The Conservatives have slumped to just 17% in the latest YouGov poll, a joint record low, following the party’s terrible performance in the local elections. The Spectator‘s James Heale has more.
A new YouGov poll published this morning makes for grim reading for Kemi Badenoch’s team. It finds that, in the wake of the local elections, Reform are now on 29 points compared to Labour on 22 and the Tories on just 17, with the Liberal Democrats on 16. That is the joint-lowest ever Conservative poll rating, tying with June 2019, during the dark days of the Brexit wars. According to YouGov:
Naturally, these results are quite striking, but they are probably in line with what we would expect after the locals. With Reform performing so well Thursday, and the positive media coverage that is associate with such a result, it is not surprising they have received this boost. The test will be whether this is a blip or whether it will sustain over the coming weeks.
Reform believes that the Tory vote has even further to bottom out. For the past two years, the challenge for Nigel Farage’s advisors has been to convince voters that a vote for Reform is not a wasted vote. The local elections have demonstrated that this is no longer the case, with this poll suggesting that some voters have now switched from the Tory campaign into Reform. Some will be attracted by good coverage; others are seeking to attach themselves to the most effective anti-Labour electoral vehicle.
Heale says that the pressure on Badenoch is growing, and while she promised a “slow but steady” approach on Sunday, she told a gathering of her MPs last night that she understood there is a need to move quicker in future. “Expect to see a step change on her much-vaunted policy renewal programme,” he adds.
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