Last week, the BBC reported that seawater along the tip of Florida had exceeded “hot tub” temperatures of 37.8°C (100°F) in recent days, “making it potentially the hottest ever measured”. The Guardian was in fine alarmist form noting that the Florida recording posed a threat to human food supplies and the livelihoods of those working in the water. Similar hysteria was to be found across most of the mainstream media. Alas, curiously missing from all this excitable coverage was a note that just 48 hours later the temperature plummeted to around 85°F.
The reading was taken from a buoy in Manatee Bay which is managed by the Everglades National Park, and located north of Key Largo. The upper left graph below shows that the temperature moved between 90-101°F on consecutive days, then fell away rapidly to around 85°F.
Examining the ‘record’ on the climate site Watts Up With That?, the former ecology lecturer Jim Steele observed that water temperatures were being driven by dynamics other than rising CO2. Steele noted that the Manatee Bay buoy measuring the water temperature was in a small embayment surrounded by landform and this forms a natural hot tub. Low winds and a high pressure system further helped heat the bay, while muddy waters darkened the water enhancing solar heating.
Steele noted that the science of solar ponds has shown that when fresh water overlayed saltier water, heat gets trapped, and temperatures can be as much as 60°F hotter than the surface at depths between five and 10 feet.
To maintain the “crisis hoax”, Steele suggests it’s also important to ignore conflicting data. Southern Florida has several buoys, some measuring water temperature, some air and some both. Just 56 miles to the south-west of Manatee Bay, the VAKF1 buoy measured water temperatures that were 10°F lower than Manatee Bay on those same days, as shown in the lower left graph (above), which then cooled to 86°F. Manatee Bay lacked air temperature data but VAKF1 reported a high air temperature of 91°F (lower right graph) which then cooled to the low 80°Fs, even dipping to 76°F. “These air temperatures don’t even approach being unprecedented,” said Steele.
Jim Steele has a lifetime’s experience in working for environmental education projects. For 25 years he ran the Sierra Nevada Field Campus for San Francisco State University. As part of one monitoring project, he studied the effect of regional climate change on bird populations in the Sierra Nevada.
Mainstream media are now clearly in the grip of a climate catastrophisation mania where activists scour the world for any unusual weather event or recording. Normal reporting standards seem to have been abandoned in the rush to scare populations to comply with the collectivist Net Zero agenda. Top level politicians encourage widespread panic with Al Gore ranting about “boiling oceans”, while a deranged Antonio Guterres claimed earlier this week that we live in an age of “global boiling”. At a stroke, the UN Secretary General seems to have retired the Guardian’s ‘Global Heating’ invention. Last year’s Nobel Physics Laureate Dr. John Clauser says the climate narrative has corrupted his beloved science. Meanwhile, global boiling is promoted as global surface temperatures are retrospectively adjusted upwards by state-funded bodies, while the accurate satellite record shows a near nine-year pause. In the U.K., the Met Office happily uses corrupted station temperature data that the World Meteorology Organisation states has a error estimate of up to 2°C. The British weather service still seems inordinately proud of its 60-second U.K. heat record last year, despite evidence that three Typhoon jets were landing around the time on the runway next to the measuring devise at RAF Coningsby.
On Wednesday, the BBC’s Georgina Rannard wrote a story asking if the Gulf Stream could collapse by 2025. This is pure Day After Tomorrow sci-fi territory, promoting fears of catastrophic cooling in the northern hemisphere, with widespread impacts across the planet. Again the story was all over the mainstream media with USA Today reporting the Atlantic Ocean currents could soon collapse, adding, “how you may endure dramatic weather changes”.
The story originated from a recently published scientific paper and was pure clickbait for impressionable activists. The claims are based on limited observation evidence producing computer model projections. The authors state “with high confidence” that the change will occur between 2025-2095. However, the paper does contain this massive caveat, which went unreported in any of the media coverage: this prediction is only valid “under the assumption that the model is approximately correct, and we of course, cannot rule out that other mechanisms are at play, and thus, the uncertainty is larger”.
