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Spies and Their Climate Lies

At the UN last week, Ed Miliband shared details of a secret "damning" climate spy report. Ben Pile points out that a similar secret report appeared 22 years ago – and not one of its apocalyptic predictions came true.

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In 2004, the Observer, then owned by the Guardian, reported that a “secret report” on climate change had been produced by the Pentagon. The Observer journalists claimed that the report had been “suppressed by US defence chiefs”, because if its findings were released they would be “humiliating to the Bush administration”, which seemed to be resistant to global climate policy agendas. The report claimed “that major European cities will be sunk beneath rising seas as Britain is plunged into a ‘Siberian’ climate by 2020”, and that “Nuclear conflict, mega-droughts, famine and widespread rioting will erupt across the world”.

The facts need to be restated here, to point out that, if a prediction is made which fails to materialise, then there’s something wrong with the hypothesis that produced the prediction.

At the time of writing, 22 and half years on, in late September 2026, I can report that, six years later than the Pentagon’s predictions, European cities remain above the waves, Britain has enjoyed two fine summers in a row and its winters do not even slightly resemble Siberia’s deep freezes. And we have not seen any nukes deployed yet, though there is talk about the escalation of the wars in Ukraine and Iran – but neither of these has anything to do with climate change. The warm summer of 2026 was quite dry for some of Britain and Europe. But overall, nothing resembled a “megadrought”, and the world’s bigger agricultural problem is high energy prices caused by conflicts and green

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16 Comments
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wryobserver2
wryobserver2
15 days ago

To paraphrase Henry II – who can rid us of this turbulent priest?

RTSC
RTSC
15 days ago

Sounds like a Conspiracy Theory to me.

bfbf334
bfbf334
16 days ago

What has happened to “The Climate Skeptic” and why have I been returned money?

JXB
JXB
16 days ago

There is no Climate Crisis/Emergency and global climate change, even regional climate change cannot be observed in real time, it can only detected retrospectively (thousands of years) if there is an apparent trend in change in the averaged meteorological data.

The Earth has five broad climate zones and thirty more specific zones.

The notion that all these can change in real time as one, at the same time, in the same way is preposterous.

DickieA
DickieA
16 days ago

can somebody just decarbonise Mad Ed Milliband?

Gezza England
Gezza England
16 days ago

I guess this sort of stuff keeps the Guardian’s handful of Far Left readers happy in their ignorance.

When it comes to intelligence, it is not a word you would associate with Miliband and in the preview notes of his speech today, his leader Football Shirt Boy either. FSB seems to think the cause of us having the World’s most expensive energy is due to the companies ripping us off and that by the state taking control it will all be fine. Note how the performance of one of the rail companies has got worse – or even worse – now the government runs it so hardly a glowing advert for state control even if we ignore the floundering NHS. The companies running our remaining 4 refineries – and for how much longer with 5 having gone – did not think up the scheme to charge them for carbon credits did they? And in the sports pages it seems that Manchester City Council are up to their eyeballs in dodgy deals with Man City’s Abu Dhabi owners which takes a lot of the shine of FSB’s Manchester Miracle.

DiscoveredJoys
DiscoveredJoys
16 days ago

Not just any Secret, it is a Net Zero Secret.

Which means that it will shortly be ‘leaked’. They can’t help themselves.

Stout Cortez
Stout Cortez
16 days ago

Miliband’s imbecilic Net Zero mission seems to me to a be convenient vehicle for his obsessive Marxist deindustrialisation mission.

psychedelia smith
psychedelia smith
16 days ago

The fact that it has to be “secret” tells you all you need to know.

soundofreason
soundofreason
16 days ago

At the UN last week, Ed Miliband shared details of a secret “damning” climate spy report.

…

Harvey admits that she and her colleagues have only “seen part of the report”. The rest depends on their having “spoken to a large number of people familiar with its contents…

That doesn’t sound very secret to me.

LadbrokeGrove
LadbrokeGrove
16 days ago

Fact cannot be allowed to interfere with climate dogma, you know that. If it was allowed the hundreds of billions of our money spent by the religion would be proved to have been wasted and that wouldn’t be a good look.

For a fist full of roubles
For a fist full of roubles
16 days ago

How did Putin sneak into the topic of climate?

Boomer Bloke
Boomer Bloke
16 days ago

Like misogynist and science denier it’s just one of names thrown at climate sceptics and mainstream narrative critics when their pseudo science and other fact free fantasies have been debunked. See also far right (adjacent) white supremacist, nazi, fascist, mask wearing thugs, racist, Islamophobic etc…

soundofreason
soundofreason
16 days ago
Reply to  Boomer Bloke

Ah. You forgot not-wearing masks as well.

soundofreason
soundofreason
16 days ago

Whut? Don’t you know? He’s the one exporting Siberian snow to the youkay in order to disrupt the attempt to export the design of Blue Streak to Ukraine. Do keep up.

psychedelia smith
psychedelia smith
16 days ago

He’s 18.5% carbon.

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