Notable by its absence from the House of Commons’ pro-lockdown report was any mention of cost-benefit analysis. Indeed, the authors sidestepped the single most important question – was the lockdown worth it? – and went straight to saying that we should have locked down sooner!
Had they attempted to weigh up the costs and benefits, their report’s conclusions might have looked very different – assuming, of course, that they didn’t bungle the analysis. Remember: there are things to consider other than Covid outcomes.
Cost-benefit analyses published since the summer of 2020 have not been kind to lockdowns (which may explain their lack of inclusion in the House of Commons’ report). In a new paper, Ari Joffe and David Redman review 11 studies, each of which estimated impact using a common metric (e.g., the QALY).
Their results are shown in the table below. Each study’s main finding is given in the right-hand column.
All 11 studies found evidence that lockdowns do more harm than good. Among the nine that directly compared costs and benefits, the smallest ratio of costs to benefits was 2.5, and the largest was 26.
What’s more, the studies generally made assumptions favourable to lockdowns (e.g., that they have a large impact on the epidemic’s trajectory). Hence, in the authors’ words, their results “strongly suggest that lockdowns do not have a favorable cost-benefit balance”.
Joffe and Redman’s paper not only reviews cost-benefit analyses of lockdown, but also sets out an alternative plan for dealing with Covid (or, perhaps, with a similar pandemic virus in the future). Their plan specifies that the goal should be minimising harm to society “as a whole”, rather than – say – minimising the total number of Covid deaths.
It contains a number of appealing elements: increasing surge capacity; providing focused protection for the elderly; and reporting relevant information with context (e.g., number of deaths from all causes alongside the number of Covid deaths).
The paper by Joffe and Redman contains a lot of useful insights, and is worth reading in full.
To join in with the discussion please make a donation to The Daily Sceptic.
Profanity and abuse will be removed and may lead to a permanent ban.
Coming soon to a street near you.
I said months ago, once they fire on their own people all bets are off.
Maybe they’ll try it in Belfast first, just to see what happens.
You should be watching bozo and quaking in your Chelsea boots.
Yep, things warming up
Will be interesting to see what happens tonight
I said on TCW at the start of this shitshow that we’d see troops on UK streets with live ammunition before it was over. Didn’t go down well.
It looks as if the police and army will not comply with the regime…rumours are coming out that the Austrians have backtracked on compulsory vaxxings.
I do not see why our police would wish to enforce this murderous power over their fellow citizens..I see many refusing and joining us.
Our best hope is from a refusal of these forces to carry out illegal orders. They have a statutory duty to refuse illegal orders.
I wouldn’t bet on it. The higher ‘elite’ (pseudo-)military are selected for native psychopathy. That makes it easy for them to carry out acts of evil.
Speaking from personal experience: no they’re not
Indeed Paul…
Let’s face it my dear fellow skeptics, this has not been the best of weeks as we move toward the globalists Dark Winter phase.
https://twitter.com/LozzaFox/status/1461793416283672581?s=20
Add in the inconvenient truth uptick with Covid hospitalizations among those double-jabbed but not yet boosted, and the moral of that story is? Simply inject the sheeple with evermore doses of snake oil that’s already not working – if they refuse and don’t volunteer for it – your benevolent Govt will then find a new way to force you… aka what’s going down in Austria – achtung seig vial!
That vaxxing at all costs option hasn’t worked out too well for the Gibraltans has it? Remember when they said if you took the jab and wore the face nappy, you’d get your freedoms back?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4jzevzs25RQ
Meanwhile across Africa… where the masses are hardly vaccinated at all, they take HCQ and Ivermectin as prophylaxis treatments, and guess what? There is no raging Covid pandemic in that region at all. This useful information has been neatly crushed and airbrushed away by the western presstitute MSM most paid-off and levered by the Gates Foundation. As has the important fact that natural Covid immunity is far superior to any current injectable.
I wonder what the real reason could be for this massive gaslighting of the British public by our trusted NHS and the institutions like the BBC?
