Recent events in Ireland, when an Algerian man with Irish citizenship stabbed several people including two children which led to riots, suggest that there may be concern in some sections of Irish society at the current levels of immigration. But the Irish are lucky. Their Government has already told them how many migrants they, as signatories to the UN Compact on Safe and Orderly Migration, expect to import over the next 17 years.
In 2019, the Irish Government published a national planning strategy called ‘Project Ireland 2040‘. The document states:
The aim of Project Ireland 2040 is to construct an improved Ireland for all of us. By 2040, there will be approximately one million additional people living here in Ireland. This population growth will require hundreds of thousands of new jobs, new homes, heightened cultural and social amenities, enhanced regional connectivity and improved environmental sustainability. Project Ireland 2040 sets out to deliver these.
Here are some of the main objectives of this plan:
- Guide the future development of Ireland, taking into account a projected one million increase in our population, the need to create 660,000 additional jobs to achieve full employment and a need for 550,000 more homes by 2040;
- Of the one million extra people:
- 25% is planned for Dublin, recognised as our key international and global city of scale and principal economic driver,
- 25% across the other four cities combined (Cork, Limerick, Galway and Waterford), enabling all four to grow their population and jobs by 50-60%, and become cities of greater scale, i.e., growing by twice as much as they did over the previous 25 years to 2016, and
- with the remaining 50% of growth to occur in key regional centres, towns, villages and rural areas, to be determined in the forthcoming regional plans – Regional Spatial and Economic Strategies (RSESs)
Some interesting issues arise with this plan. Firstly, most governments can barely plan beyond next week, so how could the Irish Government in 2019 plan for more than 20 years ahead? There are general elections in Ireland every five years and presidential elections every seven years. So what would be the point of one Government or one President producing a 20-year plan? This would only make sense if the main political parties and the presidential candidates were almost indistinguishable from each other and if they were all pursuing almost exactly the same polices. This would make Irish elections largely meaningless as whichever party or presidential candidate won would follow the same policies. A cynic might suggest we have a similar situation developing in Britain.
But the main problem with Plan 2040 is the expected increase in population of about one million people. The Irish birth rate is around 1.9 children per woman, down from four children per woman in the 1960s and 1970s. The U.K. is at 1.8. But replacement level is 2.1 children per woman. The indigenous Irish population is actually declining.
So, where are the extra one million people going to come from? Clearly – as the plan says nothing about encouraging new parenthood – this population increase can only be achieved through immigration from Africa, Asia and the Middle East. That’s 50,000 a year for 20 years – about 1,000 a week.
The ‘Project Ireland 2040’ also brings up another possibly interesting issue. The Irish population is around five million. Of these five million, around 80 percent – four million – are indigenous Irish. Even if the indigenous population remains stable, then, of the six million people who (the Irish Government predicts) will be living in Ireland by 2040, around two million – one in three ‘Irish’ – will be an immigrant, mostly from Africa, the Middle East and Asia. However, were the indigenous population to decline because of the falling birth rate and a long history of native Irish emigrating to the U.K. and other English-speaking countries in search of new opportunities, then by 2040 more than one in three ‘Irish’ would be foreign born.
Ludicrously, ‘Project Ireland 2040’ has nice pictures of rolling Irish countryside and happy white Irish families.

Given the likely future make-up of the Irish population and the predicted growth of Irish cities, rather different images of the future Ireland might be more suitable. I haven’t crunched the numbers. But I’m sure someone much smarter than myself can take Ireland’s current rate of immigration, the native Irish birth rates, the rates of Irish emigration and the birth rates of the immigrant communities and work out the date by which the Irish elites would have ended up making the native Irish a minority in their own country. My personal feeling is that this fateful date for Ireland will be around 2060 – in just 37 years time.
Are the Irish aware that this is the future their political class has planned for them? I doubt it.
David Craig is the author of There is No Climate Crisis, available as an e-book or paperback from Amazon.
