On November 11th 2022, we wrote a formal letter of complaint to the Statistics Regulator about the Office for National Statistics’ (ONS) data on vaccine mortality. We said they were not fit for purpose.
Note that we concluded by saying:
The fact that these data are being used as continued justification for the efficacy and safety of the Covid vaccines is therefore now a matter of national concern and scandal… In the meantime, we call for
1. the public withdrawal of the ONS dataset and
2. the retraction of any claims made by others that are based upon it.
We have now received the formal response.
While there are aspects of the response that we are unhappy with, the crucial point is that the Regulator has completely accepted our main recommendation because it says that the “Death by Vaccination Status publication does not provide information on vaccine effectiveness or vaccine safety, and should not be used in this way”.
Many researchers and news organisations have made claims of vaccine efficacy and safety based on the ONS reports. We therefore now call on all those who have made such claims to publicly retract them.
It is also important to note that the Regulator agreed with our conclusions that the ONS population sample was biased – with those excluded much more likely to be unvaccinated.
We therefore call on all of those – including especially the BBC – who have used the ludicrously low estimates from the ONS to publicly withdraw all material based on these estimates, as they have been deliberately used to represent the unvaccinated as a tiny fringe minority.
The not-so-good news is that, as expected, the Regulator has gone to extreme lengths to defend the integrity of the ONS. In particular, it is putting forward the ‘healthy vaccinee effect’, which we have previously dealt with and which we will be further dismantling in the next few weeks.
Our analysis of the most recent ONS report on deaths by vaccination status is here. That report was published in July 2022 with the most recent data up to May 2022. Despite promises to do so, the ONS had not provided any updates to it since.
Until he retired in January, Norman Fenton was Professor in Risk Information Management at Queen Mary University of London. Martin Neil is Professor in Computer Science and Statistics at Queen Mary University of London. This article first appeared on their Substack page, Where Are the Numbers?
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‘…the crucial point is that the Regulator has completely accepted our main recommendation.’
Very well done.
Thank you.
Sadly IMHO this is a blip for Humpherson who has let some very dodgy stats continue on the record. One Swallow does not make a summer and for Humpherson there is little doubt winter will continue for a good long time.
It is also an example IMHO of stuff happening which could not happen if senior Whitehall figures did not let it by omission or design.
In other words, IMHO stats get through which suit the purposes of Whitehall even though they should not.
Obviously my opinion but based on experience of dealing with these people.
Well I think I know what Captain Obvious would conclude from all of this fiasco. If the much lauded gene jabs were as safe and effective as advertised it wouldn’t be necessary to manipulate the data in the first place.
This courtesy of Steve Kirsch from ONS data which the ONS stopped supplying. ONS will use any excuse not to produce the detail required.
Bloody marvellous. The enemy may soon be in full retreat.
Sadly not. As long as they can convince 90% to believe them the 10% will continue to be contained. This is achieved by all the usual ways of gaslighting marginalisation etc. The legacy media has a lot to answer for – it is only possible because they allow official mis and disinformation to infect the brains of the 90%.
Andrew Bridgen’s case is a classic example – slur and label libel work a treat. The antisemite who has never been one accused by people who are being antisemitic by accusing him.
I sense a lot more defensiveness in the responses from various bodies recently. It will take a while but for now things seem to be moving in our direction.
My point is complacency. It is too easy to think the war is won when there is a success in a minor skirmish.
Indeed
Happy retirement, Norman Fenton. Hopefully it gives you more time to expose the dodgy statistics. And well done to Norman Fenton and Martin Neil for getting that response from the UK Statistics Regulator
Of course the healthy vaccinee effect, is contradicted by ONS’s only dataset for example the non-covid mortality spikes following first dose of experimental vaccine, and this should have been covered by the regulator.
There’s been lots of crazy things going on these ONS datasets.
For example this chart of mine shows how ONS have changed the unvaccinated population between their 20th December 2021 and current 6th July reports
You can see that if ONS claim their current dataset is now correct then they are effectively admitting that in say the 70-79 age group that they were significantly miscategorising vaccinated as unvaccinated in their 22nd December 2021 report.
To put the numbers in context; the size of the green bar for March of about 188K represents a reallocation of around half of the unvaccinated population for March 2021 used in the 20th December dataset. Although the number of unvaccinated should have remained unchanged between publications for a given month (bar minor revisions), instead the ONS have halved the unvaccinated numbers and moved them into the vaccinated population around the time of the first doses.
