Further evidence has emerged that climate models are useless for the purpose of forecasting future temperature rises. A recent survey using American summer temperatures (June, July, August) over the last 50 years, found that 36 major climate models showed nearly twice the warming rate observed by the surface temperature measurements recorded by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). At the high end, a number of models forecast warming nearly three times greater than observed data show (blue bar below).
The research was carried out by Dr. Roy Spencer, the principal research scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville, and the compiler of the UAH monthly satellite temperature record. He says that the importance of his findings should be obvious. “Given that U.S. energy policy depends upon the predictions from these models, their tendency to produce too much warming (and likely also warming-associated climate change) should be factored into energy policy planning,” he said. But he doubted it was being, ”given the climate change exaggerations routinely promoted by environment groups, anti-oil advocates, the media, politicians, and most government agencies”.
The Spencer work follows recent research published by Professor Nicola Scafetta of the University of Naples. He found that almost all the global temperature forecasts produced by models between 1980-2021 were excessive, some extremely so, compared with the accurate satellite record. One of the reasons given as to why there’s no climate emergency in the World Climate Declaration is that climate models are “not remotely plausible as global tools”.
Yet as we have seen in numerous articles in the Daily Sceptic, climate models are ubiquitous and are at the forefront of promoting the climate scares pushing the command-and-control Net Zero agenda. They are at the heart of the pseudoscientific work that tries to ‘attribute’ single extreme weather events to long-term changes in the climate claimed supposedly caused by fossil fuels. In simple terms, computers compare an imaginary climate without human-caused carbon dioxide with the current one full of unknown complexities, and then the modellers announce they’ve ‘proved’ the ‘climate emergency’ hypothesis. Since the outputs of these models are unfalsifiable – how can you prove that a wholly imaginary scenario is ‘false’? – the notions are no more than worthless opinions.
The results of Spencer’s work will hardly come as a great surprise, but the conclusions are almost certainly more damaging to the climate catastrophisers’ case than the figures suggest. Spencer uses NOAA surface temperatures and, as we have seen, these are subject to ‘corruption’ from a number of causes in recent years. As Spencer notes, the NOAA figure could be an over-estimate “if increasing urban heat island effects have spuriously influenced trends over the last 50 years, and I have not made any adjustments for that”.
Earlier this year, the U.S. meteorologist Anthony Watts published his latest survey of NOAA’s nationwide weather stations. Describing the temperature record as “fatally flawed”, Watts found about 96% of US temperature stations failed to meet what NOAA itself considered to be acceptable and uncorrupted placement. Watts defined ‘corruption’ as caused by the localised effects of urbanisation, producing heat bias because of a close proximity to asphalt, machinery and other heat-producing, heat-trapping, or heat-accentuating objects. According to Watts, data that had not been corrupted by faulty placement showed a rate of warming in the U.S. “reduced by almost a half compared to all stations”.
There is further substantial evidence that NOAA’s U.S. surface temperature figures are too high. In 2005, it started compiling data from a select group of 114 stations across the country that had been specifically sited away from urban development. Called the U.S. Climate Reference Network (USCRN), it was intended to aim for “superior accuracy and continuity in places that land use will not likely impact during the next five decades”.
The graph above shows the rarely referenced record up to last month. It shows oscillating temperature changes, but very little evidence to indicate a warming trend over the last 17 years.
Considering what is known about the ‘corruption’ of the NOAA’s main temperature dataset, it would be reasonable to significantly reduce the blue NOAA observational bar in Spencer’s graph. This of course provides further confirmation that the temperatures forecasts of most climate models have long lost any connection with reality.
Chris Morrison is the Daily Sceptic’s Environment Editor.
To join in with the discussion please make a donation to The Daily Sceptic.
Profanity and abuse will be removed and may lead to a permanent ban.
As far out as this sounds, it can be seen to be more of a useful metaphor in the light of Mattias Desmet’s book “The Psychology of Totalitarianism” Desmet’s book somewhat bridges the reality of what is happening now to what is described by this article. Desmet describes the use of maths, statistics to bolster an ungodly level of certainty we can call scientism, when really it can be demonstrated the certainty claimed is entirely false (and I would say ego driven). Scientism, in furnishing false certainties, has divorced humanity from nature and what is real.
And BTW “the singularity,” which is not a far-out concept given neuralink and indeed the extent to which we are already glued to our phones, results in a kind of hive mind. Indeed I would argue much of the social politics and the straitjacket of woke ideas we see today are a result of the “interlocking” of human-neurons in this hive mind. Any mind hates to “see” itself as holding inconsistent principles, so expect any elements of that are not one with the dominant ethos to be killed off.
And then there is Tucker Carlson, who believe demons, real non human entities are on earth and amongst us right now.
Somehow I suspect we (me and most of the commenters on here) are not the dominant hive mind ethos. So that’s us f**ked for a start.
I would highly recommend reading Iain McGilchrist. I think his explanation for the collapse of society fits perfectly. In an embarrassing attempt to summarise: the brain has two hemispheres, left and right, with the left hemisphere understanding the world through a purely mechanistic vantage point which only see the parts and not the whole, and the right hemisphere understanding (or attempting to) the whole with far less regards for the parts that combine to make the whole. McGilchrist believes, and I certainly follow his logic, that society has become very left hemisphere dominated, and is likely a result of the enlightenment, and sciences refusal to properly consider anything that science cannot explain.
I attended one of McGilchrist’s lectures a couple of years ago. Fascinating man with a deep insight into our human predicament. I’ve yet to read one of his tomes, hopefully by the time I die I will have!
