Professor Neil Ferguson has said Covid hospital admissions in London are flatlining and we can expect them to start falling nationally in a week’s time. MailOnline has more.
One of the Government’s gloomiest advisers today became the latest expert to admit that London’s Omicron outbreak may have already peaked as pressure grew on Boris Johnson to stop the ‘farcical’ self-isolation crisis that threatens to paralyse the nation.
At least half a dozen NHS trusts across England have said they may be unable to deliver vital care to patients in the coming weeks while train operators and bin collection services around the country are having to cancel services because so many staff are off isolating.
There is growing anger among backbench Tory MPs and business leaders that the nation is being ground to a halt by a Covid variant that a mountain of evidence has shown is much milder than previous strains and causes little or no symptoms for the overwhelming majority. …
Professor Ferguson, an epidemiologist who sits on SAGE, said: “I think I’m cautiously optimistic that infection rates in London in that key 18-50 age group, which has been driving the Omicron epidemic, may possibly have plateaued, it’s too early to say whether they’re going down yet.”
He added: “I would say that with an epidemic which has been spreading so quickly and reaching such high numbers, it can’t sustain those numbers forever, so we would expect to see case numbers start to come down in the next week, maybe already coming down in London, but in other regions a week to three weeks.
‘Whether they then drop precipitously or we see a pattern a bit like we saw with Delta back in July – of an initial drop and then quite a high plateau – remains to be seen, it’s just too difficult to interpret current mixing trends and what the effect of open schools again will be.’
Discussing the current Omicron outbreak, Professor Ferguson – nicknamed ‘Prof Lockdown’ for his grim modelling that spooked ministers into introducing draconian curbs last spring – said the variant had not had much time to infect pupils before schools shut for the Christmas break, and a rise in cases is now expected.
“We expect to now see quite high infection levels – of mild infection I should emphasise – in school-aged children.”
He added that the “good news” about Omicron is that “it is certainly less severe” than previous variants of Covid and that has helped keep hospital numbers down compared with previous peaks.
“And then the vaccines – as we always expected they would – are holding up against severe disease and against severe outcomes well.
“That doesn’t mean it’s not going to be as, as the Prime Minister said, a difficult few weeks for the NHS.”
And the normally-pessimistic Professor Lockdown Neil Ferguson – a key No 10 adviser whose modelling has bounced the country into previous lockdowns – claimed infections were plateauing in Omicron hotspot London and could start to fall nationally in just a week.
Worth reading in full.
That’s quite a turnaround from Ferguson’s earlier prediction that Omicron could result in 5,000 deaths a day. But given his track record, does this more optimistic assessment mean Covid admissions to London hospitals are about to start soaring? Let’s hope not!
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Even prof Lockdown cannot alter nature itself, and eventually, nature wins. It always does.
Ferguson is the very essence of one of the guiding rules of upper civil service echelons, to quote Dylan – “There’s no success like failure” and reward for failure is the name of the game for him.
“There’s no success like failure, and failure’s no success at all”
If Ferguson was working in the private sector he would be unemployed. He is either completely incompetent or simply supplying Government with what it asks for. Or both. He’s heavily funded by The Gates Foundation so he probably doesn’t care – and that might throw further light on the situation!
The bloke has spent his whole career causing mayhem with his wonky modelling.
He’s a complete tosser.
Since when did Ferguson get back on SAGE? News to me.
That photo says it all – he is holding a crystal and basically prophesies the future for us poor sheep! The sentences sound more like a failed fortune teller than a qualified medical person. If this is the kind of ‘advice’ an expert gives to BJ then God help us all.
Does anyone know why Neil Ferguson is still employed by the government. I guess for the same reason vallance, whitty and van dam.
Yes, my thought entirely.
So, what happened to his projections for 5,000 OmiCON deaths per week if we did not lock everything down immediately (which we didn’t)?
And then he says this :
“And then the vaccines – as we always expected they would – are holding up against severe disease and against severe outcomes well”
I’d very much like to know what he bases that claim on because ALL the latest UK official data shows that a) the vaccinated are 5-15X more likely to contract OmiCON than the unvaccinated (a/k/a negatitive efficacy) and b) 70% of hospitalisations are in the vaccinated as are 85% of the Covid deaths since August.