Needless to say, the story went around the world and was reported in blazing headlines. However, it seems eyebrows are starting to be raised about this sort of guff, even in alarmist circles. The climate alarmist’s climate alarmist is Professor Michael ‘Hockey Stick’ Mann of Penn University, but rerunning the Day After Tomorrow script was not wholly to his taste. According to USA Today, he said: “I’m not sure the authors bring much to the table other than a fancy statistical method. History is littered with flawed predictions based on fancy statistical methods; sometimes they’re too fancy for their own good.”
Chris Morrison is the Daily Sceptic’s Environment Editor.
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This for the Guardian, et. al. is an easy sell for people who don’t know baseball and accept all such climate-is-a-disaster story.
Easy sell to the walking brain dead
Or Guardian readers, as their called!
Maybe better players, stronger players, bigger men in general, far better bats and technology, a lot more training? Hitting, or not hitting a ball, has nothing to do with plant food.
It really is a cult of idiots, with St Greta the Moron and others as the apostles all supported by the miracles of fake data, fake studies and endless bullshit, not to mention money, money, money. $cience.
Better results are all to do with the weather, eh? Who knew. What a total insult to all the dedicated sportspeople, coaches, trainers and specialist sports scientists out there who have been honing skills, techniques, diet & nutrition, even aerodynamic improvements to kit and clothing over the last few decades.
I hear Pigs will fart a semi tone higher by the end of the century because of global warming. —–We must “Act Now”. Scientists would like to keep pig farts from rising above F Major by reducing our reliance on fossil fuels. ——–Lets all get a heat pumps to help reduce the pig pumps.
“The climate crisis is reported to be causing more home runs in baseball”. ——–Why speak of this “climate crisis” as if it is something we can all see in front of us like a pillar box or an elephant? I know pillar boxes and elephants exist because I have seen them. I have NOT seen a Climate Crisis. ——–By using that terminology, which is the language of political agenda’s, all we do is surrender to the narrative that a crisis actually exists, and we can all see that in front of us and by looking at the climate data. ———–But wait a minute. The IPCC themselves admit they see no human signal in the climate data at this time. There is no increase in the frequency or intensity of any type of weather event. Not storms, not floods, not droughts not wildfires —NOTHING. So where is this “crisis”? —————- It exists entirely within speculative climate models full of assumptions that do not include many of the parameters, and others are simply guessed at. Is it any wonder that those models and real world observations continue to drift apart as each year passes? ———-But I can tell you where there is a genuine “crisis”. It is the Energy Crisis where politicians pandering to the UN /WEF /EU Sustainable Development agenda are taking away our affordable reliable energy of coal and gas and replacing it with unaffordable unreliable energy of wind and sun. This is a genuine crisis and as the UK seeks to pretend to save the planet harder and faster than every other country with it’s absurd Climate Change Act and NET ZERO policies that we are forced in law to adhere to, our standard of living is plummeting. Millions are being forced into energy poverty and having to be bailed out with monthly payments because they cannot pay the bills. Some may say this is only temporary and is because of the war in Ukraine, and that certainly has masked the negative effects of the silly green agenda, but prices were already rising year on year before that. The general public mostly do not understand how energy works and are being conned into thinking that they can save the whole planet if they only accept more and more and more turbines. There is currently a Hydrogen experiment going on in Fife in Scotland where residents are being asked to sign up to get Hydrogen heating fitted into their houses in Buckhaven instead of their current gas central heating. These people will likely have no idea of what hydrogen really is, how expensive it is, and how corrosive it is. They will likely not realise it is the most volatile element in the Universe and isn’t actually a fuel. It has to manufactured and this makes it very expensive. ——We are putting ourselves through all of this clutter at astronomical expense all based on this idea there is a “Climate Crisis” which real world observations do not show. —We CAN see a pillar box. We CANNOT see a “Climate Crisis”
Of course you can see the climate crisis – just count the home runs and it’s slam-dunk.
I have NEVER and I mean NEVER understood “climate crisis.”
We live – define ‘live’ – on a planet as a part of the cosmos. We are a function of the planet. Climate is a given. Accept what we have. Climate is Climate. That’s it.
Next thing we know some Next Tuesday will be telling us that we need to move 1.337 degrees further away from the Sun, to reduce fictitious ‘global warming’ and to achieve this huge tow ropes will be fixed to the planet and these will be connected to thousands of space rockets which will pull us to safety.
World is full of evil Nutters.