Stop Press: Watch Irish politicians in Parliament bemoaning the terribly white condition of their country and its leaders.
To join in with the discussion please make a donation to The Daily Sceptic.
Profanity and abuse will be removed and may lead to a permanent ban.
If immigration carries on at its current rate there will be no Irish in Ireland by 2060 – the islamists will see to that.
Just a guess, but I am assuming the Irish have continued to vote for establishment parties just as the British do too. Population replacement is an establishment agenda. It is so plain to see with your own eyes what is happening.
Anyone who votes for an establishment party is an accomplice to this evil.
Population replacement is an establishment agenda.
Population exchange is something that’s happening in the real world, where the future of every identifiable subgroup of some species still works along the very simple principle that its members either reproduce enough to avoid dying out or – well – die out. The idea that it’s sufficient to nail a poster which has Immigration Law!!1 written on it to a post at the border in order to keep out loads of young and enterprising people living in relatively miserable circumstances while an ever diminuishing number of OAPs live in wealth on the other side until finally, the last of them dies without turning the lights out and the place thus turns into an empty open air museum of its former occupiers does not fly.
The choices are 1) accept this and try to make the best of it and 2) ditch the 1960s ideal of ‘free love’ thanks to contraceptives. There is no third choice, all wailing and gnashing of teeth happening outside the active periods of ‘free love’ notwithstanding. Nietzsche would have called the insistence on waiting for someone to square this circle the typical anti-life agenda of decadents, by the way.
Unlike yourself I really can’t know what Nietzsche would think. Was there mass Islamic and black immigration in Germany in his day too?
But if we are to believe the population replacement cult these young and enterprising people, don’t get old like western people, they don’t get fat and lazy; they don’t want state benefits, they work harder than the indigenous people, they bring huge amounts of diversity that enriches us all, they are more law abiding and they are more loyal to their host country than the native white British.
Come off it, pull the other one! If Japan and Korea can sensibly manage an ageing population without recourse to population replacement so can western countries.
This apparently pre-recorded message has no discernible relation of my text.
Apparently there isn’t a huge influx of immigrants into Japan——-They adjust the tax code to encourage marriage and higher birthrates. ——There is more than one way to skin a cat apparently. (Not my cat ofcourse, someone elses cat)
Alistair Darling corbled age 70.
I hope he was up to date with his boosters or it could have been worse.
Are you sure he was 70?, I ask the question, as having failed at a job that needed some form of numeracy, (along with his predecessor) how can we be sure of his age?
Good question. It was el-Beeb claiming he was 70 so definitely open to interpretation.
According to GBN he was 70, and they mentioned that he was the last Labour chancellor, and that he served during the bank crisis of 2008.
It may take a bit longer to get that extra one million than they think:
‘Very little is known by the wider population about Limerick rain but it is one of the meteorological wonders of the world.
Sure, typhoons, hurricanes and tsunamis grab the headlines for their dramatic and destructive impact – huge physical events that rip through cities in front of your eyes.
Limerick rain, by contrast, causes its destruction over a longer period and in a much more insidious, parasitic manner. In Limerick, they don’t have dry spells, instead they say ‘the rain is waiting’.
Limerick rain is unique in that, on average, it falls for up to 378 days per year.
Not only that, but it can defy physics and pass through barriers. It’s not uncommon, for example, to be lying in bed in Annacotty and the rain mysteriously begins cascading from the ceiling.
In fact, Limerick is the only place in the world where it is known to rain regularly indoors.’
Surviving Ireland, Colm Tobin 2015
Reminds me of the writing and Irish wit of Flann O’Brien. Also slightly Spike or, as he preferred to be called, sprightly Spike…
“This would only make sense if the main political parties and the presidential candidates were almost indistinguishable from each other and if they were all pursuing almost exactly the same polices. This would make Irish elections largely meaningless as whichever party or presidential candidate won would follow the same policies. A cynic might suggest we have a similar situation developing in Britain.”
Bingo!