The predictions themselves are delusional. However, the people who have these delusions are real and, if wealthy, powerful or influential enough, are capable of doing a great deal of harm as they act them out. For example, because they think genetic engineering offer the prospect of eternal life, they are eager to try out mass-scale experiments on the human population, hence the manic promotion of the COVID vaccines.
No one needs worry about this. It’s science fiction. In the 60s we were told that by the 90s we wouldn’t be bothering with food anymore – we’d just take pills. But now there are millions more food outlets, a choice in supermarkets no one could have imagined then, more TV programmes about food than ever before. Also, depictions of people of the future would show them in spacesuits, very plain clothes, clothes made of paper etc, and of course things have gone totally the other way! As for the statement ‘In the 2030s, medical nanorobots will begin to integrate these brain extensions directly into our nervous systems’. Whose? There are always going to be some people daft enough I suppose, but these will be a tiny minority – perhaps those who spend their lives playing VR games? But most people will have a healthy instinct and mistrust and will not be interested, and probably resistant.
FWIW, I think the image depicting Ahriman in the article is actually the leontocephaline Mithras. Ahriman’s true form is doubtless too terrifying for mortals to behold.
Yes, yes, you have nailed it!
Steiner prophesied that “the Earth will be covered, as with a web, a web of terrible spiders, spiders of enormous wisdom…demonic “spiders”, spinning out a literal worldwide web for us poor humans to become inescapably entangled within like so many fattened-up flies.”
Fascinating article from Steven Tucker. These spider-forms have also featured in movies like “The Matrix”, “Dr. Who”, and one of the Guardians of the Galaxy films even showed similar tiny airships linking up to form a massive net, as a barrier against a huge incoming spaceship.
It all circles back to Kali-Allah, the Moon Spider Goddess of Death, “The Mother Goddess of All India”, and her Toyboy Shiva=Satan, whose symbol is the Crescent Moon, worshipped by millions of Hindus, Muslims, Sikhs, Buddhists, Native Americans (Grandmother Spider)… and Illuminati.
And what a fantastic quote this is! “Elon Musk, once said: “With Artificial Intelligence we’re summoning the demon. You know those stories where there’s the guy with the pentagram, and the holy water, and he’s like – yeah, he’s sure he can control the demon? Doesn’t work out.”
Parents may well kill their children, or children their parents, by sending signals to them, but they must wait afterwards lest they become zombies!
Explanation (so that it doesn’t mess up the effect of the sentence): The people who created UNIX certainly had a very peculiar way of naming things. A process (running program) can become a parent by forking (executing a fork system call) which creates an identical copy of itself called a child. A signal is a numeric message a process can, subject to permission checks, send to other processes. The default action of most signals is to kill, that is, ask the kernel to forcibly terminate, the process it was sent to. A terminated process has a so-called exit status which is another numeric message the parent is expected to poll for by executing a so-called wait system call (which waits for the killed process to terminate if this didn’t already happen). Until this has been done, the kernel keeps the exit status of the deceased process which appears in a listing of all process on the system with a status of Z, standing for zombie.
That’s also where the daemon programs mentioned in the text comes from. A daemon is a background process not associated with a user session.
It is the void and the phallus. The penis and vagina. It has been said that it makes dumber people dumber and smarter people smarter. Obviously there are holes in this but you can look at it as an offering. Feast your eyes on it. Let it corrupt you or exalt you make of it what you will. There is a karma that comes with untruthfulness and dishonesty about one’e own abilities.
I never thought I wqould hear mention of anthrposophy on this page. This is truly a cause of rejoicing. That knowledge that they talk about and try to pass on – it isn’t imagination or analysis. The path of spiritual science can only come about through clairvoyance and this can only be achieved in our time by reading accounts of it and then that world slowly starts to appear. Perhaps now we are ready for that as a culture. Steiner said that it would be around our time.
The human spirit needs to reel against the eigth sphere. We are moving towards the next level of our evolution but these forces can imprison us in a world that essentially sets up an endless loop of torment and vampiorism. As James Joyce said, the walls of hell are four thousand miles thick and made of solid granite. You want to avoid getting into this situation to begin with. Ahriman could be understood as the tyranny of numbers or perhaps as the reduction of the trinary nature of the divine anthropos to the binary. In the secret teaching the three comes before the two.
Ahriman was at his strongest in 1850 just look at that age and the transformation that occurred. The rise of industialism occuring concurrently with a very cold exmination of nature. All sorts of critters with a pin through them after a visit to the killing jar. We had to go through this phase but we need to know when it has to end. Just look at where it has led in economics. Because even Ahriman is less toxic than human greed and when you put the two together you end up with hollowed out countries just like the one we have.
This is the only thing that really matters in our time. If you stop and contemplate you will see that this the crux of the evil that we have to face now.
If you want a good introduction to the secret teaching of all ages there is a Youtube channel called Rudolf Steiner Press Audio. It has an archive of thousands of lectures and courses. I would recommend it for those who are ready for this path.
There is no lazy way out or cheating your wait out or sitting around and biding your time in the hope that others do it. Because the whole meaning of this time is that it is asking you to come to the table untramelled. Nobody will support you it will never be a mass movement. You either ken it or you don’t. We have all wasted our lives to some extent.
My parents sent me to a Rudolf Steiner school, but I refused to believe the gospel and dismissed it, rather undiplomatically, as some sort of “deluded nonsense about fairies and elves running the world”. My parents had to appear in front of a tribunal, where my teachers recounted my many sins, agreed that my heretical views were unacceptable and at the end announced my expulsion from their cult.
30 years later I work in IT and control (sometimes even create) the daemons that help to provide the internet. Working with computers certainly changes you, but I would argue that a lot of programming and other IT work is actually creative problem solving and certainly less harmful than doom scrolling and binge watching. That said, I also think that it’s good to spend a lot of time away from screens and interact with the real world.