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Arctic Scare Stories Melt Away

Arctic summer sea ice should have melted away years ago, according to the 'experts' who foretold its demise by 2007, 2012, 2016... But with the ice going nowhere, those experts are very quiet now, says Paul Homewood.

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The Arctic sea ice should have melted away years ago, according to the ‘experts’.

In 2007, for instance, Professor Wieslaw Maslowski told us that northern polar waters could be ice-free in summers within just five to six years. In December that year, Jay Zwally of NASA agreed, giving the ice till 2012.

A year later, Professor David Barber went one step further, saying the ice would all be gone that very summer. Then we had Al Gore confidently predicting it would all disappear by 2016.

For sheer persistence in getting it wrong, however, first prize must go to Professor Peter Wadhams, Professor of Ocean Physics and Head of the Polar Ocean Physics Group in the Department of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics at the University of Cambridge:

  • In 2012, he predicted that the Arctic would be ice free by 2015-16
  • In 2014, he thought it might last till 2020
  • In 2016, he confidently predicted the Arctic would be ice free that summer (though curiously he now defined “ice free” as less than one million square kilometres!)

Strangely, all these ‘experts’ have been pretty quiet lately. Little wonder, because Arctic sea ice extent is just as large now as it was when all of those fatuous claims were made.

To be fair, they were only talking about summer sea ice. Even they were not daft enough to think that there would be no ice in winter either.

As is always the case in mid-September, the sea ice has

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4 Comments
Newest
Oldest Most Voted
Rob Day
Rob Day
18 minutes ago

Run the article through AI.

OlaffFelts
OlaffFelts
35 minutes ago

Experts! Expect stupidity.

JohnK
JohnK
12 minutes ago
Reply to  OlaffFelts

The more expert they are, the narrower their field of understanding.

WillP
WillP
39 minutes ago

According to geologists the pole have been ice free on earth for 70-80% of the time there has been life on earth, which means we are currently in an ice age in geological terms.

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