And where, pray tell, do these unanimous solutions to our problems in the Western world all stem from?
Hint: it begins with W and ends in F.
What Evil Feckers
People are waking up to this and they are mad as hell. It is war.
Oh! I guessed WTF?
“This would only make sense if the main political parties and the presidential candidates were almost indistinguishable from each other”
You just answered your own question!
https://twitter.com/JustLuai/status/1729878779483640067
This guy is bang on the money
Yeah he’s been visiting Israel hasn’t he? Top bloke.
It’s only a matter of time before white people are in a minority in every country outside Russia and certain other countries in Eastern Europe, and possibly Turkey
tof, I have sent you a PM, I think. Could you check your DS inbox?
I’ve replied. Quite remarkable that someone has taken the trouble to downvote that comment. Standards are dropping!
I have at least one troll following me around DS every day and sometimes two.
I am a Victim!
So much for white privilege!
These new hate speech laws in Ireland, man…Completely draconian!
”DUBLIN — Ireland’s Prime Minister Leo Varadkar announced that under the nation’s new hate speech laws, asking an immigrant to stop stabbing you will now be considered a hate crime.
“We will not tolerate racist slurs such as, ‘Please, stop stabbing me, I’m dying’. That sort of hate has no home here in Ireland,” said Varadkar. “The vile, xenophobic backlash against people stabbing people ends today.”
According to sources, the new hate speech law will also require those being stabbed to keep their eyes closed so as not to develop any sort of prejudice against the attacker. In addition to outlawing whining about being stabbed, the law will also apply to protesting against someone stabbing children. “If a person’s culture dictates that they need to stab children from Irish culture, who are we to say which culture is right?” said Varadkar. “Asking people to assimilate into a non-stabbing culture is xenophobia at its absolute worst.”
https://babylonbee.com/news/ireland-declares-asking-an-immigrant-to-stop-stabbing-you-a-hate-crime
Brilliant.
That still from the Twitter link at the end of the article:
While it’s true that the Irish have known a fair share of oppression,…
You admit it was a fair share then?
And have they asked the Pope?
The Pope says the Irish are guilty of potato privilege and this is a hate crime. Anybody convicted will be excommunicated from the Catholic Church and must say 100 Hail Mary’s every day for life.
How come Leo Vradkar or however you spell his Borg name is still Tosser or Teasack or however you spell the wonderful Irish name for PM? (No disrespect to good solid Irish souls) Hasn’t he been in power for ever? I can’t even remember who his predecessor was. And how come they keep voting in these traitors who couldn’t care less for the Irish people? Are we all destined to be strangers in our own lands?
And we are hardly different here…Unfortunately!
Varadkar has been Taoiseach for four of the last six years. Micheál Martin was Taoiseach for two years, from 2020 to 2022, not that anyone, including yourself, noticed.
According to their own words these Irish politicians dislike their own country and people. Yet the Irish will still vote for them (perhaps the remaining Catholics among them should note 2.Tim.iii.1-5; particularly ‘without natural affection’).
The one thing the Chinese have in their favour is that their leadership doesn’t hate them. And the CCP has humbled the God of the religion of peace.
Would these Irish politicians have the temerity and the distain to describe the People’s Republic of China as being too ‘monochromatic’ (shall we put it diplomatically)?
The accepted wisdom of the elite is that a stagnant population equals economic decline. Yet these are the same people peddling de-growth policies. When I studied Regional and Urban economics in the 90’s we had a data investigation of Mumbai (then Bombay), and Malmo. The general view of all of us unspoken was that Malmo was more economically viable because it had a controlled and manageable population. The lecturer (who has probably been cancelled by now though he might have kept his mouth shut to get his Prof ship, said Bombay is chronically over-populated that’s why it has such a Dickensian labour market. He then said The homogeneity of Sweden is the reason for the West’s successful economies, but as we age there will be calls to invite more immigrants, in fact there already are we should restrict population size in favour of a small, productive nation state. Otherwise our welfare states are doomed. Anyone who has studied labour market economics even with wage floors know this but the arrogant clique who govern everywhere are both lacking in genuine intellect and don’t have to live forever in Thamesmead, Kilbarack or Govanhill.
