• Login
  • Register
The Daily Sceptic
No Result
View All Result
  • Articles
  • About
  • Archive
    • ARCHIVE
    • NEWS ROUND-UPS
  • Podcasts
  • Newsletter
  • Premium
  • Donate
  • Log In
The Daily Sceptic
No Result
View All Result

Massive Reduction in Cyclonic Storm Energy Across Northern Hemisphere in 2022

by Chris Morrison
8 December 2022 7:00 AM

More details are emerging about an astonishing drop in cyclonic storm energy across the northern hemisphere during 2022. The latest calculations from Colorado State University show a 33% below-trend fall in its Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) index, which reflects frequency, intensity and duration of all hurricane and tropical cyclone data. Curiously, this crucial fact seems to have gone missing in much of the mainstream media’s half-hearted commentary on a ‘below average’ North Atlantic hurricane season. Describing what it calls a “unique” and “near average” season, BBC Weather Simon King failed to even mention the enormous drop in cyclonic energy. In September, the BBC “Reality Check” was running the party line that evidence showed hurricanes were “getting more powerful”.

The slowdown in the scale of 2022 cyclonic energy compared with the 30-year trend (black line) is clearly shown in the graph above compiled by Colorado State. The northern hemisphere data include the North Atlantic, Northeast Pacific, Northwest Pacific and North Indian Ocean. The university researchers calculate that the ACE reduction for the North Atlantic alone was 22%. This of course is just one year, and will be dismissed by climate alarmists as a blip. Let us therefore look at the 50-year ACE record.

Over 50 years it appeared that the energy generated by hurricanes and cyclones moves up and down within a clearly defined range, debunking all the hysterical alarmist claims that human-caused climate change is making storms much worse.

Many of these claims rest on a simplistic formula that a warmer planet leads to warmer oceans, and hence more severe storms. Another simplistic, and unproven, hypothesis states that humans are causing all the planetary warming. Many activists stress this simplicity, including the often controversial Michael Mann, who recently told an interviewer that the science was basic and straightforward. It was not “rocket science”, he added, and “it tells us that we’re reaping what we’ve sown”. But it isn’t basic. Atmospheric heat exchanges are complex and not fully understood. Their precise effect is currently beyond understanding, and climate models that predict longer term weather and climate events such as future storms are frankly useless – as this season’s hurricane forecasts demonstrate.

As we reported recently in the Daily Sceptic, the Barcelona Supercomputing Centre noted that of the 19 organisations that issued forecasts for the North Atlantic hurricane season last spring, 17 of them predicted an above-average frequency of named storms. By early summer, all 19 of these forecasts predicted an above-average season. All these predictions were wrong. Never one to be out of a groupthink crowd, the U.K. Met Office said it was “most likely” the season would be above average. It noted that since all the prediction were pointing in the same direction, this gave a “higher degree of confidence” to its own thoughts on the matter.

At the time the BBC threw its own alarmist hat in the ring by helpfully adding: “With another active season expected, many might question whether climate change has had a hand in this.”

Fast forward to the end of November, and the BBC’s Simon King notes that predicting some months in advance is always a “tricky science”, but “seasonal forecasting of the Atlantic hurricane season has shown much higher skill in recent decades”. Looking ahead, King observes long-term climatic patterns, and these suggest that “next season is likely to be an active one in the Atlantic”.

You don’t say – active, eh? Well, we never saw that one coming.

More hurricanes and cyclones packing ever larger amounts of kinetic energy is a totemic climate alarmist scare. The most severe storm of the year, hurricane Ian, which did considerable damage in Florida, was pounced on by activists, politicians and media alike to promote climate Armageddon, and by extension the socially and economically restrictive Net Zero political agenda.

But this green campaigning relies on pseudoscience, promoting individual bad, or extreme, weather events to make increasingly bizarre forecasts of human-caused long-term changes in the climate. As I have noted before, this year has been a disaster for this type of green boosterism. One by one the much cherished poster scares, from coral on the Great Barrier Reef (growing back nicely) to summer sea ice in the Arctic (ditto), have disappeared from the mainstream headlines.

Blown away, it seems, in an ‘above average’ season of climate reality.

Chris Morrison is the Daily Sceptic’s Environment Editor.

Tags: Climate AlarmismClimate changeClimate JournalismClimate ModelsExtreme weatherHurricaneNet Zero

Donate

We depend on your donations to keep this site going. Please give what you can.

Donate Today

Comment on this Article

You’ll need to set up an account to comment if you don’t already have one. We ask for a minimum donation of £5 if you'd like to make a comment or post in our Forums.

Sign Up
Previous Post

News Round-Up

Next Post

New OpenAI Chatbot Displays Clear Political Bias

Subscribe
Login
Notify of
Please log in to comment

To join in with the discussion please make a donation to The Daily Sceptic.