Finally, this latest vid from Del is a must see
https://www.bitchute.com/video/EhYBHZlIRyv2/
Be seeing you…
Del Bigtree the High wire, a true journalist I wish to God we had his equivalent here
We do. UKColumn news, every Monday, Wednesday and Friday.
https://www.ukcolumn.org/
At 1pm.
‘Meanwhile across Africa. . . there is no raging Pandemic in that region at all”.
The other day a reader posted a link to a video saying unkind things about Pfizer and the dangers its products posed.
This was accompanied by a pop-up ad (unusual these days) by Pfizer itself extolling its virtues for the way it is negotiating preferential terms for supplying vaccines to developing countries, presumably including those of Africa.
Watch that space.
“Police spokesperson Patricia Wessels confirmed that police fired shots, though it was not immediately clear what type of rounds were fired.”
Well, that inspires confidence in the Police! Don’t even know what kind of bullets they used? Perhaps Alec Baldwin could advise?
Will it be continental style, or just a ‘Very British Civil War’?
However, this is not unusual for the police to act in this way. Rather it is the UK (but not NI) who are the exception to the use of paramilitary police to control rioting.
Besides these shots would seem to be rubber bullets (at the time of me writing this). A convenient fact that the British press have not written about.
Rubber-coated bullets are just less-lethal than the real mccoy. Reduce the range and they can kill just as well.
Last quote in DS summary of the article.
“We fired warning shots because the situation was life threatening”
Beyond parody.
Yeah, I love that “We killed them all because they were endangering themselves and could have been hurt”.
It’s all about health….and safety. Sorry, I know that’s getting old now.
Your name is awesome btw. Reminds me of a woman I used to know, Halina Hann de Basquette.
Reminds me of a friend of my Dad’s, a chap called Tony Hole. His parents had saddled him with two middle Christian names which began (I don’t know exactly what they were) with R and S. A very nice fellow with a good sense of humour- which, obviously, he needed.
When I was a grammar school, we had a rather unpleasant deupty headmaster called Mr Bates. For some inexplicable reason, his son was allowed to attend the same school. I have no idea what the son’s forename was. He was known universally as Master Bates.
It was not for the policemen who were under attack.
“We fired warning shots and there were also direct shots fired because the situation was life-threatening,” she said.
Is an admission that they fired live rounds
All dutch police are armed with pistols. Armed police will not allow themselves to get into wrestling matches or be overpowered as they could have their firearms taken from them and used against them
It was definitely the ‘pop pop pop’ of small arms fire you could hear in the videos.
It is all on video, their was no life threatening incidents occurring, they shot them because they were ordered to do so. At least be honest about it.
Ironic beyond belief that it’s the ones with the guns who felt their lives were being threatened
I always found the presence of pistol packing local cops in Amsterdam quite comfortable and, as individuals, they were very easy to chat with.
I expect the shots in Rotterdam were fired by some sort of outside riot squad.
However apparently pleasant, it is in the nature of cops to do as they are told.
Riot Squad as later confirmed.
Many revolutions achieve initial success when armed police or militia decline to shoot or even join the people without even knowing the political aims of those directing them.
While no liker of hippies there is no denying their success in placing flowers down the barrels of the guns that US National Guard were supposed to use against them.
The State National Guards have day jobs and so are ‘of the people’ unlike the military.
Charles de Gaulle once pre-empted an insurrection by senior army officers by issuing all grunt conscripts with new fangled transistor radios, thus equipping them with sources of information other than their own NCOs. They subsequently refused to back the coup and came out in support of The People.
That is the usual m/o when it comes to the planned use of violence against citizens of a given locality. In the UK, the Met are the usual suspects.
And what is so ironic about it? Wanna see you standing there with a gun feeling unthreatened while a couple hundred people keep hurling stones and molotov cocktails at you or setting your car on fire.
I’ve never understood why rioters ‘against The Man’ feel it worthwhile to burn some poor guys moped.
Even more so those who think it worthwhile to loot the Pound Store.
Things are getting nasty – big showdown in Austria this weekend.
Divide and conquer. It is all going perfectly to plan for Gates et al
Indeed. Event 201 war-gamed the riots. It is expected and has been planned for.
That said, just because you can’t win, doesn’t mean you don’t fight.
