote location. Youngest comes down with mild illness and tests positive. No-one else has symptoms or has a test ‘infection’, having been cooped up together for hours in a car on the journey. They isolate – and get all to wear masks indoors. They agonize about whether to report it.
Now – at one level this is pretty ‘stupid’, I’m sad to say. But ‘stupid’ doesn’t cut it as an explanation. This is is a terrifying level of brainwashing, a takeover reminiscent of ‘Night of the Living Dead’.
You might as well wear a fishing net over your head for all the good a mask can do.
Last week I passed a woman driving alone in the countryside with a mask on. A brilliantly sunny day too.
Unfortunately, this means it’ll at least take until next Friday before the usual suspect will consider to stop claiming that we’ve been sitting on a hidden tidal wave of COVID solely held back by the enforcment of table service in pubs and the fact that people had to mask their faces to go to the loo. In the meantime, they’ll also publish all kinds of lies and shifty studies trying to fool the gullible into believing that case numbers aren’t really falling.
They did this after the introduction of the winter lockdown while they were still hoping for some of the more lucrative measures which were actually introduced in Germany (for instance), like “mandating FFP2 masks”.
Are the figures possibly reflecting an impact of a drop off in vaccination?
Cor..wouldn’t it be funny if C-19 was really just figment of someones imagination..
It isn’t, but it has been blown out of all proportion.
It’s just influenza with a snappier name.
Surely this is a sign that track and trace is working.
PS I bet that got a few of you going, but it won’t be long before that is used as the justification
Tony Heller: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Gr9bmZ-yMjA
Blue pill – or Red?
Watch this video, and decide where you’d prefer to be, Australia or America…
…Or here…
Presumably the Australian lady was escorted off to the nearest looney bin straight after the recording finished. And hopefully the key has gone missing forever.
“the first time since the start of the pandemic that a sustained drop in cases has not coincided with a national lockdown”
How has TY allowed that one to slip through? As any fule kno, drops in “cases” slightly preceded each UK lockdown.
True, but ‘slightly’ means very few days, so, if this trend continues, the usual suspects won’t be able to claim “it was lockdown that dun it”.
And with any luck, in the future everyone will wake up to the idea that a ginormous dam was put in place aka lockdowns, masks, jabs and a lack of common sense that caused humanity one hell of an almost biblical flood. And we’ll be good boys and girls and won’t do it again!…… Yeah, I know…. we will!
But they are likely to claim that it was the pingdemic wot dun it.
That was from the BBC. They would say that wouldn’t they?
What goes up must come down, and with covid just as quickly. Will the government learn from this that there is no need for panic and restrictions if/when there is another surge in “cases” possibly when universities start up again in September?
Sadly no prizes for guessing that the answer will be no, never, not a chance.
Universities start up?
Muzzled, perforated, brain-washed muppets in their little bubbles, watching lectures on zoom while fascist authorities check their quacksine status.
Uniperversities.
Are these cases (i.e. where someone is actually unwell) or positive test results?
Time for Kappa or Lamda then I guess!
We’ve had lambda, came in early, didn’t kill anybody’s granny, judged a failure, went again.
I just can’t understand an entire BBC article about cases falling without even mentioning the fact that over the last 10 days we’ve had schools closing, with the inevitable removal of all those positive (but largely asymptomatic) children from the covid count.
In yesterday’s article they even spelt it out without actually getting there. For the whole of last week there were 48,000 fewer cases recorded compared with the week of the 11th-17th. It was only on Tuesday (I think) that we had the story about how about a million schoolchildren had missed school in the week of 12th-16th, and 47,200 were confirmed as covid positive. Ie, regular school testing will have accounted for about 7,000 cases a day (on average). Most child infections are asymptomatic, so the majority of these infections won’t be tested now that regular testing has stopped.
The last of the schools finished term on Thurs. The end of term effect should now be over, so we’ll see how the trend works out in next week’s numbers.
It might be that this covid wave is on the way out. I really hope it is. But I just can’t see how you can have a story about lower cases without mentioning the massively lower <18 case numbers that will have suddenly happened.
“this covid wave”
What f.ing ‘wave’. Is it the one brainless idiots dream up? Also what’s described isn’t ‘Covid’ – it’s PCR positives – not even SARS infections.
… and we’re still having to point out this sort of crassness after eighteen months!!!
You’re absolutely right. But the problem is, if you mention this blatantly obvious fact, then you’ve essentially admitted that it’s mostly a casedemic.
… which is the truth.
and you have to factor the school children who were faking positive tests using Ribena
If the MSM points to a connection with schools closing, they will likely just say that cases have dropped because children aren’t mingling with each other as much.
And Covid will never be ‘on the way out’ because it’s not about Covid anymore, it’s about the imposition of a medicalised digital ID control grid.
It’s silly monitoring daily data. Just playing the same game as government – screwing around with meaningless data.
It must peak at some point rickH, sooner is better, if govt runs out of road, which they are doing.
Quite so. I’m sure we all share much of Rick’s cynicism about what is meant by ‘cases’, but this is the main metric used as an indicator of viral activity, and it is the trend that is of specific interest, not the strict daily numbers nor their precise meaning.
Look at it this way; I bet the Government were panicking like hell last Monday when they couldn’t avoid letting “Freedom Day” go ahead while ‘cases’ were apparently surging. Undoubtedly Sage shysters were whispering “we told you so” in various ears, while the idiot Ferguson was blithely talking about “200,000 cases per day”. So, if this trend is sustained (which I personally believe it will), especially post (so-called) “Freedom Day”, then they will all look bloody stupid – as well as running out of justification for carrying on with what they are now doing.