So it’s reasonable to expect mis-categorisations of deaths and population to still be in the ONS dataset. This example is just one visible one they’ve corrected for.
Thankyou guys on behalf of us all! (If I may be so bold)
The ONS has links with fullfact.org – UK Column news discussion 15/12/21(41 mins in).
When recording that point, I noted that more information was awaited. I don’t know if it ever came.
UK Column on this point is naïve.
They have not realised that MHRA never follows up – ever.
And they are not asking “Why?”
They are focussed on the symptoms and not the disease.
The problem of corruption in Government and Government agencies stems from senior figures in Whitehall.
From the 1970s Thatcher/Reagan years civil servants were allowed to develop and maintain direct personal contacts with industry and commerce. They also have a high degree of anonymity.
An increase in corruption was predictable.
It gets worse – Whitehall has also managed to be invisible to the public but is a massive bureaucracy with far too much power,
Corruption in ONS and Statistics regulation could not be possible without senior civil servants in Whitehall.
And we also similar circumstances with organisations like the GMC and the like. Look at how boards and executive management of organisations are appointed.
Manipulate the appointments to the boards and management and you can manipulate and control what the organisations do.
It is ubiquitous.
How is it the the DWP manages to maintain a corrupt industrial injury compensation system which does not pay out and repeatedly comes up with bizarre reasons for turning claims down.
That has been going on decades.
And MPs do nothing about problems like that. Deaf dumb and blind. It is so corrupt. And they always tell us they went into politics to serve the public and the country.
If that were so longstanding problems like the DWP industrial injuries compensation one would not exist.
Excellent analysis of the corruption in Whitehall.
Thanks. The problem is education.
If an outfit like UK Column is not on top of this how can we expect the rest of the country to get up to speed?
The cause of the disease is what is to be addressed. Or to put it another way, cut the head off the snake. And then obliterate the access of vested interests to exert corrupt influences over government officials.
Currently it is divide and rule.
We have a million and one people fighting different causes and with government agencies and organisations without understanding why they should have to.
None understand that many if not most of the problems come from corruption in Whitehall.
Well done chaps. An important gain.
But I guess it leaves us with the problem in that they now have an excuse to claim that the data cannot be used to show just how dangerous the stabs are.
Then again, they are certainly on the back foot and retreating. If I recall my Clausewitz correctly you should pursue a retreating enemy and destroy him.
“they are certainly on the back foot and retreating”.
Like Russia vs Ukraine?
And so also the British Government vs the rest of us has endless resources in comparison. It is just a matter of time.
Russia has a 3-to-1 population advantage and greater resources than Ukraine so can keep getting it wrong for longer than Ukraine can afford to.
Eventually Russia will stop messing up and recover. Thanks to Germany Ukraine cannot get the tanks it needs to face the coming spring offensive from Russia. It does not look too good.
And so to the UK where if critical mass can be achieved to the degree that a dent can be made at election time then and only then might there be some movement.
10% or less of the population is not critical mass especially with legacy media suppressing free speech.
30% or more might be.
But even if the bad guys lose it will be temporary and they will still be working to come back.
Its like Brexit and Remain/Rejoin.
So long as the Brexit side fails to come up with a plan for European cooperation they can live with they are leaving it open to the Remainer/Rejoiner side to make all the running. That is the position right now.
LOL! Try again!!
Forbes Magazine….”The Ukrainian Army Has More Tanks Now Than When The War Began—Because It Keeps Capturing Them From Russia”
Ha! Try again? LOL!
Nothing like having your finger on the pulse of the war.
24 March last year – ”The Ukrainian Army Has More Tanks Now Than When The War Began—Because It Keeps Capturing Them From Russia”
So the German Leopard tanks Ukraine is begging Germany to let them have NOW TODAY [nearly a year later] are totally unnecessary.
The Ukrainians are just being plain greedy and unrealistic according to you.
And the Challenger II tanks the UK is sending NOW TODAY are also completely unnecessary. Those damn greedy Ukrainians again no doubt according to you.
NB. Forbes is notorious for publishing complete drivel and polemic to push the agendas of vested interests.
The discerning ignore anything in Forbes. It is way worse than the UK’s Guardian.