I want to be able to look my children in the eyes and tell them I fought for their freedom.
Guerilla warfare usually wins – just takes time. Focoism (Che Guevara’s doctrine of inspiring ‘the people’ by example of violent actions) may not work, but then again stranger things have happened.
Who says you can’t win?
“Local media reported that at least 20 people were arrested.”
How did they get arrested with all their fellow protesters looking out for them? Or did they just stand by and film it on their smartphones-Made-in-China?
Why don’t the protesters arrest the Police for a change?
Because the police are armed and will protect their monopoly of violence.
100 protesters charging down on one policeman firing a gun – which 6 will he choose? 94 remaining.
So you’re happy to be one of the six?
Better odds than taking the ‘vaccines’!
It shouldn’t come down to a battle with the police anyway, it is the politicians and those making the money out of ‘Covid’ that should be brought to heel.
Faisal Shoukat of Halifax is one that comes to mind – start with that scammer.
Better than being one of the ‘6 million’…
It came to that in Poland; it came to that in Romania. We’re not at that stage, obviously.
It doesn’t come down to that. Police operate on the basis of overwhelming power. The moment it gets even slightly hairy for them they either (a) overreact in a desperate attempt to assert overwhelming power or (b) they bail.
The balance against the police is far far more precarious than it appears. Its mostly a confidence/intimidation trick.
“We fired warning shots”! Who gave the order I wonder? Looks like the Police are now the terrorist arm of these terrorist “Governments”
Anyone know where to buy a gun, a very big gun.
First apply for a licence.
Why not pop into Tesco’s for some fresh fruit?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F4PZXuk3TsM
Guns (sic). In the States, where the police know a thing or two about violence & weapon trauma, most cops (and combat experts) rate a close range knife at least as deadly as a firearm.
Don’t be complacent and think that it couldn’t happen in the UK. We are not safe from our own “unarmed” police.
As can be confirmed by hundreds of (ex)coal miners.
Pay (aka bribe) them enough and the police will do pretty much anything the paymaster orders. Police were transported from parts of the country not sympathetic to, or associated with miners, to crush them. In this part of East Anglia, the remuneration for clubbing miners and pushing their women around was so good that the number of fishing boats, new cars etc. suddenly acquired by policemen was impressive.
Police were transported from parts of the country not sympathetic to, or associated with miners, to crush them.
That’s how the Army will be deployed if and when Sir Humphrey deems it necessary.
Good photo. Wonder how many of those in police uniform were squaddies?
Shot for refusing a medical intervention!! That the manufacturers won’t accept liability for!! Our own police ask protesters blocking the M25 if there is anything they need so we’re ok. ……..
Medical intervention in the sense that it’s stopping the immune system from functioning, potentially hindering cancer cell repair and making people sick. Useless and with new data in this new paper below, the ‘virus’ is likely bacterial pneumonia usually fixed with antibiotics (oh and ivermectim works as well). What a house of paper cards. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/355574895_Nature_of_the_COVID-era_public_health_disaster_in_the_USA_from_all-cause_mortality_and_socio-geo-economic_and_climatic_data
More likely shot for setting police cars on fire.
Well…. Peaceful protests haven’t worked. I’ve said this for months! The governments have tightened the screw. Violence is now the only way. I don’t care about the police getting hurt. They’ve chosen their side. You will soon see a world leader being dragged on to the streets. They will never be able to walk down the street safely again and bloody good!
“Peaceful protests haven’t worked. I’ve said this for months!”
Join the club. Now expect a barrage of downticks!
302nd Assault Company (‘Evicerator of Tyrants’) has formed in Chipping Sodbury, so i’ve heard…
Reports of large number of shell casings in the streets
Reports of at least one shot dead by police
‘Twenty injured’ suspect the numbers of those shot dead by the police will rise during the course of the day
If the police have indeed murdered protestors, the Dutch should hold a massive vigil during curfew time. That will pose a dilemma for the state …
Is it too much to hope that eventually there’ll be a day of reckoning for the willing participants in their Government’s violence against their own people?
Did the policemen who whacked the striking coal miners in Britain in the 1980s with their batons ever face a ‘reckoning’?