We wont need tow ropes. A carefully timed massed nuclear explosion somewhere like, I dont know, say, Ukraine, should shift the planet a few microns further away.
Fair point Neil.
Three things emerge from this story.
The message I take home from this is that climate change can have some positive outcomes.
It is shame that so many plants bought on the promise of a Med climate in Britain have died as a consequence of the cold snap late last year. My olive stick (formerly a tree) is testament to that along with numerous other casualties. Thanks, BBC Gardeners World, for your advice.
This ‘analysis’ by some no-doubt lucratively rewarded academics is so laughably weak and anti-scientific as to be almost not worth commenting on. It parodies itself (as does The Guardian’s uncritical and propagandist utilisation of it).
However, though I was already an emotional wreck after discovering that home runs in US baseball have apparently increased by 0.9% due to humanity’s evil industrial ways I couldn’t resist carrying out a fact check on another heart-breaking claim made in the report / article:
“Though the Texas Rangers’ previous ballpark opened as recently as 1994, the summer heat in the Dallas region proved so uncomfortable that the club moved to a climate-controlled $1.2bn new stadium with a retractable roof in 2020. Among the league’s 30 stadiums, eight have retractable or fixed roofs. More roofs on ballparks is going to be unavoidable. That is frustrating,” said Christopher Callahan, the lead author of the study. “One of the joys of baseball is sitting in the open air, sitting under the blue sky and the breeze.” However, he added: “At a certain point over the course of the next couple of decades it’s going to be unsafe to play baseball games in very high temperatures.”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/apr/07/climate-crisis-more-home-runs-baseball-study
Having looked at the relevant data I have to say it seems rather strange to link the Texas Rangers’ move to a new stadium in 2020 to temperatures in the Dallas region allegedly heading rapidly towards microwave levels (again due to that nasty polluting humanoid species) when the historic record summer temperatures of 113F (June) and 111F (July) were recorded in 1980 and 1954, 43 and 69 years ago respectively. Moreover the average date of the 12 monthly record highs is 1982, 41 years in the past.
https://dallascreates.org/locations-and-venues/dallas-area-information/historic-average-temperatures-in-dallas-texas/#:~:text=Dallas%2C%20TX%20%E2%80%93%20Monthly%20Averages%20%26%20Records%20%E2%80%93%20from%20Intellicast&text=The%20highest%20recorded%20temperature%20was,8%C2%B0F%20in%201899
It sometimes feels as if the whole ‘Climate Change’ scam is the greatest instance of mass trolling combined with ‘dupers’ delight’ in history.
Facts are such inconvenient things, especially when attempting to promote an agenda. Or as Mark Twain put it ———–“Ah yes science, One gets such wholesale returns of conjecture from such a trifling investment of facts”.
There’s a word that springs to mind to describe theories like this, which also describes an essential part of the male anatomy.
Guardian: Climate change increases home runs.
In the Guardian every day is April Fools day
************************************
Stand in the Park Make friends & keep sane
Sundays 10.30am to 11.30am
Elms Field
near play area
Wokingham RG40 2FE
Excellent piece on climate change by Matt Ehret
https://matthewehret.substack.com/p/an-earth-day-special-in-defense-of
I bet both of their readers were mortified. The Giddian is giving Private Eye a run for its money
Analytically adept at challenging climate orientated junk science ad always Chris. Sky has been peddling the narrative via the threat to football. Obviously any ground near the sea will soon be inundated. Carrow Road will replace seating with Greta designed Lilos. Seriously these people just make stuff up and very few journos challenge them. GB news had a Cameroon Climate Goon called Gemill on. Such a patronising bell end, he is heading up the Climate Party which is standing in the 100 most marginal seats to publicise the “emergency”. He is the nice (passive aggressive), middle class face of XR and he could have been manufactured in a laboratory
He boasts of being funded by rich donors and the City of course. Sadly both Bev Turner and Andrew Pierce though pushing back on this odious hack were way underpowered. He just steamrollered through with his ridiculous perspective that we should go further and faster to land green jobs. We need you in there Chris putting the case against this insane drive to impoverish the masses. We also need a guide to climate lies to counteract this narrative aimed at the few critical journos and for sceptics like us. If readers could think of three lines what would they be?