Profanity and abuse will be removed and may lead to a permanent ban.

6 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
For a fist full of roubles
For a fist full of roubles
2 years ago

Well, that is a bit of a blow for the alarmists.
Actually, 33% less blow.

34
0
Dr G
Dr G
2 years ago
Reply to  For a fist full of roubles

Don’t worry, before you can say “anthropogenic global climate catastrophe”, it will be labelled “misinformation” by the fact checkers, and we can all get back to panicking.

29
0
JohnK
JohnK
2 years ago

Another interesting meteorology article. The term Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) was new to me. No doubt the relationship between it and other weather events is complex and not fully understood. As to the belief that we have much influence over the weather system as a whole globally, that is, as you say, simplistic.

Slightly off topic, but some might like to watch the interview on GBN’s 19:00 programme with someone who was, err, critical of the new colliery in Whitehaven. A full-on climate scaremonger! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=suY1rqIt5GQ from about 9:20 on.

7
0
Tyrbiter
Tyrbiter
2 years ago

Nearly every time I explain to my friends that actually the world is cooling and the energy in our climatic system is reducing because the only source of that energy, the sun, is heading towards a grand solar minimum I am looked at as if I am insane.

Luckily I have always been able to ignore people who don’t bother researching these effects and who believe that black is white because the MSM tells them so. I expect to see them run over on a zebra crossing.

36
0
JXB
JXB
2 years ago

The problem we have is it is no longer about whether climate change is/is not a threat and whether Man is/is not the cause because there is a whole new thing which has actually become disconnected and exists on its own -decarbonisation, the march to Net Zero.

This is the same as CoVid. Actual evidence showing Covid was zero risk for 99%+, and evidence that the ‘vaccines’ did not stop disease or transmission, that they were in fact increasing infection, severity, deaths, causing deaths and injury, became disconnected from the vaccination campaign which still is being pressed on people.

Neither Net Zero nor CoVid vaccination are validated or repudiated by evidence, they have a whole life of their own.

22
0
Michael Staples
Michael Staples
2 years ago

These facts cannot possibly be true because the computer models say otherwise.

4
0

NEWSLETTER

View today’s newsletter

To receive our latest news in the form of a daily email, enter your details here:

DONATE

PODCAST

In Episode 35 of the Sceptic: Andrew Doyle on Labour’s Grooming Gang Shame, Andrew Orlowski on the India-UK Trade Deal and Canada’s Ignored Covid Vaccine Injuries

by Richard Eldred
9 May 2025
1

LISTED ARTICLES

  • Trending
  • Comments
  • Latest

Sun-Dimming Quango has £800 Million of Taxpayer Money to Blow – and a CEO on £450k

8 May 2025

News Round-Up

9 May 2025

UK “Shafted” by US Trade Deal

8 May 2025

The Sugar Tax Sums Up Our Descent into Technocratic Dystopia

8 May 2025

What Does David Lammy Mean by a State?

9 May 2025

The Sugar Tax Sums Up Our Descent into Technocratic Dystopia

25

News Round-Up

22

Sun-Dimming Quango has £800 Million of Taxpayer Money to Blow – and a CEO on £450k

28

UK “Shafted” by US Trade Deal

12

What Does Renaud Camus Actually Believe? Part Two: Is He Really a Conspiracy Theorist?

35

“I Was a Super Fit Cyclist Until I Had the Moderna Covid Vaccine. What Happened Next Left Me Wishing I Was Dead”

9 May 2025

Nature Paper Claims to Pin Liability for ‘Climate Damages’ on Oil Companies

9 May 2025

What Does David Lammy Mean by a State?

9 May 2025

In Episode 35 of the Sceptic: Andrew Doyle on Labour’s Grooming Gang Shame, Andrew Orlowski on the India-UK Trade Deal and Canada’s Ignored Covid Vaccine Injuries

9 May 2025

News Round-Up

9 May 2025

POSTS BY DATE

December 2022
M T W T F S S
 1234
567891011
12131415161718
19202122232425
262728293031  
« Nov   Jan »

SOCIAL LINKS

Free Speech Union
  • Home
  • About us
  • Donate
  • Privacy Policy

Facebook

  • X

Instagram

RSS

Subscribe to our newsletter

© Skeptics Ltd.

Welcome Back!

Login to your account below

Forgotten Password? Sign Up

Create New Account!

Fill the forms below to register

All fields are required. Log In

Retrieve your password

Please enter your username or email address to reset your password.

Log In
wpDiscuz
No Result
View All Result
  • Articles
  • About
  • Archive
    • ARCHIVE
    • NEWS ROUND-UPS
  • Podcasts
  • Newsletter
  • Premium
  • Donate
  • Log In

© Skeptics Ltd.

You are going to send email to

Move Comment
Perfecty
Do you wish to receive notifications of new articles?
Notifications preferences