Ah the good old days of reason and logic. I remember doing A level economics in the 70s and we plotted UK population and extrapolated into the future to guess what it meant. We had a low, medium and high growth rate and it was all agreed the low growth rate held the best prospects. Then along came the new world order whose mission it is to destroy the nation state by flooding the nations that matter with immigrants.
Prominent members of the German Greens are making roughly the same statements about ‘dull’ Germany changing for the better¹ through mass immigration of non-Germans. This – again – strongly suggests a centrally coordinated PR campaign.
¹ Let’s face it, shopping for groceries every day and nothing ever happens is incredibly dull. It’s much more exciting when you can never know if you’ll come back from the supermarket alive again.
As written quite some times in the past already: The root cause of the problem is shrinking native populations in fertile and wealthy countries. This will necessarily attract soldiers of fortune from poorer regions of the world. Our establishment elites only believe they’re in control of this, while it’s in fact happening with or without their consent due to the circumstances.
Has there, since 1949, ever been any real difference between Fine Gael and Fianna Fail? They were the Uniparty long before the term was invented.
I’m going to be controversial here: Islamicisation is the only hope for the Irish because Islamicisation has historically been about conversion rather than replacement.
The Muslim populations of Indonesia, Malaysia, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Turkey, Iran, Somalia, Morocco and, yes, Palestine are not ethnically Arab.
In an Islamicised Ireland native women would have the same “breeder, cook and cleaner” status as the invaders and would be likely to have the same birthrates, so the sooner it happens, the better. Muslim states are not keen on mass immigration.: see the recent Pakistani expulsion of Afghans.
That is controversial and food for thought.
Years ago listening to an In Our Time with Melvin Bragg on Islam and its success at spreading – it was pointed out that the muslim invaders offered their newly conquered peoples tax advantages if they converted or left them to pay (double) taxation and keep their own religion if they preferred. It is always about money.
Muslimisation as a goal to aim for? Utterly depraved madness.
The religion of peace? Not a religion I want any connection with.
If that is what the people of Ireland want then it should be put to a referendum explaining exactly what their plan is.
In an Islamicised Ireland native women would have the same “breeder, cook and cleaner” status as the invaders and would be likely to have the same birthrates, so the sooner it happens, the better.
We used to think much more highly of people looking after the children and the house while the men where working in the fields (original situation) as they’re doing absolutely essential work. Coincidentally, birth rates where much higher before it was decreed that the only worthwhile occupation of anyone’s time is one which makes money for other people. While islamicisation would certainly cure americanisation as side effect, it’s not something worth striving for just because of this.
History is a curious thing. It usually catches everyone out. History can turn in a few months and not the way expected. No one guessed in 1985 the fall of communism in Russia and Eastern Europe only 4 years later
It is very possible that western Europeans will deal with this problem, and the problematic politicians who are promoting and encouraging this. Be aware, political, media, academic, and police classes
As Russell Brand pointed out, Ireland is not an ex colonial power, you can’t just blame them for the past, call them racist and think that will work.
The Irish actually had left the EU and what an own goal they scored by having another vote, accepting the bribes, and returning. The EU is the UN’s star pupil and one of their main objectives is the destruction of National Identity. The idea is for countries in the EU to all just become regions rather than nations, and for immigration to be a free for all and borders wide open. The UK is heading in the same direction despite us having supposed to have left the EU. ——-As that old song pointed out —“There may be trouble ahead”————–Very big trouble. Anyone wanting to remain a nation though is just name called as a “racist”. The tactic of the progressive left is always to name call.
Spot on.
Cheers. ———You realise as well what is going on.
Those who do not believe in birth control and abortion will tend to have more children so that over time they will become a larger proportion of the population.
Rivers of blood come to mind reading that…We reap what we sow.