Apart from that, yes he’s wonderful………
Given that the bastard is always wrong, that is not reassuring
MSM is trying to make fun of people wanting to protect themselves with cheap and proven drugs. Ivermectin has been FDA approved for human use since 1996. It also beats Pfizer’s new wonder drug hands down, and costs next to nothing. Ivermectin doesn’t make tons of money. So they know the Covid shot is on its final gasp, so they take it add something different to it, rebrand under another name and charge 20 times what they would for ivermectin. I cannot wrap my head around this nonsense. When I explain this to my relatives they label me as crazy and ask me if I know better than science. I don’t make up these information out of my ass. All this information is true and proven. For some people it is near impossible for them to wake up. They are comfortable in their clown world life. If you want to get Ivermectin you can visit https://ivmpharmacy.com
Perhaps of little interest but The Mail have elevated Prof Pantsdown from a ‘Mathematical Modeller’ to an ‘Epidemiologist’
Says more about The Mail’s poor journalism than about the credibility of anything this teflon-coated, ivory tower-dwelling clown spouts.
He’s only a physicist, one with a very inflated sense of self importance, and a total lack of self awareness and common sense. Exactly the sort of idiot to provide advice to the Government 😱
Ferguson’s thesis was “Continuous interpolations from crystalline to dynamically triangulated random surfaces”.
Says it all as to his qualification to be an epidemiologist. I notice Wikipedia has changed his page to call him an epidemiologist!
Surely now is the time to be terrified. If Ferguson says we are plateauing that must mean the equivalent of a mustard gas/smallpox etc release by Friday
Sir Neil Ferguson, as he will be known very soon.
A rare bird: a useless idiot
I understand the pig dictator is making another statement tonight (as I have never watched any, I wont be watching this one either). But shall be play Covid Bingo. Words that the fat pig will be vomiting out for the bingo, heavy heart, booster, lockdown, vaccine, variant. Please feel free to add words to the bingo list.
Last time; one last push; reviewed instantaneously; be patient; I’m antichrist
And of course that classic: ‘our communities’!!
By which they mean all imported ones and not the indigenous who are unrepresented as a distinct community
No doubt. Not that there are any real ‘communities’ left; it’s just a marketing slogan.
Oh god no. No no no no no….just fucking stop. Been out and about today Masking is at epic levels. It’s so depressing. This clown show just won’t stop will it. And society loves it.
‘alas’
Save the NHS [a phrase not a word I know but I am 100% sure it will feature]
Mask
Social Distancing
Hands Face Space
Vaccine passports?
Could go on but we have been here so many times already
“I think I am cautiously optimistic”. That’s double speak from the fucker! I know exactly what I would like to do to him.
How long is it since Pantsdown was certain sure that Omnicon would be causing 5000 deaths a day by now?
Question: Why are UK cinemas not allowing bookings or showing films from the 7th of January onwards? And it appears not to be just this country either. What is going on? Do they know something we do not? Is another
imprisonmentlockdown imminent?Wow. I just looked. You are correct not one cinema chain has a full offering of content past Thursday.
Very strange – what’s going on?
My local cinema is showing ‘Covid: A Year of Victories’ this Thursday.
According to many reputable virologists, serious levels of ‘Immune deficiency’ are being generated in the vaccinated – who are far more likely be suffering from ‘omicron’ and with weakened immune systems as a direct result of the demands made on their immune response by the spike proteins being generated in their cells, are increasingly more likely to have difficulty in resisting it as their immune deficiency increases.
This is the shocking conclusion of virologists analysing the vaccination stats from Germany and the UK and comparing them to the incidence and seriousness of “omicron” infection principally among the fully vaccinated .
Let us hope they are wrong – but they predict serious consequences of developing AIDS ( immune deficiency acquired from the vaccines) by the end of January as people are less and less able to fight off season infections.
Worth serious attention? But of course no interest whatever from politicians and the bought-out MSM – just following the WEF narrative. However, the smears and shut downs on social media will surely follow.
Latest shutdown: Robert Malone banned from You Tube today for telling the truth.
Neil Ferguson, a Professor of Mathematical Biology at Imperial College London?
In early 2020 Neil Ferguson’s modelling forecast that Sweden would pay a hefty price for rejecting a lockdown. The modelling predicted there would be 40,000 Covid deaths by 1 May, and almost 100,000 by June.
As of 14:22 p.m. today, Sweden has had 15,286 COVID-19 related deaths. Subtract those that actually died from other causes and this number would be much lower.
John Fund writes:
“Neil Ferguson was behind the disputed research that sparked the mass culling of eleven million sheep and cattle during the 2001 outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease. He also predicted that up to 150,000 people could die. There were fewer than 200 deaths.