With respect to the miners, we are in WWIII right now. When we win, there will be carnage – the ‘mob’ don’t hold back…
No, sadly not, and neither did Thatcher or any of the police chiefs. But many Plod families had to move away afterwards.
This response from the people was always going to happen. Humanity has been bullied, vilified, mocked and humiliated, by their own governments and their ‘globocops’ – something had to give.
And as for using live rounds on their own people? Barbaric behaviour and not worthy of a so-called democratic society. All eyes on Vienna now.
The Guardian
‘Police in Rotterdam have fired warning shots, injuring protesters, as riots broke out at a demonstration against government plans to impose restrictions on unvaccinated people.’
It’s hardly a warning shot if you actually shoot someone dead
What would be the warning then? ‘Do that again and we will shoot you dead again’?
We shot your friend, it could have been you…
I want the media liars punished, not just the politicians. Both created this situation. It’s Just War all the way, now.
Hopefully it won’t be another ’80 Years War’ aka Dutch War of Independence from the Spanish.
Violence is the answer. Politicians don’t hand back powers they have to be taken back, by force.
Seems the Clot Shots aren’t culling the people fast enough so they now resort to shooting them.
Words are important
NOT
‘Shot by the police’
BUT
‘Murdered by the police’
Protest today in Amsterdam
Not ‘shot with the police’ then?
Shooting us to Keep us safe.
Don’t forget you need booster shots to be fully shotinated.
Excellently researched article on this link. Banned, of course, because they hate the truth, by Facebook et al.
https://dailyexpose.uk/2021/11/03/uk-has-fallen-85-percent-covid-deaths-vaccinated-child-deaths-83-percent-higher/
Kulgen macht frei
Feel free to write to the Netherlands Tourist Board to ask where you can go without being shot!
https://www.holland.com/global/meetings/contact.htm
Just e mailed this
Dear Eric
Hope this email finds you well
I am considering a holiday in your country
Before I make a decision, is it possible that you could give some reassurance that your police will not murder me
Sad to see the country that murdered Anne Frank revert to type
Then again perhaps I’ll give it a miss
Resistance Playlist
‘Le Prophete, opera: Act 3, Coronation march’ – Meyerbeer
‘Hate To Say I Told You So’ – The Hives
‘Step Down’ – Sick Of It All
‘Bring It On Down’ – Oasis
‘Scratch the Surface’ – Sick Of It All
‘Blood Brothers’ – Papa Roach
‘Longsight M13’ – Ian Brown
‘Last Resort’ – Papa Roach
‘London Calling’ – The Clash
‘Learning to Fly’ – Pink Floyd
‘Clampdown’ – The Clash
‘Sabotage’ – Beastie Boys
‘I Ain’t Goin’ Out Like That’ – Cypress Hill
‘Back On the Block’ – Fun Lovin’ Criminals
Don’t forget the 2013 song Pandemic by Dr Creep, with the line, ‘2020 coronavirus bodies stacking up’.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5P77bUdE4p4
Thanks for that. My list is obviously personal, but is something to keep us all holding that line: indignation and hope. Gotta stick together, folks.
Lockdownsceptics.org had a longterm daily item featuring appropriate music titles proposed by readers, must have run into hundreds.
I don’t know if it’s still in an archive somewhere.
My own favourite contribution was also Xmas appropriate
‘There ain’t no Sanity Clause’. The Damned
The Manics , If you tolerate this !!..
And so it begins.
We are killing our kids. Does anyone care?
Kids that would have never died from COVID are now dying after getting the vaccine. Will it ever end?
“Recently, Dr. Toby Rogers did a risk-benefit analysis showing we’ll kill 117 kids for every kid we save from COVID with the vaccines aged 5 to 11.
The ratio doesn’t really change if they change the dose, e.g., to a third of the adult dose. It means fewer kids saved and fewer kids killed, but the ratio remains about the same. We will kill a lot more kids than we will ever save with these vaccines.
What Toby predicted is now coming true.
We can’t show it is 117 to 1, but we can show for sure we are killing more kids than we are saving.