Then we can all have a damn good gloat!
” this is the main metric used as an indicator of viral activity”
… whereas it’s actually a dodgy measure of RNA fragments (often found by ludicrous Ct levels) – which may have some relationship to infectious disease.
A bit like throwing darts at a board blindfolded and calling every one that sticks in a double top.
Pick any virus, and you’d get an epidemic this way.
Don’t worry – they’ll build a new road.
What ‘must peak’?? – Is the question. You sound as if you’ve swallowed a whole imaginary ‘wave’.
Yep, more positive tests prompted as “cases”. Note the the CDC wants to dump the RT-PCR assay as it doesn’t seem to be able to distinguish between CV-19 and the seasonal flu.
For the record, the zoe app, which is independent of government/nhs/ons/phe tests, i.e. no pcr, ltf etc. Zoe Also picked out this change ever so subtle, but peaking in July 18. it works on volunteers, symptom reports, but even that was sensitive to detect the change!
Zoe cases are based on user’s reports of being tested – so not independent of pcr/lfs etc. In any case they have changed their basis of estimating cases so frequently with such dramatic effects on the results I have lost faith.
Indeed. It’s not ‘hard’ data.
“Is it too early to start naming and shaming the doomsters and gloomsters who predicted ‘Freedom Day’ would lead to a surge in cases? “
I’ll make a start..
Michie
Ferguson
Devi does Davos
That guy who’s always on Radio 4
Some random person appearing on the BBC news, but apparently went to university once
( could be a cab driver? )
Somebody on Twitter with a mask profile pic, a blue heart and pronouns
Fat bird who works at the chipie, who’s still convinced she’s about to die
If it were that simple, we’d be done with it already.
Cue another shifting of the goalposts. What do you think it will be? Massive increase in testing? Announce a new scariant? Lockdown to prepare for the return of students to university? Isle of Wight on the amber list? Smallpox is on its way?
All of those! I’m seriously considering removing myself from the internet, that’s how bad it’s getting.
Don’t worry I think you may have that done for you when the big ‘cyberattack’ from ‘China’ means that the government has to impose strict controls on the net to prevent ‘online harms.’
So on the basis of behaviour change being necessary to reduce cases, it would appear that removing your mask; going to the pub, shopping, meeting friends and going to a party is how we get over the virus.
I wonder when the Lunatics in Government and Doomsters of SAGE will be holding a Briefing to update their Guidance.
It’s like the best way to limit damage to the elderly from a virus and limit damage to the young from jabs is to make sure “the young” (sub 50s and healthy) get a whiff of COVID.
You think its coincidental the children have broken up from school, so they are not being forced to have their thrice weekly keep the terror up tests? So when they go back and this Government continues with its insanity the “cases” hey presto will go up again just in time for a nice quiet winter of Lockdown so Johnson can put his feet up and write another book
I have had some thoughts on this and why this may have occurred, I am not a medic but I do know a thing or two about maths, computing and data science… https://hantsind.com/what-does-the-internet-tell-us-about-covid-case-numbers/
Does anyone think there’ll be a time when all the socalled experts disappear back under their rocks? How I long for those days!
nvCJD model’s total failure should have got Fergusson sacked to live on the streets.
It’s unbelievable that this charlatan excel soothsayer is PAID to knock out Covid horoscopes that get seen by anyone with any say over policy.
That was what confirmed it was a scamdemic, the government went out of their way to deliberately avoid talking to any other experts, as did the media.
The man is utterly reprehensible without any moral compass.
Try this one. Dr Andrew Kaufman on Bitchute July 16th. The Delta Variant Hoax Exposed.
Definitely worth watching to the end where you realise. There is no virus. Enjoy.
Of course, detected infections are going down as schools progressively close and their testing regimes come to an end. We probably test more and waste more of our money doing it than other countries, that is why our infection rate appears higher than most other places. Let’s stop using that useless statistic and use hospital and death data based on Covid-19 being the primary cause, which is the only meaningful data there is, but hey it’s the data we don’t get. If we did, we would see the less harmful impact this virus causes and have a more realistic idea of the danger. As other people say, then these so-called experts can stop their data distorting and propaganda modellers can all crawl back under the rocks where they belong.
I agree we should only be using data from hospital admission and deaths. So many flaws occur because our actions are determined by infection rates that we’ve probably harmed more people than we’ve saved. The recent fall in the infection rate is due to Farrs Law which shows that infections don’t keep increasing as sage claimed but reaches a peak before declining. In fact a couple of weeks ago someone on here predicted this fall, at the time I said to my wife this prediction was probably correct but vaccination was messing up any precise time when we would peak.I would recommend everyone look up Farrs Law it was discovered 180 years ago by William Farr best friend of Florence Nightingale and something every epidemiologist would know about. The question people should ask themselves is why did MSM report that we could expect 100-200,000 infections due to freedom day ?
And they’re not ”cases” anyway, are they? Why keep using this manipulative word which has just been parroted over and over to terrify even more the terminally terrified – because they visualise bodies in the streets and overwhelmed hospitals?
Call them what they are – positive (usually false) test results from healthy people. (Or from people who’d have been in hospital anyway.)
It wasn’t a ”wave” – it was obsessive testing.
It’s 20 days since ‘cases’ were lower than they were yesterday.