“In 2002, Ferguson predicted that up to 50,000 people would likely die from exposure to BSE (mad cow disease) in beef. In the U.K., there were only 177 deaths from BSE.
“In 2005, Ferguson predicted that up to 150 million people could be killed from bird flu. In the end, only 282 people died worldwide from the disease between 2003 and 2009.
“In 2009, a government estimate, based on Ferguson’s advice, said a “reasonable worst-case scenario” was that the swine flu would lead… Read more »
He is no dunce he will be amply rewarded by his sponsors. He knows exactly what he is doing
No, I still think he’s a dunce. He’s one of these progressive woke types that can’t actually see the nose on their own faces.
If he did know where his idiot modelling was leading society, he’d have baulked at it. But he didn’t know, because he’s a dunce devoid of the ability to think or question critically.
Anyone lying or twisting for money/fame/whatever is a dunce.
Psychopaths, not the brightest and best, tend to reach the summit in academe.
This reminds me of that old saying: even a blind squirrel finds an acorn once in a while.
Why is anyone listening to this attention-seeker?
In updated news, Professor Ferguson said, it’s time to do the decent thing. He downed the shot of whisky, took the revolver and headed into the back office, closing the door behind him. A few minutes later, we heard the shot and a muffled thud. England was free at last from the insane tyrant’s maniacal crazy prophecies.
Sadly, he missed. Again.
🤣
He obviously “modelled” the trajectory
Ive read and reread this a number of times but I cant see the mea culpa, ‘I got it wrong’ statement or grovelling apology. Have I missed a bit?
Surely the headline should be ‘My models a piece a shit and isnt worth the paper (code?) its written on. Never listen to me again’ says Prof Lockdown
Followed by statements from SAGE and the government reassuring the public that he will never be allowed to advise them again.
If Imperial want to dismiss him for being useless at his job thats up the them, but I suggest they make sure hes privately funded rather than spunking away my taxes.
I have two problems.
1. Why is he allowed anywhere near government?
2. As you write we should now expect worse
It may be plateauing but the madness continues. Just had a team meeting and noticed one of the guys was in a different room to normal. The reason? The rest of his fully jabbed family have come down with the wuflu so “they’re isolating upstairs and I have to stay downstairs”. wtf?
“That’s quite a turnaround from Ferguson’s earlier prediction that Omicron could result in 5,000 deaths a day.”
Indeed. He’s making it up as he goes along. Making a week-level prediction is ridiculous. I askked WHY he is doing this. His words may be aimed at the Daily Mail market in particular, with the subliminal message “Keep on spending”. But that might be “overthinking”. He may just want to keep his name and face in the headlines with an eye to a book contract – and I don’t mean an academic book.
“Academic book?”
Not really Ferguson’s field.
Academia I mean.
Are you suggesting he can read?
“Professor Ferguson-nicknamed Professor lockdown…” Ahemmm.
Hellooooo!
After being cast as worldwide pariahs after discovering that Covid had turned into the common cold we are feeling neglected at the tip of Africa. My UK friends and relatives tell me our numbers are low because it is summer and our population is young. Never mind that last summer(when I was a year younger) average daily deaths peaked at 150 in the Cape. We now peaked at less than 10, most of which were likely Delta leftovers. Currently down to 4. Is nobody north of the equator listening? Oh, and vaccines are gathering dust in the clinics and no one knows what a LFT is.
Nobody on this forum is neglecting you! South African voices have been instrumental for many of us, I’m thinking of Jerm Warfare, Dr Shankara Chetty and PANDA. As a person whose family hail from SA, I’m very proud!
It’s a Lousy F***ing Trick to convince someone that they are terminally ill.
Thank you for joining us, your input will be welcomed.
Lucky you – LFTs are handed out like smarties here in UK
Not good news. Since he is always wrong, Omnicon is a massive threat to our communities, guys. 😏
He has a habit of backtracking when it’s clear he was wrong…so every time basically.
Maybe. But he’ll agree with the next restrictions nonetheless.
It was irony, for the slow ones, by the way.