With COVID, only children with pretty severe health problems would die: we don’t know of a single kid, 5 to 11, who died from COVID who didn’t have some pretty serious health issues before they got COVID.
Those days are now gone. We’re now killing the healthy kids.
The vaccines rolled out for kids 5 to 11 starting on November 7. It is now just 12 days later and we are now killing perfectly healthy kids.”
https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/we-are-killing-our-kids-does-anyone
my nephew turned 12 yesterday. In France. His birthday present? He will be taken to get his clot shot so that he can “participate” in society.
My heart is broken.
New study from Germany confirms higher vax coverage –> higher excess mortality
https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/new-study-from-germany-confirms-higher?r=o7iqo
The Harvard study showed vaccination makes things worse as far as cases goes. This new study from German shows that the more you vaccinate the more people get killed. Not a surprise to me
What this new German study shows is: The higher the vaccination rate, the higher the excess mortality.
I can’t say I’m surprised. These are the deadliest vaccine in human history by a factor of over 800. But it is always nice to get confirmation from multiple sources who have no conflicts.
The authors write (translated into English): “The correlation is + .31, is amazingly high and especially in an unexpected direction. Actually, it should be negative, so that one could say: The higher the vaccination rate, the lower the excess mortality. However, the opposite is the case and this urgently needs to be clarified. Excess mortality can be observed in all 16 countries…”
In plain English: vaccination makes things worse, not better.
I wanted to share this study with you because it might be interesting for you and maybe you want to add it to your vaccine data.
https://www.skirsch.com/covid/GermanAnalysis.pdf
Lack of compliance is the way to go, no downloading of the vaccine passport & non-violent protest. The powers that be want a violent uprising as they can then castigate us leading to further division, hatred & derision of our stance.
This article, which pulls together all the latest immunological & virologic research on the effect of the covid jab on the human immune system, makes it perfectly clear as to why we must keep strong & hold the line.
https://trialsitenews.com/the-original-antigenic-sin-covid-19-vaccination-and-sub-optimal-initial-immune-priming-deranges-the-antibody-cytotoxic-t-cell-immune-response/
I tend to agree with you. Nevertheless not all violence can be controlled, and there will come a time (if compulsory jabs lead to people being forcibly injected) when just a passive lack of compliance will be the same as complying with their demands. Then it’s ‘Warsaw Uprising’ time, or eternal shame.
At that point it becomes physical assault, whole different ball game. Until then the Resistance needs to keep the moral high ground with civil behaviour. The only cover of the protests in the MSM is when violence against the authorities occurs. The narrative continues…
So we need a multi-pronged strategy, including a range of tactics. Shame no bugger in the public realm has put his neck out to lead! This could be a bloomin’ anarchists’ revolution yet…
The assault on anyone challenging the narrative is vicious. FB in particular. Apparently I have an Agenda…. ie my position of challenging what is put out by officialdom is too threatening & anything which causes cognitive dissonance is derided without any engagement.
I don’t do social media for this very reason, but sympathise. Against huge odds for now we can only resist by staying true to our principles and living on our own terms. Sadly this means we are spectators of the rise of tyranny in our midst, even if we dodge its clutches. Just have to do what we can, there is no shame or guilt in being ‘ineffective’. But it may sow seeds for the future (millions read this site around the globe).
Thank you for the article. I enjoyed and duly forwarded it.
While the author doesn’t say it, I will.
These ‘vaccines’ were designed to promote and continue a pandemic. Not to stop it.
He has in private said exactly that.
To be published he has to stick to the medical evidence.
I’m glad that you enjoyed it & have passed on the flame.
I grow more confident with every passing day, and report such as this, that my decision is the right one.
It has come to my attention that schools in England are now requiring PCR tests rather than Lateral Flow tests at the first signs of respiratory or any other form of infection in children.
Until recently they required Lateral Flow tests and PCRs were pretty much optional. As we all know PCR tests are open to abuse in a number of ways:
-The gene targets can be altered by the NHS with no notification to the public so that they match genes that are shared with common coronaviruses if not even influenza viruses.
-The cycle thresholds settings are set so high that anybody with even a minor exposure to SARSCoV2 in the last two months who is completely immune and would never be able to infect anybody else tests positive.
-A combination of the two above, can result in a scenario in which when children develop influenza the PCR then reads as a “positive to SARSCoV2”, when it’s merely influenza in a child fully immune to SARSCoV2
-The most worrying thing is if this is happening in the age bracket of 5-11 year olds, as a form or fear manipulation for these parents to get their children injected.
If your or anybody’s children develop influenza or cold like symptoms and you are not able to refuse the PCR test, and this comes back positive, please double check it with a Lateral Flow test at home. If the Lateral Flow test/s are negative, then please inform other parents who are ready to hear this.
https://t.me/s/robinmg
They can fucking require all they want
If you love your children take them out of school and never send them back
LF give blanket false positives to boost the numbers.
PCR cycles are run differently based on vaccination status.
So much for civility of the mighty venerable European Union
still if it saves one life…
I counted 21 gunshots in that 2 minute clip
It appears from the video clip that the police are firing from moving vehicles
Indiscriminate shooting of protesters
The police were never in any danger in this clip
“Rise like Lions after slumber
In unvanquishable number
Shake your chains to earth like dew
Which in sleep had fallen on you
Ye are many – they are few.”
― Percy Bysshe Shelley,
I wonder if Arnold ‘screw your freedoms’ Schwarzenegger has commented.
Terminator. The prophecy fulfilled.
Who’d have thought that civil unrest and possibly even conflict on European soil once again could possibly be triggered not by the threat of communism or Islamism but by the threat from our very own western governments who are behaving like power-mad tyrants.
Freedom is not given, it is taken.
Shooting people for their own safety, is like fucking for virginity.
Full on fascism.
Wonder if one day soon we’ll see a “Ceausescu moment” when our leaders finally realize they have badly miscalculated and will have to face the music.
If this goes on for long enough, the boombabies will eventually bring out machine guns to defend their democracy against those misguided miscreants who erronously believe they were also humans with rights.
Reports started by saying the Dutch police had shot protestors. By the time it got to the BBC’s lunchtime news today, the protestors had become “rioters” and the police had to shoot them in self-defence. Now that’s what I call spin!
Joe Rogan said his doctor, Pierre Kory, is part of a group that has used Ivermectin to quietly treat 200 Members of U.S. Congress for COVID19. Dr Simone Gold, from America’s Frontline Doctors, told that she has prescribed treatments for Congress. She still believes in her oath, but she is vocal saying she has been contacted by many in DC. Can you believe these demons? Healing for them are OK but not for us. Get your Ivermectin while you still can! https://ivmpharmacy.com
‘Two protesters have been shot and wounded by police to protect public health’. Bitter irony
It’s call “The Social Contract”. We agree to work together, as a society, for everyone’s benefit. When that social contract is breached, society breaks down.
Treating people, who care enough about their health to resist an experimental, unnecessary medical procedure, as criminals will do far more damage than Covid.
So there we have it, our political mediocrities/masters choose to destroy the economy, hamstring the life chances of the young and sever the cohesion of society- all for a virus with an IFR of 0.15%
i might be wrong here but the people who die from Covid are pretty much going to die from Covid ,im not going to kill them by not having my third vaccine that doesnt seem to work get a fucking grip and PROTEST they cant kill us all as my dad used to say
The early indications are that people have finally had enough. Even the BBC is reporting the riots. I hope our own Government takes note. It is the younger generation whose lives are being screwed up. We need to rule out any further lockdowns in the UK regardless of case numbers and openly support herd immunity and focussed protection. For the rest of us let it rip. It is impossible to protect the population from every day risks. It is time for everyone to get a grip.
“Two protesters have been shot and wounded by police to protect public health”
That makes it all right, then. Shooting political opponents for the greater good.
I remember the cries of ‘The evil dictator /Saddam/Assad/Boogeyman-du-jour is killing his own people’. Where are the cries now?
There needs to be some organisation on our side. Groups to keep an eye out for plain clothes cops infiltrating to take out perceived leaders (as seen in the Rotterdam videos). The cops are likely to be big lads working in pairs dressed in too-clean casual clothes – ironed jeans are a dead give away! Swarm them.