Zooming out: does anyone feel like they’ve lost control of their own narrative interpretation of this saga? Something has changed and there are now so many inconsistencies and incoherences that it has become frankly mystifying. My pet thesis (that the entire fraud has been a CIA-style destabilisation effort used to engineer a controlled economic collapse and disguise decades of financial malfeasance) kind of holds. I’ve thought all along that if technocracy/digital slave system was the objective, this could have been achieved incrementally; many of the pieces were already in play. This feels much more like a tale of two parallel crises – the one we are subjected to and the real (economic) one that sits behind it. If this is so, it’s done its job: society is now divided, politically disempowered, the economy is ravaged, our last remaining assets stripped. As to what happens next… answers on a cryptopostcard.
I still hold with the perfect storm scenario, which is a tale of multiple crisis, that doesn’t exclude the odd conspiracy, or a number of cock ups.
Yes, a completely reasonable interpretation – with a healthy dose of ass-covering, as Robert Malone put it.
“Conspire: to plan secretly with other people to do something bad, illegal, or against someone’s wishes” (Cambridge dictionary)
The only conspiracy I can see is every government in the world conspiring together to tell the public that vaccinations are “Safe and Effective”.
Anything else is just a theory.
The master plan behind the Covid crisis
https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/the-master-plan-behind-the-covid-crisis/
Yes – I’ve been on the Ernst Wolff interpretation since he gave his speech in August. He gave a good interview on Jerm Warfare too more recently – also recommended. Didn’t have an English transcript through so thanks for the link.
There is no clear logic to any narrative they are offering. They know that most people do not follow the daily micro level in the media. They know most people have now settled on their side or attitude. I am not sure even the gov knows what is going on or what to say. Blatant contradictions make no difference to their survival. I am now entertaining the view that they really think it is just a virus they believe they have to tackle. There is nothing more to say and maybe wr have to row back from reinforcing theories to fighting concrete tyranny, e.g. masks, coercion etc.
‘I am now entertaining the view that they really think it is just a virus they believe they have to tackle.’
Radical! 😉
Ockham’s razor, I guess. Just as most people wear masks out of peer pressure (nothing else in it), so the government truly believe they are tackling a killer disease.
Both notions are balls, but sadly reality is full of disappointing banalities.
But how do you square that with all the legislation recently analysed by Iain Davis in an article someone posted on here recently, all due to come into law shortly, which will make all protests of any kind [apart from ER] illegal, where you can be imprisoned for “causing someone to catch a disease” (in essence being unvaxxed) etc etc etc – all of that legislation points towards tyranny which wasn’t done by accident and which isn’t necessary to “fight a virus” which a blind man could tell you is nothing more than re-purposed flu
If they bring in prison for being unvaccinated, I was wrong. Don’t get me wrong: the above was a half-arsed thought experiment on my part. It’s just hard to fathom that everything is a conspiracy from day-to-day; so I was being reductive, no doubt. There are a number of possibilities:
1). They really think it is a serious disease – and every new policy is a genuinely held solution
2). They do not think it is serious, but cannot now alter policy because they must save face
3). They can alter policy, but choose not to
4). There is another agenda altogether
5). They are simply morons/cruel/indifferent/incompetent and cannot keep up with developments
6). All part of a globalist/elite plan
7). Any of the above in various combinations
And so we can continue down a list any one of us could put together.
I suspect the basic core of the issue is corruption/making money/receiving bribes, plus being trapped by their own dislogic. The theme of a real pandemic is the touchstone they have to keep touching base with, despite numerous errors, fallacies, mistakes, over-reaches.
Time will tell, and this is just another on-the-hoof first-draft description.
… Read more »
1 and 5.
Remember these people include Raynor and Abbott.
If anyone’s interested, I just made a two-and-a-quarter hour video that shows how the same people responsible for the scamdemic also orchestrated WWII and 9/11. But I’m sure anyone who hasn’t carried out the ~12 years of research I did on this subject will not like all that I have to say on it 🙂
https://whiteavenger.wistia.com/medias/dgwb9u407q
For me this is all about Agenda 2030.
Far too straightforward. A bit of misinformation to distract everyone.
I think you have got part of it, but what about the genocide/democide – it is hard to avoid that now with the actuaries data from the US insurance industry coming out and the warnings about vaccine induced AIDS
He “thinks he’s cautiously optimistic”, does he? Unless he’s been misquoted, that expression says just about everything you need to know about the charlatan’s woolly thinking and rubbish “modelling”. Either he’s optimistic, or he’s not; no “thinks” about it. Heaven knows why he’s still hanging on the apron-strings of Johnson and the medicos, but at least my New Year wasn’t wholly blighted by him being knighted or some other undeserved nonsense.
My thoughts on the learned professor….
Pity it doesn’t have the pig dictators face on it.